Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, April 14, 2011
Peak Uranium - And Other Threats To Nuclear Power / Commodities / Uranium
We have nearly all heard about Peak Oil despite doubts on very basic elements like how we define “oil” compared with oil condensed from natural gas, but the possibility of there simply not being enough uranium to keep present and planned reactor fleets going is new.
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Thursday, April 14, 2011
Gold Slips, "Huge Speculation" Makes Asian Silver Market "Dysfunctional" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
LONDON'S WHOLESALE-MARKET price for gold fell against a rising US Dollar in London on Thursday, dropping back to $1454 per ounce but rising for Euro and Sterling buyers as world stock markets fell alongside commodities.
Major-economy government bond price rose, nudging 10-year US Treasury yields down to 3.44%.
Thursday, April 14, 2011
Euro Falls against Gold and Particularly Silver as Greek 10-Year Yield Surges Over 13.2% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold is tentatively higher against the euro but mixed against other currencies, while silver is higher again in most currencies. Both probed upward this morning and are exhibiting signs that they may push higher prior to a much anticipated correction.
The Greek 10-year yield has just surged over 13.2% and this is leading to falls in the euro and risk aversion with equities, commodities and oil falling.
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Thursday, April 14, 2011
Crude Oil Set to Break $150 by Mid Summer / Commodities / Crude Oil
Jason Simpkins writes: Money Morning predicted in its 2011 Outlook series that oil prices would see $100 a barrel by summer. And that's proven to be true - but not entirely for the reasons we discussed.
In addition to the increased demand we talked about in January, violence in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) has driven oil prices into the stratosphere. The price of light, sweet crude climbed above $112 a barrel last week, up more than 22% from where it started the year.
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Thursday, April 14, 2011
Gold Targets $1500, Soaring Silver Hammers the Shorts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Since early January 2011 the USD has lost 7.4% of its value and needs to manage any further decline or stabilize at this point in order re-assure holders of this currency, that all is not lost. As we see it there will be short rallies on the way down but the ‘74′ level will soon be breached and then its down the ‘72′ level. The technical indicators are firmly in the oversold zone so a short rally is possible at this juncture, however, as the chart shows we have a had a number of rallies already this year that have amounted to nothing.
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Thursday, April 14, 2011
Gold Forecast Not to Hit $2,000/oz / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Not long after a New York Times headline quipped, "Now the Gold Rush Is to the Exits," Campbell & Lee Investment Management Cofounders, Bruce Campbell and Joe Lee, hung out their shingles in Oakville, Ontario. That was late in 1999. With the price of the precious metal (PM) sinking toward its lowest level since 1975, when the U.S. abandoned the gold standard, the new investment management company had no reason to focus on PM companies. Obviously, as Bruce tells us in this exclusive Gold Report interview, the company has since shifted its focus.
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Thursday, April 14, 2011
Silver Offers the Only Positive Return / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
When thinking about an investment, the best managers look for returns that beat what they perceive to be average. In the long run, wealth is a relative measure—today, even the poorest people are wealthier than the richest people five hundred years ago, though we’d still say that today’s poor are poor.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Soaring Gold and Silver Prices Amidst Inflationary Pressures / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Neither government nor anyone is smarter than the markets. As they say the trend is your friend. All you have to do is get on for the ride. It’s really as simple as that. The trick is picking the trend. We were fortunate enough to pick gold and silver in June of 2000. We went long and stayed long all those years only occasionally making a trade. Every time there was a correction we recommended further purchases.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Calculating the "Fair Value" of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
In the absence of cashflow, judging gold's present "fair value" means analysing it like an insurance actuary would...
WITH ITS incredibly constant supply and unsurpassed history as a store of value, physical gold is the wise choice for retained wealth during currency crises. But for new buyers, is today's price too high?
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Gold and Silver Rally, Economic Backdrop "Got to Be Good" for Gold Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL gold investment bars in wholesale trading regained half of the week's near-2% drop on Wednesday in London, touching $1462 per ounce as global stock markets ticked higher and government bonds eased back.
European Brent crude oil rallied to $121 per barrel after losing 6% in two trading days, while Kuwait suspended oil exports due to sandstorms, and Libya's new "contact group" of politicians called for Colonel Gaddafi to quit.
Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Central Banks Favour Gold and AAA Rated Government Debt / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Stocks are higher in Europe after gains in Asia despite losses on Wall Street yesterday. Gold and silver are showing tentative gains after 1% declines yesterday. Gold is particularly strong in yen terms as the yen has weakened against all 16 of its major peers (see cross currency tables). China’s yuan climbed to a 17-year high versus the dollar but is lower against the precious metals.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Why Is Silver Rising Faster Than Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Silver is breaking new records today at almost $40 and gold is touching new highs of $1,458. Looking back, over the last few years we have seen gold rise from around $312 to $1,458 a rise of 4.67 times and silver from around $6 to $40 a rise of 6.67 times.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Gold Stocks Bellwether Signal Confirmed / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
A bellwether is any entity that serves to create or influence trends or to indicate future events. In this essay I present an expanded excerpt from Newsletter No. 29 published in our Gold Members area on the 6th April. This followed the analysis we presented back on March 16th in No. 27 that suggested Australian gold stocks were testing important support and we were buying heavily in our educational portfolio the day before. We have been showing our subscribers how to systematically pick off the buy opportunities using technical and fundamental analysis during the course of this consolidation period.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Silver Options: How to Protect Your White Metal Profits / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Larry D. Spears writes: Turn on the television or flip through the pages of any major newspaper, and the top stories will be either the stock market's unrelenting rise in recent days or gold's climb to yet another record high.
Without question, both are worthy of note - but the real star over the past eight months has been silver.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Silver Investing Strategies, and the Outlook for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Silver rose as high as $41.98 an ounce this week - a 31-year high - and has remained above the $40-an-ounce level. That means that the "other" precious metal is up about 32% so far this year - and has more than doubled since Money Morning recommended it to readers in early September.
But where does it go from here? And how should investors position themselves? To answer those questions - and others - Money Morning brought its top "gurus" together for a roundtable discussion.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Gold at Record Highs, but Bullish Sentiment Lags / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Over the past few weeks Gold has traded at or near record highs. It has yet to embark on a sustained breakout but that is not because Gold is a crowded trade. In recent months money has moved into equities, Oil and Silver. As a result, some hot money and speculative money has moved out of Gold, leaving the market in a healthier state.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Buying Gold Coins, What You Need to Know / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
If you did what Bill Bonner and I have been recommending for a decade, you own gold. Bonner began promoting the purchase of gold in the year 2000. I strongly promoted this for my subscribers after September 11, 2001, when the Federal Reserve began pumping up the monetary base in earnest. Neither of us has ever stopped recommending holding money in gold.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Hunt Brothers $50 Silver Truth, How They Capped Gold…Yes, GOLD! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
It began with a shoot-out at the Circle K Ranch. The 12 best marksmen would ride shotgun as the world’s largest, privately owned stockpile of silver was secretly transferred into secure vaults.
No, this wasn’t a shipment from Nevada’s Comstock Lode to San Francisco in the Wild West of the 1870s. This was the 1970s, and the precious metal was being moved from New York to Switzerland.
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Tuesday, April 12, 2011
What Does Euro Breakout Mean for Gold Investors? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Before moving on to the timing-related part of this essay (in fact a continuation of our previous essay Breakouts in Gold and Silver Prices), let’s take a few moments to focus on the big picture. Namely, we would like to draw your attention to some interesting facts about the main point of our interest – gold.
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Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Gold and Silver Fall as Goldman Says "Sell Commodities" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
THE PRICE OF physical gold slipped to a 3-session low in London trade on Tuesday, bouncing higher from $1455 per ounce – 1.5% below yesterday's new Dollar high – as world stock markets fell and major-economy government bond prices rose.
Commodity markets fell after the International Energy Agency said crude oil at "$100-plus...will prove incompatible with...economic recovery" and weaker than expected UK inflation data followed the International Monetary Fund's newly downgraded global growth forecasts.