Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, April 21, 2018

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi Arabia $80 ARAMCO Stock IPO Target / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price started 2018 with a BANG rising from an opening $60 to a January peak of $67, a gain of 12% in less than 1 month! Whilst February saw the oil price give up all of Januarys gains by falling from $67 to $58 before recovering towards the top of the emerging $67 - $58 trading range for March which set the scene for the current rally to a 3 year high of $69. Whilst new has emerged that the Saudi's are actively pursuing lifting the oil price to at least $80 in support of their mega $1 trillion+ ARAMCO IPO.

Friday, April 20, 2018

Gold Price Nearing Bull Market Breakout, Stocks to Follow / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold remains largely forgotten, off the radars of most investors.  But that’s likely to change soon as this leading alternative investment is nearing a major bull breakout.  Once gold climbs to decisive new bull-market highs, sentiment will turn and investors’ interest will surge.  Their resulting buying will rapidly drive gold higher, attracting in more capital inflows.  Gold is only a couple modest up days away from that key breakout.

Universally in all markets, traders’ psychology is completely dependent on price action and levels.  When prices are high and rising, speculators and investors alike eagerly buy in.  They love chasing winners, so buying begets buying.  This creates powerful self-reinforcing virtuous circles, with rising prices helping to entice in ever-more traders.  In recent years this dynamic catapulted the market-darling FANG stocks higher.

Friday, April 20, 2018

Gold, Silver and Jet Surf Boards - Audio Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Here is an interview talking about silver, silver stocks, and some new electric jet flying surfboard.

Friday, April 20, 2018

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi's Want $100 for ARAMCO Stock IPO / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price started 2018 with a BANG rising from an opening $60 to a January peak of $67, a gain of 12% in less than 1 month! Whilst February saw the oil price give up all of Januarys gains by falling from $67 to $58 before recovering towards the top of the emerging $67 - $58 trading range.

Friday, April 20, 2018

The Incredible Silver Trade – What You Need to Know / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Everyone is talking about the incredible price move in silver on April 18, 2018.  For years we have been talking about the setup in the metals markets and alerting our members to opportunities as they arise. Recently, we alerted our members to an incredible opportunity in Silver and we caught this move before it skyrocketed higher.  Now, everyone wants to know what’s next.  Here is our take on the Silver trade and what you need to know.

All the technical and price valuation indicators regarding the relationship of Gold to Silver have been set for many months telling traders that Silver is the clear leader in any price advance in metals.

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Palladium Bullion Surges 17% In 9 Days On Russian Supply Concerns / Commodities / Palladium

By: GoldCore

Palladium bullion has surged a massive 17% in just nine trading days. From $895/oz on Friday April 6th to over $1,052/oz today (April 19th). The price surge is due to palladium being due a bounce after falling in the first quarter and now due to Russian supply concerns.

In a volatile month, precious metals and commodities have been the clear winners so far, with palladium having the greatest gains of all – up 10.7% in April (see table below).

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Gold – A Unique Repeat of the 2007 and How to Profit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Since Spring is in the air here are some colorful charts and show you where we feel the price of gold and stocks are within the current market cycles.

Below are monthly charts of the SP500 index and the price of gold. The first chart shows a pattern that gold formed just before stocks hit all-time new highs and the bear market started.

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

The Bullish And Bearish Case For Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil prices could rise due to the “perfect storm of stagnant supply, geopolitical risk, and a harsh winter,” according to an April 12 note from Barclays.

Geopolitical events specifically could help keep Brent above $70 through April and May, which comes on the back of a substantial decline in oil inventories.

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

Gold and Silver Buy Signals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan updates the gold and silver charts and finds buy signals for both gold and silver.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.

Tuesday, April 17, 2018

Gold Resists Strikes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Boom! The U.S. and its allies struck Syria in response to a suspected deadly chemical attack several days ago. Gold should be the safe haven in such situations, right? But the price of gold was practically unchanged on Monday. What happened?

U.S. Strikes Syria. Gold Yawns
A lot has happened in recent days. Luckily, we have kept an eye on the most important developments for you, so let’s analyze their potential impact for the gold market. First of all, Syria is again on the investors’ radar. Or actually on the military’s radar – on Friday, the U.S. lead allies – France and the UK – and launched a missile attack on Syria for an alleged chemical weapon attack on a town near Damascus on April 7. It was probably the most significant attack against President Bashar al-Assad’s government by Western powers in seven years of Syria’s civil war, so investors worried about the repercussions.

Tuesday, April 17, 2018

Three Gold Charts, One Big Gold Stocks Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Chad_Champion

This week’s about knowing when it’s a low risk time to buy gold stocks.

We’ve had two things happening over the past several years…

One… The S&P 500 has soared to record heights as the economy came out of the housing crisis dungeon.

Two… Gold stocks, plus other commodities went into the dungeon due to a multi-year bear market in commodities.

Tuesday, April 17, 2018

Crude Oil Price As Bullish as it Seems? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

A fresh 2018 high, an unbroken resistance and negative divergence. What does this interesting mix tell us about oil bull’s strength and further increases?

Technical Analysis of Crude Oil

Monday, April 16, 2018

Palladium Rally Driving Other Metals to Move? / Commodities / Palladium

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Many months ago we made an interesting call in Palladium and alerted to this setup on January 24th, 2018.  This nearly perfect call included our future price expectations using our advanced ADL price modeling system.  Today, we are refreshing that call with a new market call to inform you that our price prediction has played out perfectly and it has completed its pullback.

Monday, April 16, 2018

Global Debt Bubble Hits New All Time High – One Quadrillion Reasons To Buy Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

– Global debt bubble hits new all time high – over $237 trillion
– Global debt increased 10% or $21 tn in 2017 to nearly a quarter quadrillion USD
– Increase in debt equivalent to United States’ ballooning national debt
– Global debt up $50 trillion in decade & over 327% of global GDP
– $750 trillion of bank derivatives means global debt over $1 quadrillion
– Gold will be ‘store of value’ in coming economic contraction
– Global debt is the mother of all bubbles

Monday, April 16, 2018

Junior Mining Stocks are Close to Breaking Downtrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

A few weeks ago we wrote that it may not be Gold’s time yet but a few recent developments suggest its time could be sooner than we anticipated. Although Gold failed to breakout last week, we should note the positive action in the miners. Over the past seven trading days the miners have strongly outperformed Gold. That includes the juniors, which appear very close to breaking out of the downtrend that has been in effect for over 12 months.

Sunday, April 15, 2018

Time for the Gold Bulls to Show their Mettle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

For the last three months gold had been chopping out a rectangle trading range which has completed four reversal points so far. Wednesday of this week it looked like gold may breakout above the top rail but the bears stopped the advance just when it looked like the bulls were finally going to win.

Many times before a rectangle is finished building out there can be one last move back down to the center of the rectangle where support is found. If the bulls are truly in charge they could take this oppurtunity to rally gold up and through the top rail to complete the rectangle as a halfway pattern. If the bulls can muster up enough energy to take out the top rail the rectangle would have a price objective up to the 1445 area as shown by the blue arrows. At this point there is no way to know if we’ll see another reversal all the way back down to the bottom of the rectangle which would complete the 5th reversal point. It’s still a consolidation pattern at this time.

Saturday, April 14, 2018

Sugar Commodity Buying Levels Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Austin_Galt

Pattern – price is clearly in a downtrend…which I think is finished, for the time being anyway. Price made a little inside candle the day before last and the last day’s trading saw price breach the high of the previous day which is often a sign of a change in trend. Price will, obviously, need to trade further up to confirm this suspicion of mine.

PSAR – this has indicator has now turned bullish with the dots now underneath price. A good sign for the bulls but nothing to get too excited about.

Saturday, April 14, 2018

The Oil Trade May Be Coming Alive / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: WMA

In all asset classes, following a major bear market, prices tend to stumble along at depressed levels – sometimes for years. Negative sentiment permeates across all types of investors, from the short-term traders to long-term retail investors. Once everyone is convinced that the paradigm has changed for the asset and prices at depressed levels are the “new normal”, the seeds will have been sown for the next bull market.

Friday, April 13, 2018

Will Debt Leverage Leverage Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Attention, please! The leverage in the stock market has been recently rising. As one can see in the chart below, the stock market margin debt surged more than $113 billion in 2017, one of the largest annual surges. Moreover, it was the ninth annual increase in a row.

Friday, April 13, 2018

Coup d'État That May Shake the Gold World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Everyone focuses now on the chemical attack in Syria. Meanwhile, the most important turnover in the world remains mostly unnoticed. But we’re on guard. Let’s read our analysis of the key revolution of 2018 and find out the implications for the gold market.

Hawks Take Over the Fed
Are we going to write about Syria? North Korea? China? No. You already know everything you should about these geopolitical threats. The media bomb you with news about bombings, trade wars, nuclear trials, etc. But the key upheaval is taking place in silence, in the cool marble rooms of the Federal Reserve Banks. ‘The Hawkish Revolution’ – this is how the future historians will call it.