Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, May 20, 2016
GOFO and Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The Gold Forward Offered Rate (GOFO) is the swap rate for a gold-to-U.S. dollar exchange. In other words, it is a rate at which someone is ready to lend gold on a swap basis against greenbacks (the benchmark used to be quoted by a few banks involved in the rate-setting process which were prepared to lend gold to each other). For example, if someone owns gold and wants to borrow U.S. dollars, he can use gold as collateral to secure the loan. The GOFO is the interest rate on that loan. Since gold is an excellent collateral (it’s portable and liquid), the GOFO rates used to be relatively small. Actually, certain rates were sometimes negative in what signaled high physical demand.
Thursday, May 19, 2016
Gold - Pro-Inflation? Anti-USD? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
This is the opening segment from the May 15 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 395. I am releasing it for public viewing because it seems, the title’s question has come roaring to the forefront this week. So the information (including the charts) is slightly dated, but becoming intensely relevant as of now.
We anticipated an ‘inflation trade’ or Anti-USD asset market bounce and this has been going on since mid-February. That was when silver wrestled leadership from the first mover, gold (which bottomed in December and turned up in January), and a whole host of other global asset markets began to rise persistently.
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Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Massive Silver Price Rally During The Coming US Dollar Collapse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Hubert_Moolman
I have written extensively about how the current silver bull market is similar to the 70s. Despite these similarities, silver will (ultimately) perform much better than during the 70s.
The fractal analysis of the US Dollar Index (below) shows some more similarities and differences between the 70s era and now. I believe that these further supports the expectation that silver will perform much better than it did during the 70s.
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Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Dumb Debt's Of America , Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Vimal_Patel
A Solution to this big problem .Assuming everything is manipulated - Stock markets , Gold and Silver paper contracts , treasuries
Assuming anyhow this debt cannot be ever repaid by conventional means
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Wednesday, May 18, 2016
George Soros Buying Gold ETF And Gold Shares In Q1 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
George Soros, who once called gold “the ultimate bubble,” has resumed buying the gold ETF and shares after a three-year hiatus.
Tuesday, May 17, 2016
Gold Price Possible $200 Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Bob_Loukas
Gold Rally
In my opinion, gold’s Cycle is setup well for a surprise, $200 Gold rally. Gold has reached an interesting crossroads and based on the Cycle position, some significant volatility lies ahead. The Gold sector is doing well, and has held up after impressive gains. It has seen a couple of weeks of price consolidation, but no serious selling. This points to a strong underlying bid, and is reflective of a bull market.
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Tuesday, May 17, 2016
Gold, Silver, Mining Shares: Big Drop Dead Ahead! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time I wrote, I pointed to May 19th as being a likely, important bottom in the precious metals complex. It is May 16th in the evening as I write this. If I’m correct, the next three days should prove to be huge down, especially for the miners. Most analysts admit that we are overdue for a correction, but they have no idea how fast and furious it may turn out be.
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Tuesday, May 17, 2016
Divergence Between Oil and Oil Stocks Signals Decline in Oil-Related ETFs / Commodities / Oil Companies
By: The_Energy_Report
Technical analyst Jack Chan reports the energy sector cycle is down and a multiweek correction is in progress, and discusses what that means.
Tuesday, May 17, 2016
Gold Speculation at All-Time High, but Gold Price Remains Below 2015 High / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Jack Chan reports that although gold speculation is at an all-time high, the gold price has not followed suit.
Monday, May 16, 2016
Here's Why the Gold and Silver Futures Market Is Like a Rigged Casino... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Clint Siegner writes: A respectable number of Americans hold investments in gold and silver in one form or another. Some hold physical bullion, while others opt for indirect ownership via ETFs or other instruments. A very small minority speculate via the futures markets. But we frequently report on the futures markets – why exactly is that?
Saturday, May 14, 2016
Gold Mining Stocks - Getting A Heartbeat / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Richard_Mills
PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP (PwC) has recently released their 48th annual British Columbia Mining Report.
We all know commodity prices have been on a downward trend for the past five years. We also know several mines in the province have been put on care and maintenance and many early stage projects have seen their funding dry up.
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Saturday, May 14, 2016
Goldcorp Is Back and Spending: Could West Red Lake Gold Mines Be Next? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Goldcorp is fresh off an announced transaction of $520M for Kaminak Gold, which is a big win for the industry. The company has been quietly putting dollars in juniors, like $16M in Gold Standard Ventures, and there could be more to come. In this article, Resource Maven Gwen Preston discusses possible target West Red Lake Gold Mines and how this company is shaping up to take advantage of the initial turnaround in the market.
Saturday, May 14, 2016
Gold & Silver Demand Skyrockets as “Chinese Floor” Ensures Upward Price Moves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
There’s been some big news out of China lately, and today we’ll dive deeper into the discussion when I welcome in Gordon Chang. Mr. Chang is one of the foremost experts on the Chinese economy and has written a book titled The Coming Collapse of China. He’ll tell us why he believes an epic collapse is imminent and what it all means for the Western financial world and why he believes there is what he calls a Chinese floor on the gold price. Don’t miss an incredibly enlightening interview with Gordon Chang, coming up after this week’s market update.
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Friday, May 13, 2016
Gold Miners’ Q1’16 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks have skyrocketed this year as investors started returning to this long-abandoned sector. Many have doubled since January, with plenty tripling or even quadrupling. Naturally such fast gains raise concerns about whether they are actually fundamentally justified or merely the product of fleeting sentiment that could reverse. Gold miners’ latest quarterly results offer great fundamental insights.
Companies trading on the US stock markets are required by the Securities and Exchange Commission to file quarterly earnings reports four times a year. For normal quarters that don’t end fiscal years, these 10-Q reports are due 45 calendar days after quarter-ends. They are a great boon to financial-market transparency and investors seeking to understand companies, yielding a treasure trove of information.
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Friday, May 13, 2016
Gold, Silver and the Stock Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
I could write a long, detailed post trying to encompass global stock markets (generally bearish), commodities (bounce very mature) and bonds (mixed views, depending upon the flavor) but that is what I get paid to do each weekend in NFTRH reports and in private posts at the site. The beauty of public posts is that I can write as much or as little as I feel like writing. Today I feel like writing a little about gold (and silver) and the stock market. I also feel like using daily charts because I think time frames are pinching in for upcoming pivotal moves.
Friday, May 13, 2016
Gold Lease Rates and Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Are gold lease rates (GLR) really one of the major drivers of the price of gold, as is often cited? A lease rate is the market price for borrowing or lending the particular asset. Obviously, the gold lease rate is the cost of borrowing gold. In much the same way that individuals borrow dollars, pay interest, and then return dollars to the lender, gold bullion participants borrow gold, pay a borrowing cost, and return the gold to the lender. So much for the Buffet's claim that gold has no yield. Surely, gold stored in a vault does not yield, but when it is lent, it accrues interest. No matter how counterintuitive it may sound, some gold owners (the lending and borrowing of gold is generally reserved for the entities operating in the wholesale market, such as bullion bankers, mining companies, jewelry producers, etc.) do earn interest on gold. This proves that gold is more like currency rather than other commodities, because just like any currency, it can be lent and earn interest. Such lending transactions in the gold market are often referred to as lease transactions and interest rate applied to such lending is called gold lease rate (GLR).
Friday, May 13, 2016
Gold Stocks Correction or Final Push Higher? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Despite maintaining an overbought condition and despite the recent bearish posture of many sector pundits, the gold stocks have yet to correct more than 11%. Since the end of January the gold stocks have held above their 50-day moving averages, which is often support during a strong trend. If the gold stocks break their lows of the past two weeks then it should usher in a 20% correction and correct the current overbought condition. However, if gold stocks do not break initial support they could begin a melt-up that would lead to a more serious correction in the summer.
Thursday, May 12, 2016
Three Overlooked, Undervalued Picks for Today's Energy Market / Commodities / Oil Companies
By: The_Energy_Report
The energy sector is a tricky place to invest right now, with a fine line separating the next bankruptcy candidate from a tenbagger. Chen Lin of the popular newsletter What Is Chen Buying?, What Is Chen Selling? helps investors navigate this minefield with three companies he believes will come out on top.
Thursday, May 12, 2016
Gold Daily and Silver Gathering Storm / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
"Some touch of the artist wells up within me, and calls insistently for a well-staged performance. Surely our profession, Mr. Mac, would be a drab and sordid one if we did not sometimes set the scene so as to glorify our results. The blunt accusation, the brutal tap upon the shoulder - what can one make of such a denouement?
But the quick inference, the subtle trap, the clever forecast of coming events, the triumphant vindication of bold theories - are these not the pride and the justification of our life's work? At the present moment you thrill with the glamour of the situation and the anticipation of the hunt. Where would be that thrill if I had been as definite as a timetable?” - Arthur Conan Doyle, Sherlock Holmes: The Valley of Fear
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Thursday, May 12, 2016
Global Gold Investment Demand Surges Record 122% In Q1, 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Global gold demand surged a record 21% and gold investment demand a record 122% in Q1, 2016 according to the World Gold Council who released their ‘Gold Demand Trends Q1 2016’ report today.