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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, November 21, 2015

Bracing for Another Breakdown in Gold Miners GDXJ and GDX / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The bear market in the gold miners has been one for the record books but it is not over yet. Last week we noted that precious metals were on the cusp of making new lows while the US$ index was very close to another key breakout. This scenario remains well in play and would certainly affect the gold mining sector, which over the past two weeks failed to rebound or build on any strength.

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Commodities

Friday, November 20, 2015

GDX Gold Miners’ Strong Q3 Results / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The beleaguered gold-mining sector continues to be plagued by monumental universal bearishness.  Nearly everyone assumes the gold miners are doomed, that they can’t survive for long in a sub-$1200-gold environment.  But this belief is totally wrong, a consequence of extreme fear’s fog of war.  The gold miners’ underlying earnings fundamentals remain very strong, as evidenced by their recent Q3 results.

In all the stock markets, corporate profits ultimately drive stock prices.  Because a stock simply represents a fractional stake in its underlying company’s future earnings stream, all stock prices eventually revert to some reasonable multiple of those profits.  These earnings are truly the only fundamental driver of stock prices.  All deviations from righteous valuations based on profits are just the temporary products of herd sentiment.

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Commodities

Friday, November 20, 2015

Gold and the Reverse Goldfinger Effect / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

In 1964 Sean Connery starred in the movie “Goldfinger” in which the villain, a wealthy Brit named Goldfinger, attempted to revalue his personal gold hoard higher by a factor of 10.  His plan was to detonate an atomic bomb inside Fort Knox making the US gold radioactive for hundreds of years.  With the Fort Knox gold hoard, the largest in the world at that time, effectively unavailable the global price of gold would increase at least ten times from the 1964 price of approximately $35.00 per ounce.  Bond, James Bond, thwarted the dastardly plot and saved the US gold, the US dollar, and the US government.

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Commodities

Friday, November 20, 2015

Crude Oil Price - Where is it Headed? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Sol_Palha

All this talk and turmoil and noise and movement and desire is outside of the veil; within the veil is silence and calm and rest. ~ Bayazid Al-Bistami

On the 19th of this month, two articles were published at the same time, one stating that oil could go to $26 and the other stating that oil is ready to trade to $80. Which one is it going to be, $26 or $80 and how is the average Joe going to be able to discern which one is a depiction of what lies ahead. This is the problem with today's mass media, in their quest to attract eyeballs, bombastic and often conflicting articles are published simultaneously. One almost feels that most of the major sites have only one agenda, quantity over quality.

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Commodities

Friday, November 20, 2015

Silver Prices and The Management of Perception / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Silver prices and the management of perception economics, that's basically what MOPE stands for. I'm not sure if it was Jim Sinclair that coined that acronym. I think it was, but that's where I heard it for the first time.

It's appropriate to have a subsection of propaganda for economics and finance, so this management of perception economics. It’s basically a system or an extension of generalized propaganda. You can also call it social engineering. You could call it a public relations campaign. In fact, public relations is just a PC term for propaganda. The specific type of propaganda that is associated with finance and economics is this management of perception economics.

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Commodities

Friday, November 20, 2015

Waiting for Goldot Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

In August of 2005 I wrote an article entitled Waiting for Goldot.  It seems silly now but the mood of the time was one of frustration for many gold bugs as the S&P 500 was on a robo grind upward and gold was seemingly going nowhere.  The theme of the article was to have patience, gold was just fine.  Of course, that period was in the midst of a more traditional inflation, when gold and commodities out performed stocks.  So any measure of patience then was a tiny thing compared to what is needed today.

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Commodities

Friday, November 20, 2015

Michael Curran Goes Down-Market Shopping for Gold Stock Winners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Most of the low-cost gold producers are fairly valued, says Michael Curran, managing director and mining analyst with Beacon Securities, so he's heading down-market to the advanced development opportunities and early-stage explorers that he thinks could become low-cost producers. Sure there is risk, as Curran explains in this interview with The Gold Report, but the reward could come via either a takeover bid by an established producer seeking to lower its overall costs or by supporting these companies as they transition into emerging producers.

The Gold Report: Please give us two or three key investment themes that you envisage happening in the mining equities space in 2016.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Saudis Planning For A War Of Attrition In Europe With Russia's Oil Industry / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Russia's central bank recently warned about the growing financial risks to the Russian economy from Saudi Arabia encroaching upon its traditional export market for crude oil. Russia sends 70 percent of its oil to Europe, but Saudi Arabia has been making inroads in the European market amid the oil price downturn.

The result is a heavier discount for Russia's crude oil, the so-called Urals blend. Bloomberg reported that the Urals typically lands in Rotterdam, a major European destination, at a discount to Brent of around $2 or less. But the discount has widened to $3.50 lately due to increased competition from Saudi Arabia. "Oil supplies to Europe from Saudi Arabia are probably adversely affecting Urals prices," the Russian central bank warned in a recent report.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Gold Stocks Buckle / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

There is absolutely nothing good that can be said about the mining stocks at this point. Then again, there has been little good to say about these things for a long, long time.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

A Half-Century of Gold, War, and Costs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

In round numbers, these wars (in today’s dollars) were tremendously expensive:

Vietnam War:  Estimated cost is $740 Billion

War on Drugs:  Estimated cost is $1,000 Billion

War on Terror, including Afghanistan and Iraq:  Estimated cost is $1,700 Billion and counting

War on Poverty:  Estimated cost is $22,000 Billion

Total estimated war costs – about $25 Trillion.  Really?  Value received?

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Three Shocking Charts That Prove Gold Price Rally Is Coming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: I thought I’d seen the most shocking gold chart this year. Turns out I was wrong.

Lately, I’m seeing one chart after another that paints a picture in stark contrast to current low prices in the metal.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Is COMEX the Center of World Silver Price Discovery? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

In our recent LIVE Q&A interview with renowned silver analyst, Ted Butler, the following question came up. Below is the transcript of Butler’s response.

Ted:       Its a great question. COMEX is the center of the gold and silver universe.

Technically, there is trading on these other exchanges. Take the LBMA for example.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Gold Price Hovering Above Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

Just as the Euro is hanging by a thread above its chart support zone, so too is gold hanging by a thread above a critical chart support zone. The bottom of that zone is the July low near $1070 with the zone extending upward towards $1080.

Gold drew a bit of support in today’s session ( Monday) out of safe haven buying tied to the horrific carnage in Paris but as is always the case with gold, rallies that come from geopolitical events, generally do not last long, especially when the underlying fundamentals for gold are as poor as they currently are.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

What Every Investor Needs to Know About the Diamond Market / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: The_Gold_Report

Investing in diamond equities is quite different from investing in gold equities, explains Matthew O'Keefe, vice president and senior analyst with Dundee Capital Markets, one of a handful of Canadian analysts covering the diamond space. O'Keefe says diamond deposits require "an order of magnitude" greater study than gold deposits in order to properly determine grade, and says diamond prices are almost exclusively driven by consumer demand. In this interview with The Gold Report, O'Keefe sheds some light on two undervalued diamond producers, as well as three promising developers.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

The Final Gold Chapter / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

This is the final chapter of this intermediate gold Cycle, and it’s likely to get ugly.  If you’ve followed the blog these past few months, you would have been prepared for most of this move as it unfolded in real-time.  The first post back on October 1st was  Gold Cycle Running Out of Steam  and was then followed up (Nov 1st) with Don’t Trust Gold Here.  In both cases, I highlighted how the Weekly Cycle had topped and how similarly past Cycles behaved .  It was why I argued that this Cycle appeared to be no different to the preceding failed, bear market Cycles since 2011.  This is where gold finds itself today, standing on a ledge before a significant fall.  For the patient (and protected) bulls, it may well become the final chapter of this great bear market.

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Commodities

Monday, November 16, 2015

Undeniable Truths about Precious Metals (Don't Forget These...) / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner writes: From first to worst. Gold and silver were the best assets to own during the first decade of this century. During this second decade... not so much. Precious metals bulls have endured 4 years of prices drifting lower punctuated by periodic smash-downs and the occasional false-breakout.

What really gets the goat of gold and silver investors is that, throughout this time, there have been very good fundamental reasons to own metals. Somehow those fundamentals never show up in the price. The price action in recent years is enough to make bulls question reality.

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Commodities

Monday, November 16, 2015

Gold Remains “Best Insurance For A Crisis” – Ficenec / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- “Future is uncertain and gold is the most effective insurance against that”
– As fears grow about outlook for global economy – long term attraction of gold remains
– As “central banks race to devalue currency,” private individuals are buying record amounts of gold
– “Gold is simply the best insurance against inflation, or deflation”

Editor’s Note: The tragic events in Paris, terrorism and war throughout the world, show geopolitical risk remains high.  These risks will likely impact economies and financial markets and will see continuing safe haven demand for gold.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, November 16, 2015

Why Gold Prices Could Bounce This Week / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Kirtley

Since the last US employment release and comments from Yellen suggesting a December hike is likely, gold has struggled to maintain its downward momentum. Whilst we believe that the Fed will increase rates in December and gold prices will move lower over the medium term, there is a strong case for a bounce in gold prices in the short term. Technically gold is oversold and holding support at $1080.  This is too low relative to market pricing for a Fed hike and should find support from weaker US data since NFP, lower stocks, lower oil as well as a safe haven bid from any escalation of issues related to ISIS and recent tragic events in Paris. 

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Commodities

Saturday, November 14, 2015

Silver Prices and The Fed Meetings / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Hey guys it's Jeff here, stay right there, we are live, I'm really excited once again for two reasons: Number 1, I get to use this unique technology. When it works, it gives us the ability to create an immediate live replay or an encore replay, a transcript and also an audio version of this. The second reason why I'm excited is that we are continuing, this is our 7th episode in the series where we're covering what really determines the price of silver, the electronic price discovery versus the fundamental reality and during this time we've actually seen a complete turn of this cycle, this pattern, or this trading relationship between the big commercial banks and the managed money traders.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 14, 2015

Gold And Silver Sellers Remain In Control / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

This week, we are ending our commentary portion, probably until January due to a pressing time commitment for the next several weeks. Starting from next week, we will post charts and chart comments only on this site. If you are not a subscriber and still want to read the chart comments, you will have to subscribe in order to follow the updates.

This is not an effort to increase subscribers, rather, it is the only viable way because the sites to which our articles are submitted prefer some accompanying commentary, in addition to the charts. We do not use subscriber e-mails for any purpose other than submitting our commentaries directly to them. Subscriber privacy is respected. Besides, from our point of view, the charts tell the most compelling story.

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