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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

A Primer on the Silver Basis- Putting Loin-Cloth On The Naked Bogeyman / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI started writing this piece as the sub-prime crisis was unfolding. I wanted to establish the connection between the silver basis and the budding banking crisis caused by phony bond insurance schemes and the lack of hedging irredeemable dollar debt with metal holdings. My original title was Putting Clothes on the Naked Bogeyman . As writing progressed I realized that it would take more than one article to dress up the bogeyman; hence the revised title.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

US / China Trade Imbalance Driving Dollar Lower and Gold Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"...Take a gun-boat and 1,200 tonnes of opium, and America could close its trade gap with China tomorrow..."

DO DEFICITS MATTER? Right around the time that English missionaries produced the first Bible in Chinese, the British Empire found itself with a trickier kind of translation problem.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

An Historic Year for Gold... June 2007 to May 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Michael_J_Kosares

July, June, August 2007

  • Subprime crisis hits media, discovered to be global
  • World central banks inject billions to save financial system

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Oil Crisis Set to Worsen as Crude Oil Exports Decline / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn ancient times, when mapmakers came to uncharted territory, they would scrawl: "Here There Be Dragons."

Flash-forward to the 21st Century; oil markets went into uncharted territory on the charts last week. Friday's dramatic spike up was the biggest one-day move EVER. Morgan Stanley now predicts that oil prices could hit $150 per barrel by the 4th of July.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Gold Back to $1,000 on ECB Inflation Busting Interest Rate Rising Plan / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES ticked higher in London trade early Wednesday, recovering 1.3% from yesterday's one-week low as crude oil jumped back to $133 per barrel.

Asian equities were mixed after the US Dollar retreated from a new 15-week high against the Japanese Yen above ¥107.70.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

World Only One Crop Failure Away From Grain Shortage / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInvestors are still adapting to the world of investing in commodities. In the world of paper equities, news is often important. A new phone is indeed actionable information that markets should discount. Investors have become accustomed to trading stocks based on such bits of news. However, they have not yet learned to discern news noise from real news on commodities. Agri-Foods have a seasonality to both availability and prices. That seasonality arises because of the planting and harvesting cycle. In between, comes the weather which often makes difficult the forecasting of supply.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Gold Slides as Dollar Bounces on Bernanke's New "Strong Dollar" Policy / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL BULLION slid further in Asia and London on Tuesday, losing half of the Gold Market 's bounce from last Thursday's three-week low after Ben Bernanke – chairman of the US Federal Reserve – repeated his claim of wanting to fight inflation.

Base metal and food prices sank, while crude oil dropped another 0.5% to trade more than $5 below Friday's All-Time Record Oil Price .

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Gold Weakens on Another Dollar Dead Cat Bounce / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold closed at $894.80 in New York and was down 70 cents and silver closed at $17.15 down 22 cents. Both have sold off in Asia overnight and in early European trading this morning.

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Commodities

Monday, June 09, 2008

Interest Rates and Commodity Cycles- What Makes a Bubble? / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: David_Petch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Moe and Curly formed one of the most successful comedy trios in history, who rightfully so, went with the stage name The Three Stooges . Their routine was based on physical slapstick comedy applied to numerous stories and awkward situations. Their bumbling stupidity and lack of focus on any given situation made for entertaining comedy clips that spanned several decades of the 20th century. An example of their fine comedic routines can be seen in this clip titled Carpenters . To view an infinite supply of "The Three Stooges", simply enter this into the search bar on www.youtube.com and be prepared to be entertained for hours.

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Commodities

Monday, June 09, 2008

Gold Rally Failure Could be the Shorting Opportunity of the Year / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“The rising trendline from the May low will be a crucial support... with the 50-day sma continuing its decline, the convergence at the trendline will create a crucial decision area that could lead to the new lows mentioned here for weeks. Some Fed members have indicated a desire to reverse their rate cuts aggressively, which seems an optimistic outlook. Greenspan's assurances notwithstanding, the possibility remains of the entire mess devolving into a deep recession.”~ Precious Points: Confirmation , June 02, 2008

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Commodities

Monday, June 09, 2008

Gold Follows Crude Oil Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES rose sharply at the London opening on Monday, starting the week $20 per ounce above last Monday's start as crude oil dipped from its new all-time highs.

The US Dollar fell hard on the currency market. The Nikkei share index in Tokyo closed the day more than 2% lower.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 07, 2008

Crude Oil Sets New High Above $139; Gold Surges as Dollar Dives / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Jason_Simpkins

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCrude oil for July delivery traded at an all-time high of $139.12 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange today (Friday), after the U.S. dollar nosedived on speculation that the European Central Bank would raise its key lending rate and on worries that a bigger-than-expected spike in unemployment meant the U.S. economy was far weaker than feared.

For the day, July crude oil soared $10.75, or 8.4%, to close at an all-time high of $138.54. For the week, the contract climbed 8.8% on the NYMEX.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 07, 2008

Why there is Speculation in Commodities / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: Congress is up in arms. And the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is on the warpath. Their target: Speculators in the natural resources market.

The CFTC said this week that it's investigating a dramatic rise in cotton prices from earlier this year. It also plans to tighten some rules that apply to investors in the broader agricultural futures markets. Those steps come just a few days after the regulatory body said it would investigate oil trading activity to see if prices are being manipulated.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 07, 2008

Crude Oil Prices vs the Power of Personality / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Shedlock

Shura member calls for oil production curbs in Saudi Arabia .
Saudi Arabia's Shura council (parliament) will hold a series of meetings over the next two weeks to discuss a controversial proposal by a key member to curb oil production to save reserves for better prices, Saudi media reported. The council will listen to a report by deputy chairman of the Shura water and public utilities committee, Salim bin Rashid Al Marri, who will argue for cutting crude supplies to maintain the Kingdom's underground reserves.

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Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2008

Geothermal: A Hot New Power Source / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Jennifer_Barry

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the global economy attempts to wean itself from dependence on oil, it will search for viable alternatives. Unfortunately, there is no magic bullet on the horizon that will replace petroleum. The solution for the next few decades will be a patchwork quilt of different technologies. The “alternative” energy sources like solar and wind are non-polluting, but they have serious limitations. While nuclear power will be important, it will not be the best solution for all energy needs.
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Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2008

Gold Stocks Show Bullish Divergence / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Morgan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is impossible to extrapolate anything from a single data point, however careful observation usually pays dividends especially when looking for certain clues that financial markets may signal. Today, Thursday June 5, 2008 I noticed that gold was down on the day and yet gold stocks were up. Silver actually had a rather positive day overall and many silver equities were up two to three percent on the day. Normally, when gold is off even slightly and gold stocks show mild strength it is a result of short covering. In fact this is most likely the cause of today's price action. 

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Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2008

Government Raids and Seizures- How Safe Is Your Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Shedlock

Minyan "SC" is concerned about gold in safe deposit boxes. Just how safe is it? "SC" asks:

There is a disturbing comment by Jim Sinclair about safe deposit boxes in Britain not being so safe from the prying eyes of the government.

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Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2008

Crude Oil Bull Market Corrections / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWithout a doubt, crude oil is the most important commodity on our planet. Hypothetically if it vanished overnight, our entire modern world would collapse. No goods could move without the oil-derived transportation fuels, so virtually all trade would implode. Unlike nearly every other major commodity, there is just no economically-viable substitute for oil.

And the fundamentals driving oil's secular bull are unparalleled in their strength. As Asia awakens and enters the modern era, global demand for oil is rising relentlessly. Despite today's unprecedented prices, demand remains strong all over the world. And of course once oil is burned, it is gone forever.

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Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2008

Gold Correction Over / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE of SPOT GOLD rose more than 1% in London 's morning session on Friday, regaining last week's closing level of $888 per ounce as crude oil added to Thursday's record 5.4% jump.

European stock markets held flat, meantime, while corn prices reached new record highs on news of heavy rains and flooding in the US mid-west.

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Commodities

Friday, June 06, 2008

Gold Supported by Negative Real US Interest Rates / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold closed at $872.20 in New York yesterday and was down $8.30 but silver closed at $17.07 and was up 23 cents. Both have rallied in Asia and in early European trading.

The dollar is flat after yesterday's weakness but oil is up again (another nearly 2%) after yesterday's surge and this is leading to gold buying.

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