Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, February 05, 2014

Taking Stock Of Silver Stocks – SLW, PAAS, CDE, AG, SSRI, HL / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

We are of the simple opinion that any substitute for the real thing is never as good a choice as the original, even when it comes to Precious Metals. There are so many other considerations that enter the picture when regarding mining stocks. One of the primary ones is management, what it can do to a stock’s performance separate and apart from its underlying purpose, silver production. There can be poor management, mismanagement, decision-making related to stock performance instead of getting the maximum performance out of its mining operations, overspending, misspending…you get the idea.

Wednesday, February 05, 2014

JP Morgan Holds Highest Amount Of Physical Silver In History / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldSilverWorlds

While everyone is focused on the massive outflows in COMEX registered gold inventories and the gold ETF, GLD, it seems that an important evolution in silver is passing unnoticed. In what follows, Ted Butler, precious metals analyst specialized in COT analysis, reveals a remarkable insight in the physical silver market.

Butler’s calculations show that JPMorgan (JPM) has piled up the largest holding of physical silver in modern world. Since the silver price peak in May 2011, the bank has accumulated between 100 and 200 million ounces of physical silver (if not more). The equivalent in metric tonnes is between 3,110 and 6,220 tonnes.

Wednesday, February 05, 2014

Seven Gold and Uranium Juniors with Near-Term Growth You Can't Ignore / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: The_Gold_Report

Many junior miners have an ace up the sleeve, and that is commodity price leverage. Joe Mazumdar, senior mining analyst with Canaccord Genuity, sat down with us to share what he looks for in junior companies with a lot of commodity price leverage. In this interview with The Mining Report, find out why bigger isn't necessarily better when it comes to gold mining projects, and why the market is favoring uranium explorers over producers—for now. Mazumdar also shares names of gold companies with "bite-sized" capital needs from Burkina Faso to California, as well as the apples of his eye in the Athabasca Basin, where management teams with significant track records are heading up promising exploration programs.

Tuesday, February 04, 2014

Oil Trading Alert: Crude Oil Price Extends Declines / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Monday, crude oil lost 0.84% as weaker-than-expected U.S. and Chinese economic data fueled concerns over crude oil demand. Thanks to this news, light crude closed the day below $97 for the first time since Jan 27.

Data released over the weekend showed that China's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index dropped to a six-month low, falling to 50.5 in January from 51.0 in December. This weaker-than-expected numbers raised questions about economic growth in the world's second largest oil consumer (after the U.S.) and weighted on the price of light crude.

Tuesday, February 04, 2014

NYMEX No Future For Crude Oil Futures / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_McKillop

Potatoes to Oil

According to Leah McGrath Goodman's well-researched book “The Asylum: The Renegades Who Hijacked the World's Oil Market", the start of Nymex oil trading was in major part due to traders who stumbled upon oil futures after screwing up Maine potato futures. Their trading “industry” or gambling party had been built on predicting the Maine potato harvest, and—much more importantly—trying to manipulate potato prices, to the point that regulators were finally forced to act. They shut down the potato futures market in 1976, after repeated defaults on physical deliveries of more than 25 000 tons of potatoes. As Goodman explains, the traders were forced to cast around for something else to trade. Then-Chairman of the Nymex, Michael Marks tried to boost futures trading in boneless beef and plywood, but that didn't work. In 1978 however, Marks hit on the right thing and introduced heating oil futures - which was the jackpot gusher that led to 30 years of good times.

Tuesday, February 04, 2014

Now Is the Time to Buy Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Casey_Research

By Bud Conrad, Chief Economist

Gold has been in a downturn for more than two years now, resulting in the lowest investor sentiment in many years. Hardcore goldbugs find no explanation in the big picture financial numbers of government deficits and money creation, which should be supportive to gold. I have an explanation for why gold has been down—and why that is about to reverse itself. I'm convinced that now is the best time to invest in gold again.

Monday, February 03, 2014

Could Gold Surprise Investors in 2014? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: The demand for gold bullion is increasing. Each day there’s more evidence that suggests this phenomenon will continue. We see consumers buying gold bullion across the global economy. As a result, mints are working in overdrive mode to meet this demand and gold storage facilities are looking to add more vaults.

Monday, February 03, 2014

Gold GLD ETF and the Intermediate Trend Trader / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

Before we get into the charts I have seen several questions on what type of trader is Rambus. There are basically three types of traders. The short term, the long term and the intermediate term. I’m an intermediate trader that looks for the impulse move when a consolidation, top or bottom is confirmed. It’s those moves where you can make the most money in the shortest period of time.

The markets are either building out at top, bottom or consolidation pattern at any given time. This is where it’s much harder to make profitable trades because they are in chopping mode with no real trend, just short term moves going nowhere. It’s when these tops, bottoms or consolidation patterns are completed is when you get your impulse move and a trend to follow. Being in an impulse move is much easier psychologically because the chopping action has finally ended. On the other hand, during an impulse move, you will run into small consolidation patterns that form along the way that many think is the end of the move but in most cases it’s just a pause that refreshes.

Monday, February 03, 2014

Gold and Silver Stocks Sector New Uptrend - Juniors to Lead the Charge / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

We sold our Precious Metals sector holdings on Monday 27th January, which we had bought just a few weeks earlier, in order to sidestep a possible reaction. The reason for this was that both gold and silver had arrived at important trendline resistance and some of our juniors had become critically overbought after strong gains. Were we correct to sell at that point, in view of the building major uptrend across the sector?

Sunday, February 02, 2014

Why is the Federal Reserve Tapering the Gold Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Paul_Craig_Roberts

In former times, the rise in the gold price was held down by central banks selling gold or leasing gold to bullion dealers who sold the gold. The supply added in this way to the market absorbed some of the demand, thus holding down the rise in the gold price.

As the supply of physical gold on hand diminished, increasingly recourse was taken to selling gold short in the paper futures market. We illustrated a recent episode in our article. Below we illustrate the uncovered short-selling that took the gold price down today (January 30, 2014).

Sunday, February 02, 2014

No Containing The Energy Subprime Rout / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Andrew_McKillop

The Financial Subprime Model

The 2008 global financial crisis was “contained”, or at least plausibly denied for over 2 years before it went critical and caused a global stock market, financial, banking and economic crisis – the effects of which we are still living with, today. As Doug Short wrote this week on Market Oracle:  “Contained” was the buzz word used to describe the U.S. subprime crisis in 2006-2007 until it was undeniable in 2008 that it was most certainly not contained. So then, the trillion dollar question is, how does one determine when a crisis is contained or developing into a contagion?”  Incredible or unexpected price and production swings by double-digit percentage leaps, is one indicator

Sunday, February 02, 2014

Gold And Silver – Calls For Explosive Upside In Precious Metals Misplaced / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

So far, January 2014 has become a part of the failed rally for gold and silver that was so widely expected in 2013. That has not stopped the renewed enthusiasm for 2014 being THE year for the long awaited rally-to-the-sky. Anyone who reads our commentaries on a regular basis knows that the most reliable source for what the market will do comes from the market itself.

The contention here is that almost everyone's focus is misplaced, and the reasons why gold and silver remain at low levels are not being given their proper due. It has to do more with the battle for world supremacy than anything else, a topic for another time.

Saturday, February 01, 2014

Gold Stocks Ditch the Risk and Embrace the Upside / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: The_Gold_Report

Adrian Day likes to think long term, and historical trends persuade him that the bull market in gold should continue for years to come. In this interview with The Gold Report, the founder of Adrian Day Asset Management explains why he expects a significant gold price recovery in the near future. In the short term, he counsels investors to choose companies that minimize risk through royalty agreements, joint ventures and robust balance sheets. In other words, companies with the means to seize profit-making opportunities, and Day shares the names of a handful that fit the bill.

Saturday, February 01, 2014

Turning Point in Junior Gold Mining Stocks? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Doug_Horning

It's not exactly news that gold mining stocks have been in a slump for more than two years. Many investors who owned them have thrown in the towel by now, or are holding simply because a paper loss isn't a realized loss until you sell.

For contrarian speculators like Doug Casey and Rick Rule, though, it's the best of all scenarios. "Buy when blood is in the streets," investor Nathan Rothschild allegedly said. And buy they do, with both hands—because, they assert, there are definitive signs that things may be turning around.

Saturday, February 01, 2014

Tapering Blues for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The second tapering reduction, a further $10bn per month, was announced this week. It was we are told by the news channels fully expected. This is probably the initial reason why US Treasury prices rose on the news, because bears would have bought back their positions. However, weakness in emerging market currencies indicates that there is a safe-haven element developing in US Treasury bond prices.

Friday, January 31, 2014

Silver Junior Stocks Struggles / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

It’s been an incredibly tough last couple years for the miners.  Not only have they had to endure sharply falling metals prices, they’ve had to battle continually rising operating costs.  For the producer companies this combination has been a margin killer.  And for the non-producers it’s been flat-out devastating.

Mining companies that are non-producers obviously don’t generate any revenue.  They are junior-level companies in various stages of exploration and/or development.  And they primarily rely on investor capital to fund their operations.  In some cases they are able to procure bank loans, but this is the exception.

Friday, January 31, 2014

Market Price Manipulation Awareness May Keep the Mainstream Away / Commodities / Market Manipulation

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

If the new-found mainstream awareness of price manipulation of precious metals is embraced with anything close to the impact of LIBOR and similar scandals, the news may ultimately be a sweet sorrow.

The Financial Times is a long time staunch defender of the status quo and therefore, by default, negative and misguided toward precious metals. Recently, for the first time, the publication broke a story about price manipulation in the gold market.

Friday, January 31, 2014

Silver and Gold Prices Rangebound Before the Storm / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The central bank driver world macro structure is in full can-kicking mode. The fuels that have built up are almost too numerous to mention, though some issues continue to be recycled as if they were needed to explain the latest potential spark.

Friday, January 31, 2014

Silver Price Rally Could Mean Another 1,000% Bull Run / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: Let's face it, 2013 was rough on silver.

The precious metal started out the year at $31, and ended at $19.50, continuing an overall slump dating back roughly to mid-2011.

That, however, obscures a massive run, like gold, that silver embarked on in 2001 when it was near $4, eventually topping out around $49 in April 2011. At its peak it generated a return of 1,091%.

Thursday, January 30, 2014

Gold Price Faces Complex Recovery / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gregor_Horvat

On gold we are tracking an incomplete complex corrective recovery from 1181 which can be a double zigzag. If that is the case then gold should make another higher, in 1280-1300 to complete a second zigzag. Only a break of 1230 will suggest that top is already in place. In such case we will turn directly bearish on gold for possible move back to 1181.