Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, June 01, 2007
Copper Long-Term Bull Market - 2 / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Scott Wright writes : Five years into its amazing bull market, the king of the base metals continues to hold strong through a renewed onslaught of adversity. After an exciting 2006 that saw copper shatter all-time highs, this red metal continues to trade at levels that most thought improbable several years ago.
Copper's success has given it quality time in the spotlight which has ultimately garnered it increasing mainstream attention. Even on CNBC when headline metals quotes are periodically displayed, copper now shares real estate with gold and silver. But is the fame and fortune that copper had thrust upon it sustainable?
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Thursday, May 31, 2007
Silver has Turned the Corner with the Resumption of the Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver
The fundamental outlook for silver continues to be extremely bullish!
In 2003 I remember reading an article by Douglas Kanarowski titled: “ 70 Approaching Forces for Higher Silver prices ”. If Mr. Kanarowski were to re-write the article today, he could add several more reasons! [*]
Silver is being utilized more and more in nanotechnology applications. According to a recent report from NanoMarkets, a leading industry analyst firm based in California, the market for silver conductive inks is expected to rise from the current 176 million dollars per annum to 1.2 billion dollars during next 7 years. A seven-fold increase!
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Thursday, May 31, 2007
Gold $666 Closes at Fourth Best Month Ever and Rising? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
"...Gold just closed out its fourth best month ever. Its monetary opponents, meantime, continue scrapping over which currency can sink the lowest, the fastest..."
OIL DOWN, gold up – and still the mass of investors, led by Wall Street, can't figure out what's driving this six-year bull market in bullion.
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Thursday, May 31, 2007
America's Uranium Solution is In-Situ Recovery Mining / Commodities / Uranium
Sean Brodrick writes: Last week, while at the U2007 Global Uranium Symposium, I visited three uranium projects. Two were on the conference agenda, one I was lucky to attend on a smaller, private tour. These tours taught me a lot about a particular type of uranium mining — one that will likely become the future face of uranium mining in the U.S.
Is there profit potential in this? You bet!
All three projects I visited use In-Situ Recovery (ISR). Basically, ISR uses water pumped under high pressure to extract uranium from rocks. At the Texas sites, the water is injected with a mix of either oxygen or carbon dioxide to dissolve the uranium from the surrounding rock.
It sounds weird, but it works. Oh, man, does it work! Using basically carbonated water, you can recover about 75% of a uranium resource and never dig a pit. Let me tell you why this technology is so important here in America …
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Thursday, May 31, 2007
Uranium Targets $150 whilst Gold Investors Worry / Commodities / Gold & Silver
I know this subject probably gets boring to hear about, but it is still at the top of the charts so it deserves coverage.
We are talking about uranium of course. But what about gold? Everyone is panicking over gold and I can tell by the emails I receive that many are wringing their hands in worry and anxiety. Do I know what gold will do tomorrow? Yes, I do. It will do what it wishes to do regardless of projections from optimists or the dooms day club.
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Wednesday, May 30, 2007
Why is Gold Trending Lower? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold and the HUI have been trending down. I hear various reasons proffered about why – central banks are selling – that is why gold is down – etc. Indeed, the Spanish central bank has sold 80 tons of gold in the last two months because they are seriously low on foreign reserves. That is another story.
But, I see very good macroeconomic reasons for gold to be tepid and down now. In fact, things like what the USD does are far more weighty to gold, than temporal central bank selling of gold. True, 40 tons is a lot, but compared to the financial mass of the USD for instance, that is literally a drop in the bucket.
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Wednesday, May 30, 2007
The Dollar: An Agonizing Reappraisal / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Part One of a New Series Gold Standard University : Gold Vanishing into Private Hoards
Introduction. While doing research in the Library of the University of Chicago in the early 1980's I came across the unfinished manuscript of a book with the title: The Dollar: An Agonizing Reappraisal . It was written in the year 1965. It has never been published (although it has received private circulation). The author, monetary scientist Melchior Palyi, a native of Hungary, died before he could finish it. Monetary events started to spin out of control in 1965, culminating in the default on the international gold obligations of the United States of America six years later in August,1971. Palyi had correctly prophesied that event which occurred after he died.
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Wednesday, May 30, 2007
The Bank of Montreal Follies, the Mainstream Media and More.. / Commodities / Derivatives
These guys should take this comedy routine on the road. It was just 10 days ago that I penned a piece called, Derivative Disaster: Deriving the Truth , where I commented,Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 28, 2007
Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Points: No Lack of Support / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Oroborean writes: This week saw a full cycle in the 60-min gold trend cycle chart and, as warned, the move up did not see a dramatic increase in price. This, of course became it's own warning signal. Stocks and metals both saw a pullback on Thursday that had most major indices breaking through long-standing trendlines and the 60-min gold chart racing back towards the bottom.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 27, 2007
Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 27th May 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold just keeps moving one day up and another day down, but in the end, mostly down. Is there an end?
GOLD : LONG TERM
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Friday, May 25, 2007
Silver Stocks on the Rise / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
While we await silver to press onto new highs, what is the current situation with silver mining stocks? If you go to Yahoo! Finance, you will find various indices to represent various mining companies with an emphasis on gold such as the HUI and the XAU. You will of course be able to check up on your favourite silver stock but there is no silver stock index one can consult. For that reason, I formulated my own Silver Analyst Stock Composite index or the SASC index for short. Its chart for the last 5 years is shown below being a composite of 14 well known stocks with a silver background. The 50 day and 200 day moving averages are also shown in red and green.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 25, 2007
Fade the Futures Gurus, Gold Futures CoT 2 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Adam Hamilton writes: I have loved reading my entire life, so when I am not studying the financial markets one of my favorite pastimes is reading great fiction. My favorite genre these days is the rich adventure/action stories spun out by brilliant authors like Clive Cussler, Jack Du Brul, and James Rollins. A good book makes even the very best movies seem like shallow grade-school plays by comparison.
Adventure stories often have history woven in as the heroes chase after some priceless artifact. Usually some ancient priest-type caste existed that hid the artifact away to protect it from a calamity in the past so our heroes can unlock its secrets in the present. These historical priests often used special knowledge that only they had, usually scientific in nature, to cement their power in the society.
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Friday, May 25, 2007
Exelon VP Thanks Speculators for Uranium Price Rise / Commodities / Uranium
We thought by now we'd heard it all. But the quote which follows, given to us in a tape-recorded telephone interview by the man who obtains nuclear fuel for the largest nuclear utility in the United States, surprised even us.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 24, 2007
Silver Market Update : Silver Bull Set to Resume / Commodities / Gold & Silver
While looking weaker than gold at this time, silver is expected to turn up shortly for the same reason as gold - the inflationary implications of an impending sharp rise in the oil price – the expected breakout by oil from its large Head-and-Shoulders bottom formation will project it to a minimum target at $80.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 24, 2007
Gold and Silver - Yes, they do ring a bell! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
The challenge is to be able to hear it when it is ringing.
The good news is that the bells for silver and gold are starting to ring again! Initially only a few people can hear them. In this essay we will look for these bells, and check to find out if they are loud enough to excite those investors who like to ‘buy low and sell high'. After all before we can sell high, we must first buy low!
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Wednesday, May 23, 2007
Gold Market Update - Crude Oil Breakout Inflationary for Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Oil is now very close to breaking out from the large Head-and-Shoulders bottom that we had earlier identified, and from the look of the latest oil COT chart, on which the Commercials short positions have shrunk dramatically, it is close to doing so – and if it does it will be on its way to $80 minimum. Needless to say this will be inflationary, and thus bullish for Precious Metals. Should this breakout occur, it will radically improve the outlook for gold and silver.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 23, 2007
Inside the Uranium Market’s Secret World / Commodities / Uranium
Mired in secrecy, the uranium market hopes to someday offer price transparency. To whom will this ‘real' uranium price become transparent? Industry insiders know well before the general investing public ever finds out.Utility fuel managers compete with a few handfuls of fuel brokers for the best price break. Utilities complain about the unwelcome speculators who've entered the market. and utility spokesman predict a long-term price about one-half of the US$122/pound price indicator announced in Nuclear Market Review this past Friday (another consulting service chose $125/pound for their ‘price indicator'). Some uranium miners forecast a price racing past $200/pound. Who is gaming whom? Or is this all part of the negotiations process between producers and end-users?
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Wednesday, May 23, 2007
A Uranium Investing Buffet in Texas / Commodities / Uranium
Sean Brodrick writes : I'm here in Corpus Christi, Texas for the U2007 Global Uranium Symposium, which started on Monday.
That night, we got a tour of the USS Lexington, known as "The Blue Ghost." It's a real piece of history — battling her way through World War II, the big ship survived a torpedo hit and even a kamikaze attack.
Of course, the Uranium Symposium is really about the future. And that's why the entire day was filled with fascinating presentations on my favorite white-hot metal. Heck, after the tour of the Lexington, we ate dinner on the ship and listened to another talk on uranium. Today, I want to tell you what I learned at this buffet of information.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2007
China's Battle for African Uranium / Commodities / Uranium
There is an ongoing global war for energy security, which appears to be politically inspired. China and Russia are the main opponents, especially in Africa, but have rivaled each other, over the past several years, in Central Asia. The goal for both nations is not only energy security but political influence and alliance over their targeted territories.As reported by the Wall Street Journal, Sunday night's revelations that China National Nuclear Corp (CNNC) may strengthen its ties to UraMin could represent a broader picture than an ordinary acquisition of a near-term uranium producer.
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Sunday, May 20, 2007
Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Points: A Bounce is a Bounce / Commodities / Gold & Silver
“A continuation of reverses (signaling continued weakness) would most likely continue to trigger liquidation of large gold positions and put downward pressure on metals… What gold needs to get its groove back is a rebound in the economy with an uptick in inflation.” ~Precious Points: Don't Fear the Repo , May 13, 2007
The Fed continued reducing the money supply this week by failing to place as many dollars through repos as were removed at maturity. Not surprisingly then, metals continued their downward slide through the early part of last week.
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