Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, August 18, 2011
Is Another Gold Boom Waiting to Happen? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold (NYSE:GLD) has been in an uptrend for over a decade now. Last week, gold climbed above $1800 per ounce before consolidating. Although gold seems to break a new nominal high every other day, the gold critics have been consistently wrong about gold being in a bubble. In fact, Geroge Soros called gold in late 2010 the “ultimate bubble.” Many investors may be wondering where the next catalyst for higher gold prices will come from (besides more money printing).
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Gold Over $1808 May Be Poised for Parabolic Rise, West Not Prepared for Possible Currency Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
All major currencies have fallen sharply against gold again today but especially the ‘commodity’ fiat currencies of the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollar. Swiss francs are also under pressure again today.
Gold is trading at 1,808 USD, 1,259.10 EUR, 1,096.40 GBP, 1,436.90 CHF and 138,510 JPY per ounce.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
The Truth About Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Traditionally, demand levels would determine the overall condition of the oil market. Supply (and the investment required for that supply) would be based upon what demand told us.
Actually, oil never reflected the demand-supply relationship as well as other sectors of the market. Oil has an irritating habit of not reflecting what it should in the dynamics of market play. Until recently, petroleum economists would comment (or lament) about the demand inelasticity of oil. That means, due to the lack of available alternatives (especially in transportation), demand for oil products would not decline as the price rose.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
On the Verge of a Gold Stock Explosion / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It's probably the #1 question on gold stock investors' minds. Are we on the verge of a repeat of the 2008 wipe-out.
Just by the very fact that we have had so many subscribers ask us this question, we can almost on this evidence alone say no. Massive crashes never happen when everyone is looking for them and afraid of it.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Reserve Currencies in Distress, Protect Yourself with Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Dollarization is term coined to describe the dollar’s influence as the reserve currency of choice around the globe. In 2010, the US dollar comprised 62% of the world’s foreign exchange reserves, dubbing it a very powerful player in the world of finance. But what about the second place reserve currency?
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Increased Production No Threat to Silver Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Financial modeling is a science composed of complex “if, then” statements; this is evidenced clearly by the number of investment bankers who work 100 hour weeks toiling through Excel spreadsheets of merger and acquisition deals.
Bankers have it easier than most investors in completing modeling. For one, institutions assume an infinite timetable, as most banks outlive the humans that staff it. Secondly, banks have the ability to operate on the premise of cash flow, which is fairly simple to understand. If returns are larger in dollar terms than the cost to borrow, then a business can be levered.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Chavez Sends Gold GLD ETF a Wakeup Call / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
OK. Let the fun begin! Yesterday Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez announced that planned to nationalize his countries gold mining industry in an attempt to increase its international reserves. This is not an unprecedented move. He has already nationalized the banking industry, telecommunication companies, the oil fields, the producers of power for the country and millions of acres of farm land. President Chavez said that the nationalization of the gold industry was to protect the people of Venezuela from having their gold fall into the hands of the mafia and smugglers.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Gold Is for Fighting Deflation, Not Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Whether out of fear or love, everyone is running to gold, says Frank Holmes, head of investment firm U.S. Global Investors. The lengthy Congressional battle to raise the debt ceiling left many investors clinging to gold for safety. But a growing world population continues to stock up on the honeyed metal for weddings and holidays. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Holmes explains where our love-hate relationship with gold is headed and how to profit.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Gold and Silver Full Sprectrum Dominance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold and Silver have emerged in the last 12 months as the dominant asset group. They led the entire 2000 decade, still gathering disrespect. They do not require respect from the Wall Street and London crowd. They serve as effective protection during the slow motion crumbling process to the global monetary system. The sovereign bond crisis has circled the peripheral nations, rendered its wreckage, and is working toward the center where the USTBond and UKGilt reside (worried). Italy and Spain are squarely in the crosshairs for financial assaults, but France and the United States lie closer to the core of Western nation sacred debt territory, soon to become sacred burial grounds.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2011
New Record Nominal Gold High as Merkel and Sarkozy Plans Fail to Assure Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold is mixed in various currencies today after French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel unsurprisingly failed to deliver a solution to the euro zone debt crisis.
The London AM fix in USD was a new record nominal high. Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,792.00, EUR 1,240.39, GBP 1,089.96 per ounce (from yesterday’s USD 1,779.00, EUR 1,236.18, GBP 1,086.81 per ounce see LBMA).
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Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Gold Hits $1795, Useless Eurozone Leaders would Cut Funding to Govts Disobeying Brussels / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
THE DOLLAR gold price rose to a high of $1795 an ounce Wednesday morning in London – 1.1% off last Wednesday's record – before selling off towards lunchtime.
Broad commodity prices rose, while stock markets dropped following Tuesday's Franco-German summit in Paris.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2011
40 Years of Fiat Currency, Is Gold as ‘Cheap’ as it was in 1971? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Monday was the 40th anniversary of the irredeemable fiat dollar. Unlike the preceding 39 anniversaries, this one was actually noticed! Here, I present several charts that show the changes to the Fed’s balance sheet since 1971. I conclude that the current gold price may be as ‘cheap’ as it was in 1971!
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Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Rare Earth Elements and The China Growth Story / Commodities / Metals & Mining
David Fessler writes: The average U.S. household owns hundreds of Chinese-manufactured goods. Almost the entire apparel industry moved out of the United States and halfway around the world. Most of our electronics, a lot of our food, and many of our automobile parts come from China.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Gold Price Could Crash... What Should I Do? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
The new concern for contrarian gold owners: After watching the yellow metal soar from $1,500 to $1,800 per ounce, we're hearing how gold is "stretched" to the upside... and has become an increasingly popular asset.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Can Gold's Bull Run Be Stopped? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Everything that makes any sense tells me that gold’s run is over. The spot price of gold closed at $1788.90 which is $11.00 from its all time high. The Gold ETF GLD closed at 173.94 which is $1.19 from its all time high. The charts are screaming sell and gold keeps shrugging it off and rising in price.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Six Rare Earth Element Metals to Watch / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Rare earth elements have made possible improvements in everything from smart phones and plasma televisions to clean energy technology. In this exclusive interview with The Critical Metals Report, Jason Burack, independent investor and cofounder of Wall St. for Main St., and Kevin Kerr, commodities trader and president of Kerr Trading, share the names of the rare earth element companies to watch as the market grows.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Gold Hedging Activity a Warning Sign? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Andrey Dashkov, Casey Research writes: In the first quarter of 2011 (Q111), net gold hedging was reported by GFMS and Société Générale. A gold mining company may hedge its production on expectations of falling gold prices in order to lock in high prices and possibly avoid losses. As gold hits one nominal high after another, is such behavior a sign that the bull market in gold is over?
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Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Did Gold Just Create a Short-Term Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
On Monday, the Dow (NYSE:DIA), S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY), and oil (NYSE:USO) all continued to rally from previous lows they made the prior week. Gold (NYSE:GDL) broke through $1800 last week, but declined going into the weekend as margins were raised against the yellow metal. On Friday, gold dipped to as low as $1723 before rebounding, which brings us to an important support level for gold.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Gold Outlook Positive following Euro Stagnation, Paulson Hedge Fund's Position / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
SPOT MARKET gold bullion prices hovered around $1780 an ounce Tuesday morning London time – up 2.9% on yesterday's low – as stocks and commodities fell and US Treasury bonds rose after news of economic slowdown in the heart of the Euro area.
"Disappointing Eurozone GDP figures...have further dampened sentiment, encouraging investors to seek the relative safety of precious metals," says Marc Ground, commodities strategist at Standard Bank.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Gold a Bubble, to Correct or Go Parabolic, Stagflation Threatens Western Economies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
All major currencies have fallen against gold today with the euro down 1% against gold on nervousness ahead of the Franco German summit. Gold is trading at USD 1,776.70, EUR 1,235.10, GBP 1,084.10, CHF 1,389.90 per ounce and 136,450 JPY/oz. Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,779.00, EUR 1,236.18, GBP 1,086.81 per ounce.