Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, August 31, 2009
History Lesson: September Is Best Month for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
We’re heading into September next week, so it’s a good time to revisit the historic seasonality of gold and gold stocks.
Over the past four decades, September has been the best time for gold in terms of its month-over-month price appreciation. You can see this on the chart below – in a typical year, the price of gold in September rises 2.5 percent above its August price.
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Monday, August 31, 2009
Rare Double-play Opportunity in Crude Oil, Gold and Commodities / Commodities / Resources Investing
Larry Edelson writes: Truth be told, I’m even more bullish now on gold, oil and other natural resources than I was when I nailed the start of the massive bull market in commodities nine years ago, in the middle of the year 2000 — before gold prices tripled and before oil rocketed up some 1,030 percent from $13 per barrel to its all-time high of $147.
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Monday, August 31, 2009
Gold Growing Expectations of a Break Above $1000 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold is currently trading at $954/oz after finishing higher last week which was important technically. Gold is looking to close the month of August with a monthly higher close (July 31st close $953.75/oz) but the shorts will as ever be attempting to paint the tape. Expectations for gold to break above resistance at $1,000/oz in the coming months are growing and any dips are expected to be bought.
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Monday, August 31, 2009
Gold, A Technical Macro and Micro View / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The seasonal factor for the gold market is due to turn up in the month of September. But we want to ask ourselves, WHAT needs to happen for it to kick in? Well, certainly the psychology has to be there. More importantly however, demand must be there. And what is the most likely demand factor this time of year? Christmas & holidays and India's wedding season.
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Monday, August 31, 2009
Are We Facing a Banking Crisis? Is the Gold Price About to Explode? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
FLIGHT TO SAFETY APPEARS IMMINENT
Summary
The markets appear to be anticipating a banking crisis.
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Monday, August 31, 2009
How to Day Trade and Swing Trade the Spot Gold GLD Chart / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Over the past couple of months, gold and silver have been uneventful. In this report I have posted weekly charts to show the larger trend of gold and silver. Also I have provided small charts of the US and Canadian gold stock funds GDX and XGD.
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Monday, August 31, 2009
Gold Buying Opportunity of a Lifetime? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Beware: Gold is setting itself up for "the buy of a lifetime." Only the resource we're about to share with you will help you prepare for it.
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Sunday, August 30, 2009
Is the Stock Market Overbought What Does it Mean for Gold and Silver? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
I have to confess to a love affair that goes back a long ways with that exciting, hyper-volatile metal-- silver.
This week The Wall Street Journal reported that silver has enjoyed greater price gains than gold so far in 2009. The Journal noted that silver often follows gold, although sometimes with greater moves since it is a less-active market and thus more prone to volatile price swings. Naturally, silver’s stillness is limited to many consolidation periods, and to the early parts of a particular upleg. When silver finally does move near the end of a rally, the move is likely to be substantial. So far in 2009, December silver futures have risen 26%, while December gold is up 6%, the Journal reported.
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Sunday, August 30, 2009
Gold and Silver Hidden Chart Messages / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
We may have seen a blow off high for the 30 year T-bond when the price moved up and out of the channel that has been in effect since 1987. This channel was in place for 22 years without being violated in either direction. A blow-off high may indicate that a breach of the lower channel line will occur. A close below the lower channel line will indicate rising interest rates. That would be bullish for the U. S. Dollar and bearish for gold Vis a Vis the U. S. Dollar.
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Sunday, August 30, 2009
Gold Continues Towards the Mouth of a Megaphone Pattern / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold price continues to move towards the mouth of a megaphone pattern. The longer it stays within the megaphone the weaker a break-out may be. Let’s hear it for a break-out NOW, and on the up side.
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Sunday, August 30, 2009
Palladiums Bullish Posture Bodes Well for All Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The Economy - Congressman Ron Paul continues his relentless fight for freedom and liberty. The man is simply amazing. Words cannot express his actions. Here are three bills he recently introduced.
- HR 3395: The Health Freedom Act
- HR 3394: The Health Information Protection Act
- HR 3396: The Congressional Responsibility & Accountability Act
Sunday, August 30, 2009
Precious Metals Bull Market, We Haven't Seen Anything Yet / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The stock market's still on tap for a ferocious fall after Labor Day, claims TraderTracks editor Roger Wiegand—as he told The Gold Report a few months back. The veteran prognosticator doesn't see much to be encouraged about on the global economic front, either, with the engines of growth "melting like snow in July." However, he does see the makings of some "pretty exciting" action in precious metals.
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Saturday, August 29, 2009
Why Did the U.S. Government Confiscate Gold in 1933 and Can it Happen Again? Part3 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
In this the third part of this series we look at the fall of gold as a medium of exchange and the freeing up of gold ownership from August 15th 1974 onwards.
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Saturday, August 29, 2009
Profiting from the Precious Metals Sector… / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In keeping with our recent theme of generating income from gold and gold share investments, we now continue with the final installment in our series. We trust you found the first two parts helpful, the former on convertible gold securities and the latter on covered calls.
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Friday, August 28, 2009
Bullish on Crude Oil and Natural Gas ETF / Commodities / Crude Oil
My hourly work is warning me that crude oil's powerful rally off of yesterday's low at 69.83 into the morning high at 73.3 exhibits a bullish profile, which indicates to me that new uptrend might have started rather than the strength representing an oversold bounce after Tuesday's powerful dwonside reversal spike.
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Friday, August 28, 2009
Gold Is Pale Because It Has So Many Thieves Plotting Against It / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
* The title is a quotation from Diogenes Laertius (fl. 2nd century A.D.) This was the favorite quotation of the late Chicago economist and gold expert Melchior Palyi.
25 years ago I visited Comex at the World Trade Center, watching the feverish activity in the gold pit from behind the glass wall in the gallery. A gentleman standing next, unknown to me, remarked: "One day this make-believe charade will come to a bad end. All that these guys are doing down there is creating ever more claims to the same lump of gold -- just as governments have been doing before they met their ignominious fate."
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Friday, August 28, 2009
New Upleg for UltraLong Oil and Gas DIG ETF? / Commodities / Natural Gas
The hourly candlestick chart of the ProShares Ultra Long Oil & Gas ETF (NYSE: DIG) shows the August rally period, which exhibits bullish form from the August 17 pivot low at 26.43 to the August 25 high at 31.60. After that rally, let’s notice that the pullback to 29.04 yesterday represents an almost exact 50% correction of the prior advance before yesterday afternoon’s initiation of a new upleg.
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Friday, August 28, 2009
Three Triggers for Higher Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
Sean Brodrick writes: Oil prices recently came close to $75 a barrel before heading south again. Enjoy the cheap oil while you can. The odds are you’ll be paying higher oil prices by the end of the year.
The good news is there are some easy ways to profit from it. First, let’s look at the forces that could drive oil higher …
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Friday, August 28, 2009
Ben Bernanke Speaking At Jackson Hole / Commodities / Crude Oil
STILL AN UNCERTAIN OUTLOOK - “Strains persist" in the world banking system and finance markets across the globe, Ben Bernanke said on August 21 at the Jackson Hole, Wyoming annual Federal Reserve meeting of banking and finance deciders. He of course cautioned, like other leading bankers that the economic recovery "...is likely to be relatively slow at first, with unemployment declining only gradually from high levels.”
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Friday, August 28, 2009
Gold's Seasonal Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
New gold investors are often surprised to learn that gold prices have a heavy seasonal component. Seasonality makes intuitive sense for commodities inexorably tied to orbital mechanics, like wheat. Their annual late-summer harvest really increases supply. But why should gold, which is mined evenly and continuously throughout the year, have big price swings governed by the solar calendar?
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