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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Gold and Silver 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, September 19, 2018

Precious Metals Sector: It’s 2013 All Over Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

We have some good news and some bad news for both: precious metals bulls and bears. Based on new developments it’s even more likely that we are just before the huge price decline in gold, silver, and mining stocks, but at the same time it also appears likely that the final bottom will take place later than we had expected, based on the previously available information.

Let’s start with additional bearish confirmations (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com). In our Monday’s analysis, we compared the price performance of gold that we saw in the recent months to what happened in 2013, right before the big $200+ plunge that took place in only 2 trading days. In today’s analysis, we will extend this analogy also to other markets. But first, let’s recall the Monday’s analysis.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 19, 2018

Silver Looks Poised To Move Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Hubert_Moolman

A key difference between silver and gold prices is the fact that silver already bottomed in 1993, whereas gold bottomed only in 1999.

This means that from 1993 to 1999 silver was actually in an uptrend, while gold was still caught in a downtrend. This little known fact might not have been so important to date; however, it might become more important as this bull market progresses.

I have put together a silver chart that touches on this issue, since it would not be possible to do this for gold, because gold has technically had only one phase, whereas silver has had two:

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Gold’s Ultimate Confirmation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Although it didn’t appear to be a breakdown, silver just closed the day (and week) at a new yearly low. Remember the day when silver moved briefly below $14? Ultimately, silver futures closed at $14.15 on that day, and they just closed at $14.14 on Friday. So little, yet so much. Breakdown confirmed by weekly closes is something very significant and yet, it’s not the most important thing that we will comment on in today’s analysis. The key details will come from the gold market. Let’s move right to it (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Monday, September 17, 2018

Gold / US Dollar Inverse Correlation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is my fourth article in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

  1. Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
  2. Trend Analysis
  3. Seasonal Analysis
  4. US Dollar
  5. Forecast Conclusion
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Commodities

Sunday, September 16, 2018

Silver's Relationship with Gold Reaching Historical Extremes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Axel Merk Exclusive: Can You Sleep at Night When the Market Goes Against You?

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up we’ll hear from Axel Merk of Merk Investments. Axel reveals the one big mistake many investors are making in not rebalancing their portfolios right now, and he explains why he still sees gold as an important asset to own despite its recent weakness. Don’t miss an eye-opening interview with Axel Merk, coming up after this week’s market update.

Precious metals markets showed some modest strength this week, with gold bulls pushing prices above the $1,200 level on Thursday. As of this Friday recording though, gold is back below $1,200 and trades at $1,197 an ounce, flat for the week now.

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Commodities

Friday, September 14, 2018

Gold Price Seasonal Trend Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is my third article in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

  1. Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
  2. Trend Analysis
  3. Seasonal Analysis
  4. US Dollar
  5. Forecast Conclusion
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Commodities

Friday, September 14, 2018

Gold Price Trend Analysis - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the second video in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

  1. Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
  2. Trend Analysis
  3. Seasonal Analysis
  4. US Dollar
  5. Forecast Conclusion
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Commodities

Thursday, September 13, 2018

Gold, Silver, and USD Index - Three Important “Nothings” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Today’s analysis is going to be different than the other ones. We usually discuss what happened on a given day, week, or month and we elaborate on what it changed and what it didn’t change in case of the outlook for gold, silver, and mining stocks. But not today. Today, we are going to focus on what didn’t happen. At the first sight it seems that this means that there was no new signal. That’s not the case. The three important “nothings” that we will discuss in today’s article have important implications for the following days. That is if one knows where to look.

Let’s start with the first chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Thursday, September 13, 2018

Precious Metals Sector On a Long-term SELL Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

In his weekly precious metals market update, technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Gold Nuggets And Silver Bullets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

It is very difficult to let go of someone – or something – when we have invested so much time and energy in it. It is even harder when we have invested so much of ourselves in it; when the outcome is not what we expected; when our reputation is at stake.

In this particular case, that something is gold and silver.

The emotional proclamations just a few weeks ago seemed quite strong, almost being religious in their fervor. But after two thrusts of the dagger to the heart, the explanations afterwards seem a bit hollow. 

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 12, 2018

For Gold, It's All About the Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, discuss the factors that they believe could cause a powerful rally in gold.

Positioning, sentiment and market structure favor a powerful rally in gold. The COTs released by the CME on September 7, 2018, show the gross speculative short position grew 1.3% to 213,259 contracts, just shy of the all-time record set two weeks ago. On a net basis, speculators are short 13,500 contracts, the largest short position since December, 2001. The commercial net short position collapsed into negative territory for the first time since December, 2001 at -6,525 contracts. In other words, commercials are now net LONG, a very rare occurrence historically seen only at major turning points.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

Gold Price Trend Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the second article in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

  1. Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
  2. Trend Analysis
  3. Seasonal Analysis
  4. US Dollar
  5. Forecast Conclusion

However the whole of this analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work on the 9th of September. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

ALERT: Gold-to-Silver Ratio Spikes to Highest Level in 27 Years! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jason_Hamlin

The gold-silver ratio has been one of the most reliable technical ‘buy’ indictors for silver, whenever the ratio climbs above 80. The gold-to-silver ratio has now spiked above 85, which is the highest level of this entire 18-year bull market! In fact, you have to go back 27 years to 1991 for the ratio to be higher than it is today. Amazingly, the ratio is currently higher than it was at the depths of the 2008-09 financial crisis (circled in the chart below).

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Commodities

Monday, September 10, 2018

Gold Price 2018 Trend - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In this series of 5 videos I will conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018. However the whole of this analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work on the 9th of September. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 09, 2018

Gold Price Balanced on a Knife Edge at $1200 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Gold price that began 2018 strongly continuing it's bull run from a Mid December 2017 swing low of 1238, rising to a February peak of $1365 before correcting to a March low of $1309 that set the scene for a trading range of $1365 to $1309 pending a breakout higher. Then two further attempts at breaking above $1365 failed to materialise, instead resulting in the Gold price breaking below $1309 support during May which put the Gold price on a decidedly downwards trend trajectory where each rally off each subsequent low failed to follow through, thus resulting in a relentless downtrend all the way to what at the start of the year would have seemed a completely unimaginable price for Gold to trade down to by Mid year of $1167.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 09, 2018

The Gold Price Rally is Finally Here! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Austin_Galt

Pattern – price looks to have capitulated into a low at $1162 and I am now looking for price to trade down and set up a higher low.

Bollinger Bands – price fell just short of the upper band and is now back at the middle band which has been providing support. I expect this support to give way with price pushing into the lower band to set up the higher low.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 08, 2018

Long Term Gold and Currency Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to update some of the PM charts we’ve been following to see how they’ve been progressing starting with the massive ten year H&S top on gold. Since the price action broke below the neckline several weeks ago it’s a week to week observation to see how the backtest is playing out. The backtest to the neckline comes in around the 1225 area with this weeks high at 1212.70 so the backtest held for another week. What we need to see next for the current move lower to continue is to see a new weekly close below the previous weekly low.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 08, 2018

The Bullish CoT Setups in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

You may know me as the guy using weird planetary alignments while assigning proper fundamentals to the gold sector, and recently even doing the same with a somewhat subjective and philosophical view of gold as an important counterweight or insurance component to a sensible portfolio. Or you may know me as the guy who confuses you with too many market indicators or annoys you with too many exposés of the more promotional and/or manipulative entities out there.

Or you may not know me at all.

If that is the case, let me introduce myself. My name is Gary and today I have a very simple post for your consideration. We will look at the now compelling views of the Commitments of Traders (CoT) data for gold and silver. While the prices of the metals are and have been technically bearish and the fundamentals are and have been poor, sentiment (CoT is ultimately a sentiment thing, after all) setups like those shown below should not be ignored. We are talking historic in silver and merely compelling in gold.

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Commodities

Friday, September 07, 2018

Congressmen Introduce Bill to End Taxation of Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Washington, DC (September 7, 2018) – The battle to end taxation of constitutional money has reached the federal level as U.S. Representative Alex Mooney (R-WV) today introduced sound money legislation to remove all federal income taxation from gold and silver coins and bullion.

The Monetary Metals Tax Neutrality Act – backed by the Sound Money Defense League, Money Metals Exchange, and free-market activists – would clarify that the sale or exchange of precious metals bullion and coins are not to be included in capital gains, losses, or any other type of federal income calculation.

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Commodities

Friday, September 07, 2018

Record Gold and Silver Shorts! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold and silver were thrashed this past summer, relentlessly pounded to deep new lows.  That has fueled extreme bearishness, with traders convinced the precious metals’ fundamentals are rotten.  But epic all-time-record futures short selling by speculators was the real culprit.  These unprecedented shorts must soon be covered with proportional buying, which is super-bullish for gold and silver prices in the coming months.

Traders generally assume fundamentals drive short-term price action, that real imbalances in supply and demand push prices to market-clearing levels.  Unfortunately these core underlying dynamics are heavily distorted in gold and silver.  Futures speculators who never own these precious metals are able to wield wildly-disproportional outsized influence over their prices.  The main reason is extreme leverage inherent in futures.

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