Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Nothing Like Uncertainty to Boost Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Bob_Kirtley

A snap shot of the year as captured by the above chart, shows that we have in first place silver, followed by gold, which is closely followed by the gold producers and in fourth spot, heading the wrong way, the US Dollar. Despite the stated strong dollar policy, the reality is that the United States Dollar is in free fall.

Thursday, October 14, 2010

The Gold Contrarian Call / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Numerous recent busts (technology, banks, internet, oil, stocks, etc) have given rise to the principle of contrarian investing. Contrarians seek to buy when sentiment is bearish or when a market is completely ignored. They seek to sell when a market is overpriced or overvalued. The problem nowadays is that everyone has bubble fatigue. The herd seems to think that whatever rises is a bubble and will automatically go bust.

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Casey Gold Summit Offers Investment Nuggets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: The_Gold_Report

Carlsbad is several hundred miles south of Sutter's Mill, but the experts and investors who gathered for Casey Research's recent Gold Summit were just as enthusiastic about the precious metal as the prospectors who headed into the hills back in 1849.

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Take Away the Financial Crisis Mentality and Gold Looks Precarious / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: The_Gold_Report

When Tony Parry, a senior analyst with Sydney, Australia–based Resource Capital Research, builds his long-term models for Australian junior gold companies, he's using a long term gold price of $900 per ounce. Tony thinks gold's fundamentals are weak and that fear is artificially propping up the price. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Tony makes the case for a lower gold price and tells us about some small gold companies Down Under with exceptional prospects for growth even at $900 gold.

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Global Currency Market Chaos Sends Gold Soaring / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Emerging market economies are under increasing stress as a result of the horrendous economic policies of the Fed.

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Gold Near Parabolic on Hopes of QE2 Starting in November / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

We want QE II on 3 November. No, we demand that the U.S. Federal Reserve announce QE II, quantitative easing second act, on that day. We want confirmation. No, we demand confirmation that Keynesian economics is both intellectually bankrupt and a complete failure!

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Can the G-20 and the I.M.F. Burst the Gold Bubble? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

When George Soros stated that gold was the "Ultimate Gold Bubble," we believe that he was not saying that it is now in a price bubble, but that it would one day get there. This is backed up by his accumulation of gold and gold shares since then. So we are not looking at a 'gold bubble' even with gold at this price.

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Gold Nears USD and Sterling Highs as Washington Denies "Global Currency War" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD stalled $3 shy of last week's all-time Dollar record in London trade on Wednesday morning, peaking above $1361 an ounce as the US currency fell and global stock markets rose sharply.

Gold priced in Sterling rose within 1.3% of June's record peak at £870 per ounce.

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Gold and Silver Remain Near Nominal Highs - QE2 Leads to Increasing Dollar Concerns / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: GoldCore

Gold and silver continue to remain robust given the real concerns about the US, Eurozone and global economy. These concerns are creating doubt about the outlook for the dollar, the euro and other fiat currencies due to competitive currency devaluations and currency debasement. Gold has risen to near record nominal highs in British pounds (see chart below) and is less than 1% from a new high in dollars as the dollar has fallen again on QE2 concerns. Despite the recent rise in prices, physical demand remains robust especially in Vietnam, India and Asia.

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Three Ways to Play the Silver Rally, While Limiting Your Risks with Options / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Money_Morning

Larry D. Spears writes: With the global economy struggling to sustain even a modest recovery, the U.S. Federal Reserve pledging further quantitative easing if needed, and the dollar and several other leading currencies showing unrelenting weakness, there have been plenty of reasons for precious metals to rally of late - and gold and silver have done just that.

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

OPEC's Stealth Move on Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Kent Moors, Ph.D. writes: Crude dropped for the second straight day yesterday (Tuesday) after Saudi Arabia made it clear that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will leave its production targets unchanged at its meeting tomorrow (Thursday). Crude oil for November delivery fell 54 cents a barrel - or 0.7% - to finish at $81.67 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange yesterday. Even with yesterday's decline, oil prices are up 11% over the past 12 months.

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Gold Bull Market $2,400 Forecast Target Peak By Early 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Joseph_Russo

• Captain's log, trade date 10.07.10 The dawn of the 21st Century continues to produce financial shock waves resulting from a generational abuse of credit, fiat currency systems, and exotic financial derivatives.

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Gold and Silver Correction, How Low and How Long? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Przemyslaw_Radomski

The International Monetary Fund's annual meeting at the weekend failed to ease currency battles roiling markets, pushing the dispute off to a summit next month of leaders of Group of 20 countries, with no clear resolution in sight.

Meanwhile, the lines are drawn, the cannons are loaded - the currency war is on.  Each nation is taking unilateral actions to defend its economy from the other in an escalating battle over the value of the world's key currencies.

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Gold Vs U.S. Treasury Bonds, Which Do You Believe? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Michael_Pento

Any psychoanalyst looking at the behavior of investors today would see clear strains of schizophrenia in a comparison between the markets for gold and US Treasuries.

Currently, the 10-year Treasury yield is setting new lows on a daily basis. In the financial models all economists were taught at school, this would be an indication of an economy with low inflation expectations and a strong currency. But the dollar has fallen over 12% since June, and the price of gold continues to hit all-time highs. These results are completely antithetical. Bonds are flashing a warning sign of deflation, while gold and the dollar presage hyperinflation.

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

How to Make, or Lose, a Fortune in Junior Gold and Silver Exploration Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: David_Galland

David Galland, Managing Director, Casey Research writes: The first thing to know about junior resource exploration stocks is that they are volatile. You can make 50% in a day, and you can lose 50% in a day.

This is due largely to the fact that they tend to be thinly traded. Thus, a whiff of good news, or bad, can overwhelm opposing trades. In the absence of a countervailing bid, the stock can move sharply until it reaches the point that someone is willing to step up and take the other side of the trade. If the news is bad and there's no bid, things get ugly really quickly. Conversely, if the news is good - for example, the recent case of the AuEx buy-out - the volume of buyers rushing to get a hold of stock can blow the proverbial doors off.

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

The Battle Between Fiat Money Versus Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Steve_Betts

We are bearing witness to one of the most prolific battles in modern times; it's the battle of fiat money versus gold and silver. Another way to express this is the Federal Reserve versus the free market, or evil versus good. You don't need soldiers, planes, battleships or missiles. The forces of evil require two printing presses: one for making fiat currency and one for printing misleading propaganda. The forces of good require an adherence to the concepts of value and the primary trend.

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

What the Texas State Fair Taught Me About Inflation / Commodities / Inflation

By: Jared_Levy

I spent my Saturday wandering around the good old Texas State Fair. I walked though the livestock area and stables full of animals of all kinds from all over Texas, and right before exiting I turned to my right to see "Millie" the Brown Swiss cow staring right at me.

My first thought, while staring back into the eyes of this cow, was inflation. Most don't typically associate cows with inflation, I know. But here's what that Brown Swiss cow and inflation have to do with one another...

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Current Net Asset Value of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Jesse

The gold premiums are highly contracted.

This could be the result of arbitrage hedging which we have discussed in the past. Essentially one could buy the futures and sell short PHYS and pocket any premium differential.

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Gold Down 0.6%; Securitised Mortgage Debt Threatens Second Phase of Financial Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: GoldCore

With the Federal Reserve soon to embark on QE2 and printing money and buying US bonds in a sizable way, possibly as soon as November, gold should be well supported when it does correct. As with all bull markets, gold is climbing a wall of worry with the public remaining unaware and (mainstream) media commentary sparse and skeptical. The primary trend remains up and short term pullbacks are to be expected.

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Gold Bull Market is Far From Topping, USD Index Explains Why / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Toby_Connor

Lately I've been seeing quite a few analysts calling for a top in gold. I have to say these analysts don't really understand what's happening. If they did they would know that far from topping, gold is just getting started.