Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, October 20, 2008
For Gold Investors Hope Springs Eternal / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Picking things up from yesterday , the theme of today's message is the same, albeit it appears we may have witnessed a temporary bottom in equities with the significant reversals. Rising short sales and put / call ratios are accelerating, showing signs of capitulation, along with the larger equity complex being short-term oversold. So, when you add an exploding liquidity picture to the background combined with falling interest rates around the world – hey – who can argue – it appears a bounce is in order. Here's the sticking point however, as with the 1929 pattern , don't be surprised if lower lows are vexed in late October / early November, as the public may not get sufficiently bearish in the options market in order to keep a sufficient number of negative bets on until closer to election time.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 20, 2008
Silver Technicals Ripe for Explosive Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Needless to say, the iShares Silver ETF (AMEX: SLV) has been in the grasp of a vicious and relentless multi-month bear phase in the aftermath of a 7-month powerful advance from 11.00 to 20.73. In fact, spot silver prices have not been this low since Februay 2006 and have retraced all of the bull move from around $9 to $21.50. Compared to the weakness in gold, silver has crashed, losing 65% of its value versus 23% in gold. Clearly, the need to deleverage and to raise cash hit the silver market much more severely than it did the gold market, which cut in half the gold/silver ratio -- no reflecting 82+ ounces of silver needed to equal the value of 1 ounce of gold.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 20, 2008
Indian BSE Stock Market Crash and Lack of Gold Demand / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Indians have not really become ‘anti-gold.' They are just undergoing a natural re-evaluation process. The global crisis makes the outcome rather predictable. It's lonely out in gold-land without Indians doing their traditional holiday buying. What's the deal? Why are they staying on the sidelines?Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 20, 2008
Gold Slips as Stocks Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD gave back two-thirds of a 3.4% rally early Monday, trading below $795 an ounce as Asian stock markets closed sharply higher and US Treasury bonds fell.Crude oil pushed up to $74.50 per barrel, while soft commodities and base metals bounced hard – up more than 2.5% on average – following last week's collapse.
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Monday, October 20, 2008
China Should Buy All IMF Gold Says "Father of the Euro" / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold has rallied 2.5% this morning after falling some 8% last week as the “dash for cash” and the deleveraging of the international financial system gathered pace. In the process gold gave up most of the gains of the last 5 weeks in just one week. Gold was trading at some $740/oz on September 11 th and subsequently surged to over $924/oz as Lehman Brothers collapsed and the global financial crisis deepened.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 19, 2008
Silver Price Collapse Shows Silver is No Precious Metal / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Silver may be classed as a "Precious Metal" but it has certainly not received any special treatment these past few months, during which it has been sold down heavily along with most other commodities, in marked contrast to gold, which has held up well.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 19, 2008
Stocks and Commodities Collapse Due to Threat of Deflation / Commodities / CRB Index
The reason why commodities and stocks have been collapsing is liquidity problems and the consequent threat of deflation, and the collapse has been made far worse as a result of the extreme leveraging that had earlier been employed in the markets, which has resulted in a destructive vicious circle as each downleg triggered a fresh wave of selling as stops and margin calls kicked in.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 19, 2008
Gold Extremely Bearish Heading for New Lows / Commodities / Gold & Silver
It's been down hill all week with only Wednesday providing a minor bit of relief. It looks like we might be heading for new lows as early as this coming week. Never a dull moment.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 18, 2008
Revisiting the HUI Gold Bugs Stock Index / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Proof is in the Pudding - Due to our intense focus on the major broad based equity indices, we discontinued coverage of the HUI more than a year ago. In going through some routine chart maintenance, we came across an old long-term chart of the HUI, left fully annotated, but unattended for more than a year.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 17, 2008
Silver Physical Delivery Delays- Open Letter to CTFC / Commodities / Gold & Silver
To Mr. Bart Chilton, Commissioner, CFTC and Ms. Janet Troyke, Director Market Regulation, CME Group :
In full and proper disclosure, I would like to ask the CME/COMEX and CFTC the following question regarding monthly delivery of silver.
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Friday, October 17, 2008
Winter Heating Costs: What Can Consumers Expect? / Commodities / Energy Resources
We looked at food prices earlier today in Where Are Food Prices Headed?With Winter right around the corner, there is likely to be some concern about heating bills. With that in mind, let's take a look at commodity prices to see what may be in store for the average consumer.
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Friday, October 17, 2008
A Great Time to Buy? / Commodities / Crude Oil
Buy you ask? Yes. Not stocks, unless you're talking about oil. And unless you're the best of the best of traders you'll probably want to buy the oil trusts, but only if you believe in the peak oil story. Today? Not likely….at least wait until the next market crash, which appears to be coming any day now. And I highly doubt you're anywhere as good of a trader as you think.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 17, 2008
Gold and Deflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver
The question has been pouring in: “What happens to gold during a deflation? Of course, many of my readers are equally if not more interested in what happens to silver in a deflation as well.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 17, 2008
Gold Price Forecast and Analysis Online Video / Commodities / Gold & Silver
There's no doubt about it, these are volatile times and that is reflected in the broad swings in all of the markets. One market that had a huge move today (10/16) may have produced a game changer that you can make money on.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 17, 2008
Gold Drops in the Face of Deleveraging / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF WHOLESALE Spot Gold bullion slid further on Friday, dipping to a new one-month low beneath $785 an ounce as inter-bank lending rates eased on an historic flood of government cash into commercial bank coffers.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 17, 2008
Gold Price Crash on Hedge Funds Forced Selling / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold fell some 4% yesterday with forced selling being seen as hedge funds continue to deleverage and pension funds and other passive investors sell the various commodity indices. Also reports from Barclays that some European central banks had sold some 7.6 tons of gold during the week also acted to depress the market.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 16, 2008
Another Dow Jones Crash; Another Reason to Buy Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Larry Edelson writes: The credit collapse is not entirely over. Nor is its impact on Main Street.
And as we saw yesterday, there will be more sell-offs, sharp ones that scare the dickens out of nearly everyone.
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Thursday, October 16, 2008
China Beating the United States in Global Crude Oil Deals Game / Commodities / Crude Oil
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: recently signed its first oil deal in 35 years with a foreign company.
And – quite surprisingly to many observers – the company wasn't one of ours.
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Thursday, October 16, 2008
Dow Gold Ratio Sinks to 14-Year Low / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT PRICE of GOLD BULLION twice bounced off $830 an ounce early Thursday – the floor set five times already this week – as world equity prices sank yet again.Hurricane Omar strengthened to category 3 in the Caribbean, but the price of crude oil sank to a fresh 14-month low below $73 per barrel.
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Thursday, October 16, 2008
Gold Holds Steady In face of Massive Deleveraging of Global Financial System / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold has remained resilient despite stock markets collapsing again internationally. Asian stock markets have fallen sharply with the Nikkei collapsing by more than 11%. European markets are down between 2% and 5.5% in early trading after recovering from steeper losses at the open.Read full article... Read full article...
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