Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, July 28, 2017
Sugar Commodity Investors: "Desperately Seeking..." Clarity and Objectivity / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Congratulations, Elliott wave analysis is your ideal match
Over the last two years, sugar futures have crashed and spiked and crashed again -- much like a diabetic without insulin.
After plummeting to an 8-year low in September 2015, sugar prices then doubled in a stunning rally to a 4-year high in September 2016, only to turn back down in a 40% sell-off to19-month lows in late June 2017, where they linger to this day.
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Thursday, July 27, 2017
Gold Cycle Outlook : Cautiously Bullish / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
I am cautiously bullish with today’s new high in Gold and GDX on day 13. Silver also made a new high on day 12 but is still lagging Gold out of the recent low. Note that I have used GLD and SLV in my charts today as the price prints for Gold and Silver on Stockcharts were bogus once again.
Why cautiously bullish? During the long Bear from the secondary high in 2012, almost every Failed Gold Trading Cycle topped on day 10 or earlier. There were a couple that topped on day 11 and one on day 12 as I recall but day 12 was the longest uptrend we saw into a failed Trading Cycle. That said, I am still cautious as my charts will show that PM’s still have much work to do to break out of this sideways pattern that they have been in for much of 2017.
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Thursday, July 27, 2017
Is Big Oil planning its Funeral by ignoring the obvious? / Commodities / Crude Oil
Many of the reports published that cover oil consumption and how quickly consumers will embrace Electric Vehicles (EV) paint a far rosier outlook for the future of oil than the facts dictate. The reason is simple; most of these reports tend to be written or sponsored by big oil and so they tend to be biased. We are not stating that this is the end of oil, but its glory days are probably behind it. One thing is obvious; the peak oil theory experts are and were always full of rubbish. In fact, we penned several articles over the years covering this issue the latest of which was titled “peak oil debunked”.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 27, 2017
Will Crude Oil Extend Gains? / Commodities / Crude Oil
On Tuesday, crude oil extended gains and hit a fresh July high, but will we see further rally in the coming days?
Crude Oil’s Technical Picture
Let’s take a closer look at the charts and find out (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Thursday, July 27, 2017
Gold and Oil - 3 charts, 3 forecasts, in 7 fast minutes / Commodities / Commodities Trading
See just how much you can learn from three simple charts.
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Wednesday, July 26, 2017
Reconciling the US Dollar Outlook with the Super Bullish Gold and Silver COTs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Technical analyst Clive Maund charts the U.S. dollar and expects it to trade sideways for a while before continuing its downward trend.
Because the dollar has such an important bearing on everything, especially the Precious Metals, it is timely for us to take a close look at it here after its recent steep drop, for as some of you may have seen, a number of indicators pertaining to the dollar suggest that, possibly after some further downside it is likely to bounce, or at least take a rest in a sideways range for a while, before the decline perhaps resumes in earnest.
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Wednesday, July 26, 2017
Last Week’s Rally in Gold Stocks Erased / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
Gold, silver and the USD Index didn’t do much in yesterday’s trading, but that was not the case with mining stocks. The divergence between gold stocks and gold was particularly visible and the implications are once again particularly important.
Let’s take a look at the charts, starting with the HUI Index(gold stock chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Monday, July 24, 2017
Gold Price Broke Above Trend Line Resistance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
XAUUSD recently broke above the support-turned-resistance trend line at 1237 on its daily chart, indicating that the downside movement from 1295.94 had completed at 1204.77 already.
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Monday, July 24, 2017
5 Things I Look for in Exploration Companies / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
Three months ago (April) we covered the reasons we primarily invest in junior exploration companies. We promised to follow up with some criteria we follow in attempting to pick winners. Here are five things we look for when evaluating and selecting junior exploration companies.
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Saturday, July 22, 2017
Crude Oil, Gold, ETFs & more: Pro-grade Market Forecasts / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Dear Investor,
Are you paying attention to commodities? You should be.
Major moves in oil, gold and other commodities have offered up huge opportunities for traders in 2017.
Our friends at Elliott Wave International have kept our subscribers ahead of many big commodity moves.
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Friday, July 21, 2017
Gold / Silver Shorts Extreme / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
The gold-futures and silver-futures short positions held by speculators have rocketed up to extremes in recent weeks. These elite traders are aggressively betting for further weakness in gold and silver prices. But history has proven extreme shorts are a powerful contrarian indicator. Right as speculators wax the most bearish as evidenced by their collective bets, gold and silver decisively bottom and birth major new rallies.
Futures trading has a wildly-outsized impact on gold and silver prices, especially over the short term. It is amazing how much volatility futures speculators’ collective buying and selling generates, often drowning out everything else. Two factors are responsible for this dominance. The extreme leverage inherent in futures trading and the unfortunate fact the resulting gold and silver prices are the world’s reference ones.
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Friday, July 21, 2017
Gold Hedges Against Currency Devaluation and Cost Of Fuel, Food, Beer and Housing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Gold hedge against currency devaluation – cost of fuel, food, housing
– True inflation figures reflect impact on household spending
– Household items climbed by average 964%
– Pint of beer sees biggest increase in basket of goods – rise of 2464%
Friday, July 21, 2017
Is It Worth Investing in Palladium? / Commodities / Palladium
Palladium is another element with great importance to the modern economy, but it’s often overshadowed by the other more famous and expensive precious metals. As the chart below shows, palladium has been generally cheaper than platinum – its more expensive substitute in industrial use and jewelry.
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Friday, July 21, 2017
“Dirty, Difficult, And Dangerous”: Why Millennials Won’t Work In Oil Industry / Commodities / Crude Oil
By Tsvetana Paraskova : Like many industries today, the oil industry is trying to sell its many job opportunities to the fastest growing portion of the global workforce: Millennials. But unlike any other industry, oil and gas is facing more challenges in persuading the environmentally-conscious Millennials that oil is “cool”.
During the Super Bowl earlier this year, the American Petroleum Institute (API) launched an ad geared toward Millennials, who now make up the largest generation in the U.S. labor force.
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Thursday, July 20, 2017
Gold Stocks and Bonds - Preparing for THE Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
In the first part of the Preparing for THE Bottom series, we emphasized the need to be sure to stay alert and focused in the precious metals market, even though it may not appear all that interesting. We argued that preparing for the big moves in gold that are likely to be seen later this year should prove extremely worth one’s while. In the second part of the series, we discussed when, approximately, one can expect the key bottom in gold to form (reminder: this winter appears a likely target) and in the third part of the series, we discussed one of the confirmations that could indicate that the final bottom is in or at hand – the gold to silver ratio. The latter is not the only important ratio that one needs to keep in mind and in today’s article, we’re going to discuss two additional ones: the one based on gold and the bond market and a second one, which includes gold stocks and gold. Both ratios add to the clarity regarding the upcoming bottom and they could be used as confirmations that the bottom is indeed in or at hand.
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Thursday, July 20, 2017
Basic Materials and Commodities Analysis and Trend Forecasts / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Since the Basic Materials sector is breaking out I would like to take an in-depth look at some of the stocks that make up the Basic Materials sector along with some commodities in general. Most commodities have had a tough go of it since they topped out in 2011, but there are some signs that they may be bottoming, which could lead to a substantial rally over the intermediate to the long term. As you will see some of the bottoming formations are very symmetrical while others are pretty ugly, but as long as they can make a higher high and higher low an uptrend is in place.
Lets start with the CRB index which built out a one year bearish rising wedge formation that broke to the downside in March of this year. The price action has been chopping to the downside and has gotten a bounce to the upside in late June. Normally the price objective of a rising wedge is down to the first reversal point where the pattern started to build out.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Gold and GDX Trading Cycle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Short term we have started a new Trading or Daily Cycle. The much bigger question is have we also found a 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle Low? That is still an open question.
I have Gold on day 4 and GDX on day 5 of their new Trading/Daily Cycles.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Gold Cheaper Than Buying Greek Villas in 2012 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Tom Beck, founder of Portfolio Wealth Global, delves into the factors that drives gold investment demand.
Gold prices peaked in 2011 at a price of $1,925 per ounce, and since then, it has plummeted.
The bottom was set in 2015 when gold was hated and disregarded by investors—it was trading for $1,099.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Charting New Low in Speculation in Gold and Silver Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets, noting new lows in speculative positions, which should boost prices.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Billionaire Investors Backing A Marijuana Boom In 2017 / Commodities / Cannabis
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