Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, July 13, 2008
Gold and the Credit Crisis / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Roland_Watson
It could not have escaped your attention that the financial sector is undergoing a crisis of confidence just now as the sub-prime loan debacle continues to ripple out to what was once thought as impervious sectors of the banking world.
Having watched the spectacle of bank runs, bank failures (i.e. takeovers), a falling housing market, increased cost of credit, emergency Fed loans and banks trying to boost capital through rights issues, investors are naturally concerned that even their deposit accounts are under threat. Well so far I am not aware of any major loss of funds by depositors as the Federal Reserve steps in to stabilize the cash flow of vulnerable banks and guarantee the deposits of customers via the FDIC scheme.
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Friday, July 11, 2008
Gold Resting Ahead of Next Upleg / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mike_Paulenoff
In the event of the world's financial, geopolitical and energy-related problems are NOT solved over the weekend, classic pattern analysis in the streetTRACKS Gold ETF (NYSE: GLD) argues for rest-digestion-pullback into the upside breakout area at 94.00-93.50, followed by a powerful upside pivot reversal that commences a new upleg. Should such a scenario unfold, then we should expect the GLD to head for 96.50 and then 100. Only a break below 92.00 will begin to compromise the upside breakout scenario.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 11, 2008
Crude Oil Demand Destruction Stops at the US Border / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Peter_Schiff
As the price of oil reverses course again and closes in on the unheard of price of $150 per barrel, Americans are finally responding to the pressure and have cut back on gasoline consumption. According to a report this week, Americans used 3.3% less gasoline than at the same time last year and usage now stands at a five-year low. Although the relative merits of slowing energy consumption is a subject upon which reasonable minds can disagree, the drop is nonetheless an extremely rare event in American economic history. Many on Wall Street are cheering the possibility that further “demand destruction” will ultimately lead to significantly lower oil prices. After all, this is basic economics. Prices are a function of supply and demand, and as demand drops, prices must follow. This is simple logic, wrongly applied. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 11, 2008
The Big Secret about Peak Oil and the US Military / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Mike_Stathis
Those of you who do not believe Peak Oil Theory should first make sure you fully understand it. According to this theory, after a reservoir has been depleted by half of its total volume, the output begins to plateau or remain constant for some unknown period. At some later time (which is unpredictable) the output begins a permanent decline of variable duration (which is also unpredictable) until the remaining quantity of oil is no longer economically feasible to extract with current technology. Therefore, Peak Oil Theory does not state that the earth is running out of oil per say. It states that the earth is running out of inexpensive oil, otherwise known as conventional oil – the high-grade oil that comes out by drilling on land and requires minimal refinement costs. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 11, 2008
Gold Soars on Rumours of Imminent Israeli Attack on Iran Nuclear Facilities / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES came within one dollar of a 15-week high early Friday in London, jumping 2.6% from yesterday's low as European stock markets fell for the sixth time in nine sessions.Crude oil prices meantime shot $4 to a new record high of almost $146 per barrel after the Jerusalem Post quoted Iraqi sources saying that Israel is practicing and preparing air strikes on nuclear sites in Iran .
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Friday, July 11, 2008
AMEX GOLD BUGS INDEX (HUI): Another Golden Opportunity to Buy Gold Shares? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Peter_Zihlmann
Two major gold indices dominate the market - the Philadelphia Stock Exchange's XAU and the AMEX's Gold BUGS Index (HUI).
The major difference between the two is that the BUGS index is made up exclusively of mining stocks that do not hedge their gold positions more than a year-and-a-half into the future. This makes the BUGS Index much more profitable than the XAU when gold prices are rising, but can also compound its losses when gold declines. BUGS is an acronym for B asket of U nhedged Gold Stocks. The index was introduced on March 15, 1996 with a starting value of 200.
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Friday, July 11, 2008
High Gas Prices Investment Opportunities / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Hans_Wagner
Investors who seek to beat the market look for opportunities that indicate changes in market sector trends. The recent rise in the price of oil and along with it the price of gasoline is causing serious problems for people and the economy. In the past we when we have experienced spikes in the price of gasoline, it eventually fell back down as supply outstripped demand. However, there are forces in place that will keep this happy event from taking place this time. As a result, you should consider adjusting your investing themes to recognize that the price of gasoline will remain high, and likely go higher from now on. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 10, 2008
Gold Rally Approaching Key Resistance / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mike_Paulenoff
As we speak the streetTRACKS Gold ETF (NYSE: GLD) is pushing up against a 3-month resistance plateau around 93.30/40, which if hurdled should trigger upside acceleration of the March-July rounded base-like pattern. All of the action between March and July represents a correction that turned out to take the form of a high-level rounded base formation as well, which is exerting intense upward pressure on a series of rally peaks that occurred since March. If (when) hurdled, the GLD should accelerate towards 99-100.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 10, 2008
Gold Jumps as European Equities Sink / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE PRICE OF GOLD leapt 1% to a one-week high at the US opening on Thursday while oil prices struggled near $136 per barrel and European stock markets caught up with the S&P's latest 2% drop.The Dollar was little changed against the Euro and British Pound, despite news of a 53% jump in US home foreclosures last month from June '07.
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Thursday, July 10, 2008
Gold Homing in on $1000 Barrier as Stocks Deliver Zero Growth over Last 10 Years / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $926.30 , up $ 5.40 and silver was up to $18.07 , up 23 cents . Gold rose again in the New York Globex electronic market and in early trading in Asia and has remained firm in early European trading .With geopolitical risk remaining high and financial risk elevated (as seen with U.S. financial stocks yesterday experiencing their largest one day fall since the start of the current financial crisis nearly a year ago - meaning that the benchmark S&P 500 is officially in a bear market) gold is again receiving safe haven and inflation hedging investment flows which is resulting in higher prices.
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Thursday, July 10, 2008
Gold's Underlying Truth and Dow Jones Potential to Fall by 75% / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Brian_Bloom
As a reasonably intelligent man of 61 years of age, this analyst is not unmindful of the fact that his recent preoccupation with the wisdom of the Ancients has been raising eyebrows – if not questions as to his sanity – amongst regular and (previously?) loyal readers. What possible linkage could an understanding of the Ancients have with investment and making money?
Those who have been puzzled may rest assured. I have not been going off with the pixies. There are solid reasons; and one of these reasons flows from the fact that, in today's markets, everyone and his brother is a technical analyst.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2008
Crude Oil Minor Recovery Bounce Underway / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Purely from a near-term technical perspective, today's geo-political "strength" in crude oil and its ETF the US Oil Trust (AMEX: USO) has the look of a minor recovery bounce rather than the start of a new upleg in the aftermath of the $6 and 5.5% decline since the July 2 high of 117.94 in the USO (to yesterday's reaction low at $111.63).Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 09, 2008
Gold Corrects After Recent Bullish Run as Iran Tests Long-range Shahab-3 Missile / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD gave back a 1% rally in London on Wednesday, trading $20 per ounce below this time last week as crude oil managed only a slight bounce on news of an Iranian missile test.Already subject to international sanctions over its nuclear research program, Tehran said today it successfully fired a Shahab-3 missile overnight, capable of reaching Israel.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2008
Osama Bin Laden's Oil Price Victory Fueling Red-Hot Inflation / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: Sometimes your worst fears come back to bite you in the rear. Case in point: In the New York Times, on October 14, 2001 the managing director of an oil consulting firm warned: "If Bin Laden takes over and becomes king of Saudi Arabia, he'd turn off the tap ... he wants oil to be $144 a barrel."
At the time, oil traded at $23, and $144 a barrel seemed downright impossible. Well, terror mastermind Osama Bin Laden, safe in his undisclosed rat hole, must be grinning like a Cheshire cat, because last week oil soared past $144 a barrel.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2008
Gold Forecast to Rise to £1,800 (GBP) / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $920.90 , down $ 5 and silver fell to $17.8 4 , down 1 cents . Gold again traded down in the New York Globex electronic market and in early trading in Asia prior to rallying in late trading in Asia and and early European trading back above it's opening price in New York yesterday . Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 09, 2008
Oil Stocks Will Continue To Under Perform The Oil ETF / Commodities / Oil Companies
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Oil stocks will under perform crude oil and the o il etf for the next several years - but Energy Juniors will outperform both.
The market is now setting up for a great entry point into junior oil Stocks!
When it comes to morbid fascination, this chart takes the Cake!
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Wednesday, July 09, 2008
The Indian Gold Train is Leaving the Station ... / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Alex_Wallenwein
Indians who sold their gold in 2007 to buy stocks are now paying out the wazoo for their gross misjudgment. In January of 2008, the Bombay Stock Exchange fell by more than 4,000 points. It is now a full 8,000 points short of its January 8th peak, Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 09, 2008
Bernanke's Indecision on Interest Rates Opens the Door for Resource Juniors / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: John_Lee
On June 25, Bernanke left key short term rates unchanged at 2%, citing "considerable stress" in financial markets and tight credit conditions. The Fed also cautioned about the upward pressures on prices caused by rising oil and other commodity prices. On the same day, Mr. Warren Buffett fingered "exploding" inflation as the biggest risk to the economy. Buffett said on CNBC "It's huge right now, whether it's steel or oil. We see it everywhere." Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 08, 2008
Agri-Food Funds Hit by Credit Crisis Hedge Fund Margin Calls / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
Virulent fall of equity markets may have more to do with date of 30 June than temporarily high paper oil prices. Last day of June is associated with end of quarter financial statements. Around the world, financial institutions were preparing for and then creating balance sheets for that important date. Those financial institutions felt compelled by market forces to make their balance sheets look good. That desire translated into a continued reduction in available lending to funds of all kinds. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 08, 2008
The Oil Crisis and Gold / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: David_Vaughn
One of the hardest things about life is when we have to close a chapter. Yesterday becomes merely a collection of happy memories and those memories are all that remain. That perhaps is why we have always clung so hard to nostalgia. The world is constantly changing and that unfortunately even includes our own lives. In life personal actions always produce consequences. Unfortunately, this principal even includes things of material value. And the consequence of less oil produces the consequence of higher prices.Read full article... Read full article...