Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, August 21, 2009
China Offering Silver Bullion to Chinese Public / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Recently it was announced on a Chinese news service that silver bullion is now being offered to the Chinese public. Please note this is a very small operation and at this point none of us knows if this will really catch on with the Chinese investing public.
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Thursday, August 20, 2009
Gold Symmetrical Triangle Continues to Develop / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
As we discussed in Tuesday’s MarketMinute, a symmetrical triangle has emerged in the spot gold market since the last probe above $1,000 back in February. As the apex of the triangle is approached, an eventual breakout becomes more and more imminent.
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Thursday, August 20, 2009
Gold Dips as Investors Now Seeking Insurance Not Safe Haven / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The PRICE OF GOLD slipped back from yesterday's 1.2% jump in quiet London trade on Thursday, dipping below $940 an ounce as European stock markets rose for the third day running.
Government bonds were flat, with 10-year US Treasury yields staying near this week's lows at 3.48%.
Thursday, August 20, 2009
Gold Benefits from PIMCO and Buffet Dollar Warning / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold was under pressure for most of yesterday. However, the overly pessimistic view of the metal lifted in the late afternoon and it staged a good comeback, gaining $10/oz in under an hour. Two of the most respected investment powers in the US - PIMCO bond fund and Warren Buffet warned yesterday regarding risks posed to the dollar and this will have supported gold.
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Thursday, August 20, 2009
Investing in Financial Chaos Record Gold Growth! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Are you worried about your investment portfolio because of last year's poor returns and are you now wondering what to do going forward? If you are concerned, you are not alone. Investors are so terrified of the markets they are willing to put their money into bonds and receive next to no interest, just so they don't continue to lose their investments principle. In today's investing environment fear and confusion is understandable; but is it necessary? We don't think so. At investmentscore.com we do our best to simplify our investment strategy to increase our probability of success. How?Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 20, 2009
Gold, Silver and U.S. Dollar Head and Shoulder Technical Patterns / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Everyone is talking about gold shooting to the moon because of the massive reverse head & shoulders pattern forming, not to mention the economy isn’t as good as some of us would like it to be. I put together this quick report to show the bearish side of things for once.
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Thursday, August 20, 2009
USD, US Treasuries, Gold, Crude Oil and Copper Charting Perspective / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The change in sentiment occurring at the moment recognises that equities are overpriced. If this is the case then conservative money will certainly go elsewhere - and for now, it looks like the USD and US T-Notes and T-Bonds are it. It may also mean that gold will initially fall along with oil and copper.
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Thursday, August 20, 2009
The Most Important Aspect that most Economists and Analysts Fail to Recognize / Commodities / Energy Resources
EROI…Energy Returned on Energy InvestedThe biggest problem that most economists and analysts fail to comprehend when making forecasts and predictions on the US Dollar, Precious Metals, Financials or the whole Economy in general, is the ability to get to the Root of the Problem. Most of them are using information and methodologies that are either outdated, superficial or completely worthless. Those economists who are either Keynesians or Monetarists are living in a economic model that will have a life expectancy of less than a century. Indeed, a blip in the history of mankind and increasingly worthless going forward into the 21st century.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2009
How to Earn Income From a Stale Gold Share / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
In keeping with the theme we promised in the last issue of the Residual Income Report, we hereby present the second instalment in our series, Get Smart; Get Gold Income.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Gold Slips Again But Big Investment Funds Showing Interest / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD gave back another strong Asian bounce on Wednesday morning in London, dropping back to $935 per ounce as world equities fell, led by a fresh plunge in China's stock market.
The Dollar rose, government bonds hit a one-month high, and crude oil dropped back below $69 per barrel.
Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Gold Demand Trends Quarter2 2009 Investment demand to stay at forefront of gold demand / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The World Gold Council reports today (report attached) that investment demand is to remain at the forefront of gold demand. While demand for gold jewellery is down sharply in recent months, demand from the investment sector was strong and central banks became net buyers of gold again.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Seasonal Demands Analysis for Gold, Crude Oil and Copper / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Over the past 5 months the markets that crashed have staged a significant comeback. While the stock market usually grabs the headlines, there have been some great commodity runs as well.
As the season’s change, the demands for commodities vary according to each respective market. For instance, let’s take a look at copper. Below is the 15 (Red) and 40 (blue) year averages of the Copper seasonal price chart. One of the more prolonged downtrends on the chart shows that from September to the middle of October, copper is usually weak. We can see the demand PHASE of this commodity is the December to April time frame.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Two Near Term Junior Resource Market Production Stories / Commodities / Metals & Mining
As a general rule, the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information
Base metal prices have been on a tear and are currently up much more then precious metals in 2009. Copper has almost doubled from its low, to $2.74/lb, zinc is up 70% to $0.80/lb. Even nickel, which had been lagging the recovery, is now up almost 100% to $8.50/lb. The Gold Fields Mineral Services Base Metal Index is up 26% just in last month.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Commodities Super-Cycle Strengthened by the Fantastic Crisis! / Commodities / Commodities Trading
In 2007, she claimed the current commodities super-cycle would last another 20 years. But given the economic implosion since that time, could it still be true? "Absolutely," says Carmel Daniele, founder, CEO and CIO of CD Capital. "The crisis that occurred last year after Lehman's collapse just interrupted the cycle," she explains, adding that it "is actually going to seal the next stage of the super-cycle. . .it will make it stronger and last even longer." In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Carmel forecasts significant supply shortages resulting from both the current lack of money flowing into exploration and planned infrastructure spend by emerging countries'. She also shares which companies she's investing in and why she believes long-term investors are "very lucky" to experience this fantastic crisis.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2009
While Hurricane Threatens Supply, Low Demand Keeps Natural Gas and UNG ETF Cheap / Commodities / Natural Gas
So it is hurricane season again in the Gulf of Mexico, and what is happening to natural gas prices -- and the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (NYSE: UNG)? Nuttin! Absolutely nuttin! Huh? How can such a cheap commodity get EVEN cheaper given such a threat to supply? Just maybe the problem is NOT supply.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Gold Reverses Early Advance / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
SPOT GOLD PRICES reversed an early 0.8% bounce Tuesday lunchtime in London, drifting back to $936 an ounce as the Euro currency, commodities and world stock markets dipped on worse-than-expected US housing data.
Home-improvement giant Home Depot reported only a 7% drop in its second-quarter earnings. But new US housing starts and permits for July came in below both Wall Street forecasts and June's figure.
Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Gold Failure to Rally Leads to Significant Trendline Breaks / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold ticked all the boxes it was supposed to last week, as it took up the slack on the turbulent fortunes of both the dollar and the euro, robustly trading in the $960s/oz. Since then a significant trendline has been broken, yesterday gold dropped into $930/oz territory. It has pushed up since but may be in a tight range between $920/oz and $940/oz over the next few sessions.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2009
China is Positioned to be the Oil Sector's Next Big Profit Play / Commodities / Oil Companies
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: If you’re looking for the next “Big Oil” play, bet on Beijing.
As we’ve been reporting for the past several years, China has been on a global commodities shopping spree, which includes locking up every source of oil that it can. The Red Dragon has cut deals in Africa, South America Russia and the Middle East - and won’t stop there. Even the mainstream news media is finally becoming aware of this crucial trend.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Gold Short-term Topping Signal Setting Up for a Further Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Given the currently low level of the VIX, optimism among paper asset investors has been converted to outright enthusiasm. The world has been saved, according to many of these enthusiasts, and now unlimited and happy growth awaits us. All that is required is patience, for economic growth will blossom and paper equities will again shine. That optimism exists in light of the historical evidence that no market that has been run up by a credit bubble avoids a long, painful, ongoing lateral correction that last years. Were the optimists correct in their beliefs, the Japanese stock market would be at a new high. A recent check confirms that not to be the case, almost twenty years after the peak.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Range Bound Silver Fails at Resistance / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
In the last update we had defined silver's overall trend as neutral, with it being rangebound between clearly defined and significant zones of support and resistance, and thus a trading sell towards the top of the range, i.e. on an approach to the $16 area, and a trading buy towards the bottom of it, in the $12 area. Since that update silver has regrouped and made another run at the resistance, but got no further than $15.20. However, over the past week the COT structure for silver, which was already deteriorating as we had earlier observed, has continued to worsen to the point that it has become bearish, at least over the short-term.
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