Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, October 01, 2011
Copper Lacking Buyers / Commodities / Commodities Trading
So far my target window for a significant low in nearby copper prices in the 3.10-3.06 area is looking pretty accurate. That said, before we run out and load up on copper, it would behoove us to realize that despite holding right in my optimal target zone, the price structure has not yet been able to stage any sort of meaningful rally.
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Saturday, October 01, 2011
Will A China Economic Slowdown Affect Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
After finishing the second quarter at $1,505, gold is on pace to finish the third quarter with its 11th consecutive quarterly gain. Although gold has been in a bull market for the past decade, recent concerns from a China slowdown are weighing on many markets. In September, gold prices and Asian stock markets had their worst monthly performance since October 2008.
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Saturday, October 01, 2011
Is Gold and Silver Rally Likely at the Moment? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Although we had described the fall in precious metals prices, we can understand the shock for those who had gotten used to the idea that gold prices only go in one direction—up. A good metaphor here would be gold taking the stairs to go up, but the elevator to do down. Last Friday it was more like gold falling headlong down the elevator shaft with the worse one day drop in five years. It definitely got ugly, but that’s normal. It’s part of the game, part of the ride. Investors fled to the U.S. (fiat) dollar and to U.S. Treasuries (that just got downgraded last month by Standard & Poor’s.) Go figure! They have to settle their debt in dollars. The sharp decline was difficult to digest especially since we had come off a period in August where it seemed that gold could do no wrong. It shot up when markets plummeted, and shot up when markets soared.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 01, 2011
Gold In "Not Safe Haven" Shocker / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
If your house catches fire, do you call your insurer before trying to escape the flames...?
SO GOLD is not a "safe haven" – that's the genius insight many pundits are pushing today.
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Friday, September 30, 2011
Silvercorp Goes on the Offensive / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Casey Research writes: I’m writing from China, where I’m attending Silvercorp Metals’ (SVM) mine tour with other analysts and reporters. We met with company principals the first morning, including CEO and Explorer’s League honoree Rui Feng at their downtown Beijing offices, where the bulk of the discussion centered around a point-by-point rebuttal of the charges made by the now-infamous short sellers. With a reporter’s camera snapping, it became apparent to me that Rui and company have shifted from playing defense to going on the offensive.
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Friday, September 30, 2011
US Oil Boom / Commodities / Oil Companies
With the world forging ahead in this modern industrial and technological era, the king of commodities continues to flex its muscles as the most indispensable of resources. Oil, the lubricant of global commerce, is seeing record levels of demand.
Amazingly global oil demand is up nearly 50% in just the last 25 years. In 2010 it is estimated that a record 87m barrels per day (bpd) were consumed, surpassing the previous high from 2007. And it is forecasted that 2011’s will come in even higher, at around 89m bpd.
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Friday, September 30, 2011
Don't Panic on Precious Metals Tumble / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Fall officially began on September 21, but it's not just leaves that are cascading downward. In the few market days of the new season, precious metals prices have seen significant drops, some 11% for gold and 31% for silver. In its lurch downward, gold plowed through support levels at $1,750, $1,700, and $1,645 an ounce. I'm sure many readers are concerned.
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Friday, September 30, 2011
Gold Ends September 16% Below Peak / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
WHOLESALE gold prices drifted lower in London after rising in Asia on Friday morning, set for their biggest monthly drop against the Dollar since the Lehmans' crash of Oct. 2008 but finishing the third-quarter of 2011 more than 13% higher.
US equities and crude oil prices have lost 12.5% since end-June. Copper has fallen over 25% and the silver price has lost 13.1%.
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Friday, September 30, 2011
Gold Steadies, Inflation Rises in Eurozone, Stagflation Beckons / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold is trading at USD 1,619.95, EUR 1,207.17, GBP 1,045.29, JPY 125,291, AUD 1,679.09 and CHF 1,469.15 per ounce.
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,629.00, EUR 1,204.26,and GBP 1,042.63 per ounce.
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Friday, September 30, 2011
Hedge Fund Action Doesn’t Change Gold and Silver Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Last week, hedge funds sold off their bullion holdings in what was a monumental run to the exits. As the price of silver and gold trended higher against declines in other commodities, equities, and so-called risk assets, the price for bullion gave institutional investors the comfort they needed to boost cash.
But how much has changed since hedge funds eased up on margin plays in commodities?
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Friday, September 30, 2011
Physical Silver Shortage to Follow Paper Selloff / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
In less than one week, the price of silver gave up some 9 months of gains in a move from $40 per ounce to $28. The current price for silver, which is the lowest price in 9 months, is sure to create shortages for physical silver.
The physical silver market is very much its own market, one which is dominated by small silver investors and coin collectors. Compared to Wall Street, where margins change in a matter of minutes, and global issues permeate throughout trading floors, the local coin dealer hasn’t changed in decades, let alone the past few weeks.
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Friday, September 30, 2011
China’s Rare Earths Monopoly - Peril or Opportunity? / Commodities / Metals & Mining
The prosperity of China’s “authoritarian capitalism” is increasingly rewriting the ground-rules worldwide on the capitalist principles that have dominated the West’s economy for nearly two centuries.
Nowhere is this shadow war more between the two systems more pronounced than in the global arena of production of rare earths elements (RREs), where China currently holds a de facto monopoly, raising concerns from Washington through London to Tokyo about what China might do with its hand across the throat of high-end western technology.
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
China's Rare Earths Monopoly - Peril or Opportunity? / Commodities / Metals & Mining
The prosperity of China's "authoritarian capitalism" is increasingly rewriting the ground-rules worldwide on the capitalist principles that have dominated the West's economy for nearly two centuries.
Nowhere is this shadow war more between the two systems more pronounced than in the global arena of production of rare earths elements (RREs), where China currently holds a de facto monopoly, raising concerns from Washington through London to Tokyo about what China might do with its hand across the throat of high-end western technology.
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
Greek Default, Eurozone/Bank Crisis and the Effect on Gold, Silver Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
We agree with Professor Rogoff that Greece should have defaulted some time ago. Despite all the current efforts, Greece will default and that contagion will result in a global, banking crisis. Even if we're wrong, the mountains of money that will be created and poured into the debt hole will benefit the gold and silver prices. The Greek debt crisis is about stemming the spread of bank runs, the breakdown of the other PIIGS countries debt situation, and potentially the fragmentation of the Eurozone. We're on the brink.
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
The Polish Natural Gas Energy Revolution Begins / Commodities / Natural Gas
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Poland has formally embarked on a new energy course - one whose impact will be felt throughout Europe and beyond.
Visiting the first advanced drilling site in eastern Poland, Prime Minister Donald Tusk last week committed the country to extracting shale gas beginning in 2014. This will fundamentally transform the nation's energy prospects.
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
U.S. Dollar to Rocket Higher and Gold and Silver Lower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Over the past week precious metal investors have had a wakeup call from their big shiny nest eggs. Last week’s free fall in both gold and silver spot prices was enough to get investors into a panic. More on this in a minute though...
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
Gold Stocks Continue To Disappoint / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The recent major rally in gold is now experiencing a correction, so it is time to take a look at how gold stocks compared to a number of other gold trading vehicles. Quite frankly, it was abysmal. The argument that gold stocks are still the best gold trading vehicle is absolutely absurd. That being said, this article is in no way trying to discredit any gold mining, exploration companies or the efforts of the industry. The aim of this article is to simply show that gold stocks in general are unsuitable when trying to benefit from rising gold prices.
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
Gold and Silver Producers Due for Big Upside / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Mike Kachanovsky, known as "Mexico Mike," doesn't follow the so-called smart money. Founder of the website smartinvestment.ca, Mexico Mike believes mainstream commentators are leading investors astray by insisting that it is too late to get into mining stocks and precious metals. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Mexico Mike explains why everyone needs to have some exposure to precious metals and gives his favorite prospects.
The Gold Report: Gold juniors fared worse than most equities in the economic collapse of 2008. Now economic fears are gripping the market once again. The S&P 500 has been trending down since mid-June. Many fear a double-dip recession—if not worse. Why do you still believe in junior precious metal equities given the current market conditions?
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Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Explaining Gold to Your Financial Advisor / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
"You wanna do what? Make a gold investment? At these prices...?!"
HAVING TROUBLE explaining to your financial advisor why you might want to make a gold investment today?
Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Are Gold and Silver Bugs Running Scared? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Since touching $1,535 briefly on Monday, gold prices have rallied and even stabilized above $1600. Silver, which touched near $26 on Monday, has climbed back above $30. The precious metals seem to be at the whims of Europe and a strengthening US dollar. Furthermore, Germany (Europe’s economic powerhouse), does not appear to be pleased with the latest so-called sovereign debt crisis solution.
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