Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, September 09, 2016
Gold Has Biggest One Day Rally Since Brexit As Elites Rush Into Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The multi-day Brexit gold surge back in June was the biggest upward move since 2008 with gold rallying 4.5% the day after the vote. Yesterday, gold had its biggest one-day rally since, rising 1.6%.
This came on the back of Goldman Sachs revising its September rate hike odds down to 40% from its previous 55% prediction just a few days earlier, and the release of deteriorating manufacturing numbers.
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Thursday, September 08, 2016
The Next Sector To Recover From The Oil Price Crash / Commodities / Crude Oil
Oilfield services, shipbuilders and other industries that rose with the pre-2014 oil price boom have had it hard. Since barrel rates fell, their previous patrons have become uninterested in doling out major purchase orders, leaving oil and gas equipment manufacturers without revenues.
A recent report by Arkansas Online says the energy industry’s support sector could feel the effects of low oil prices for up to two years after the current bear market recovers.
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Thursday, September 08, 2016
Three Large Gold Miners That Are Still Inexpensive / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Money manager Adrian Day profiles three large miners in his portfolio that have had success solving problems yet are still inexpensive.
Goldcorp Inc. (G:TSX; GG:NYSE 16.02) has had a tough year. After reporting a year-end loss of $4.1 billion due to writing off and down various projects—a supposed clearing of the decks for the new CEO David Garofalo—the recent results were not so positive. Production was down year-on-year, due to shortfalls and problems at its two largest mines, Peñasquito and Cerro Negro.
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Thursday, September 08, 2016
The Sidelines Could Be More Dangerous for Investors Than Getting on the Field / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
A year ago at this time, it was hard for investors to find available inventory for the most popular silver products – as well as some gold coins. Premiums for the silver American Eagle reached nearly $6.00 per coin. Mints and refiners couldn’t keep up with demand, and long lead times became par for the course across the silver product line.
Today, retail buying of physical silver has slowed considerably. There is lots of inventory in dealer vaults and the number of bullion investors looking to sell is on the rise.
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Wednesday, September 07, 2016
Silver Bullion Surges 3.5% To Over $20 Per Ounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Silver surged 3.5% yesterday rising 65 cents and closing at $20.04/oz and gold rose by 2% or by $23 to close at $1,348.80/oz after poor economic data in the U.S. underlined deepening concerns about the economic and indeed the monetary outlook.
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Wednesday, September 07, 2016
Gold Price In Excess Of $8000 While US Dollar Collapses / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The US Dollar Index is not a measure of the value of the US dollar relative to gold. However, there is a relationship between the US Dollar Index and gold price rallies.
The best gold price rallies came during periods where the US dollar index was in a declining trend.
During the 70s, for example, the US dollar index was in decline during the major gold rallies (1971 to 1974, and 1976 to 1980).
Wednesday, September 07, 2016
Despite Downturn, Silver Market Looks Positive / Commodities / Stock Markets 2016
Technical analyst Clive Maund charts the recent downturn in silver, but also sees reason to be optimistic about the market going forward.
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Tuesday, September 06, 2016
David Morgan Emphatically Makes Case for Owning Real Money outside the Banking System / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to be joined by our good friend David Morgan of The Morgan Report. David, I hope you've been having a good summer and welcome back. It's always a pleasure to talk to you.
David Morgan: Thank you very much, and yes, I have been having a wonderful summer. Thank you.
Mike Gleason: Well, as we begin here, David, please give us your thoughts on the recent pullback in the metals. We've maybe been overdue for a correction for a while now. I know in following your work, you've been calling for one, and we're getting it here. And after a fantastic first six or seven months of the year for gold and silver, we're finally starting to see some real selling pressure emerge. What is your take… what have you noticed during this mini-correction, and what are some of the reasons for the pullback?
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Tuesday, September 06, 2016
What to Consider as Gold Price Correction Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
With a correction in progress, technical analyst Jack Chan charts the indices precious metals investors should be watching.
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Monday, September 05, 2016
Deutsche Bank Tries To Explain Inability To Deliver Physical Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The debacle involving Deutsche Bank’s failure to deliver physical gold from the Xetra-Gold exchange traded commodity (ETC) continued on Friday after a press release from Deutsche Bank. Zero Hedge covered the “non-response” from the beleaguered German bank over the weekend:
Read full article... Read full article...And so another non-response, because in the same press release Deutsche Bank both admits that it has an obligation to deliver the gold “as a matter of course”, and then tacitly confirms that it failed to do so, by first saying that it evaluates the “economic efficiency of physical delivery”, something it should have no right to do since the Xetra prospectus explicitly mandates that it should release gold on demand, and then adds that “should an investor’s request for the handover of physical gold not have been complied with immediately in individual cases, this will be reviewed and an individual solution will be found with the client.”
Sunday, September 04, 2016
Silver : A Point and Figure Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
John Franczak writes: Thirty plus years ago, while I was a junior analyst with a Wall Street precious metals periodical, I learned the beauty of Point and Figure charting. It is always insightful to view price movement by itself for the purpose of removing all the “noise” of short term moves and volatility. It reveals the true trend of any market, and as you know, the trend is your friend until it ends. That may sound trivial but rings very true to market movement and pricing.
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Sunday, September 04, 2016
Silver - Stay Sober / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Time to revisit the “play toy of the funds”, aka, silver.
On Thursday of this past week, silver managed to claw its way back above its downtrending 10 day moving average, a positive sign. However, ahead of an often unpredictable payrolls report, most traders are not going to get aggressive preferring instead to wait for the report and the reaction before committing precious capital.
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Saturday, September 03, 2016
Gold: The Good and the Not Yet Good / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The Good
Thursday’s ISM report was Thing 1 in improving the backdrop for gold. But it was a small Thing. Friday’s August Payrolls report was Thing 2, and it was a better Thing. Gold and especially the gold mining sector are invigorated fundamentally during economic easing, not during economic growth phases, inflationary or otherwise.
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Saturday, September 03, 2016
Gold And Silver – Fiat “Dollar” Says Gold And Silver Will Struggle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
We are taking another look at the globalist-owned Federal Reserve and their totally fiat Federal Reserve Note, more commonly and inaccurately referenced as the “dollar,” which it is not and never was. The fact that people in the United States continue to believe that the “dollar” is real and the Federal Reserve is a part of the US government speaks to how successfully the total Ponzi scheme perpetrated by the elites over the last century plus has fooled almost everyone.
Today, cash is barely 5% of “money” in circulation, and the bankers want to do away with even that paltry source in order to fully gain control over the financial lives of all citizens. The fact that this information still needs to be explained relates to the futility of the public ever wakening to the reality of how all Americans have been, and continue to be fleeced by the elites who control every aspect of how the United States functions, including the bought and paid for politicians, starting with the corporate federal president on down.
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Saturday, September 03, 2016
An Important Low for Gold Price and Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold and gold stocks bounced to end the week thanks to an oversold condition coupled with a softer than expected jobs report which likely delays Fed action until December. At one point this past week the market had priced in a 64% chance of a single rate hike by December and a 42% chance of a rate hike this month. A single rate hike is not going to derail the young bull market in precious metals and as long as the lows of this week hold then the bull market is in position to grow stronger by the end of the year.
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Friday, September 02, 2016
Silver Miners’ Q2’16 Stocks Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The silver miners’ stocks have enjoyed an epic year, skyrocketing higher with silver’s new bull market. At best since mid-January alone, some of these elite stocks had actually septupled! Naturally such extreme gains beg the question of whether they can possibly be fundamentally justified. The recently-released second-quarter financial and operational results of the top silver miners offer much insight on this.
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Friday, September 02, 2016
Physical Gold Delivery Failure By German Banks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The physical gold delivery failure to clients of Deutsche Bank who own Xetra-Gold, the gold exchange traded commodity, was confirmed yesterday by Deutsche Bourse who said that the inability to deliver gold was not limited to Deutsche Bank and that other German banks were having “problems” delivering gold.
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Friday, September 02, 2016
Gold Price and Political Business Cycle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Many economists ask why economic activity fluctuates. Among many theories of business cycles, there is the politicalbusiness cycle, formulated in the 1970s. According to it, incumbents try to juice up the economy during election years to improve their chances of re-election. They use fiscal or monetary policy to stimulate the economy just before an election to increase their odds of remaining in office. However, although expansionary monetary and fiscal policies are politically attractive in the short run (due to increased spending), they might lead to some unpleasant consequences in the long term (like high inflation or excessive budget deficits). Therefore, after the election is over and the next election is far away, politicians reverse the course and restrict the fiscal and monetary stimuli. Thus, major elections produce economic booms and busts, as politicians try to create an artificial boom before everyelection and take advantage of voters’ short-sightedness.
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Thursday, September 01, 2016
China’s Monetary Ascension Is Paved with Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The world monetary order is changing. Slowly but steadily, global trade and currency markets are becoming less dollar-centric. Formerly marginal currencies such as the Chinese yuan now stand to become serious competitors to U.S. dollar dominance.
Could gold also begin to emerge as a leading currency in world trade? Over time, it certainly could. But the more immediate implications for gold’s monetary role center on its increasing accumulation by central banks such as China’s.
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Thursday, September 01, 2016
Why the Big Silver Short? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The key to understanding where silver prices come from is the COMEX futures market.
It is undisputed that the 4 and 8 largest traders hold a massive paper silver short relative to all other commodities in it’s class.
And it’s obvious that they are not legitimate producers or users…
(It is also worth mentioning that despite some of these shorts being held on behalf of a diversity of clients, the fact remains that the positions they control (as a whole) are manipulative based on concentration alone).
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