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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Sunday, May 13, 2018

The Truth About Gold That Neither Bugs Nor Bulls Want to Admit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Graham_Summers

Let’s talk about Gold as an investment.

Gold is one of the most divisive asset classes on the planet. Stock-centric investors such as Warren Buffett think it’s a worthless “pet rock” that fails to appreciate in value. Gold bugs, on the other hand, revere the precious metal with an almost religious-like ferocity.

Both of these views are misguided particularly when you apply them to a framework that involves TIME.

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Commodities

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Silver Forecast 2018 and Beyond, Investing for the $35+ Price Spike! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Silver the poor mans gold has so far failed to show any spark of life this year, opening the 2018 at $17.20, and then briefly rallying to a February peak of $17.60 before turning and remaining negative for the year, under performing Gold which has managed to remain positive for the year as both precious metals have effectively flat lined since their February highs, with Silver remaining stuck within a tight trading range of between $16.90 and $16.10 which is a far cry from the bullish expectations of many Silver bugs at the start of the year.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 12, 2018

Trump’s Iran-Decision Did-not and Won’t Affect Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_Butter

:Unless U.S.A. decides to go to War to Impress Stormy Daniels.

  • By some reports, President Trump’s Iran-decision caused oil prices to “jump 3%”. Actually that was intra-day; the change day-on-day was 1.7%. The probability the mini-jump was not caused by the announcement is 59%; since the null-hypothesis needs less than 5% to be called “statistically-significant”, that’s not.  The probability is 86% if you do four-day changes, i.e. even less probable.
  •  The day after Benjamin Netanyahu made his presentation on Iran, oil prices dropped 2.8%; which, intriguingly, is “statistically significant” (P>[t]=0.0438*); perhaps  the markets’ take; was that they figured the likelihood of an interruption in Iranian oil supplies, or a war, was less likely, after they heard the presentation?
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Commodities

Friday, May 11, 2018

Navigating The Bullish Crude Cycle / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Science_Investing

From A Technical Analysis Perspective
Crude remains short-term bullish as long as the nearest WTI contract trades above the blue dotted horizontal support region.

Oil ran up and made higher highs inside the pale blue trend channel. The progress got confirmed by geopolitical newsflow. Moreover, the most important commodity price gained despite a stronger US dollar. A breakout above the January 2018 high got further traction after being retested at the end of April 2018. Oil prices surpassed the solid blue trendline spanning back to June 2016 this trading week. We asses that as a fake breakout as part of a leading diagonal. Oil prices are likely to correct into the 66.50-67.00 region before resuming the uptrend.

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Commodities

Friday, May 11, 2018

The Precious Metals Conundrum / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

First published on Sun May 6, 2018 for members of ElliottWaveTrader.net: A sideways correction lasting a year and a half certainly does a lot to sour investors on a market. And, even though we have not dropped below 20 in GDX this entire time and the GLD has been consolidating just under its breakout region for months, the bearishness and frustration in the complex is palpable. In fact, I have even seen people calling for sub $1000 gold again, and we have not even broken a single support level yet. For me, this is a head scratcher.

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Commodities

Friday, May 11, 2018

Gold GLD Update…All Aboard ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

This first chart is a daily line chart for GLD which shows it has completed 5 reversal points so far and is working on the all important 6th reversal point back up to the top rail. This is where the bulls need to step up to the plate.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 09, 2018

A Bottom in GOLD and a Top in CRUDE! / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Enda_Glynn

UPCOMING RISK EVENTS:

USD: PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m.
EUR: N/A.
GBP: N/A.
JPY: N/A.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 09, 2018

Supercycle May Be Setting Up for Higher Commodity Demand / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: The_Gold_Report

Conditions may be in place for increased demand and increased prices for a number of commodities. In this interview with Streetwise Reports, Frank Holmes, CEO of U.S. Global Investors, discusses the commodity supercycle and the factors behind it, why some commodities may get more of a boost than others, and ways investors can profit.

The Gold Report: Frank, thank you for joining us today. Let's talk about the commodity supercycle. Would you explain what the supercycle is?

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 08, 2018

Gold’s Fundamentals are Not Bullish…Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Ask some gold bugs why Gold has not broken out yet and you will probably get the usual answers. Some will say it’s due to manipulation or price suppression. Others will mention the current rally in the US Dollar (while neglecting that the previous decline in the greenback was unable to take Gold to a new high). Few would say the fundamentals are not in place. No one can know for certain but Gold’s fundamentals have not improved over the past year and are not where they need to be to support a breakout.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 08, 2018

From Trumped Equities to Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Dan_Steinbock

Despite misguided economic policies and rising geopolitical tensions, the long market expansion has prevailed. But times may be changing.

With the Trump fiscal policies and rearmament, America is taking more debt than in decades, even though its sovereign debt now exceeds $21.2 trillion, or 106 percent of the GDP. As fiscal stimulus kicks in (read: Trump’s tax cuts), the deficit will widen.
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Commodities

Friday, May 04, 2018

Gold Hit by USDX Squeeze / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold was enjoying a solid spring rally until a couple weeks ago, nearing major upside breakouts.  But its nice advance has crumbled since, really weighing on sentiment.  Gold fell victim to a rare major short squeeze in US Dollar Index futures.  The surging USDX motivated gold-futures speculators to flee rather aggressively.  But this will likely prove a short-lived anomaly, after which gold’s assault on highs will recommence.

Gold’s seasonally-atypical weakness over the past couple weeks is very important for speculators and investors to understand.  It had nothing at all to do with fundamentals, but was completely driven by the hyper-leveraged gold-futures traders.  These guys have long been fixated on the US dollar’s fortunes, looking to its benchmark US Dollar Index for trading cues.  That can slave gold’s price to the dollar at times.

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Commodities

Friday, May 04, 2018

Macro Changes for Gold and Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

Since early 2016 we have been carrying forward a theme illustrating that until the macro trends in place since 2011 change, the situation would be as is, stocks trending up and the precious metals in consolidation/correction. The current trends were kicked off symbolically, and functionally to a degree, by the Fed’s concoction of Operation Twist, a plan with the expressed goal of manipulating the macro (or in the Fed’s word, “sanitizing” inflation signals). Until this year it has been the gift that keeps on giving to unquestioningly bullish stock market participants.

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Commodities

Friday, May 04, 2018

US Dollar Cycle Rotation To Boost Oil & Other Commodities / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our recent analysis of the US Dollar has presented a very unique and interesting setup for traders – an opportunity for a general commodity rally with Oil leading the way.

Taking a look at this Daily chart of the UUP (US Dollar Index Bullish Fund) with our Advanced Dynamic Learning Cycles price modeling system applied to it, we can see that the cycle analysis is predicting a rotational top in the US Dollar over the next 2~5+ trading days before a new bearish price trend pushes this US Dollar fund back to below the $24 level.  We have highlighted the Resistance Zone in red and we believe this rotating top will play out fairly quickly as an excellent opportunity for traders.

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Commodities

Friday, May 04, 2018

Platinum Price Cycles Predict Big Upside Move / Commodities / Platinum

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I wanted to take a moment to alert everyone to a price cycle setup that may turn out to be one of the most dramatic price moves we've seen since 2008. The metals markets have recently made some news by breaking to new recent price highs. This price move prompted a number of major firms to announce new bullish directional forecasts for gold with predictions of $2500 to $3000 price levels in the near future. These future price predictions led me to consider what it would take for metals to rally more than 30% from current levels – and the answer became clear to me.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 03, 2018

A Long Term Gold Very Unpopular View / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Since roughly the middle of January of this year we’ve seen some big changes in character taking place in many different areas of the markets. After nearly two years of low volatility, which is much easier to take, volatility has come back with a vengeance and doesn’t seem to be slowing down much. Its been most obvious in the stock markets, but now the US dollar’s volatility has spiked which may be suggesting something is in the wind. What that something is can be anyone’s guess, but something changed in mid January of this year.

Tonight I would like to show you some old long term charts I built out four years or so ago after the top in the PM complex was established. Some of the longer term subscribers will remember them as they had a long term bearish tone to them if they played out. It’s been a long time since I posted some of these charts because for the last several years nothing much has changed which maybe coming to an end.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 03, 2018

The Case for Gold in the Era of Financial Virtual Reality / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Michael_J_Kosares

On the holodeck the markets are telling us something but we know not what

"John Locke, the British philosopher whose ideas fuelled the American Revolution, had a theory of knowledge and perception, which I always found annoying. Asked if we have an idea of the substance behind our perceptions, he said we had 'no such clear idea at all, and therefore signify nothing by the word substance but only an uncertain supposition of we know not what'. The philosophical debate has moved on in the centuries since Locke wrote. But his idea captures well the uneasy state of the world's financial markets. They are driven in the short run by perceptions, not reality. If many have the wrong impression, markets will move on that. But in the long run, markets move on matters of substance. And at present the economic substance is a 'something we know not what.'" - John Authers, Financial Times

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 02, 2018

Precious Metals Sector On a Long-term Buy Signal, Short term Mixed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan updates his gold and silver charts.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 02, 2018

The Coming Silver Supply Crunch Is Worse Than You Know / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldSilver

Jeff Clark : For data wonks like me, the annual Yearbooks from various gold and silver consultancies make for fun reading. You can always find little gems about what’s going on in the markets, and sometimes you can spot changes in trends early on. Seeing a compelling chart, especially one that’s not been widely reported, is almost as exciting as seeing my wife in a short skirt on date night.

Well, I’ve got a series of charts for you that point to a silver trend that is so entrenched in its development, so inevitable in its outcome, so inescapable in its consequences that it comes as close as one can get to a guarantee. And once fully underway, it will have major implications for the silver price, along with the availability of investment metal.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 01, 2018

What Can Alchemists Say About Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Alchemists are precious metals experts, aren’t they? So let’s see what we can learn from the latest issue of the Alchemist, the LBMA’s quarterly journal.

Silver Linings
Silver has been always in gold’s shadow. Could the accelerated and synchronized global growth finally boost silver? In his article, Jonathan Butler offers two arguments in favor of higher silver prices. First, in a world of synchronized growth, silver should outperform gold, as it has a much larger industrial base. In particular, the solar sector and vehicle electrification are very promising areas for silver demand. Second, silver seems to be undervalued. Historically, one needs 58 ounces of silver to buy an ounce of gold, but now it would take around 80 ounces.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 01, 2018

The Least Known and Best Performing Precious Metal / Commodities / Palladium

By: MoneyMetals

Gold and silver have risen substantially off the price bottom put in just 2-½ years ago, but the gains have yet to attract much notice. Gold has gained roughly 28% and silver is up 20%.

Meanwhile, another metal has more than doubled since bottoming. This performance should have been more than enough to catch the attention of metals investors, if only they were watching. The metal is palladium and, for those who haven’t paid much attention, it is time for a brief update.

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