Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, April 24, 2014

Gold Prepared for the Attack of the Short Sellers / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: The_Gold_Report

Despite the ongoing attack of the short-sellers, the fundamentals of gold and silver production are increasingly robust. ROTH Capital's Joe Reagor tells The Gold Report why he believes the price of gold is steaming toward $1,500/oz, with silver prices following in the wake. Reagor highlights several junior precious metals miners in a market that is out to prove the bears

The Gold Report: Let's talk about the growth and stability of gold and silver sales in Q2/14. What catalysts are on the horizon?

Thursday, April 24, 2014

Gold and Silver Stocks Begin Oversold Bounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The bottoming process for gold and silver shares has been arduous as they’ve oscillated back and forth for almost a year. We noted a month ago that the failed breakout in March was strong evidence that an interim top was in place. Heading into this week it looked like the miners would fall further before finding support. However, over the past two days the sector clearly reversed its short-term course. For now this appears to be a rebound from an oversold bounce.

Wednesday, April 23, 2014

Gold and Miners Outperform Once Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Yesterday’s price action in the precious metals market might seem perplexing to some investors and there’s good reason for it. Gold declined, but silver didn’t, and mining stocks actually managed to rally more than 1%. Let’s take a closer look (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Why Gasoline Prices are Surging Again / Commodities / Gas - Petrol

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: The price of gasoline in the U.S. is on the rise again.

Futures prices for RBOB (“Reformulated Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending”), the NYMEX futures contract for gasoline, are up over 11% for the year and a full 6.6% of that increase has come in the past month.

In fact, gas is up 2.4% over the past week alone. Today, the average retail price is 4 cents higher per gallon than a year ago.

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Bitcoin Implications of Lack of Price Action / Commodities / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: we support short speculative positions in the Bitcoin market at the moment.

Reuters posted an article supposedly giving some insight into how things had worked (or not worked) at Mt. Gox and providing us with Mark Karpeles’ (the CEO of the exchange) profile. We read:

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Why Energy is Catching the Stock Market's Eye / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Frank_Holmes

Over the last month the energy sector has outperformed the market, and as you can see in the chart below, has done so by 6.5 percent. Year-to-date the sector is beating the S&P 500 Index by over 3 percent.

In a spectacularly performing market during 2013, energy lacked some of the incredible performance seen throughout the other sectors, but recently it has turned up, catching the attention of the market yet again.

Monday, April 21, 2014

The Dark Side Of The Silver Mining Industry / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Steve_St_Angelo

There is an insidious Dark Side to the silver mining industry that goes unnoticed by the majority of investors and analysts.  Actually, I haven't come across one mining analyst who puts out comprehensive data on this very subject for the silver mining industry.

According to my figures for 2013, the top primary silver miners suffered the lowest average silver yield ever.  That's correct... another year of declining ore grades and yields.

Monday, April 21, 2014

Strong U.S. Dollar Rally Could Pull Rug From Under Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

In the context of the magnitude of the rally from the December lows that preceded it, gold's reaction from its March highs, see 1-year chart below, seems like a reasonable correction, although there have been some factors indicating that this is not a normal healthy reaction, such as the high downside volume, particularly in stocks.

Monday, April 21, 2014

Silver Feeble Rally Fails to Hold Breakout, Falling Back Towards Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

Silver's recent rally was feeble compared to gold's, and the retreat that followed has already erased all of the gains made, and already brought it back close to key support at its June and December lows, as we can see on its 1-year chart below. This much lower high and recent preponderance of downside volume are negatives that portend a severe test of this support and its possible failure soon. However it should be noted here that failure of this support won't necessarily lead to a severe decline, as it may be that silver simply wants to gravitate towards its long-term uptrend line, which we can see on the long-term chart further down the page, which is now not all that far beneath the support.

Monday, April 21, 2014

Gold and Silver Stocks Sitting Tight / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

In today’s Weekend Report I’m going to post a ton of charts so you can see what I’m seeing and why the Kamikaze Portfolio is fully invested in the 3 X short the precious metals complex etf’s. Before we look at the charts we need to discuss why it’s so important to hold your ground during this impulse move lower. I don’t know how many times its been posted at the forum but the great trader Jessie Livermore said “The real money he made was identifying the big trend and SITTING TIGHT!!!” That means you don’t try to trade every little wiggle the market throws at you. When you try to do that you will eventually find yourself on the outside looking in. If you are an experienced trader that’s a different story but for most folks trading in and out of an impulse move is a loosing proposition as some of you are already finding out.

Monday, April 21, 2014

Press Anti-Gold Scare Tactics Largely Ineffective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Under normal circumstances, I might let a rutty headline about gold in the Financial Times pass without much notice. I say “rutty” because the Financial Times has long been stuck in a rut as one of the principle apologists for Keynesian economics — big banks, big deficits, big governments and powerful central banks. It doesn’t think much of gold enthusiasts and gold enthusiasts do not think much of it. (Although I still read it every morning.)

Sunday, April 20, 2014

Gold and Silver - Counting Blessings and Tender Mercies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jesse

The markets were quiet today for a stock option expiration ahead of a three day weekend.

Next Thursday there will be an option expiration on the Comex for precious metals on Thursday the 24th. I would expect it to be relatively quiet since May is not a major contract month.

There were more deliveries on the April contract declared, but little activity has been reflected in the Comex warehouses.

Sunday, April 20, 2014

Gold And Silver - Gann, Cardinal Grand Cross, A Mousetrap, And Wrong Expectations / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: WavePatternTraders

W D Gann has long been recognized as an astute market trader, and followers of Gann have been trying to figure out his genius. The best way to describe how he made so many successful market calls is, in a word, astrology. Having died in 1955, we did not know him, but we were fortunate enough to have met and befriended his assistant, Robert Courter. He, too, has since died, but he confirmed what many who study Gann know, that William Delbert Gann was an extraordinary astrologer, exceptional.

The Square of Nine, the Circle of 360, his Hexagon, and Master Charts were all based on astrology. He did not openly admit that in his newsletters and writings, but he often mentioned "wheels within wheels," which was how the planets revolved around the Sun. Most people believe astrology to be akin to reading tea leaves or using a Ouija board, and he did not want to be put into that category.

Saturday, April 19, 2014

Goldman Sachs Is Highly Motivated To Low-Ball Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Steve_St_Angelo

The distinguished analysts from Goldman Sachs reiterated their 2014 forecast for gold to hit $1,050 by the end of the year.  They believe the paper price of gold will continue to decline as the supposed "Powerhouse" U.S. economy picks up speed and accelerates growth.

If someone recently had a frontal lobotomy... this forecast might make perfect sense.  On the other hand, if a person belongs to the 95-99% group of Americans who believe everything coming from the Boob Tube, this forecast is exactly what the doctor ordered.

Saturday, April 19, 2014

Save MtGox - Bitcoin Important Implications of Going Down / Commodities / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Cutting right to the chase: short positions might be the way to go now (stop-loss at $550).

A group of investors has come up with an initiative to convince the Tokyo Distric Court to not liquidate Mt. Gox's assets but instead give a go-ahead to the plan to rehabilitate the failed exchange. A website Save Gox has been set up and the plan has been outlined on it. We can read:

Friday, April 18, 2014

Has Solar Power Finally Arrived? / Commodities / Solar Energy

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Solar power has always offered up the promise of three tremendous benefits.

It’s renewable, it’s great for the environment, and it can be produced right here at home – safely insulated from the ups and downs of global politics and market bottlenecks.

But there has always been one big problem with solar – the price.

Friday, April 18, 2014

Silver Conspiracy Fact Versus Conspiracy Theory / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“The few who understand the system will either be so interested from its profits, or so dependent on its favors that there will be no opposition from that class.” -Rothschild Brothers of London, 1863

The mainstream is on an academically-driven mission to politicize conspiracy theories and lump them all into the same category. While gold and silver manipulation is an ancient conspiracy fact, eyes are wide shut to the general awareness in the face of one revelation after another.

Thursday, April 17, 2014

A New Cold War Means A New Record Price For Palladium / Commodities / Palladium

By: Jeff_Berwick

Palladium could be heading for a record. Here's why: 

Tensions in the Ukraine have turned investors' attention towards precious metals.  In times of political conflict, especially military, precious metals generally do well. But some people might have been surprised just how the tensions have affected precious metals. 

Thursday, April 17, 2014

Gold, Silver and Stalling Economies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

It wasn’t meant to be like this: six years of global money-printing should have guaranteed economic recovery. Until very recently, there was hope that finally the medicine was having some effect; but in the last few weeks investors have become noticeably more cautious. Is it Ukraine, or is it the slow-down in China? Whatever the story the truth is revealed in the chart of recent US bond prices shown below.

Thursday, April 17, 2014

Gold, Silver And The Mining Sector: Prepare For A Severe Fall / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

Background
This is a distressing time for gold and silver bulls like me who are constantly on the lookout for a turnaround in the precious metals sector. I’m confident that it will come but not just yet, as a final capitulation has not taken place. On 18th November we wrote the following: