Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Gold Stocks on Summer Sale / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold has bounced back from the recent correction to reclaim the $1,200 level and looks poised to make new highs in the coming weeks. While the price of gold is just 5% from its all-time nominal high of $1,261, many of the best mining companies are 20% or more below their recent highs. If the next few months play out the way I expect, it could be a very profitable ride for those who establish positions ahead of the herd.
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Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Gold Prepares To Make Yet Another All Time High / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The summer doldrums are normally a weak time for gold, with July and August historically being two of the worst months for the yellow metal. July followed this pattern with there being a great deal of weakness in the gold price. However gold prices have bounced back this month, with gold now only $60.00/oz off its high. We are not sure why so many investors believe all in the markets and general economy is well, when gold is a 5% from its all time high whilst the S&P 500 is 40% from its high.
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Monday, August 09, 2010
Gold Recent Price Slide Presents Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
"It's no longer just an energy market. It's no longer just a metals market. It's just one commodities market," says John Licata, chief commodity strategist at Blue Phoenix, Inc. John thinks that the lines between commodities will continue to blur as companies diversify their metals and minerals holdings. He also thinks gold will approach $1,375 by year-end, and that a major uranium producer will soon be snapped up by Asian interests. It's all in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.
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Monday, August 09, 2010
Why the Official Antipathy to Gold and Silver? The Second Oldest Profession / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Every so often someone asks, 'Why do the government and the banks manipulate the price of gold and silver?'
There is a great deal of circumstantial evidence to support this, even some blatant quotes pertinent to the topic from the likes of Volcker, Greenspan, and Bank of England governor Eddie George. Of course it can all be denied. People can deny anything, even well known historical events with many witnesses, if it suits their bias and purposes.
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Monday, August 09, 2010
Gold and Silver, Following Stock Market Indices or Moving Against Them? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
In one of our previous essays entitled The Strength of Reaction and Precious Implications we have analyzed the general stock market and the way it could influence gold, silver, and mining stocks. We have summarized that we are likely to see a short-term bounce to the upside. Now - with gold over $40 higher - we would like to provide you with a follow-up of that particular essay.
In the following part of the article we will also provide you with our thoughts related to one of the questions that we've received from our Subscribers - how is gold likely to perform in deflationary environment.
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Monday, August 09, 2010
Gold Get Ready, Set, the Best Months Are Just Ahead / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Global economic conditions are now favorable for gold as a safe-haven investment. The U.S., Western Europe and Japan are close to buckling under the weight of their sovereign debt loads, government budget deficits remain large and persistent and, as a result, faith in major paper currencies is low.
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Monday, August 09, 2010
Gold and Failing Keynesian Dogma / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
That Keynesian economic dogma has been a complete and utter failure is readily evident as we look around the world. For one, the U.S. economy will reenter recession in first of the new year as Obama Regime's tax increases crush the potential for economic growth. U.S. unemployment remains stubbornly above 9%. Rather than Keynesians surrendering as they should, they place the blame not on their policies but those advocating change. Cure the economic woes of today? Ban university tenure for Keynesian economists, retroactively!
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Sunday, August 08, 2010
U.S. Crude Oil Distillate Demand Falling off a Cliff / Commodities / Crude Oil
Crude Oil had a breakout this week as the risk trade was put on, it benefitted from the short the dollar, and go long commodities play. Plus equities have been testing the higher levels, and trying to establish a higher trading range.
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Sunday, August 08, 2010
Gold and Silver Huge Short Position / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
There is a case to be made that world production is not the only issue, but the available supply is just as important, if not more.
In the case of gold, a relatively small portion of supply is consumed, as the bulk of it is held as jewelry and bullion. One might say that if the bullion banks get into a pinch, the central banks can bail them out by 'leasing' gold to them for sale. In fact there is quite a bit of circumstantial evidence that the central banks have been doing this for some time, and would be in serious difficulty if they faced external audits.
Saturday, August 07, 2010
Gold Serious Negative Divergences Despite Recent Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold has had several days of steady upside action but unfortunately the strength or momentum behind the move is not all that encouraging. Serious negative divergences are seen in my momentum indicators and need to be nullified before any significant move can continue. Let’s see where we are on a continuing basis.
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Friday, August 06, 2010
If the U.S. Dollar Were to Fall How Important is Gold to the States? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Since the demise of the Gold Standard, monetary authorities have tried as many ways as possible out there to sideline gold as part of the monetary system. Since the early eighties they have succeeded to some extent, but this was by discrediting it and by emphasizing the benefits of paper currencies. Paper money in a paper system was working very well and everybody felt that much more prosperous, so ignored gold's departure.
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Friday, August 06, 2010
Junior Gold Mining Stock Bull Seasonals / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The adventures of trading junior resource stocks are meant for only a select breed. Yet even these risk-craving traders struggle with a cornucopia of emotions when putting their capital to work in this realm. This sector is capable of violent swings in either direction, and it has proven to be quite difficult to navigate on an interim basis.
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Friday, August 06, 2010
The Great American Collapse, The Gold Decade / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
As gold hovers near $1,200 an ounce and pundits speculate about a 'gold bubble', it's important for investors to remember that a mere decade ago the picture was very different. In the year 2000, gold sat at an unimpressive annual average of $279 an ounce - a two-decade low. At that time, most analysts thought gold was finished as a monetary metal. They said its price would never recover and only kooks with tin hats would invest in it. I was one of the very few financial commentators publicly saying that gold was not only viable, but entering a long-term uptrend.
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Friday, August 06, 2010
Wall Street’s Gold Mine is Main Street’s Shaft / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Wall Street started this week off with another “push-it-higher” party, as the babbling heads on TV trumpet the latest good earnings news. Respected analysts at Cabot Market Letter just said it’s “likely” the Dow could surge to 14,000 in 2011. Meanwhile, many Americans are left wondering: How can it be party time for Wall Street when it’s such hard times for the rest of us? Where’s the party for Main Street?
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Friday, August 06, 2010
Gold Moving Toward $1,200 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The price of gold is currently (August 5) just below $1,195 after it briefly touched $1,200 on August 4th. Gold prices have been on a rebound after more than a $100 downward correction from the all-time high in late June of $1,261.
The gold spot rate hit $1,157 just over a week ago on July 28th. However, after hitting the nearly two-month low, the price of an ounce of gold has jumped nearly $40.
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Friday, August 06, 2010
The Pressures on Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
Since the sharp sell-off back in May at the height of the Euro zone sovereign debt crisis, oil has experienced a long slow recovery, which for most of that time looked like no more than a prolonged period of sideways trading.
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Thursday, August 05, 2010
China Is Winning the Energy Race / Commodities / Energy Resources
Marin Katusa, Casey’s Energy Opportunities writes: Stop the presses. The United States is no longer the world’s biggest consumer of energy.
After topping the energy consumption charts for more than a century, the U.S. has been left behind as China leapfrogged past. According to the International Energy Association’s (IEA) latest report, China burned its way through 2,252 million tonnes of oil equivalent last year – about 4% more than the U.S.
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Thursday, August 05, 2010
Sellers Emerge in Natural Gas UNG ETF / Commodities / Natural Gas
Never a dull moment in natural gas. The inventory build was a bit less than expected, but sellers came out of the woodwork above 8.05 in the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (NYSE: UNG) and smacked prices down to 7.72 so far.
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Thursday, August 05, 2010
Why You Should Worry About the Iran Oil Sanctions / Commodities / Crude Oil
Kent Moors writes: I cut my teeth doing energy-related deals in the Soviet Union and still spend a lot of time consulting in Russia and the Caspian Sea basin. These days, my work takes me all over the globe. But the part of the world where my career began still holds the key for future oil supplies.
Especially the Caspian.
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Thursday, August 05, 2010
Are Silver Stocks Worth the Effort? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Question: What is it that we are trying to achieve?
Answer: Exposure to the silver bull market.