Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, June 20, 2017
CRUDE OIL UPDATE- “0.30 risk is cheap for changing implication!” / Commodities / Crude Oil
Here are 5 charts of WEEKLY CRUDE OIL, telling their interesting MRI 3D story (TIME, PRICE and DEPTH of 4 chart frames) on MAJOR WEEKLY TURNS. Some of these examples presented potentially low risk to high reward implications. The latest example was presented by CRUDE ADC (Daily) CLQ 17 (44.33) Monday.
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Tuesday, June 20, 2017
Crude Oil Verifies Price Breakdown – Or Is It Something More? / Commodities / Crude Oil
On Friday, the black gold gained 1.15% and climbed to the previously-broken lower borer of the trend channel. Is this a verification of the earlier breakdown or something more?
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Tuesday, June 20, 2017
Elliott Wave Outlook for GOLD and USDJPY / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: FOMC Member Fischer Speaks, Current Account, FOMC Member Kaplan Speaks.
Tuesday, June 20, 2017
GDXJ Gold Stocks Massacre: The Aftermath / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
Veteran investor Bill Gross' investment strategy offers lessons to all investors, says Lior Gantz, editor of Wealth Research Group.
GDXJ Rebalance
PIMCO (Pacific Investment Management Company) is the largest American-based, private investment company focused on bonds.
As of its last filing, it had over $1.51 trillion in assets under management—that is significant, and the man who founded the company, Bill Gross, has a lot to do with it.
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Monday, June 19, 2017
7 Signs You Should Add Gold To Your Portfolio Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Stephen McBride : Gold got crushed in the post-election rally, but a little over five months into 2017, the yellow metal is up 10.5%—making it one of the best-performing assets of the year so far.
While the outlook for the US economy is more positive than it was 12 months ago, if we zoom out for a moment, the big picture “ain’t so rosy.”
Gold has historically done well in times of uncertainty and panic… and with these seven worrisome signs, there could be plenty ahead.
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Monday, June 19, 2017
Bullish Palladium Supporting Commodities / Commodities / Palladium
The world is hooked on ‘Palladium’ because of its uses as an industrial metal and catalyst, the consumers are mainly automobile producers as it’s widely used in gasoline-based engine cars to curb harmful emissions from vehicles. Palladium surged +34% this year on expectations that supply will lag demand for a sixth straight year, beating the rest of commodities, combined with last year gains it results in an impressive 95% rally.
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Monday, June 19, 2017
Gold Will Start Heading Higher On “Dwindling” Supply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
James Rickards via Daily Reckoning
Gold was down after the Fed’s hike, but I expect it to start heading higher again. Too many powerful forces are driving it behind the scenes. Dwindling physical supply is a major one.
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Monday, June 19, 2017
Gold Proprietary Cycle Indicator Remains Down / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets, noting signs that gold stocks are near the end of their corrective consolidation.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.
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Sunday, June 18, 2017
Return of the Gold Bear? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
It was exactly one month ago we discussed our posture as a “bearish Gold bull.”
The gold mining sector hit a historic low nearly 18 months ago but this new cycle has struggled to gain traction as metals prices have stagnated while the stock market and the US Dollar have trended higher. Unfortunately recent technical and fundamental developments argue that precious metals could come under serious pressure in the weeks and months ahead.
First let me start with Gold’s fundamentals, which turned bearish a few months ago and could remain so through the fall. As we have argued, Gold is inversely correlated to real interest rates. Gold rises when real rates fall and Gold falls when real rates rise.
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Saturday, June 17, 2017
Reflation, Deflation and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
One of the most important economic debate today is whether the economy will experience reflation or deflation (or low inflation) in the upcoming months. Has the recent reflation been only a temporary jump? Or has it marked the beginning of a new trend? Is the global economy accelerating or are we heading into the next recession? It goes without saying that it is a key investment issue because of the implications for different asset classes, including the precious metals. Let’s try to outline the macroeconomic outlook.
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Friday, June 16, 2017
Gold Bullish on Fed Interest Rate Hike / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Gold reversed sharply lower after the Fed’s latest rate hike this week, on heavy selling from speculators and investors alike. Bearish sentiment flared on traders’ long-held belief that higher rates spell trouble for zero-yielding gold. But market history reveals the opposite, that Fed rate hikes are actually bullish for gold. This week’s Fed-induced gold dump is likely to flag gold bottoming just before a major new rally erupts.
There’s nothing gold-futures speculators fear more than Fed rate hikes. Their rationale is simple and logical. Gold pays no interest or dividends, it’s a sterile asset with returns solely dependent on capital gains. So as interest rates rise and boost yields for bonds and stocks, gold struggles to compete. Thus gold investment demand wanes as yield differentials grow between it and major competing asset classes.
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Friday, June 16, 2017
Heating Oil Bottom Is In.(probably) / Commodities / Commodities Trading
MRI Trading Signals has identified a high probability of a HEATING OIL LOW, at least for awhile. It may be a stretch to see the nearby HON 17 (141.13) close above the previous week’s close 143.70, requiring a 2.57+ net change on Friday. IF that happens then HO is confirming the WEEKLY TIME SETUP in the ACL and LCL Closing Line Chart Frames- 3D, 5(F)A, 13(F)a and 30(G)a to WK 07 NOV’16 and 45(G)a to WK 25 JUL’16.
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Friday, June 16, 2017
Is There Gold “Hype” and is Gold an Emotional Trade? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Very little hype in gold
– Sentiment is important in the gold market as is other markets particularly stocks
– Article ignores the large body of research showing gold is safe haven asset
– Gold may struggle to breach $1,300 in short term
– Trading gold and short term speculation is high risk and for professionals
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Thursday, June 15, 2017
How Precious Metals Can Help Protect Your Wealth from Hackers / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Could your wealth be hacked? It’s a threat most investors overlook. But they do so at their own peril.
If elections can be hacked, then so can bank and brokerage accounts, as well as any online platforms for digital currencies.
More than five months into Donald Trump’s presidency, the “Russia hacked the election” conspiracy theories still won’t go away. They’re expanding to also implicate Russian hackers for meddling in elections in France and elsewhere. The latest Russian hacking story centers on Qatar.
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Thursday, June 15, 2017
Gold-Silver Ratio: Debunking The Myth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
A 16-to-1 gold to silver ratio has been the Holy Grail of some silver investors since the mid-sixties.
Unfortunately, fifty years later, it is a quest that continues unabated without success.
In fact, there is evidence that contradicts and widens the chasm that separates wishful thinking from reality.
In the Mint Act of 1792, the U.S. government arbitrarily chose a 16 to 1 ratio of gold prices to silver prices. The actual prices were set at $20.67 per ounce for gold; and $1.29 per ounce for silver.
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Thursday, June 15, 2017
Charts That Explain Why The US Rule Oil Prices Not OPEC / Commodities / Crude Oil
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN AND JACOB L. SHAPIRO : There’s no end in sight to slumping oil prices. That’s good news for consumers, but a dire trend for major oil producers like Saudi Arabia and Russia. And now, rising US oil production and exports are contributing to the slump.
Last week, oil prices reached new lows for 2017, with Brent crude dipping below $48 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate dipping below $46. The drop has been attributed to an unexpected increase in US crude inventories.
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Wednesday, June 14, 2017
DOLLAR has recently damaged GOLD and SILVER- viewed in MRI 3D charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
About 10 days ago MRI Trading Signals posted a FEATURED article on the bottom of our home page titled DOLLAR CROSSROAD? In it are 20 charts showing the potential impact a Dollar Index bottom would have on Gold and other exogenous markets.
This article is an update. So far this week, DX has traded inside last week’s narrow range. Once that changes Gold and Silver will react- perhaps dramatically. Tomorrow, June 14, the FOMC minutes are released.
The MRI 3D Report recommended last Wednesday evening to buy DXU17 @ 96.660 LMT with a 0.220 sized 96.440 STOP GTC. Friday showed to be a top (temporary?), so our updated 97.070 STOP GTC was elected Sunday and we’re flat thru the FOMC.
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Wednesday, June 14, 2017
Hell Freezes Over: CFTC Finds Trader Guilty of Metals Price Rigging / Commodities / Metals & Mining
It must have been painfully awkward for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Last year, Deutsche Bank settled a civil suit involving blatant market rigging and turned over reams of information, including chat logs and voice recordings. The trove contained plenty of damning evidence which had gone overlooked by the CFTC.
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Wednesday, June 14, 2017
Hit or Pass? An Overview of 2017’s Best Ranked Stocks / Commodities / Sector Analysis
Subject to an entire array of occult myths, the stock market is, in fact, the platform through which companies raise money. After an IPO – initial public offering – based on the estimated value of the company at the time, the ownership is split into a number of shares. Each share is a piece of the company.
However, the primary activity of the stock market takes place after the IPO. Having been attributed a value, the shares are constantly being bought or sold on the stock market, increasing or decreasing in price. The largest markets, such as the NYSE or NASDAQ, have millions of shares issued, with thousands of investors who buy or sell in a single day. This high volume of shares that change hands means that in that particular market, it is easy to buy or sell shares.
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Wednesday, June 14, 2017
Rise Gold to Recommence Work at Idaho Maryland Mine After 60 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
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