Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Are Gold and the US Dollar Rallying Together? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Clive_Maund

Technical analyst Clive Maund examines the relationship between the dollar and precious metals.The last gold Market update almost a month ago called the intermediate top within a day, as you may recall, and the subsequent Gold and U.S. Dollar called the rally in the dollar the day before it started. Having seen a significant reaction back by gold, the question now is "Has it run its course?" The short answer to that is yes, although calling a bottom here is complicated by the fact that gold's COTs have not eased as much on the reaction as we might have expected, and the dollar Hedgers' chart is still flat out bullish for the dollar. What this means is that we may need to see some bottoming action by gold, even if it soon breaks out of its rather steep short-term downtrend, and another possibility that we will examine is that the dollar and gold rally in tandem, a rare circumstance that could be occasioned by an extreme development such as an attack on North Korea, although if this happens the peoples of Seoul and Tokyo will doubtless have more important things to think about than the price of gold.

Monday, October 09, 2017

Is Silver Turning? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund discusses movements in the silver price. The last Silver Market update almost a month ago called the intermediate top within a day, as you may recall, and it has back to the extent predicted in that update.

There was more evidence of a turn in silver than gold on Friday, when a more obvious reversal candle appeared on its chart. On the 6-month chart we can see that a long-tailed candle occurred that approximates to a bull hammer where the price closed not far off the day's highs on the biggest volume for over a month. After its recent reaction this certainly looks like a reversal, especially as the downtrend channel has been converging. The earlier overbought condition has more than fully unwound and the price has dropped back into a zone of support.

Monday, October 09, 2017

Bitcoin Needs Electricity, Gold CONDUCTS Electricity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Frank Holmes, CEO and Chief Investment Officer at US Global Investors. Mr. Holmes has received various honors over the years, including being named America's Best Fund Manager for 2016 by the Mining Journal. He is also the co-author of the book The Goldwatcher: Demystifying Gold Investing and is a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business as well as right here on the Money Metals podcast. Frank, welcome back and thanks for joining us again. How are you today?

Monday, October 09, 2017

Gold and Silver on Major Buy Signal, The Cycle is Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.

Monday, October 09, 2017

If 'Bottoming Pattern' Develops, Oil Bear Market May Be Over / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the oil and gas markets.

$OSX is on a major sell signal.

Sunday, October 08, 2017

Gold Price Readying to Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold suffered a sharp pullback this past month, spawning bearish sentiment.  Futures speculators fled on surging Fed-rate-hike odds and new stock-market record highs.  That pounded gold lower despite strong investment demand.  This healthy sentiment-rebalancing retreat has left gold ready to rally again.  Both its technicals and seasonals are very bullish, and futures speculators’ selling overhang has considerably abated.

On September 7th, gold powered 1.1% higher to $1348.  That was exactly a 1.0-year high, gold’s best level seen since before Trump’s surprise election victory and the resulting extreme Trumphoria stock-market rally.  But since gold had surged 4.9% higher in less than two weeks, greed was mounting again.  So a couple trading days later, gold started selling off sharply and birthed this past month’s pullback.

Sunday, October 08, 2017

Gold Price in Q3 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The third quarter of 2017 was positive for the gold market. The yellow metal has gained more than 3 percent between July and the end of September. As one can see in the chart below, the price of gold jumped above $1,300 for a while and even approached the 2016 highs.

Friday, October 06, 2017

Graphite Seeing Some Upward Movement / Commodities / Graphene

By: The_Gold_Report

With graphite prices starting to move upward, Ron Struthers of Struther's Resource Stock Report provides a primer on graphite and discusses his evaluation method for graphite companies.

Lithium, graphite, vanadium, cobalt and other metals have been or are all starting to move higher. The graphite market has shown its first sign of life in a few years with some upward price pressure.

Friday, October 06, 2017

3 Billion Yahoo Accounts Hacked - Cyber Risk Highlights Gold's Importance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Yahoo admits every single one of 3 billion accounts hacked in 2013 data theft
– Equifax hacking and security breach exposes half of the U.S. population
– Some 143 million people vulnerable to identity theft
– Deloitte hack compromised sensitive emails and client data
– JP Morgan hacked and New York Fed hacked and robbed
– International hacking group steals $300 million
– Global digital banking  and financial system not secure

Thursday, October 05, 2017

Electric Cars Oil Paradigm Shift Dead Ahead / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Spock

The Chinese are holding their next national congress assembly from 18th October. This is a major event where macro policy for China is agreed and implemented. On the agenda will be the electrification of national road transport, with a plan to be all electric by 2050. This will achieve two objectives: Reduce pollution in the major cities and to be the global leader in the electric vehicle (EV) technology, and associated technologies. The Chinese are also building the infrastructure around the concept, including a huge electric grid upgrade across the country over the next 10 years, to cope with the additional load.

Thursday, October 05, 2017

Why is Gold Demand Weak? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldSilver

Jeff Clark : I gave a presentation to some corporate board members recently, and they had one primary question on their mind. Why is overall gold demand weak?

These are smart people. They’re successful, both professionally and with their investments. They even believe in owning a little gold. But they’ve been puzzled by the significant drop in demand for physical metal. They had some ideas, which were mostly right, but their main concern was if they were overlooking some critical factor that was making other investors ignore gold.

Thursday, October 05, 2017

Capital Destruction in Precious Metals and Banking / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses capital destruction in precious metals and banking.So there you have it. A clear breakout to all-time highs confirmed by every measure everywhere with momentum charging ahead and high-fives and champagne corks flying about with reckless abandon and serial glee. To quote Chuck Prince, who left Citigroup in 2007 with an exit bonus of around $12.5 million, $68 million in stock and options, $1.7 million pension, an office, a car and a driver for five years during which time Citigroup shed $64 BILLION in valuation, "As long as the music is playing, you've got to get up and dance." So when John Paulson's pit bull Marcelo Kim got up at the Denver Gold Show and assailed the gold mining executives for $85 billion in wealth destruction since 2010, perhaps it might have been instructive to remind him that one executive alone in the banking business (Prince) blew 75% of that on his own.

Thursday, October 05, 2017

Gold is up this year not just in Dollars but in Every Major Currency / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Michael_J_Kosares

“Even those of us who have been tracking gold’s progress for decades frequently give in to the ease of quoting gold’s value in terms of fiat currency – most commonly in US dollars. And yet, we have it the wrong way round. Gold is in fact the centre of the economic universe, and all the fiat currencies (including cryptocurrencies) revolve around gold.” – Jeff Thomas, InternationalMan.com

Wednesday, October 04, 2017

Tax Reform: Implications for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Axel_Merk

Last week, I got several calls asking me how U.S. tax reform will impact the price of gold. If you can answer this question, you might be able to answer how tax reform will impact other assets. Let me explain.

If you were to analyze the impact of any tax changes on any asset, you have two sets of dynamics to consider: those of the tax reform and those of the asset. What makes the comparison to gold unique is that gold is, if I may call it such, the purest of all assets because it doesn’t change. It is the world around it that changes.

Wednesday, October 04, 2017

Safe Haven Silver To Outperform Gold In Q4 And In 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Safe haven silver to outperform gold in Q4 and 2018
– “Expect silver to eventually outperform gold” say Metals Focus
– 2017 YTD, silver has underperformed gold, climbing by 5% versus 11%
– Silver undervalued versus gold and especially stocks, bonds and many property markets
– Will follow gold’s reactions to macroeconomic & geopolitical factors and should outperform gold
– Special report on India shows it accounts for just 16% of global silver demand
– Silver a “safe haven at times during which gold failed to be” according to academic research

Wednesday, October 04, 2017

The Next Big Offshore Oil Boom Is About To Happen Here / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

Say what you will about offshore oil and gas exploration, but it’s still alive and kicking—high production costs and all. The latest demonstration of the viability of deepwater projects, even in the post-2014 oil industry era, comes from none other than Brazil.

On Wednesday, the country’s National Petroleum Agency put 287 oil and gas blocks up for auction, and only 37 found buyers. Too few, it might seem at first. But the proceeds came in at more than US$1.2 billion—a hefty share of this pledged by heavyweight Exxon. The NPA’s expectations for the proceeds were much more modest, at $157 million.

Wednesday, October 04, 2017

U.S. Mint Gold Bullion Coin Sales Dive as Buyers Take Advantage of Secondary Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

The U.S. Mint is on track for the lowest sales of American Eagle coins in almost a decade. The 2008 financial crisis began a historic ramp up in sales that lasted for years. 20,583,000 silver American Eagles sold that year, more than double the 2007 total of 9,028,036 coins.

In all but one year thereafter the Mint set a new record. Sales peaked in 2015 at 47,000,000 Silver Eagle coins – 5 times the number sold before the world discovered just how rickety the global financial system actually is.

Tuesday, October 03, 2017

Will North Korea Boost Gold Prices? Part2 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The turn of 2012 to 2013 was a time of escalated tensions between North Korean and the U.S, comparable to recent strains. Hence, the analysis of that period should be valuable for gold investors curious whether (and how) the latest crisis on Korean Peninsula would affect the precious metals market. On December 12, 2012, North Korea successfully launched a long-range rocket, testing a banned ballistic missile and raising nuclear stakes. In response, the U.N. Security Council approved the broadening of sanctions. But North Korea ignored them and on February 12, 2013 it undertook an underground nuclear bomb test. As the test triggered another, even harsher sanctions, North Korea threatened the U.S. with a preemptive nuclear strike on March 7. On March 30, North Korea declared a “state of war” against South Korea, and Kim Jong-un said that “rockets were ready to be fired at American bases in the Pacific.” On April 2, the North Korean military declared that the war could break out “today or tomorrow”. Tensions remained elevated until May, but they did not boost gold prices. Actually, in April there was a historic slide, as the next chart shows. Hence, if history is any guide, the fresh unease about North Korea will not provide any sustained support for the gold prices.

Tuesday, October 03, 2017

Will Crude Oil Drop under $50 in Coming Week? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Although the price of black gold increased a bit on Friday, the commodity closed the whole week below important resistance lines and invalidated earlier breakouts. What does it mean for crude oil?

Crude Oil’s Technical Picture

Let’s take a closer look at the charts below and find out (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

Tuesday, October 03, 2017

This Tech Breakthrough Will Save The Electric Car Market / Commodities / Electric Cars

By: OilPrice_Com