Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, July 28, 2007
Gold Positive: Iran wants Yen from Japan Not the US Dollar for Crude Oil - Who and what next? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
At the heart of the global monetary system lies the use of the U.S.$ as the currency used to pay for the globe's oil. Any change in that role has a disproportionate impact on the importance of the $ as well as its value relative to the globe's other currencies. If the oil producing nations of the world decided to use other currencies for oil payments then the global monetary system itself is undermined, making gold more attractive and long-term a safer place to hold one's savings.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 27, 2007
Gold Secular Bull Market Versus US Dollar Secular Bear Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Over the past couple weeks the financial markets have burst free from their usual summer doldrums to provide some welcome excitement. Prices that have long seemed locked in stasis with trivial daily moves are now witnessing dramatically increased volatility. It is great to see the markets getting interesting again!
While mainstream attention remains focused on the rising amplitude and frequency of down days in the general stock markets, the volatility in the currencies has also accelerated considerably. As a dollar-denominated American investor and speculator riding the secular gold bull, I've found the behavior of gold and the US Dollar Index particularly intriguing lately.
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Friday, July 27, 2007
Daily London Gold Market Report - Gold Bargain Hunting on Pull Back / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GOLD FELL BACK from an overnight rally in Asia during in the first-half of London trade on Friday, giving back $3.50 per ounce to record an AM Fix of $663.50.
"Yesterday's fall in the gold market was a pure reaction to the equities market," reckons Ng Cheng Thye, head of precious metals at Standard Bank Asia.
"This morning we saw a lot of bargain hunting."
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Friday, July 27, 2007
When Is It Time To "Worry" About Our Gold and Silver Investments? - Part 2 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
In part one of this article ( July 12, 2007 ) we established that it may not be helpful to worry about our investments during relatively "normal" market conditions and behaviors. Take silver and gold for example.
- June, July and August regularly means a seasonally weak price action for silver and gold.
- During this time of year investor and commentator expectations and sentiments are generally negative.
- Metals price chart patterns forming which are similar to previous bullish patterns such as 2005 where a year and a half correction preceded a significant price advance.
Thursday, July 26, 2007
Daily London Gold Market Report - Gold Short-term Weakness / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES held flat from last night's US close by lunchtime in London on Thursday, pulling back $2 from an overnight spike to trade at $675.50 per ounce.
The metal had earlier closed Hong Kong unchanged at the same level. Gold dealers in the crucial Indian market – where jewelry and investment-bar demand accounted for one ounce of gold in every five sold worldwide last year – reported slower sales after gold's recent rally to 11-week highs against the Dollar.
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Wednesday, July 25, 2007
GOLD THOUGHTS - Gold Above $700 Justified by Fundementally Weak US Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Let's see if we can sort this out. Bank One invests client money in leveraged CDO fund managed by Bank Two. Bank One lends money to leveraged fund. Leveraged fund collapses to “negligible value” under Bank Two's expertise with CDOs. Clients of Bank One lose their money .Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 25, 2007
Optimistic Negative Correlations Between Banking and Gold Stock Sectors / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
An unusual chart is presented, since the Broker Dealers sit at the nexus of the massive asset-backed bond ‘con game' perpetrated upon the nation and the world. The extent of possible fraud will be sure to be unraveled. They sold acidic bonds, over-rated, misrepresented, opaque as a stone in their fundamentals and inner workings. REVENGE IS BEING DOLED OUT TO THIS DEEPLY CORRUPT GROUP, which boldly write in covenants to obstruct lawsuits by limiting legal liability. As the Broker Dealer XBD stock index suffers deep wounds, the USFed will be compelled to rescue them, since their components are INSIDERS on Wall Street.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 25, 2007
MPTrader - Crude Oil Resurges! / Commodities / Oil Companies
Yesterday at this time it certainly looked as though oil was kaput -- on the way to the bowels of the earth (where it is fond). Not any more, right? Today's nearly $2 upmove in the US Oil Fund (AMEX: USO) and crude oil futures comes right off of the sharply rising 20 DMA (we discussed the powerful support level yesterday), and leads me to revert back to my commentary from a few days ago, which outlined the "final" (higher) targets off of the multi-month base pattern (shown below) of 78 and 84.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 25, 2007
Buy Feed Corn: They're about to stop making it… / Commodities / Ethanol
That bowl of Kellogg's Cornflakes on the breakfast table, or the portion of pasta or corn tortillas, cheese or meat on the table is going to rise in price over the coming months as sure as the sun rises in the East. Welcome ladies and gentlemen to the new world food price shock, conveniently timed to accompany our current world oil price shock.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 25, 2007
Investing in Groceries / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Sean Brodrick writes: You've probably heard plenty of talk about how rising demand for ethanol is driving up the price of corn. But that's just the tip of the iceberg lettuce.
Food prices of all types are rising at a fast clip around the world. In fact, they're up an average of 23% in the past 18 months, according to data from the International Monetary Fund.
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Wednesday, July 25, 2007
Daily London Gold Market Report - Gold Falls to Trendline Support on Dollar Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES fell below $680 for the first time in four sessions early Wednesday, sinking 1.3% from Tuesday's peak to dip beneath $677 per ounce – the current trendline of the rally starting in late June.
The severe pullback in gold only came for US investors, however, as the US Dollar bounced hard from a near record-low on its trade-weighted index. Knocking nearly one cent off the Euro inside three hours – and coming on the back of no economic data whatsoever – the Dollar's sharp rally kept the Euro Price of Gold in a tight range around €493 per ounce.
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Wednesday, July 25, 2007
China Using More Natural Gas Vehicles / Commodities / Natural Gas
Imagine driving up to your local gas station and filling your car's tank with natural gas instead petrol? More and more, this has become the case in some parts of China.
We were excited that someone else finally brought it up.
Tuesday, July 24, 2007
GOLD: What's Next? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
The nagging reality that gold's bull market is 6 ½ years old has caused many to think that gold should have a decent correction this year.
Who would've thought in May, 2006 when gold shot up to $722 that a year later gold would have trouble getting near the $700 level? This does sound toppy, but gold is telling us to stay invested.
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Tuesday, July 24, 2007
Gold: Insurance or Risk Asset? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
"...Could the trend of gold up, everything else up, have just reached its end...?"
IT TOOK A WHILE for the financial media to catch on. "Gold funds fattened on war, global instability and a falling Dollar in 2003," said USA Today as the next year began.
The paper failed to note that none of those calamities had stalled the equity markets ongoing recovery. "Gold bugs hope that 2004 will be even better," it went on, "but an outbreak of good news could dash those hopes."
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Tuesday, July 24, 2007
Agricultural Commodities The Next Great Inflation Hedge / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
The best way to protect your wealth from the ravages of inflation is to invest in a tangible asset whose supply cannot be increased at the same rate as the currency it is being measured in. Even better is to invest in an asset with growing demand and limited supply whose intrinsic value is increasing.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 24, 2007
ASX XGD Breakout – Gold Rules! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
With several key gold stock “break outs” being reported around the globe at present – I have another confirmation for you all – the Australian gold index has broken to the upside as well. Physical gold is a little overbought short term – very short term but I don't expect a deep correction or a long correction just a dip – for now let's look at the companies because they often show strength before physical metals launch. The important 5000 point level has now been broken in the ASX Gold Index – the little known XGD Index (little known even in Australia ) and here is a chart thanks to our friends at Yahoo Finance. You will note the strong RSI level achieved back in April at +80 which warned us this was possible - and now the most important test is the break at the 5000 level.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 24, 2007
Daily London Gold Market Report - Gold Demand Remains Strong / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES recovered $683 per ounce by late morning in London on Tuesday, but remained shy of yesterday's 11-week peak $2 higher.
"There is good-sized buying out there with the current market price," said Paul McLeod at Commerzbank in New York to Reuters late on Monday. "We are also seeing the buyers move up their targets a little bit. I think the market will be supported underneath here."
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Tuesday, July 24, 2007
Migrating to New Energy Paradigms Part 2 - The Economic Importance of Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
Peak Oil is defined as the point at which 50% of the world's oil reserves have been consumed, and 50% remain. We all understand that oil is important to the world economy, but just how important is it?
In October 2004 I attempted to answer this question on behalf of a client as part of that client's long range strategic planning process. The amount of work involved was fairly significant so I have chosen to rely on my findings of that time for the purposes of this article. There are two other reasons:
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Monday, July 23, 2007
Gold and Silver Short-term Correction Expected / Commodities / Gold & Silver
It's interesting times for gold and silver as the dollar bears and bulls fight it out over the 80 level of the US Dollar Index. As expected, gold and silver have risen in opposition to the dollar but the $1.15 move over the month for silver and $40 for gold may be getting long in the tooth. First we look at silver and then check out our gold sentiment indicator, which uses google hits on key gold phrases.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 23, 2007
Harry Houdini – Financial Markets Seasonal Patterns -- And Liar's Loans Toxic Waste / Commodities / Financial Crash
Market pundits are coming out of the woodwork prognosticating financial markets are in real trouble now because the subprime mess will spread to other markets, and a ‘ blood bath ' will occur in everything from commercial loans to the stock market. And then select others more conservatively espouse, while they are open to such possibilities given global imbalances / bubbles are undoubtedly stretched, it's not over until the fat lady sings, but that at a minimum we should count on increased volatility in the days ahead.Read full article... Read full article...