Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, August 28, 2017
Diversify Into Gold On U.S. “Political Instability” Advise Blackrock / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Gold set to shine as Washington stumbles
– “Bet on gold’s diversifying properties rather than political stability”
– World’s largest asset manager believes Trump and political drama in the U.S. means gold likely to rise
– Real rates flattening out and rising political instability – Blackrock’s Koesterich
Sunday, August 27, 2017
Gold Stocks Quietly Leading Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
Welcome to the dog days of summer. The low volatility in precious metals continues. Janet Yellen or some other Fed heads said something Friday. Precious Metals sold off but quickly recovered. It appears that not much has transpired in recent weeks as precious metals have grinded higher, albeit slowly. However, while it may be a fledgling development, the miners appear to be leading Gold now.
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Saturday, August 26, 2017
Gold Junior Stocks Q2 2017 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
The junior gold miners’ stocks have spent months grinding sideways near lows, sapping confidence and breeding widespread bearishness. The entire precious-metals sector has been left for dead, eclipsed by the dazzling Trumphoria stock-market rally. But traders need to keep their eyes on the fundamental ball so herd sentiment doesn’t mislead them. The juniors recently reported Q2 earnings, and enjoyed strong results.
Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports. Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 45 calendar days after quarter-ends. Canadian companies have similar requirements. In other countries with half-year reporting, some companies still partially report quarterly.
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Friday, August 25, 2017
The Truth About Bundesbank Repatriation of Gold From U.S. / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Bundesbank has completed a transfer of gold worth €24B from France and U.S.
– Germany has completed domestic gold storage plan 3 years ahead of schedule
– In the €7.7 million plan, 54,000 gold bars were shipped and audited
– In 2012 German court called for inspection of Germany’s foreign gold holdings
Friday, August 25, 2017
Will the Fuel Cells Vehicles Save Platinum and Palladium? / Commodities / Platinum
Although everyone agrees that the electric revolution is looming, there is no consensus about the pace and the detailed form of the upcoming shifts in the automotive industry. In particular, some miners and analysts believe that fuel cell cars will spur or at least support the demand for platinum and palladium. For example, the world’s three largest platinum producers (Anglo American Platinum, Impala Platinum and Lonmin) invested in projects related to fuel cell technologies. Indeed, the white metal is used in catalysts in fuel cells vehicles, where power comes from combining hydrogen and oxygen over a platinum catalyst. The game is definitely worth the candle: today’s fuel cell cars need a full ounce of platinum versus a 2-4 grams PGM loading for the average gasoline or diesel vehicle.
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Friday, August 25, 2017
Gold Price Is Forming Triangle Pattern / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
After touching 1.3000 important psychological level, XAUUSD pulled back from 1300.82 and formed a triangle pattern on its 4-hour chart. The triangle pattern is likely consolidation of the uptrend from 1204.77, another rise could be expected after the consolidation.
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Friday, August 25, 2017
Are Precious Metals About To Go Parabolic? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
With the metals providing us with the pullback we were expecting in our report last weekend (Aug 12-13), they continued to push higher from that pullback. Moreover, the structure continues to look quite bullish. However, the only question the market has yet to answer is if we see one more drop before the parabolic rally commences, or if we simply begin to rally strongly from here.
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Friday, August 25, 2017
Gold versus Bitcoin BTC / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
I don’t want to start a religious war here but clearly in 2017, BitCoin has vastly outperformed Gold as my first chart shows. I am still very positive that Gold and the PM sector will have its time in the sun again, but GBTC has given me another asset to trade while Gold and PMs have largely consolidated sideways for most of the year.
That said, the move in BitCoin appears to me to be in Wave 5 of an Elliott Wave pattern which will lead to a major top. Once it tops, according to Mr. Elliott, we will very likely see an ABC correction which will move price much lower than most expect. That is what is needed to re-set investor sentiment to bearish so the next leg up can begin. My second chart on GBTC shows the Wave 3 and 5 Parabola’s on the chart. These never end well but I will be doing my best to squeeze as much out of this Wave 5 move as I can.
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Friday, August 25, 2017
Crude Oil – Declining Inventories vs. Climbing Production / Commodities / Crude Oil
On Wednesday, light crude gained 1.21% after the EIA weekly report showed declines in crude oil and gasoline inventories. As a result, the black gold came back above the lower border of the trend channel, but can we trust this increase?
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Friday, August 25, 2017
Grant Williams: History Is About to Repeat Itself Again… and It Might Get Ugly / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Shannara Johnson writes: Grant Williams believes that the 76 million retiring Baby Boomers will trigger a major pension crisis. He should know, because he’s been studying financial history and telltale crisis patterns for nearly two decades.
“With that potentially bad situation we could face,” the seasoned asset manager and co-founder of Real Vision TV said in a recent Metal Masters interview, “holding physical metal, somewhere safe, somewhere outside the banking system, is just a sensible precaution to take.”
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
The Next Oil Price Spike May Cripple The Industry / Commodities / Crude Oil
Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oil price is heading. On the one hand, there is the view that the price of oil will be "lower for longer", or even "lower forever", as the electrification of transport will eat away at oil demand more and more while, at the same time, technological innovation (shale in particular) will greatly increase economically recoverable resources. On the other hand, however, there is the view that the price of oil is set to explode, primarily due to underinvestment in the upkeep of brownfields, development of greenfields, and exploration for new resources.
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
Conspiracy Theorists Can Relax! Steve Mnuchin Peers Through Ft. Knox Window And Confirms Gold Is Still There! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Imagine it was 1937 and you stored your gold with someone… let’s call them Uncle Sam.
After about 20 years you told Sam that you’d like to see the gold and make sure it was still there. He said sure; you can come and take a quick look. And you did… and you were satisfied that it looked like the gold was still there.
Decades then went by… more than 40 years in fact… and you told Sam that you’d like to make sure the gold is still there.
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
China's Get the Gold Plan: Part II / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By David Smith : Money Metals readers may remember my November 2014 report in which I discussed how gold flowed into China in "tributary fashion" like small streams flowing into a giant one. In this case, the gold has been streaming into China's increasingly massive thousands-of-tons gold hoard.
In January, 2015, I penned an essay titled "China's Global Gold Supply "Game of Stones" outlining China's long-range goal to dominate the world's physical gold market.
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
Urgent: “Double Play” Energy Profit Scenario Is Now Rapidly Unfolding / Commodities / Lithium
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
Global Financial Crisis 10 Years On: Gold Rises 100% from $650 to $1,300 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Gold up over 100% in major currencies since financial crisis
– Gold up 100% in dollars, 124% in euros and surged 200% in sterling
– Gold has outperformed equity, bonds and most assets
– Gold remains an important safe-haven in long term
Tuesday, August 22, 2017
U.S. Treasury Secretary: "I Assume Fort Knox Gold Is Still There" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
- US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin visits Fort Knox Gold
- Later tweeted ‘Glad gold is safe!’
- Only the third Treasury Secretary to visit the fortified vault, last visit was 1948
- Last Congressional visit was 1974
- Speculation over existence of gold in Fort Knox is rife
- Concerns over Federal Reserves lack of interest in carrying to an audit on gold
- Gold was last counted in 1953, nine years before Mnuchin was born
- Mnuchin may be looking to prevent countries and states from worrying about and repatriating their gold
Tuesday, August 22, 2017
Lightening-Fast COT Reversal: Now Fairly Bearish For Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
That didn’t take long at all. Just a few weeks after the Commitment of Traders (COT) Reports for gold and silver turned positive – setting off a nice rally in both metals’ prices – this indicator has flipped back to strongly negative.
In gold especially, speculators (always wrong at big turning points) have loaded up on long futures contracts while closing out their short positions. The commercials (always right at big turning points) have done the opposite, closing out long positions and going aggressively short.
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Tuesday, August 22, 2017
The Bear Market in Oil Sector Continues / Commodities / Oil Companies
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the multiyear bear market in oil and gas.
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Monday, August 21, 2017
What’s Next For Gold? Its All About The U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
What’s next for gold? Seems like a fairly simple question. Unfortunately, it is nearly impossible today to get a simple answer. That’s the problem.
Why is that? And, if we can find a simple, straight-forward answer, how do we know the answer is correct?
Perspective and intent are factors. But so are logic and accuracy.
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Monday, August 21, 2017
Gold’s Sudden, Newfound Relative Strength / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Three weeks ago we discussed how Gold needed to perform considering the US$ index was likely to bounce due to an oversold condition and extreme bearish sentiment.
We wrote: “Simply put, Gold will have to prove itself in real terms if it is going to hold its ground or breakout as the US$ begins a likely bounce.”
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