Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, December 15, 2014
Gold - The Weight of Time as Trend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Submissions
George R Harrison writes: We’ve all felt it. The ‘weight’ of time acting as Trends in the markets.
Trends that hold longer than expected and whose change in direction appears when we least expect or believe it.
Once time accumulates for an action and establishes a Trend, those trends take a lot of work to change.
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Sunday, December 14, 2014
Crude Oil Price Crashing Towards $40 per Barrel / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Joseph_Russo
From speculation of international currency wars, to related geopolitical tensions, to the economics of actual supply-demand equations, there is no shortage of theories as to the reasons behind the recent tumble in crude, or if such a decline bodes ill or well for the economy of main street.
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Sunday, December 14, 2014
Gold and Silver Dreaming of a White Christmas / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jesse
Stocks continued lower, putting in their worst week since May 2012.
Oil cracked into the $50's. We paid 2.25 per gallon for regular gasoline yesterday. Supply has been healthy, but demand has been off. So this is a mixed bag. We need to keep an eye on retail sales and wages.
I have a suspicion that a lot of the stock selling is part of an end of year portfolio cleansing. We will know more if we see how it goes next week.
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Saturday, December 13, 2014
Gold And Silver - Wall Street, aka United States, Pulls Off Another Destructive Coup / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Michael_Noonan
The clichéd definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.
There is no room for sanity in the United States, anymore, and the public is sleepwalking through it all. Arguably, this has been carefully orchestrated by the elites over the past century, as in 100 years and not just in the past decade or so. Capitalism is dead in the US, and has been for decades. Ironically, China and Russia are far more capitalistic. Once the elites took over the money supply, with the passage of the Federal Reserve Act in 1913, there was a concerted effort to take over all media and start a propaganda scheme that is far superior than any other country in effective population control.
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Saturday, December 13, 2014
Gold and Silver Starting to Show Bullish Signs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
We've believed that Gold would need to break $1100 before we thought a bottom could start to develop. While that could still be the case, we are starting to see building evidence that precious metals could be forming a bottom.
In the past we've written about the importance of Gold's performance against other asset classes. Relative strength in Gold has preceded important bottoms in the Gold price during 2001, 2005 and 2008. That relative strength is starting to show. Below we plot Gold against various asset classes, which are noted in the chart. Several days ago Gold against foreign currencies (and the Euro) closed at a 15-month high. Gold has also moved to a 13-month high against Commodities. Also Gold may have bottomed against global equities as it has held support three times in 2014. Gold is weak only against the S&P 500.
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Friday, December 12, 2014
Commodities - Is Inflation Oversold? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Gary_Tanashian
First, for all you right minded wording detectives out there, you are absolutely right… inflation is not rising prices and deflation is not dropping prices. Also, deflation is not two measures of a heavily manipulated bond market (chart 1) dropping impulsively. But for the sake of argument, let’s realize that Main Street does indeed call $4 regular at the pump “inflation” and every several years when a scare crops up they call dropping stocks and house prices “deflation”.
Here are some pictures of an over sold ‘inflation’ story, which put another way, is an over bought ‘deflation’ story.
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Friday, December 12, 2014
Gold Was The Safe Haven This Week / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
This week precious metals continued their recovery, with gold up $35 at $1220 and silver up about $1 at $17 this morning, thus building on the improved trend since gold bottomed nearly $90 lower at $1132 on 7 November.
Gold seems to be finding support at the 50-day moving average (MA), which currently stands at $1198 and now rising. The 200-day MA is at $1246, which suggests supply at this level could cap the rise for the moment: these levels matter to technical traders. On Comex there is evidence of some buying of gold futures, as opposed to bear closing, which is reflected in the rise in net contracts for the managed Money category shown in the chart below.
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Friday, December 12, 2014
New York Times on Benefits of Gold in Currency Wars / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldCore
The New York Times published an important article this week in which the benefits of gold to nation states during a period of currency wars was highlighted. The article was noteworthy as the New York Times has rarely covered gold in a positive manner.
Friday, December 12, 2014
Petro Dollar Ponzi Madness / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The drop in commodity, and especially oil prices, has been spectacular. The price action has generated a wide range of commentary. Some say this is a reflection of the true state of the global economy. Like the Baltic dry goods index or electricity consumption.
Some will say the fall in oil is deflationary - priced in as the inevitable confluence of factors ranging from demographics to lack of real economic growth manifest. Or it is more evidence of failed monetary policy. And paradoxically, another excuse to double down and go the way of Japan in pursuit of a lost decade muddle thru.
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Friday, December 12, 2014
2014 Silver Eagle Sales Break Annual Record at Over 43 Million! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jason_Hamlin
Silver Eagle sales in 2014 have already broken the 2013 annual record with a few weeks of sales still left to be counted. As of December 11, the U.S. Mint reported that 43.1 million silver eagles have been sold so far in 2014. This compares to the 42.7 million during all of 2013, which was the previous all-time record.
Friday, December 12, 2014
Will Crude Oil Kill The Zombies? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Raul_I_Meijer
Oil producer Russia hikes rates to 10.5% as the ruble continues to plunge, while fellow producer Norway does the opposite, and cuts its rates, but also sees its currency plummet. As Greek stocks lose another 7.35% after Tuesday’s 13% loss on rumors about what the left leaning Syriza party will or will not do if it wins upcoming elections, and virtually anonymous Dubai drops 7.42%. We all know the story of the chain and its weakest link, and beware, these really still ARE global markets.
Friday, December 12, 2014
Silver Price Bottom - Maybe / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Joseph_Russo
If you’re wondering whether silver has finally bottomed, just hang on because in a minute, we’re going to outline the 3-essential criteria points that will determine if this is going to be the case or not.
Is $14.10 all she wrote for silver bears? Technically, we cannot yet confirm this; however, I must admit that this particular bottom does appear rather alluring.
Don’t get your shorts all twisted in a bunch just yet people. Remember, you don’t want to fall prey to every pretty-looking bottom that comes along now, do you?
Friday, December 12, 2014
Low Crude Oil Prices Fuel Bonanza Increases in Ethanol Stocks / Commodities / Ethanol
By: The_Energy_Report
Chen Lin was one of the very few who foresaw the collapse in oil prices, so investors are well advised to pay attention to his advice. In this interview with The Energy Report, the author of the What is Chen Buying? What is Chen Selling? newsletter touts the prospects of a few oil companies that can prosper in the downturn, and explains why cheap oil means high profits for U.S. ethanol producers.
The Energy Report: You anticipated the collapse of the price of oil. How did you see this coming when so few others did?
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Thursday, December 11, 2014
Russia’s Unfazed by Falling Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Marin_Katusa
Oil is not quite as powerful a weapon against modern-day Russia as one might think.
By arguing that the slump in oil prices will finish off Russia just like it did the Soviet Union, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, writing in the Daily Telegraph, is forgetting how far Russia has come since those dark days.
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Thursday, December 11, 2014
Is Fracking the Cause of Slumping Commodities? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Harry_Dent
What is fracking? Fracking is the process of injecting liquid at high pressure into subterranean rocks, fissures, etc., in order to force them open and allow more oil and gas to flow out of the formation, allowing it to be extracted at greater volumes.
Are you aware that fracking stocks are down 40% in just over 5 months? If that doesn’t sound like a bubble about to burst, I don’t know what does.
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Thursday, December 11, 2014
Marc Faber Favours Commodity Stocks In India, Asia and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
Respected economic historian and author of the “Gloom, Boom and Doom Report,” Dr Marc Faber has warned about the continuing and coming decline of western economic power.
He believes that the generation of young people starting to work today will be the first in two hundred years to have a lower standard of living than their parents had. He believes dividend paying Asian stocks will grow wealth in the coming years and remains an advocate of owning physical gold.
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Thursday, December 11, 2014
Clearing The Decks For The Crude Oil Subprime Rout / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Andrew_McKillop
The Clown Prince of Overpriced Oil Bows Out
Andy Hall, the celebrated speculator on rising oil prices and related asset values is bowing out. Not long ago, he was still loudly telling the boomers that oil prices would inevitably bounce and could soon hit $150 a barrel, partly due to US shale oil "being a dud". Hall railed at anybody, like me, or Hall's pet hate, Citigroup's Edward L. Morse, who dared to argue that $75 for a barrel of oil is a very reasonable price – in fact a lot more than today's price! US natural gas and world coal, for example, provide energy at around $25 to $30 per barrel equivalent. Is oil really worth that much more? If so, why?
Thursday, December 11, 2014
Crude Oil Price Tumbles After OPEC Releases 2015 Forecast / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
The demand for oil in 2015 will drop to its lowest level since 2002 because of an oversupply of crude and stagnant economies in China and Europe, according to OPEC's latest forecast. And that's just one of several sour estimates.OPEC's monthly report said demand for the cartel's oil will fall to 28.9 million barrels per day next year, 280,000 barrels lower than its previous forecast and the lowest in 12 years. Add to that a new report from the US government's Energy Information Administration (EIA), which also cut its 2015 forecast for growth in global oil demand by 240,000 barrels per day, down to 880,000 barrels per day.
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Thursday, December 11, 2014
Where Are Crude Oil Bulls? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
Although crude oil hit a fresh multi-year low after the market's open, the commodity rebounded in the following hours supported by a weaker greenback. In this way, light crude gained 0.40%, but still remains under the previous lows. What's next?
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Thursday, December 11, 2014
Where the Big Global Oil Players are Putting Their Money Now / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Marina and I are headed back to sunny Florida. It will be a welcome change from the brisk weather in London.
Not that I had much time to take in the scenery…
While my better half sampled the shops in Kensington High Street, I was in high level meetings in a place known as “The City.”
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