Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, May 12, 2013
Will Crude Oil Futures Stop the Fed’s QE Program? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: J_W_Jones
The sell-side analysts and economists are reminding retail investors that risk assets in the United States have been on quite a tear to the upside recently. A correction now lasts a matter of days, if not hours before the bulls push equity prices even higher.
The Federal Reserve is winning the reflation war using cheap money and massive levels of liquidity to help drive risk assets higher and interest rates artificially lower. Unfortunately for domestic investors searching for yield, they find that they are forced to incur higher levels of risk in order to satisfy their growth and income needs. There are significant risks associated with higher than average fixed income returns and the cost will be felt should we see any correction in the future.
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Saturday, May 11, 2013
Europe's Forced Reappraisal Of Shale Gas / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: Andrew_McKillop
EYES SET WEST
European policymakers at Commission level, in European Council of ministers meetings, and in national governments now curtly say that the shale gas issue is "very political", because the subject will not go away. Allowing shale gas extraction by hydraulic fracturing to move ahead is already politically correct - in some countries such as Poland - and may soon also become correct in the UK, France, Germany, Spain and Italy. The logjam is breaking.
Saturday, May 11, 2013
Gold and Acts of Desperation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Jesse
"It is not at all uncommon for someone to arrive at a scene of brutality or injustice and, with a sympathetic murmur or heroic flourish, attack the victim."
Renata Adler
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Saturday, May 11, 2013
Gold And Silver Sell Off Could Get Uglier And Take Longer / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Michael_Noonan
The realistic general consensus is that the spot prices for gold and silver are no longer relevant. Yet, what remains the one price on which focus has intensified for each? There simply is no other alternative, at present. A distinction is made concerning the purchases by China, Russia, India, et al, paying a larger premium over spot gold, prior to the sell-off, and prices paid by those purchasing single ounce coins or even kilo bars, "the people," as it were.
Friday, May 10, 2013
Really Real Rates vs. Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Adrian_Ash
Quantitative easing and zero rates haven't worked. So let's have much more of 'em, eh...?
GOLD attracts investment capital when other asset classes fail to deliver.
So now equities have clearly regained their appeal after more than a decade of what finance professionals would rather we called "sub-optimal" returns, gold investing has lost its urgency for money managers. Indeed, it's become a neat little "short" to trade against whilst picking the next winner in the S&P's all-time high dash.
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Friday, May 10, 2013
At the Beginning of Gold and Silver Bear market? Special Report / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: EWI
As I write this email, gold is down more than 3% for the morning of Friday, May 10.
Major pullbacks like Friday's are often followed by big bounces, but as gold and silver threaten to breach the recent April lows, many investors have an important question in mind:
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Friday, May 10, 2013
Gold Stocks Are Leading Gold Bullion Price Lower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: P_Radomski_CFA
T.S. Eliot called April “the cruelest month” in his famous poem, and without a doubt April was cruel to many gold investors. Sunshine Profits subscribers who followed our suggestions in April avoided a share of the pain. Probably no one suffered more than hedge fund manager John Paulson. He is joined by hedge fund manager David Einhorn whose Greenlight fund took a big hit on its gold miners ETF holdings. Einhorn said recently what we would consider an understatement: "We were somewhat surprised by the swift decline in the price of gold in April." If they were following fundamental valuations and analysis only, then that’s not surprising. Paying attention to the breakdown below the key support level at that time provided a sell signal.
Friday, May 10, 2013
Intrinsic Value and the Final Battle for Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
When looking at the intrinsic value of hard currencies like silver relative to that of paper fiat currencies like the U.S. Dollar, some serious questions need to be asked and answered.
Here is one series of questions that can be used to initiate such an analytical process and some rational answers:
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Friday, May 10, 2013
Gold Price Could Retest $1322 Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Ben_Traynor
SPOT MARKET gold bullion prices fell to two-week lows Friday, drifting lower towards $1440 an ounce during this morning's London session before dropping sharply through that level, as stocks gained and most commodities fell as the Dollar strengthened against major currencies.
Silver fell to $23.34 an ounce, while copper prices ticked higher.
"The risk [for gold] is a break through support [will] test the $1322 low," say technical analysts at bullion bank Scotia Mocatta, who cited $1440 an ounce as a key support level.
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Friday, May 10, 2013
Has the Great Gold Crash Divorced Bullion from Futures Prices? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes: In mid-April, a black swan crash-landed on the gold market. Over just two trading days, gold futures prices shed 13%, falling from $1,575 to $1,375.
That $200 cliff dive was the largest two-day drop in 33 years.
Gold prices already had been in steady consolidation mode for 18 months. But the magnitude and swiftness of this dramatic move were rare...to the point of suspicion.
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Friday, May 10, 2013
Is Buffet Right About Not Buying Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
Who is Warren Buffet? He's 'Yoda' of the financial world. He is a man brilliantly skilled at making profits with considerable expertise in the U.S. economy and its corporations.
Gold is, as he says, a dormant item pulled out of the ground and stored in vaults thereafter. It is not for 'just making profits because it is an entirely different animal to corporations.
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Friday, May 10, 2013
Is It Time to Look Away from Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Leong writes: Lately, I’ve been reading about all of this buying of gold bullion by central banks around the world.
Some would say the move is bullish for the precious metal, but I’m not convinced. I was encouraged by the recent bounce after the price fell below $1,400 an ounce, but it has since stalled, based on my technical analysis.
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Thursday, May 09, 2013
Silver Bull Market Following Structure Of 1970's Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Hubert_Moolman
The 70s silver bull took place during a period from a major peak in the Dow/Gold ratio (1966) to a major bottom in Dow/Gold ratio (1980). The silver bull market started in 1971 and ended at the beginning of 1980.The current silver bull market also started after a major peak in the Dow/Gold ratio (peak was at the end of 1999).The current silver bull market started in 2001, and it is also likely to end when the Dow/Gold ratio makes a major bottom. See the chart below, as illustration:
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Thursday, May 09, 2013
Gold Still Bearish as Western Buying Cools / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES slipped back below $1470 per ounce Thursday morning in London, drifting as world stock markets failed to follow Wall Street higher, where equities yesterday hit new all-time highs.
Silver held above $24.00 per ounce, just shy of last week's finish, as commodities slipped overall.
A rise in Sterling after the Bank of England held its monetary policy unchanged drove gold prices down to £942 per ounce for UK investors.
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Wednesday, May 08, 2013
The Real Reason Gold Price Fell / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: The_Gold_Report
Things are upside down in the gold market. Valuations are irrationally low, while global consumerism fuels demand and supply comes up short. Lawrence Roulston, editor and publisher of Resource Opportunities, advises people to trust their guts as well as the numbers when weeding through prospective investments. In this interview with The Gold Report, he skirts around conspiracy theories regarding the recent gold sell-off and keeps his advice simple: lower expectations, get rid of poorly performing investments and load up on the companies going cheap. If you push against the trend, you might come out with your feet on the ground.
Wednesday, May 08, 2013
Peak Oil Revisited - Oil Limits Are Now Debt Limits / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Andrew_McKillop
LIMITS TO GROWTH
Oil and energy limits are more complex than what we have imagined so far. The crossover from OECD Old World dominance of oil market demand, to Rest Of World dominance was more than 7 years ago, but the perception of what this means has been slow. Very slow.
Wednesday, May 08, 2013
India Aims to Restrict Gold Imports As China Breaks New Records / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: GoldCore
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,454.00, EUR 1,108.74 and GBP 939.09 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,463.00, EUR 1,118.67 and GBP 941.74 per ounce.
Wednesday, May 08, 2013
Gold: Who’s Selling Who’s Buying Who’s Lying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
Although the Pharisees of paper money successfully forced down the price of gold, like those who lobbied Pontius Pilate to crucify Jesus, the consequences of their actions will backfire beyond their wildest imagination.
The decision of the paper money cabal to force down the price of gold is akin to Japan’s decision to attack Pearl Harbor. Although the attack was successful, the eventual consequences were not what Japan had envisioned.
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Wednesday, May 08, 2013
Gold Prices Start to Weaken Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Donald_W_Dony
Following the May 1, 2013 Market Minute titled "Has gold's bounce reached the peak?", the yellow metal has stalled at the $1487-$1485 resistance level for almost two weeks. Today's trading suggests the main downward trend is still in force and that another rollover maybe starting.
Gold's trading direction changed in October 2012 after the metal reached $1798.10. Since then, gold has steadily drifted lower with a series of declining price lows.
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Tuesday, May 07, 2013
Gold and Silver Holding the Line / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Jesse
The mouthpieces in the media are maintaining a steady drumbeat against gold and silver.
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