Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

The U.S. Dollar Outperforms Gold, Silver and the HUI so far in 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Bob_Kirtley

The chart below paints a sorry picture for precious bugs with the US dollar just managing to stay in positive territory as losses mount for gold, silver and the mining sector. In broad terms the US Dollar is up 2%, Gold is down 22%, Silver is down 32% and the miners represented here by the HUI are down 45%. All stomach churning stuff for perma bulls as the mining sector now has to generate gains of around 100% in order to get back to where they were at the start of the year. This is not impossible but it will take a monumental effort to achieve such a recovery.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Mining Stocks with the Grade to Survive the Silver Price Downturn / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: The_Gold_Report

It's one thing for a silver producer to make a profit at $28/oz and quite another to do the same at $20/oz, declares Chris Lichtenheldt, senior mining analyst at Dundee Capital Markets. In this interview with The Gold Report, Lichtenheldt examines eight silver companies, detailing which ones will be rewarded for high-grade assets and which ones punished for high costs. And he explains why one of his favorites is a silver company that doesn't actually produce silver.

The Gold Report: Silver seems to have stabilized at $20/ounce ($20/oz). Is this significant? If this support holds, can we expect upward movement?

Monday, August 12, 2013

Gold Daily and Silver Slouching Through August Delivery / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jesse

There was intraday commentary on the gold inventory situation and Bullion Heading East here.

I doubt that we are in a normal market correction or even a bear market in the precious metals. Instead what we are seeing is tied intimately with the inability to repatriate Germany's sovereign gold from its custodial holders, without a seven year wait.

Monday, August 12, 2013

Where Silver Prices Are Heading / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Silver prices today continue to wander aimlessly around the $20-an-ounce level as the white metal is buffeted by many of the same factors restraining the gold price. This drifting comes after a dramatic drop of 35% in the first half 2013.

As with gold, much of the drop is due to fears that the U.S. Federal Reserve will begin "tapering" purchases of bonds from its current $85 billion-a-month level. If this comes to pass, the financial markets currently believe this will reduce excess liquidity and therefore any possible inflationary fires.

Monday, August 12, 2013

Is Plunging U.S. Dollar Bullish or Bearish News for Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Without a doubt, the recent weeks were tough for the U.S. currency. The U.S. dollar fell as investors weighed when the Federal Reserve would slow the pace of bond purchases that had contributed to weakening the greenback. It also dropped against all its major counterparts after a government report last week showed American employers hired fewer workers in July than economists had predicted. Another bearish factor which weakened the dollar was strong data from China that suggested economic optimism.

Monday, August 12, 2013

Gold and Silver What If ? : Circa 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this Weekend Report I would like to show you a “WHAT IF” scenario that few are seeing at this time. There are two major camps in the precious metals complex, the bulls and the bears. The bulls are looking at this most recent low as THE BOTTOM and a new bull market is being born. They have been crushed all the way down from last falls high on the HUI calling every small bottom THE bottom. On the other hand you have the bears that either got out or have been riding this almost one year decline, short the precious metals complex, and looking for more blood to the downside, to that all important 2008 crash low around the 150 area on the HUI. I have been in the bear camp since the first of December of 2012 until last week. Even at the beginning of last week I was still looking for lower prices for the precious metals complex. If you have been trading long enough you know the markets can change on a dime and when you start to see important trendlines begin to fail that changes everything no matter how bullish or bearish one may be.

Sunday, August 11, 2013

Syrian Gas Triangle And Its Risk-Prone Future / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Andrew_McKillop

GAS DIPLOMACY
Reuters reported from Doha, Qatar, 8 August that Saudi Arabia has offered Russia economic incentives including a $15 billion arms-buying deal and a pledge not to challenge Russian gas sales in Europe, if Moscow scales back or abandons support for Syrian President Bashr al-Assad. The proposed deal was reportedly set out by Saudi intelligence chief Prince Bandar bin Sultan in a four-hour meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow last week.

Saturday, August 10, 2013

Why Crude Oil Price Is Poised for a Sharp Correction / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: DailyWealth

If you hold any bets on crude oil rising, we encourage you to dump them. A correction is headed our way.

A simple boating concept explains why...

Picture a boat... the kind you'd take on the ocean for a fishing trip. Now picture the Dallas Cowboys football team on the boat. If all 53 players are evenly spaced, things are fine. But if all 53 players move to one side of the boat, bad things happen. The boat tips over until lots of Cowboys are shark food.

Saturday, August 10, 2013

Gold And Silver – Only Votes Cast In Elections Count, Same For Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

In an election, it does not matter if voter turnout is high or low, the outcome is determined by the actual votes cast. The same holds true for the markets. Only those who make an actual buy or sell decision determine the outcome of the market trend. The market “voters” turn up in charts, recorded in the price range, close, and volume. Collectively, a “story” unfolds, and it happens to be the most accurate one for outside opinions do not matter. Articles written about fundamentals, pundit declarations, etc, all fall under the category of opinions.

Saturday, August 10, 2013

Greenland Offers Exploration Resources Investor Profit Potential / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Richard_Mills

It’s time to talk about Greenland, security of resource supply and excellent early exploration results. Why Greenland? Well Greenland’s becoming the new frontier for those in the mining industry who explore for, find, and develop (to a certain point) the world’s future mines. Explorers are there now and coming in ever increasing numbers. They’re searching for a wide range of commodities including base and precious metals, rare earth elements and gemstones.

Friday, August 09, 2013

Silver Short Squeeze / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

Silver has suffered a miserable year so far, bludgeoned by gold’s unprecedented selling anomaly.  The exceptional weakness in both metals was greatly exacerbated by futures speculators piling on short-side bets.  But with silver shorts hitting record extremes, a super-bullish short squeeze now looms.  Any rapid silver rally is likely to spook the highly-leveraged futures traders, sparking a massive stampede to cover.

Friday, August 09, 2013

What's Driving Gold Prices Today / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Tony Daltorio writes: Gold prices today are still below $1,300 an ounce as traders in the United States and Europe continue to sell the precious metal.

Western investors were the main driving force behind redemptions of nearly $19 billion in gold-backed ETFs in the second quarter of 2013.

Friday, August 09, 2013

Gold Elliott Wave Forecast - Price Recovery Could Be Underway Back To 1348 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Gregor_Horvat

GOLD is in recovery mode for few weeks now and it seems that current price action could move even higher in the next few days if we consider a broken trend line of latest five wave decline which suggest that impulsive move from 1680 is complete. Usually when market is in reversal mode the price will retrace back to the territory of a former wave four. In our case that comes in at 1394-1400 level that could be tested in the next two weeks.

Friday, August 09, 2013

Silver Prices - It's All About the Concentration / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Naked shorting of silver is not really the issue, as silver analyst, Ted Butler has been pointing out for decades, it is more about the extreme concentration of short silver positions and less about the big players being caught red-handed sending blatant signals of market price fixing collusion.

Also, forget about gold and silver being valued as commodities, since most people will agree that these metals both have a monetary demand associated with them.

Friday, August 09, 2013

Indian Gold to Silver Investment Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Perhaps it is not terribly surprising to learn that recent silver demand numbers from India have set records. While gold still seems to be the typical precious metal of choice in the United States, silver is clearly making waves abroad.

Indian silver imports are up a staggering 259% at 857 tonnes in the April-July time period. That amount is approximately one third of the global monthly production of silver.

Friday, August 09, 2013

Futures Markets Signal Gold Price Ready To Erupt / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Schiff

With gold recouping some losses in its most recent trading sessions, many are asking whether or not the bottom has finally formed for the yellow metal. Most of these gains have been simply chalked up to short-covering and dovish remarks by Bernanke during the recent Federal Open Market Committee meetings; however, there are some key indicators for gold which are overshadowed by the media hubbub. Two of them in particular are important to understand, because they reveal a renewed investment demand for physical gold over paper gold or fiat currencies.

Friday, August 09, 2013

The Cheapest You Will See Gold and Silver and Miners In Your Lifetime? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jeb_Handwerger

During silver (SLV) and gold's (GLD) terrific move in 2011, very few analysts warned that a correction could come to shakeout all the Johnny come lately's (momentum traders) who were pushing gold and silver to nosebleed levels. I got nervous as hell back in 2011, when the day traders and mass media started picking up the precious metals story and I warned of a correction.

Thursday, August 08, 2013

Three Forces That Will Send Gold Price Soaring / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Investment_U

Gold bulls got kicked in the teeth on Monday when Don Kohn – who is on President Obama’s short list of candidates to replace Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke – sent around a note saying the Federal Reserve will begin “tapering” its QE program after the September meeting.

That news sent gold lower on the day, and could grease the skids for the yellow metal for another week or two.

Thursday, August 08, 2013

COMEX Deliverable (Registered) Gold Declines By Almost 60,000 Ounces / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jesse

Since last Friday the registered gold in the COMEX warehouse has declined by almost 60,000 ounces to a new recent low of 875,710 ounces.

Total gold including eligible gold stored by customers in COMEX warehouses but not offered for sale holds steady at around 7 million ounces.

Thursday, August 08, 2013

Gold Bugs Index (HUI): Buy, Hold or Sell? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Peter_Zihlmann

The NYSE Arca Gold BUGS (Basket of Unhedged Gold Stocks) Index (HUI) is a modified equal dollar weighted index of companies involved in gold mining.

The HUI Index was designed to provide significant exposure to near term movements in gold prices by including companies that do not hedge their gold production beyond 1.5 years.