Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, May 22, 2017

James Rickards: Gold’s “Decisive Turn Around” – “Next Stop Is $1,300 Or Higher” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

James Rickards via Daily Reckoning

But the most important development this week may be the one you never heard about on the news or the internet.

On May 10, gold launched a decisive turnaround from its most recent decline.

Monday, May 22, 2017

Gold and Sillver Markets - Silver Price Sharp Selloff - 22nd May / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the precious metals market, noting a price bounce off positive divergence

Saturday, May 20, 2017

Gold Somewhat Ignores US Dollar Weakness / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The precious metals complex rebounded as expected after becoming very oversold just a few weeks ago. The rebound has been aided by weakness in the US Dollar, which plunged roughly 2% over several days. However, upon further inspection Gold’s rebound has been entirely dollar-centric. Gold has remained weak in real terms and strength in the gold stocks and Silver has been rather muted. In short, the lack of much stronger performance in the face of US Dollar weakness bodes for increasing downside risk over the near term.

Friday, May 19, 2017

Gold Mining Junior Stocks GDXJ 2017 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The junior gold miners’ stocks suffered a serious thrashing between mid-April and early May.  Relentless heavy selling blasted many back down near deep mid-December lows, leaving sentiment in tatters.  But traders distracted by weak technicals need to keep their eyes on the fundamental ball.  The gold juniors just finished their Q1 earnings season, which was solid.  Their low stock prices are disconnected from reality.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  These are generally due by 45 days after quarter-ends in the US and Canada.  They offer true and clear snapshots of what’s really going on operationally, shattering the misconceptions bred by the ever-shifting winds of sentiment.  There’s no junior-gold-miner data that is more highly anticipated.

Friday, May 19, 2017

The End of Reflation? Implications for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In the previous editions of the Market Overview, we wrote about the reflation trade. We analyzed the important signals of the uptick in economic activity and inflation all over the world, arguing that the upcoming reflation does not look encouraging for the gold bulls. However, we now see signs that reflation is weakening. What happened and what are the implications for the gold market?

As a reminder, reflation started to attract the attention of investors at the end of 2016 and was based on two pillars: 1) Trump’s rally, i.e. rising expectations about the fiscal stimulus provided by the new administration, and 2) accelerating global inflation and economic growth. As a result, interest rates surged, while the price of gold plunged.

Friday, May 19, 2017

Gold Update…Shaking The Tree / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Rambus_Chartology

There is a pattern forming on gold which wasn’t there yesterday. With yesterday’s big move up and no follow through to the upside today there is a potential H&S top building out. Many times I will use a neckline symmetry line which is taken from the neckline and moved up to the top of the left shoulder to show the possible high for the right shoulder. There is another technique I use where I will use a horizontal line from the top of the left shoulder that can sometimes show the height for the right shoulder. Today’s high at 1265 matches the high for the left shoulder. I’ve been showing the possible neckline as a S&R line, but now after yesterday’s move it’s looking more like a possible neckline. The breakout will come into play around the 1220 area which will confirm the H&S top.

Friday, May 19, 2017

Gold and Silver Trading Alert: New Important Technical Development / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

During yesterday’s session, the USD Index plunged once again and so did the general stock market, while gold rallied over $20 and we see a new major technical development that we’ve been expecting to see for some time now. What’s new and what changed?

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Silver: Train Leaving Station Soon! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

Silver prices are rising along the bottom of a 20 year log scale trend channel (shown later). There are no guarantees in a manipulated paper market, such as COMEX silver, but it is possible that silver prices will collapse further, or more likely, move substantially higher, sooner rather than later.

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Here’s The Truth About Russia’s OPEC Crude Oil Cuts / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: John_Mauldin

By Geopolitical Futures : In December 2016, Russia joined OPEC in a pledge to cut oil production by roughly 1.2 million barrels per day.

And for the first quarter of 2017, OPEC largely made good on its pledge. It produced 1.1 million fewer barrels of oil per day in the first quarter of 2017 than it did in the final quarter of 2016.

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Gold Investment & The Tech Stocks Bubble / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

by Jan Skoyles, Editor Mark O’Byrne : Tech is the umbrella word for all things fashionable to invest in right now. Take the recent flotation of Snap Inc. (parent company of teen and narcissists’ favourite app SnapChat), everyone wanted in on the $20 billion flotation.

Snap is likely a sign of a tech bubble that will cost a lot of savers and investors huge amounts of money … again.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Gold Prices Spike On Heavy Volume On Trump Risks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

Gold prices rose for a fifth day to a two week high in early European trading on increasing U.S. political risk pertaining to the Trump Presidency and the increasing risk of impeachment and a U.S. political civil war.

Stocks and U.S. Treasury bond yields tumbled as investors moved cash into safe-haven gold amid a global market selloff.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Gold $10,000 May Be Reasonable; Or Wishful Thinking; Or Meaningless / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

Is $10,000 gold reasonable?

Right now, from gold’s current price point of $1240.00 per ounce, we are speaking of an eight fold increase to get to that gloriously celebrated (at least by some) number.  Even if the specific price target is more modest – say $7000.00 per ounce – it is still a huge jump from where we are today. 

It is, however, a reasonable possibility.  Between August 1976 and January 1980, gold rose from $100.00 per ounce to over $800.00 per ounce.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Is It A Bull Market Or Bear Market In Precious Metals? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

By Avi Gilburt : First published on Saturday May 13 for members of ElliottWaveTrader.net: Without fail, each and every time the metals have dropped since bottoming over a year ago, many panic and proclaim the bear market to have returned. Moreover, many have looked to the USD as their guide to what the metals will do, and are completely befuddled when the dollar trades in tandem with the metals, as we have seen for almost two months.

As for me, well, since I was taught at a young age not to “ASSUME,” I only listen to price and try to ignore emotion as much as humanly possible. For this reason, I rely on my analysis to make decisions, as relying upon emotion often puts you on the wrong side of the market at the exact worst time.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

A ‘Must-See’ Chart for Gold and Silver Aficionados  / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Peter_Degraaf

Every now and then a chart appears that provides us with a great opportunity.

The following chart fits that mold.

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

How Silver Price Could Rally Significantly Over The Coming Months / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Hubert_Moolman

The silver price and the US Dollar/South African Rand exchange rate (USD/ZAR) have a very interesting relationship that goes back a long way.

In the long run, the two move in opposite directions. When the USD/ZAR rate is moving up, the silver price is moving down, and vice versa. Furthermore, when the USD/ZAR rate is making a top, then a bottom in silver is normally very close (before or after the USD/ZAR peak).

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Submissions

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Silver: Don't Miss the Opportunity of a Lifetime - AGAIN! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Submissions

Peter Ginelli writes: Silver is and has always been one of the most essential metals on the planet, and yet it has never received the respect it deserves as does gold.

If tomorrow morning we wake up and discover there is no gold on the planet, only three groups of people would miss it: banks which use it as partial reserve, private investors who use it as a hedge and the general consumers who buy it in the form of jewelry.

Monday, May 15, 2017

Crude Oil Price Correction / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Ed_Carlson

    Crude gained $1.62/bbl. last week and closed at 47.84 but still below the 200-dma. BWI (bandwidth indicator) fell in non-confirmation of the rally.

Support is at 45.25. I suspect we will see a run to the 200-dma at 49.00 prior to new lows in crude however, the detrended oscillator is overbought warning of a pullback early this week.

Monday, May 15, 2017

Wealth Protection: Two Cautionary Tales from France and the American South / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: HAA

On May 7, Marine Le Pen's defeat in France's presidential election secured an integrated EU and had many investors breathing a sigh of relief.

Had the election gone her way, French workers could have seen the devaluation of their euro-denominated pensions if Le Pen had made good on plans to quit the currency in favor of returning to the franc.

Monday, May 15, 2017

Gold and Sillver Markets - Silver Price Sharp Selloff / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the precious metal markets, noting the impacts of a sharp selloff in silver.