Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, April 21, 2014

Silver Feeble Rally Fails to Hold Breakout, Falling Back Towards Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

Silver's recent rally was feeble compared to gold's, and the retreat that followed has already erased all of the gains made, and already brought it back close to key support at its June and December lows, as we can see on its 1-year chart below. This much lower high and recent preponderance of downside volume are negatives that portend a severe test of this support and its possible failure soon. However it should be noted here that failure of this support won't necessarily lead to a severe decline, as it may be that silver simply wants to gravitate towards its long-term uptrend line, which we can see on the long-term chart further down the page, which is now not all that far beneath the support.

Monday, April 21, 2014

Gold and Silver Stocks Sitting Tight / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

In today’s Weekend Report I’m going to post a ton of charts so you can see what I’m seeing and why the Kamikaze Portfolio is fully invested in the 3 X short the precious metals complex etf’s. Before we look at the charts we need to discuss why it’s so important to hold your ground during this impulse move lower. I don’t know how many times its been posted at the forum but the great trader Jessie Livermore said “The real money he made was identifying the big trend and SITTING TIGHT!!!” That means you don’t try to trade every little wiggle the market throws at you. When you try to do that you will eventually find yourself on the outside looking in. If you are an experienced trader that’s a different story but for most folks trading in and out of an impulse move is a loosing proposition as some of you are already finding out.

Monday, April 21, 2014

Press Anti-Gold Scare Tactics Largely Ineffective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Under normal circumstances, I might let a rutty headline about gold in the Financial Times pass without much notice. I say “rutty” because the Financial Times has long been stuck in a rut as one of the principle apologists for Keynesian economics — big banks, big deficits, big governments and powerful central banks. It doesn’t think much of gold enthusiasts and gold enthusiasts do not think much of it. (Although I still read it every morning.)

Sunday, April 20, 2014

Gold and Silver - Counting Blessings and Tender Mercies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jesse

The markets were quiet today for a stock option expiration ahead of a three day weekend.

Next Thursday there will be an option expiration on the Comex for precious metals on Thursday the 24th. I would expect it to be relatively quiet since May is not a major contract month.

There were more deliveries on the April contract declared, but little activity has been reflected in the Comex warehouses.

Sunday, April 20, 2014

Gold And Silver - Gann, Cardinal Grand Cross, A Mousetrap, And Wrong Expectations / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: WavePatternTraders

W D Gann has long been recognized as an astute market trader, and followers of Gann have been trying to figure out his genius. The best way to describe how he made so many successful market calls is, in a word, astrology. Having died in 1955, we did not know him, but we were fortunate enough to have met and befriended his assistant, Robert Courter. He, too, has since died, but he confirmed what many who study Gann know, that William Delbert Gann was an extraordinary astrologer, exceptional.

The Square of Nine, the Circle of 360, his Hexagon, and Master Charts were all based on astrology. He did not openly admit that in his newsletters and writings, but he often mentioned "wheels within wheels," which was how the planets revolved around the Sun. Most people believe astrology to be akin to reading tea leaves or using a Ouija board, and he did not want to be put into that category.

Saturday, April 19, 2014

Goldman Sachs Is Highly Motivated To Low-Ball Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Steve_St_Angelo

The distinguished analysts from Goldman Sachs reiterated their 2014 forecast for gold to hit $1,050 by the end of the year.  They believe the paper price of gold will continue to decline as the supposed "Powerhouse" U.S. economy picks up speed and accelerates growth.

If someone recently had a frontal lobotomy... this forecast might make perfect sense.  On the other hand, if a person belongs to the 95-99% group of Americans who believe everything coming from the Boob Tube, this forecast is exactly what the doctor ordered.

Saturday, April 19, 2014

Save MtGox - Bitcoin Important Implications of Going Down / Commodities / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Cutting right to the chase: short positions might be the way to go now (stop-loss at $550).

A group of investors has come up with an initiative to convince the Tokyo Distric Court to not liquidate Mt. Gox's assets but instead give a go-ahead to the plan to rehabilitate the failed exchange. A website Save Gox has been set up and the plan has been outlined on it. We can read:

Friday, April 18, 2014

Has Solar Power Finally Arrived? / Commodities / Solar Energy

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Solar power has always offered up the promise of three tremendous benefits.

It’s renewable, it’s great for the environment, and it can be produced right here at home – safely insulated from the ups and downs of global politics and market bottlenecks.

But there has always been one big problem with solar – the price.

Friday, April 18, 2014

Silver Conspiracy Fact Versus Conspiracy Theory / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“The few who understand the system will either be so interested from its profits, or so dependent on its favors that there will be no opposition from that class.” -Rothschild Brothers of London, 1863

The mainstream is on an academically-driven mission to politicize conspiracy theories and lump them all into the same category. While gold and silver manipulation is an ancient conspiracy fact, eyes are wide shut to the general awareness in the face of one revelation after another.

Thursday, April 17, 2014

A New Cold War Means A New Record Price For Palladium / Commodities / Palladium

By: Jeff_Berwick

Palladium could be heading for a record. Here's why: 

Tensions in the Ukraine have turned investors' attention towards precious metals.  In times of political conflict, especially military, precious metals generally do well. But some people might have been surprised just how the tensions have affected precious metals. 

Thursday, April 17, 2014

Gold, Silver and Stalling Economies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

It wasn’t meant to be like this: six years of global money-printing should have guaranteed economic recovery. Until very recently, there was hope that finally the medicine was having some effect; but in the last few weeks investors have become noticeably more cautious. Is it Ukraine, or is it the slow-down in China? Whatever the story the truth is revealed in the chart of recent US bond prices shown below.

Thursday, April 17, 2014

Gold, Silver And The Mining Sector: Prepare For A Severe Fall / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

Background
This is a distressing time for gold and silver bulls like me who are constantly on the lookout for a turnaround in the precious metals sector. I’m confident that it will come but not just yet, as a final capitulation has not taken place. On 18th November we wrote the following:

Thursday, April 17, 2014

Copper Is Pathological and Suffers from SAD, but It Has Value / Commodities / Copper

By: The_Gold_Report

Dr. Copper may be in a supercycle, but there are serious problems. In this interview with The Gold Report, Salman Partners' Vice President of Commodity Economics Raymond Goldie explains why even though the base metal acts pathologically and has a bad case of seasonal affective disorder, these six equities are priced below their intrinsic value.

The Gold Report: You are giving a presentation at the Society for Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration Current Trends in Mining Finance Conference called Diagnosing the Doctor, which refers to assessing the supply and demand problems for Dr. Copper as a way to understand what is ailing all the mining products today. Are we in a supercycle? What is the meaning of a sustainable supercycle?

Thursday, April 17, 2014

Gold - Coming Super Bubble / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Casey_Research

By Louis James, Chief Metals & Mining Investment Strategist

In many of my conversations with legendary speculator Doug Casey since the crash of 2008, Doug has talked about a coming super-bubble.

Everything Doug has studied about human nature, history, and economics—from Roman times right up to the present—has him absolutely convinced that the global economy is headed for high inflation, with a very real potential for hyperinflation in the US.

Thursday, April 17, 2014

GOLD Elliott Wave Down D Wave / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gregor_Horvat

On Gold we presented  a triangle idea few weeks back, with wave C rally up to 1380/1400 resistance area. Market sold of sharply from that levels  in March and it seems that price is ready to continue lower in April as current decline looks impulsive, labeled as wave (a). With that said, we suspect that wave D will fall down to around 1240/1270 zone after a completed sub-wave (b) that may look for a top formation in the next week or two in 1320/1360 area.

Thursday, April 17, 2014

Three Variables to Consider Before Investing in Gold / Commodities / Global Debt Crisis 2014

By: DailyGainsLetter

George Leong writes: While there continue to be many gold bugs out there, I’m not one of them—but I do see gold as a trading opportunity.

Given what we have seen so far and looking ahead, I just don’t see gold as a buy-and-hold strategy at this time. Yes, there’s money to be made, but it’s going to be for traders only.

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Gold Prices 2014: Do What Goldman Does, Not What It Says / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) must really want to buy more gold; this week it repeated yet again its forecast for gold prices in 2014 to drop to $1,050 an ounce.

That might sound contradictory at first, but not when it comes to Goldman.

Jeffrey Currie, the investment bank's head of commodities research, has repeated his $1,050 target several times since last October, when he declared gold a "slam-dunk sell" along with other precious metals.

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Silver and Gold Miners Still Disappoint / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion speculative short positions (full) in gold, silver, and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Yesterday, we emphasized that the situation in the mining stock sector was bearish. We wrote the following:

One could argue that the general stock market also declined and it was this factor that caused the decline in miners. Yes, stocks declined overall, but if the mining stocks and precious metals sector in general wasn’t weak and about to decline anyway, miners would have not responded as decisively as they did. Miners underperformed gold once again on Friday and the short positions that we opened last week are already profitable.

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Silver, Gold, and What Could Go Wrong / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

Richard Russell is almost 90 years old and has seen it all. He recently stated:

“My advice, as it has been, is to move to the sidelines while holding large positions in physical silver and gold. Regardless of what the markets do, silver and gold represent eternal wealth, and the bid to sleep undisturbed at night. No amount of money is worth the loss of peace of mind. The power of gold opened the American West and populated Alaska. Men have spent their lives searching for gold. You can own gold by the simple action of swapping Federal Reserve notes for the yellow metal. I advise you to do it.” Richard Russell – April 10, 2014

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Peak Coal / Commodities / Coal

By: Ronald_R_Cooke

Properties

Comments about coal are usually not complimentary. Despite our dependence on it as a source of heat for electric power generation, environmentalists wish it would go away. On the other hand, advocates like to claim we have more than 110 years of coal left – “at present rates of consumption”. Both sides are overlooking crucial points. Let’s see if we can clarify the future use of coal as a fossil fuel resource.