Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, May 30, 2017

Preparing for THE Bottom: Part 1 - Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

If we look at gold from the long-term perspective, it’s clear that it hasn’t really done much in the recent months – it’s trading in the $1,200 - $1,250 range, which is where it was in the first half of 2016, first half of 2015, for most of 2014 and in the second half of 2013. Overall, despite short-term and medium-term price swings, not much has happened in the past few years.

Tuesday, May 30, 2017

Why Sharia Gold and Bitcoin Point to a Change in Views / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

• New gold-backed currency OneGram launched
• Backed by one-gram of gold, uses blockchain technology
• OneGram is first in wave of new Shariah, tech-savvy gold products
• 2017 sees big changes for gold thanks to Shariah gold and blockchain
• Gold investors should prepare for tightening in supply
• Bitcoin and shariah gold demand suggest change in retail investor thinking

Tuesday, May 30, 2017

Gold And Silver Price Seasonality…June Worst Month? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: I_M_Vronsky

It is universally known that there are many, many sundry factors that can affect the price of gold and silver.  To name just a few: Political Environment, Value of the US Dollar and the Euro, Commitment of Traders, Possible Manipulation by the Fed, US Fed Policies Regarding the Level of Interest Rates, International Belligerent Turmoil, the Relative Value of the Stock Markets…and last but NOT LEAST THE SEASONALITY of Precious Metal Prices.

This analysis will only focus on THE SEASONALITY of Precious Metal Prices as there enumerable encyclopedic reviews of all the other factors affecting gold and silver prices. Specifically, what has been the average monthly price variance of the price of gold or silver for the 12 months over a period. In an effort to seek objectivity, we have selected Seasonality Charts from several pundit sources.

Tuesday, May 30, 2017

What Happened to Bitcoin? / Commodities / Bitcoin

By: GoldCore

• Bitcoin hits $2,700, a 500 fold increase in five years and doubling in price since May 1st.
• Previous surges – in 2011 and 2013 – have been followed by dramatic crashes
• Significant premiums seen in Asia, over USD price
• Total cryptocurrency market cap reached over $90bn, last week
• Market remains small and volatile
• Comparisons between bitcoin and gold are old, invalid and misleading
• Both bitcoin and gold offer opportunities to diversify away from corrupt financial system

Monday, May 29, 2017

Gold Broke Above Triangle Pattern on 4-hour Chart / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Submissions

Franco Shao writes: XAUUSD broke above the triangle patter on its 4-hour chart last Friday and continued its short term bullish movement from the May 9 low of 1214.17, and the price extended to as high as 1269.37. Near term support is at around 1255, as long as this level holds, the bullish move could be expected to continue over the next several days.

Monday, May 29, 2017

Gold Proprietary Cycle Indicator is Down - 29th May / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets, noting COT data supports higher silver prices.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.

Monday, May 29, 2017

How Investors Can Profit From The Coming Resource Wars / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: OilPrice_Com

Monday, May 29, 2017

The Vienna Deal: Only Temporary Relief in Oil Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Dan_Steinbock

The Vienna agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers will extend oil cuts by nine months. After the deal, oil price plummeted by about 5 percent. Far more is needed to subdue new economic uncertainty and market volatility.

Among the oil insiders, the decision to extend oil production cuts was seen as a done deal well before last week's Vienna meeting. But as I have argued in the past few years, investors seek assurances of longer production cuts. That is vital in an era of huge energy overcapacity.

Monday, May 29, 2017

Gold vs. Gold Mining Shares – Just The Facts, Ma’am / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

“…but what I do know is the people running the company are practically married to their shareholders and investors, like you.”

That’s good to know.  After two decades of sharing their bed(s) with investors “like you” since the honeymoon period and birth of gold’s bull market in 1999/2000, the management of this particular gold mining company is still committed.  And, presumably, other companies’ managements are similarly committed. Are you? 

Monday, May 29, 2017

The Story Behind Continuing Strong Gold Bullion Coin Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Michael_J_Kosares

I have always considered sales of modern gold and silver bullion coins a bellwether on the general health of the global precious metals market. In reality, though, bullion coin sales comprise only a very small portion of the physical gold and silver markets. According to the World Gold Council, modern gold coins make up only about 13% of investment demand and a little less than 5% of overall demand.* Yet, as is often the case in statistical inquiry, it is the small and often unobserved, sometimes even ignored, that can accurately tell the larger story – particularly when it reflects the net effect of human action within the greater economy and financial markets.

Saturday, May 27, 2017

Gold Price and the Fed’s Shrinking Balance Sheet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The latest FOMC minutes suggest that the Fed may start decreasing its balance sheet later this year. There are many unknowns about this process, so we invite you to read our today’s article about the unwinding of the Fed’s balance sheet and find out how it could affect the gold market.

As we wrote in the Gold News Monitor, the latest FOMC minutes suggest that the Fed may start decreasing its balance sheet later this year. There are many unknowns about this process, so we will closely watch the U.S. central bank’s comments and actions in this context. But let’s dig into the subject with the information we have.

Saturday, May 27, 2017

Silver Mining Stocks Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The silver miners’ stocks have been slowly grinding higher this year, but it’s been a volatile ride.  This sector’s alternating surges and plunges have spawned outsized swings in sentiment, really distorting investors’ perceptions of the major silver miners.  But once a quarter earnings season arrives, revealing their hard fundamental realities which dispel the obscuring sentiment fogs.  The silver miners reported a solid Q1.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  These are generally due by 45 days after quarter-ends in the US and Canada.  They offer true and clear snapshots of what’s really going on operationally, shattering the misconceptions bred by the ever-shifting winds of sentiment.  There’s no silver-miner data that is more highly anticipated than quarterlies.

Friday, May 26, 2017

What Is Chen Buying? Gold, Cobalt, Phosphate and Biotech. . . / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

With the market in flux, Chen Lin of the popular newsletter What Is Chen Buying?, What Is Chen Selling? is hedging his bets with investments in a variety of companies in different sectors.

The market is taking one step back and two steps forward. The momentum is still carrying the market higher, though the internals started to show signs of weakness. The gold market is, in general, moving opposite to the market. If the market continues to rally, gold will come off. I believe gold will likely be range-bound in the near term, until the traditional gold run in the fall. There may be swing trading opportunities while we are waiting.

Thursday, May 25, 2017

What the Commodity Cycle Means for Precious Metals Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

The cycle for any commodity follows the same basic pattern…

When prices are low, production falls. As new supplies diminish, the market tightens and prices move higher. The higher prices incentivize producers to invest in production capacity and increase output. Eventually, the market becomes oversupplied, prices fall, and the cycle starts all over again.

Thursday, May 25, 2017

Should I Invest My Fortune in Gold? Inaugural Lecture by Dr Brian Lucey / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

PRESENTATION HIGHLIGHTS

– Should I invest my fortune in gold?
– Lessons from gold and silver: Reviewing the research
– What precious metals can tell us about finance?
– What are precious metals and why should we care?
– What size of market and how evolved over time?
– Long and detailed history of gold and silver as money
– What does a tonne of gold look like?

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

The No.1 Commodity Play In The World Today / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: OilPrice_Com

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Randgold Resources Short Term Bullish Sequence / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

Randgold Resources (NASDAQ: GOLD) was founded 22 years ago in 1995, it’s a gold mining business operating in Africa mainly in Mali. The price of Gold & Silver dropped significantly early this month, which put a lot of pressure on mining stocks, but Randgold was one of the strongest and managed to rally %14 to make new 2017 high. Let’s take a look at the technical chart to show the potential path.

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Gold and Silver Bullion Now Treated As Money In Arizona / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

Gold and Silver Bullion Now Treated As Money In Arizona

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Another Useless Gold Golden Cross Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Once again gold moved higher for some time, which once again made the short-term moving averages (including the 50-day moving average) rise faster than the long-term ones (including the 200-day moving average), which in turn generated the "all-important" golden cross and it is once again heavily commented by financial journalists and reported as something bullish.

There is one tiny problem with the above "analysis" - it's not analysis. Those, who are reporting this "bullish" development didn't check if it is indeed bullish – they are simply repeating the dictionary definition of the "golden cross" and they automatically assume that it applies to all markets, in which it is seen.

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

It’s Better to Buy Gold & Silver When It DOESN’T Feel Good / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back David Smith, Senior Analyst at The Morgan Report and regular contributor to MoneyMetals.com. David, thanks for joining us again. How've you been sir?

David Smith: Very good Mike, it's great to be back.

Mike Gleason: Well, before we get into other topics such as the Silver Institute's latest report on the silver market and also the article you wrote for us recently on digital currencies, crypto-currencies, and so forth, I first want to have you set the stage here on where we are and where we've been in the metals markets. The year got off to a good start in gold and silver and then in April, we saw the typical smack down on the futures markets. Silver, for instance, gave back nearly all of its gains during an unprecedented 16-day losing streak and fell about 12% over that period.