Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, August 27, 2010
Gold Trading Quiet as Summer Ends, Big Surge Expected on Poor US Data / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD held flat early in London today, heading into the long August Bank Holiday weekend some 0.8% higher from last Friday's close against the Dollar, Euro and Sterling.
The Silver Price stood 5.7% up for the week, nearing its best weekly close since late-June.
Friday, August 27, 2010
Gold Close to New Record Highs, Investors On Sidelines Ahead of Bernanke Speech / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Markets participants are cautious ahead of Ben Bernanke’s speech which is expected to focus on the uncertain outlook for the US economy. Asian stock markets were mixed overnight and European indices are under pressure today. Investors continue to pile into government bonds and German Bund futures rose 14 ticks. The Yen and the British pound are slightly weaker today in tentative trading.
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Friday, August 27, 2010
Crude Oil Bearish Outlook / Commodities / Crude Oil
We wrote in early August of the pressures on oil – when the market was tested the resistance at the bottom of the Bear Rising Wedge in the weekly market. Even then we noted the ‘the coincident resistance of the parallel diagonals and the lower
diagonal of the wedge above the market’ which suggested important resistance at that level. Sure enough it was. Now, sixteen trading days later, the market is much lower yet looks set to fall still lower.
Friday, August 27, 2010
Proposing an Overnight Gold Fund / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
There is much debate within the precious metals industry regarding the alleged suppression, or at least manipulation to an extent, by either central banks or the proprietary trading divisions of large banks, or a combination of the two.
In April the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission CFTC fined Hedge Fund Moore Capital for manipulation of the New York platinum and palladium futures market, as the firm was found to be “banging the close”, which involves entering orders in a manner designed to inflate the closing price, which other various derivatives contracts could be based on. So that is irrefutable evidence that the precious metals futures market is, at least to some extent, being manipulated. However a large concentration of this debate is based not on platinum and palladium, but on gold and silver, and particularly gold.
Friday, August 27, 2010
Gold BIG Move Is Still To Come! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
In the big picture we think the gold and silver bull market has just started to warm up. It is not that we believe the ten year bull market has not been underway for a significant amount of time, but rather we believe the majority of the price appreciation is ahead and not behind us.
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Thursday, August 26, 2010
Gold Falls on Positive Jobs Number / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold is slightly lower while silver has risen again today after they rose 1% and 3% respectively yesterday as investors moved into the safety of AAA rated government bonds and the precious metals. Both gold and silver have remained firm in Asian and early European trading despite an increase in risk appetite as seen in the bounce in Asian and European equity markets. The fall in jobless claims has added to risk appetite and seen gold come under pressure, while silver remains firm. Some calm has returned to European sovereign debt markets after the successful Portuguese and Irish debt auctions. Government bonds have fallen in value after their recent rise and the increasing spreads between peripheral European economies and Germany have eased.
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Thursday, August 26, 2010
Silver Still Cheap After Dramatic Rally as Gold/Silver Ratio Forms Explosive Pattern / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD and silver touched new 8-week highs in London dealing on Thursday, while the Japanese Yen retreated further and developed-world stock markets extending yesterday's rally on Wall Street.
G7 bonds slipped back, nudging yields higher from this week's record lows.
Thursday, August 26, 2010
Gold Moves Closer to Record High / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold prices moved closer to its all-time high on Wednesday (August 25) despite relative firmness in the dollar. One ounce of gold currently fetches $1,238 in early evening New York Globex trade.
Gold closed Tuesday at $1,230.40 after a Monday close of $1,225.90. At one point in early morning New York NYMEX trade Tuesday, gold traded as low as $1,210.
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Thursday, August 26, 2010
How To Trade Gold and Silver’s Volatility / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Understanding the key differences between both gold and silver’s risk/volatility levels plays a large part in how I choose a low risk trade setup. Those of you who follow me already know the GLD etf is my favorite trading vehicle as it provides me with low risk trading setups along with a very high win rate.
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Thursday, August 26, 2010
China's Gold Demand: Saving, Not Spending / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
WHATEVER the reasons for China's massive household savings rate (Western economists blame the lack of social security, so you can guess their cure), the World Gold Council's Gold Demand Trends today showed private consumers putting ever-more money into physical gold.
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Wednesday, August 25, 2010
You'll Buy Gold Now and Like It When it Hits $6,214 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Jeff Clark, Casey's Gold & Resource Report writes: I get this question a lot: "Should I buy gold now, or wait for a pullback?"
It’s a valid question. For nearly two years, gold hasn't had a serious decline. There have been pullbacks, of course, but nothing assumption-challenging. In fact, since October 2008, gold’s largest price drop is 10.6% (based on London PM fix prices), and yet the average of all declines since 2001 is 13% (of those greater than 5%). The biggest pullback we've seen this summer is 8.2%. Technically the summer's not over, but I'll admit I'm surprised we haven't had a better buying opportunity.
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Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Gold and Silver Protection From Economic Cancer and Desperation of QE2 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
History is being made. The American public has never been no nervous, perhaps fearful of something dreadful and imminent. The global monetary system is crumbling. The typical stimulus has failed to jumpstart the USEconomy. The 20 months of near 0% short-term official interest rate has failed to revive the moribund US housing market. The phony FASB accounting rules has failed to accomplish anything except a stay of execution for the big US banks, which do not lend much. In fact, the US banks are largely dead entities showing enough life for to receive USGovt largesse aid. Witness the failure of the US financial sector. Witness the climax chapter of failure for the Fascist Business Model.
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Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Estate Sales: A Silver Mine! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
With the economic crisis well underway, estate sale sizes have grown tremendously as cash-strapped children hope to bring home big bucks from their deceased parent's assets. Traditionally, only small amounts of an estate would be auctioned, as the children of the deceased kept most of the items as an heirloom keepsake. However, in today's economy, cash is king, and so many people need the spare cash that they'll sell almost anything—including their silver and gold collections.
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Wednesday, August 25, 2010
How Financial Instruments Suppress Silver's Value / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
One fact is very, very clear: the silver markets are horribly suppressed. As we reported months ago, it was discovered in May that the silver futures market is purely paper, and there is an actual whistleblower to tell the tale. However, that testimony was subsequently squandered when the closed circuit TV had “technical errors,” and days later Andrew Maguire, the famed whistleblower, was in a hit and run accident.
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Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Gold Hits 8-Week High as Stocks Fall / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD rose to an 8-week high Wednesday morning in London, rising 2.2% from yesterday's spike lower as world stock markets continued to slide in thin trade.
"Tuesday was a wild day in the precious complex," says a note from Mitsui's London team, "and perhaps a sign of things to come as the summer months draw to a close.
Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Gold Demand Increases 36% as Investors Increase Allocations to Bullion / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
US and German government bonds, gold and particularly silver rose in safe haven buying yesterday on growing concerns about the robustness of the US recovery. The two precious metals traded flat in Asian and early European trade but have moved up again this morning as the dollar has weakened. Risk aversion has returned due to the very poor housing data yesterday which suggests a double dip recession is increasingly possible. These concerns are not being helped by renewed jitters in sovereign debt markets on Ireland's downgrade with government bond spreads widening again and the spread between Ireland's and Germany's debt at new records.
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Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Gold, the collapse of Keynesian Economic Dogma and Fed Money Printing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Keynesian economic dogma continues down a path marked by complete failure. Fundamental belief of this ideology is that government can replace the private economy. Second rule is that government should replace the private sector. Flowing from that change should be a land of economic milk and honey. Except for one little thing, it does not work.
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Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Gold Down For Third Day on Profit Taking, Oil Weakness and Dollar Strength / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold fell marginally yesterday and has fallen for a third day in a row. Gold's hesitation and weakness is likely due to renewed dollar strength, oil weakness and profit taking after gold's recent sharp rally. Market participants will be nervous about another disappointing report on the housing market later today.
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Tuesday, August 24, 2010
How to Profit From the Russian Wheat Shortage / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
JACK BARNES writes: Russian wheat farmers have a tough life.
Having grown up on a working farm in Oregon, I understand this all too well. Those days taught me a lot about hard work and patience. Four decades later, as I read news stories about the current travails of Russian wheat farmers, the memories of getting up on wet winter mornings for the pre-dawn goat milking - or having to drive a tractor when I was only six years old - engender a lot of empathy for the difficult challenges the wheat farmers face.
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Monday, August 23, 2010
Why Gold Is Not In A Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
What is a 'Bull' market? It is a market in an upward price phase of a market with the expectation that it will be followed by a 'Bear' or downward phase of a market. This mindset is common to all markets. Sayings like, "everything that goes up must come down" is pretty standard and taken as part of life itself, but few examine it to see if it is really true. Why should everything that goes up come down? For some years now gold has been thought of as moving in the opposite direction to the U.S. Dollar.
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