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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2015

Absurd Gold Stock Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks suffered a full-blown panic this past week!  This exceedingly-rare magnitude of selloff was triggered by extreme futures shorting intentionally executed to force a flash crash in gold.  After gold’s major multi-year support failed in this Machiavellian onslaught, gold stocks plummeted.  The levels of fear were so epic that this entire sector was slammed much deeper into fundamentally-absurd price territory.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2015

Gold Mining Stocks Nearing Rebound / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Recently we've been writing about the downside potential in precious metals and the danger for precious metals bulls. The gold miners and Silver have led the rout while Gold finally cracked support ($1140-$1150/oz) last week. That led to a severe selloff across the complex. As we pen this on Thursday evening it appears Friday could be a nasty day if Gold breaks below $1080/oz. Nevertheless, the odds now favor a rebound in the weeks ahead and especially in the gold miners.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2015

Gold Stock Carnage Continues Unabated / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

There is still no sign of any serious buying occurring in the gold mining sector. The HUI continues to plummet lower and has fallen to levels last seen in October and November of 2002! This is simply astonishing for its ferocity.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2015

Commodities Distressed Investing / Commodities / Investing 2015

By: John_Mauldin

When most people think of distressed investing, they think of buying CCC-rated bonds at 20 or 30 cents on the dollar, then maybe sitting in bankruptcy court to divvy up the capital structure, making healthy risk-adjusted returns in the end. You just need to hire a few lawyers.

Distressed investors are a different breed of cat. It’s one of those countercyclical businesses, like repo men, who do well when everyone else is getting hammered.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2015

OPEC Shorts Are Driving Down the Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: The conflict between OPEC and U.S. shale/tight oil producers has entered a new phase. And the result has been an accelerated decline in oil prices.

Last November (on Thanksgiving no less), Saudi Arabia led an OPEC decision to hold production stable, followed by a later significant increase in volume. For the first time, the cartel had opted to protect market share rather than price.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2015

Gold Stocks Bear Market Bottom Buying Opportunity? - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The early year gold price rally soon peaked in mid January 2015 at $1307 that had fooled many gold bugs into assuming that the preceding multi-year bear market was finally over and that 2015 would see a strong price rally to possibly even new all time highs! However, so far 2015 has seen a series of failed rally's rolling over into downtrends to new lows, punctuated by flash crash days such as that which took place on the 19th of July that saw a series of flash crashes that lasted no more than a couple of seconds that took the gold price to well under $1,100, to a new five year low of $1080 before recovering a little to $1,100.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Did Gold Stocks Just Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "Perhaps today was capitulation in the gold market," a CEO of a gold-mining company told me in an e-mail Monday evening...

Gold-exploration stocks had just lost 14% of their value in two days – based on the gold-exploration stocks fund, the Global X Gold Explorers Fund (GLDX). This CEO thought it could be the bottom in gold-exploration companies.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Gold and Silver Falling, Coiling - The Slow Blues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jesse

"At its very inception this movement depended on the deception and betrayal of one's fellow man; even at that time it was inwardly corrupt and could support itself only by constant lies...

If at the start this cancerous growth in the nation was not particularly noticeable, it was only because there were still enough forces at work that operated for the good, so that it was kept under control. As it grew larger, however, and finally in an ultimate spurt of growth attained ruling power, the tumor broke open, as it were, and infected the whole body.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Commodity Prices, Gold and Silver Stocks Next Leg Down / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

There is a lot to go over tonight in regards to commodities and the precious metals complex. A while back I wrote a report on the commodities in general getting ready for the next possible leg down which will fuel the deflationary pressures that really took hold last about this time. That's when the US dollar finally broke out of its massive base and charged higher topping out in March of this year and has been consolidating those gains ever since. Lets start by looking at the big base the US dollar broke out of last year at this time and the strong impulse move up as shown by the string of white candlesticks. That's what a strong impulse move looks like when all the pent up energy finally has a change to escape.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Gold and Gibson's Paradox / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Alasdair_Macleod

There is a myth prevalent today that the gold price always falls when interest rates rise. The logic is that when interest rates rise it is more expensive to hold gold, which just sits there not earning anything. And since markets discount future expectations, gold will even fall when a rise in interest rates is expected. With the Fed's Open Market Committee debating the timing of an interest rate rise to take place possibly in September, it is therefore no surprise to market commentators that the gold price continues its bear market. Only the myth is just that: a myth denied by empirical evidence.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Gold Price Smash Leads to Surge in Demand For Coins, Bars Around World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- U.S. Mint sees highest monthly gold eagle sales in over two years
- Indians take advantage of low price in a season not typically known for gold buying
- Chinese investors, disillusioned with stock market, are buying gold in large volumes
- Demand for coins from Perth Mint 37% higher in June and even higher for July

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Commodities

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Crude Oil Price Slump is a Once in a Decade Opportunity to Make Money, Guaranteed / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Atlantic_Perspective

All investments carry risk. There are no safe investments in the sense that “you just can´t lose”. But risk can be greatly reduced, according to the entry point and the timespan of the investment.

The commodities cycle
The world is currently awashed in oil and natural gas. This is the reality of today. But as sure as day follows night, this glut will turn into production deficit over the next few years. All commodities traders know this and have seen gluts turn into deficits dozens of times, in different markets.  Why does this happen?

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Gold Price Hits a 5-Year Low: How to Time the Next MAJOR Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: EWI

See this surprising "central banks indicator" of big reversals in gold prices

"In what traders called a 'bear raid,' sellers on Monday dumped an estimated 33 tonnes of gold in just two minutes on exchanges in Shanghai and New York, sending prices on a nearly $50 downward spiral from which they never fully recovered." (Reuters, July 21)

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Currencies Depend on Faith, Gold Doesn't / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Peter_Schiff

In his July 17th Blog, Let's Get Real About Gold, author and Wall Street Journal columnist Jason Zweig likened investor interest in gold with the "Pet Rock" craze of the 1970s, when consumers became convinced that a rock in a box would provide continuous companionship, elevate their social standing, and give them something hip to talk about at parties. Zweig asserts that investor faith in gold, which he argues is just another inert mineral with good marketing, is similarly irrational, and has kept people from putting money in the much more lucrative stock market.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Crude Oil Price Barrier of $50 Holds - For Now / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at $65.23 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Although crude oil declined after the market's open, hitting a fresh multi-month low, the commodity rebounded in the following hours and closed the day above the Jul 7 low. Did this upswing change anything in the short-term picture of crude oil?

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Silver and the Deflation Thesis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

56,859 contracts represents over 284 million ounces of silver in a market with a total of just under 1 billion ounces in open contracts (open interest of 197,092) and a combined warehouse “physical” inventory of just over 180 million ounces.

I decided to make public and expand upon one section in my private newsletter weekly commentary.

As silver was monkey-hammered once again this week, I got the usual “see that, Harry Dent was right. Silver is going down” response.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Gold Price Crash - Trend Forecast 2015, Gold Stocks Buying Opportunity? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The gold price bear market has continued in 2015 since its mid January 2015 peak of $1307 that had fooled many gold bugs into assuming that the preceding multi-year bear market was finally over and that 2015 would see a strong price rally to possibly even new all time highs! However, so far 2015 has seen a series of failed rally's rolling over into downtrends to new lows, punctuated by flash crash days such as that which took place on the 19th of July that saw a series of flash crashes that lasted no more than a couple of seconds that took the gold price to well under $1,100, to a new five year low of $1080 before recovering to currently stand just over $1,100.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Winning the Hunger Games - How to Choose Successful Agriculture Investments / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: The_Energy_Report

Starting with the premise that people have to eat, The Agletter Editor Tom Wallace has found productive fields in the many subsectors of the ag investment space. Without discounting the risks, he explains to The Energy Report how investors can recognize and hedge those risks. Wallace also names three favorite companies that span the spectrum, from planting the seed to foodstuff.

The Energy Report: Is investing in agriculture like investing in any other commodity, or do investors new to the space need to get familiar with special considerations?

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Gold Hammered “Unprecedented Attack” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- Gold market comes under “unprecedented attack” – Telegraph
– “Sharp drop bore similarities to bear raids by Chinese funds” – FT
- Paper contracts for 57 tonnes of gold dumped onto market in two minutes
- Gold still holding up in euros, Canadian dollar and other currencies
- Very negative sentiment towards gold signals close to bottom
- Physical gold still vital financial insurance despite simplistic anti gold narrative 

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Gold and Silver: The Final Capitulation Commences / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Kirtley

The first 10 years of the bull market in gold was in hindsight plain sailing allowing us to generate profits by sticking with the trend. Alas all bull markets come to an end and so it did in 2011 when gold peaked at $1900/oz. Silver, despite having numerous industrial uses also felt the draft and fell dramatically along with the mining sector which lost approximately 70% of its value during a 3 year period of pure carnage.

This pattern of falling stock prices interrupted by sudden price hikes has characterized the precious metals sector for the last three years or so. Unfortunately the bounces were rarely of the same magnitude of the preceding falls in prices and so we have witnessed the Gold Bugs Index, the HUI, fall from a high of 630 to a close today of 113, recording a drop of some 80% in the value of these stocks. 

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