Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, December 12, 2008
More on Gold Backwardation / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Over the last few weeks, there have been a lot of articles on the Internet about backwardation, i.e., when the price of commodities for delivery today is higher than the price of commodities for delivery in the future. Like nearly all the things on the Internet, most of what was written is useful, but some of it is total rubbish, and it takes time to sort through to find the gems from the rest. I offer the following in the hope that it clears up some of the confusion that has arisen about backwardation as well as to provide some insight into today's gold market.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 12, 2008
Junk Silver or Junk Bonds / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Junk Silver - “Junk silver” and “junk bags” are terms that refer to $1000 in U.S. coinage— dimes, quarters, or half dollars minted 1964 or earlier; commonly known junk bags consist of 90% silver. Junk bags of silver dollars are sold separately and have always held a higher premium.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 12, 2008
An Overview of Gold and the Banking System / Commodities / Gold & Silver
The $ has started to tumble and the gold price has positively turned. Meanwhile investors are not staring into the abyss quite as much. With interest rates tumbling across the globe, the world's central bankers are acting in concert, clearly in hopes that foreign exchange rates will steady. At the same time, the global economy and the nations that make it up are all stimulating their economies.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 12, 2008
Gold Rises as Central Bankers Choose Inflation Solution / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF WHOLESALE GOLD held inside a tight $10 range early in London on Friday, nearing the week-end almost 8% above last week's close for US investors.World stock markets sank, meantime, losing 5.5% in Tokyo and dropping 5% in Paris, after the US Senate killed a $14 billion bail-out of America's "Big Three" auto-makers.
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Friday, December 12, 2008
Silver, But No Silver Lining / Commodities / Gold & Silver
The end of our consumer society is on the horizon, which should be no surprise to anyone who took Economics 101. Do we really expect to spend our way out of this mess by buying and selling each other useless cheap stuff from China ?
As the financial collapse gathers steam, gold and silver oracles like Butler , Friedman, Morgan and Turk who have been predicting for years the launch of the price of silver to the moon will see their prophecy fulfilled, but a celebration is not in order.
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Thursday, December 11, 2008
Gold and Gold Stocks to Soar During 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Here we discuss why gold will recover in 2009, and why gold is resisting the massive deleveraging in all markets better than most anything. Even though gold and the gold stocks especially have taken a hit, we expect them to recover significantly in 09. Here is why.
Overview of credit crisis and efforts to combat it
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Thursday, December 11, 2008
Gold Soars as Governments Attempt to Reboot the Credit Bubble / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF WHOLESALE INVESTMENT GOLD continued to rise in Asia and London early Thursday, breaking an 8-week high at $834 an ounce, gaining against all major currencies, and reaching new all-time highs for British investors – now suffering the worst Sterling Crisis in 32 years – above £552.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 11, 2008
Gold Rallies Sharply as Fiat Currencies Money Printing Gathers Pace / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold rallied sharply yesterday, for the third day in a row, on higher oil prices and a weakening dollar. Risk aversion remains the prevailing force in markets as seen in collapsing Treasury yields and shortages of physical bullion and backwardation in the gold market.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 11, 2008
Gold Stocks and Bullion Breakout! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Change is in the wind. The ratio of the gold shares to the gold price has now given an unequivocal buys signal – as can be seen from the following 3% X 3 box Point and Figure Chart (courtesy stockcharts.com)Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Mish Response to Antal Gold Fever / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Antal E. Fekete is writing There Is No Fever Like Gold Fever .Before I reply I want to thank Antal for not taking my post Nonsense About Gold Backwardation, Ameros,Yuan Devaluations, etc. as a personal attack. It certainly was not meant to be.
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Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Gold Backwardation Resulting Gold Fever / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Here is an update on the backwardation in gold that started on December 2 at an annualized discount rate of 1.98% and 0.14% to spot in the December and February contracts. It continued and worsened on December 8, 9, and 10 as shown by the corresponding rates widening to 3.5% and 0.65%. It is nothing short of awesome. This is a premonition of a coming gold fever of unprecedented dimensions that will overwhelm the world as soon as its significance is fully digested by the doubting Thomases.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Gold Soars in Sterling as Bank of England Hits Panic Button / Commodities / Gold & Silver
"...For UK investors choosing to Buy Gold in 2008, the metal discharged itself without a word of complaint..."WITH THE BANK OF ENGLAND hitting the panic button, slashing the returns-paid-to-UK-savers down to three-century lows at the start of December, the clear winners from its campaign to reboot the bubble so far have been gold investors stuck with Pounds to earn and Pounds to spend.
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Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Crude Oil Price Carnage Faces Supply Troubles / Commodities / Crude Oil
Sean Brodrick writes: As you read this, I'm on my way to check out a new gold project in Mexico that I hope to tell you about in an upcoming Money and Markets column.
But I couldn't skip the chance to go into the extraordinary events we saw in the oil markets last week, as crude suffered its biggest weekly drop since the Persian Gulf War in 1991. Here's the scoop …
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Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Gold- How to Make Cycles Work in Your Favor / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Our lives consist of and are controlled by cycles. From the 1 second heartbeat cycle, to the 1,000 year millennium cycle and many other cycles in between, we live and die within cycles. The ‘ three score and ten' human cycle is simply a part of it all.
King Solomon understood cycles:
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Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Gold Rallies as Bond Yields Go to Zero / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF GOLD rose steadily throughout early London trade Wednesday, reaching a one-week high above $792 per ounce as strong gains in Asian equities faded on Europe's bourses.
As the Wall Street opening drew near, the FTSE100 index stood just 0.3% higher, while the Gold Price in Sterling reached £534 an ounce, almost 3% above Tuesday's low.
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Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Gold Rallies as Deflation Now is Set to Turn to Inflation Later / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold rallied for a second day yesterday on concerns regarding the deepening US recession and the dollar. Gold has continued to rally in Asian and early European trading. The bounce in oil prices is likely lending support as is continuing robust physical demand internationally. Asian equity markets were largely positive overnight but European ones are again under pressure this morning.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Kinross Gold Corp Leads Gold Stocks Sector Rebound / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold Stocks have been bouncing back recently, but few can challenge the extraordinary recovery of KGC, which has more than doubled since its low below $7.
This is a sign that KGC is indeed one of the best gold mining companies in the world, since it has bounced back the furthest and the fastest.
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Tuesday, December 09, 2008
Gold Attempting Thrust Out of Bull Flag Pattern / Commodities / Gold & Silver
As we speak, the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) is attempting to thrust out of a two-day bull flag type of formation, which represents the digestion period in the aftermath of yesterday's potent upmove from Friday's low at 72.91 to 77.03. If the bull flag resolves itself to the upside, then the GLD should climb towards a test of yesterday's high at 77.03 -- likely on the way to a test of more important resistance along the 11/25 down trendline -- now at 77.25. Only a break beneath today's pullback low at 75.08 will compromise the near-term technical set-up.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 09, 2008
Gold Retail Buyers Face Physical Supply Shortages / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Retail Gold Buyers Still Face Shortages, High Mark-Ups as Global Credit & Lending Collapse; Central Banks Prepare "Money Flood"
THE PRICE OF GOLD in the world's professional wholesale market held inside a tight $10 range early Tuesday in London, drifting up from $768 an ounce as global equities rose for the third session running.
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Tuesday, December 09, 2008
Gold Rallies Following Sharp Drop in South African Gold Production / Commodities / Gold & Silver
After falling sharply last week, gold rallied yesterday on the back of a weaker dollar, higher oil (Light Sweet Crude Oil Future - Combined - JAN09 is up more than 6% yesterday after falling an incredible 25% last week) and commodity prices and the Obama fiscal stimulus package.Read full article... Read full article...