Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, June 15, 2018

Will Italy Sink the EU and Boost Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The recent growth acceleration in the EU could distract attention from problems of the common bloc. Fortunately, you can always count on Italy. Whenever you start thinking that only bright future is ahead of the union, the descendants of the proud Romans remind about themselves. Indeed, Italy focuses three major EU’s problems like in a lens. What are they and how could they affect the gold market?

First, populism. As you remember, Italians held general elections in March. As we reported then, the populist party founded by comedian Beppe Grillo won about one-third of the votes.. Since then, the Five Star Movement and League, the two biggest parties in the new parliament, have been negotiating to form a new government. In May, they finally published a contract for their shared platform.

Thursday, June 14, 2018

Crude Oil Price Targeting $58 ppb Before Finding Support / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

With the G7 meeting concluding and the world about to start reacting to what was said and what was heard, it is time to take a look at the Crude charts with our Advanced Fibonacci price modeling system.

Our research team, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believes Crude will continue to drift lower over the next few weeks testing the $60 ppb level before breaching this support level and ultimately targeting $58 or lower.  Lacking a real resolution to the trade and other global issues, we believe continue global economic pressures will drive oil prices dramatically lower over time – at least through the Summer months.

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

More on that Gold and Silver Ratio 'Deviant Conundrum' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Michael Ballanger Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the gold-silver ratio and the state of the precious metals market. Based on the feedback I received over the weekend, I thought a quick follow-up would be in order on the topic of "deviant conundrum" because it was told to me by a wonderfully gifted retired English teacher that I was on the edges of plagiarizing my hero, Sir Winston Churchill, who once described Russia as "a puzzle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma." Given that I have been a fanatical fan of that wonderful Englishman since my boyhood, it stands to reason that I might have borrowed a few of his words because I have read virtually everything that man has written AND spoken since the 1960s. Being of English grand-parentage on both sides, it is at once both understandable and reprehensible that I worship Sir Winston; he would have been at the very center of the bull's eye of the "Me Too" movement because of his views and attitudes not toward women, but toward those with inferior intellect and substandard courage. He would say today that those without either intellect or heart would not deserve anything vaguely resembling a "safe space." Had there been a "safe space" movement in 1939, we would all be speaking German today because the rogues like Churchill would never been allowed to run the country.

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

Silver Shares? Nobody Cares / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Almost nothing happened on the precious metals market yesterday, or at least that may seem to be the case as the first sight. And that’s true if one doesn’t count the spike in GLD’s volume, but there was something else that actually should have caught one’s attention and it probably wasn’t the case for many gold traders. Silver stocks just broke to new monthly low. What does this tell us?

It’s a subtle clue that the next big move in the precious metals sector is going to be  downside. Think about it – silver stocks had an excellent reason to rally – silver moved visibly higher in the past several days. Yet, instead of showing similar strength, the silver miners moved back and forth moving to new lows. That’s a clear sign of weakness. Let’s take a closer look at both markets.

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

Gold Extreme Bearish Sentiment – A Huge Opportunity! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Enda_Glynn

One simple chart for tonights intro,

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

Gold and Silver Price Setting Up for A Sleeper Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As the world continues to see economic improvements, specifically within the US and major global markets, Gold and Silver are relegated to an after-thought by investors.   Why consider Gold or Silver when the NASDAQ or S&P leaders are rallying 2%+ per week?

Well, the recent G7 meeting and President Trump’s meeting with Kim Jung Un in Singapore may spark a little interest in these shiny metals as they setup a “rope-a-dope breakout” for those not paying attention.

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

Gold vs. Stocks: Ratios Do Not Imply Correlation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

There is considerable extensive research and lots of articles written about gold vs. stocks. Sometimes, that is done in order to support or justify the argument that stocks are a better, long-term investment than gold. And the results seem to indicate that.

Except that gold is not an investment.

Gold is real money and a ‘store of value’. Its fundamentals have nothing to do with the fundamentals for stocks or any other investments. When gold is analyzed as an investment, it gets compared to other investments. And then the analysts start looking for correlations.

Some say that an ‘investment’ in gold is correlated inversely to stocks. But there have been periods of time when both stocks and gold went up or down simultaneously.

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

Silver’s Not-so-subtle Outperformance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Silver soared recently and white metal’s rally was accompanied by a huge volume. Those who are new to the precious metals market will probably immediately view this as bullish as that’s what the classic technical analysis would imply. Silver is not a classic asset, though, and classic measures often don’t apply to it. One way to check the real implications of a given development is to examine the previous cases and see what kind of action followed. That’s what we’re going to do in today’s free analysis. Let’s start with silver’s daily chart.

Saturday, June 09, 2018

Gold Price Summer Doldrums / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Early summer is the weakest time of the year seasonally for gold, silver, and their miners’ stocks.  With traders’ attention diverted to vacations and summer fun, their precious-metals interest and investment demand wane considerably.  Thus this entire sector, and often the markets in general, suffer a seasonal lull this time of year.  But these summer doldrums offer the best seasonal buying opportunities of the year.

This doldrums term is very apt for gold’s summer predicament.  It describes a zone in the world’s oceans surrounding the equator.  There hot air is constantly rising, creating long-lived low-pressure areas.  They are often calm, with little or no prevailing winds.  History is full of accounts of sailing ships getting trapped in this zone for days or even weeks, unable to make any headway.  The doldrums were murder on ships’ morale.

Saturday, June 09, 2018

How to Prepare for Economic Uncertainty with Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Chris Marcus of Arcadia Economics speaks with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable about what investors can do to prepare for economic uncertainty.

Maurice Jackson: Today we will cover equity markets in a clever, simple way to hedge your portfolio. Joining us for conversation is Chris Marcus, of Arcadia Economics.

Who is Arcadia Economics, and what is your underlying thesis?

Chris Marcus: Arcadia Economics is what I started after leaving Wall Street back in 2012 where I was sitting on the New York Stock Exchange when everything was imploding in 2008 and 2009. Eventually I started reading Austrian economics, realizing that things actually work quite a bit differently than we were told. I really left to share what I saw, which on one hand, I think is incredible, because if you're giving the real version of how interest rates affect the markets and all these things are interconnected, it sometimes may be of a longer perspective. But it reminds me of Grays Sports Almanac in "Back to the Future," where if you can understand that if the banks do this with the money supply, then you can get what's going to happen.

Friday, June 08, 2018

Crude Oil Bullish Weekly Reversal vs. Bearish Monthly Reversal / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Crude oil moved significantly lower after topping at long-term retracement levels and since the monthly decline took place on big volume (biggest in almost a year), the black gold should move lower. But instead of moving lower this week, it seems to be forming a weekly bullish reversal. The individual daily volume levels were not low this week, so if the bullish reversal does indeed form, we’ll have a quite reliable bullish signal. Will the monthly bearish sign be invalidated? Will crude oil rally shortly?

Friday, June 08, 2018

The Deviant Conundrum Called Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses silver's mercurial aspects. When I was a young lad, there was a classmate (let's call him "Frankie") in the very early years of my education whose behavior was quite often deemed as "peculiar" and while I found him immensely entertaining, the teaching staff and my fellow students did not entirely agree. Frankie was the kind of kid who would bang on our doorknocker on a frigid winter morning just before sunrise, fully clad in hockey skates, gloves and stick, and ask if he could skate on our frozen backyard hockey rink. The fact that it was a school day made it not exactly the brightest of decisions but my Dad would invariably say "Alright. You two boys have got 20 minutes then back in your houses to get ready for school." It was never an outright rejection on the grounds of unsuitable behavior; it was more so an accommodation for the simple reason that 20 minutes of hockey at 6:35 a.m. in advance of school was a "noble enterprise" and certainly beat watching Captain Kangaroo over a bowl of Fruit Loops.

Friday, June 08, 2018

Get Out Of Crypto Cannabis Bubble Before It Pops and Move Into Bargain Basement Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Summary
1)2018 has seen so much volatility in the equity and bond markets after going straight up since 2009.

2)"Everything" bubble is simply the result of record low negative real rates manipulated by Central Bankers to prevent deflation by all means possible.

3)The ending of QE combined with increasingly inflationary concerns has sparked the US to start raising rates.

Thursday, June 07, 2018

Sharp Dollar Appreciation and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

On the macroeconomic front, the rapid strengthening of the U.S. dollar has been the most important development since the latest edition of the Market Overview. Let’s mull over the reasons behind it and its potential effects on the gold market.

As one can see in the chart below, the U.S. dollar appreciated 6 percent against the broad basket of currencies since its bottom from the early February. But the real rally started in mid-April. Since April the 17th, the index rose from 117.27 to 122.16 on May the 18th, for more than 4 percent.

Thursday, June 07, 2018

Why $10,000 Gold Will Not Be What You Think / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

For almost 7 years now, I have been actively engaged in the online community relating to investing opportunities. In fact, my first public article about a specific asset was when I called for a top in gold back in the summer of 2011, when most were certain we were about to easily eclipse the $2,000 mark. However, my expectation was that the $1,915 region would likely put a cap to this rally, despite the parabolic rally we were experiencing in gold at the time. And, as we now know, gold topped at $1,921 about a month after my top call.

Wednesday, June 06, 2018

Precious Metals Represent Something True / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

You began investing in precious metals because they represent something honest.

Gold and silver are tangible, scarce, and beautiful. People have always recognized them as such. Societies naturally gravitated toward using them as a trusted medium of exchange – money – almost as soon as societies were formed.

Over time civilizations have come and gone. The world has seen constant social upheaval and change.

Wednesday, June 06, 2018

Gold’s Breakout vs. Relativity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold, silver, and mining stocks moved higher once again yesterday and the former even managed to move above the declining trend channel. Breakouts are bullish and thus the outlook for gold improved significantly… Or did it? Gold’s price in terms of the euro and gold’s relative performance to silver and mining stocks make replying to the above question quite easy. Looking at the relative price moves on a day-to-date basis doesn’t provide any interesting implications, but who says that it’s the only way in which one can examine them?

Tuesday, June 05, 2018

Two Key Events Will Unleash Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jim_Willie_CB

TIMBER!! That is the standard cry in the forest industry among loggers who cut down giant trees, the warning to step aside for the great impact. GET READY FOR THE SIMULTANEOUS BANKING CRISIS IN THE THREE BIGGEST EUROPEAN ECONOMIES: GERMANY, FRANCE, ITALY. The United States and the London Centre will not be able to avoid the crisis.

Try that again. TIMBERRRR !! An event of monumental importance and impact is on the verge of occurrence. The largest bank in Europe is Deutsche Bank. Its credit default swap is rising in cost, while its stock price has entered single digits in a powerful decline. The great D-Bank, site of the European office in management of the multi-$trillion derivatives, is on the verge of financial failure. It is the largest bank in all of Europe. All of its business segments are impaired and losing money in a hemorrhage. Furthermore, it is a big bond holder for Italian Govt Bonds. The Italian banking system is in the death throes, which has finally been recognized. Their recent elections openly debated pathways in the face of banking system failure, which the Jackass has been expecting for over a year in steady coverage with analysis. However, the bigger bond holder for Italian debt is France. Expect a massive bank crisis to emerge very soon that wrecks Societe General and BNP Paribas, its two largest banks.

Monday, June 04, 2018

Unbelievable Analogy in Gold & Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold moved lower in May and it’s also down in June, but the price action is far from being spectacular. The overall volatility is still very low and the situation in the precious metals sector is simply extremely boring. But with May now being over and with a new month, new factors are likely to come into play and the odds are that this month will be anything but boring. Especially, if we see the continuation in the analogy that practically nobody seems to realize.

Let’s move right to it and analyze the gold market from the long-term point of view.

Monday, June 04, 2018

Inflation & Precious Metals to Rise, Fed to Act Late / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Axel_Merk

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back Axel Merk, President and Chief Investment Officer of Merk Investments and author of the book Sustainable Wealth. Axel is a highly sought after guest at financial conferences and on news outlets throughout the world and it's great to have him back on with us.

Axel, it's a pleasure to have you join us again today and thanks very much for coming on.

Axel Merk: Great to be with you. What a week.

Mike Gleason: Exactly. Well, Axel when we spoke to you in February the equity markets were in the midst of a sell off and some significant volatility, which had been extraordinarily low, came roaring back to life. Since then, the stocks have recovered some. The S&P regained about half of what it lost by the end of February and has been trading in a range since then.