Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, October 24, 2013

Gold Prices Still Dependent On The US Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Bob_Kirtley

Background
We will begin by taking a look at some of the factors that usually drive investors into the arms of ‘safe haven’ gold and other precious metals.

We are all aware that the world is in a chaotic state at the moment with a number of friction points that could spark and get of hand at any time. The debt ceiling has been raised in the United States paving the way for more government spending. Bond buying programs remain in place and currency creation by a number of governments continues unabated as each nation attempts to boost exports by debasing their own currency. The production of gold from mining activities is slowing. The demand, especially from China appears to be in overdrive. On a seasonality basis the fall is usually a time when gold does very well, but that is not happening this year, at least not just yet.

Thursday, October 24, 2013

Oversold Gold Does The Trick, Bulls Get The Treat / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Clif_Droke

In what started as a depressing month for gold investors has turned positive with metals and mining stocks posting their best performances since August.

Investors may have dreaded October heading into the month for various reasons - not the least of which was the U.S. government shutdown and debt ceiling showdown. But the "scariest month" is turning out to be nothing more than a phantasm heading down the final stretch. In this commentary we'll examine where gold is likely headed thanks to a historic technical condition mentioned in previous commentaries.

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Gold, Silver and the Debt Ceiling / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

To paraphrase William Shakespeare, “the debt ceiling drama is a tale told by idiots, full of sound and political fury, signifying nothing.” We now have a reprieve for three months – the 11th hour deal, complete with payoffs and the usual corruption, will keep the world safe for more ineptitude, deficit spending, administrative hypocrisy and the guarantee of a sequel. All is well! Celebration! Champagne! Cut to a prime-time commercial promoting big government and Obamacare…

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Delay in Fed Taper Sees Gold "At Key Juncture" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of GOLD slipped 1.1% from yesterday's sudden 3-week high in London on Wednesday, holding above $1330 per ounce as the US Dollar rallied from new two-year lows on the currency market.

Falling to $1.3790 per Euro, the Dollar had dropped almost 1% after September's US jobs data showed much weaker hiring than analysts forecast.

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Gold Strategies for Success in a Flat Commodity Price Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: The_Gold_Report

It could be 2017 before the commodity supercycle is evident again, but stormy weather in the mining space has a silver lining: It is encouraging miners to develop new, innovative approaches to their business. In this interview for the first edition of The Mining Report, John Kaiser of Kaiser Research Online outlines 10 strategies that are setting certain companies apart. Discover the companies that are redefining their business, as well as miners with the goods in the ground to continue come rain or shine.

The Mining Report: John, you have characterized the current resource market as a bear market unlikely to have higher metal prices in the next year, with the possible exception of zinc. Why are you drawing a different conclusion than other analysts who believe we are in a resource supercycle?

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

What's Your Gold Plan for Getting Punched in the Mouth? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

Miguel Perez-Santalla writes: Planning to win is where you should start. But what if your opponent hits back...?

MIKE TYSON may be launching his autobiography, but he isn't famed for his eloquence.

Still, while he's no Mohammed Ali perhaps, Iron Mike's best boxing tip – that "Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth" – is much deeper a comment than the former world heavyweight champion may have intended.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Gold Market Tremors and Warnings / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jesse

Here are three charts that capture the somewhat uniquely dangerous situation in the gold futures market on the Comex.

The first chart shows all gold in storage at Comex certified private warehouses. The major bullion banks control the vast majority of this storage. Among these are JPM, HSBC, Scotia Mocatta. Storage and delivery services are also provided by Brinks and Manfra, Tordella, and Brookes, a large NYC coin and bar dealer.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Crude Oil and Its Connection with the U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

The recent months have been tough for the U.S. currency. Since July the greenback has lost 6% and dropped to a new eight-month low on Friday. Investors avoided the dollar, firstly after the Fed opted against cutting its stimulus in September and then as the budget spat in Washington pushed the country close to a default. Despite this decline, yesterday, the dollar pulled back from an eight-month low as investors awaited delayed U.S. jobs data.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Crude Oil Teeters On The Brink – Of $100 A Barrel / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_McKillop

MEMORIES OF THE 1986 PRICE CRASH
Like the US debt ceiling saga – with the only possible result being more debt - the ultra-magic triple-digit dollar price of US WTI, and of course more for European Brent, needs extraordinary measures to stay that overblown. In the case of the US debt mountain the Fed does the extraordinary (over)blowing, but for oil WTI counts on heavy lifting by leading members of Wall Street's oil market manipulator clique – sometimes called “investors” - who not so long ago forecast WTI as easily able to attain $125 per barrel by December 31st.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Gold Traders Lack Conviction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE gold held in a tight $5 range Tuesday morning in London, drifting around $1315 per ounce ahead of delayed data on US unemployment.

The monthly Non-Farm Payrolls report had been due more than two weeks ago. It was set for release Tuesday after Congress's 3-month deal on the $16.7 trillion debt ceiling ended the shutdown of government services.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

On the Frontlines of the Global Shale Gas Revolution / Commodities / Fracking

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors write: TJ is one of those functionaries in the British Foreign Office (FO) who tend to keep their heads down and out of the line of fire. He has been my liaison for several years now.

Usually, he only opens his mouth to answer questions or give me the latest revision in my schedule.

So it was a bit unusual to hear him to express his opinions so vividly yesterday. Clearly, he was frustrated.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

A Green Light for Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Schiff

It is rare that investors are given a road map. It is rarer still that the vast majority of those who get it are unable to understand the clear signs and directions it contains. When this happens the few who can actually read the map find themselves in an enviable position. Such is currently the case with gold and gold-related investments. 

Monday, October 21, 2013

The Big Winners in Kenya’s Oil Debut / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

Kenya will start pumping its first commercial oil next year and begin exporting in 2016, but this is just the opening salvo: new discoveries in recent months and fast-track new well development make Kenya the darling of East Africa from an investor’s perspective.

Kenya is set to soar past Uganda, which discovered oil much earlier, but is now having a hard time getting it out of the ground and into the market. And the next five months should bring not only news of the first commercial output for Kenya, but new commercial prospects coming online.

Monday, October 21, 2013

Gold Flat, Silver Jumps as Fed and Physical Demand Back in Focus / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of gold was unmoved Monday morning in London, trading barely 25c higher at $1317.50 per ounce as European stock markets also halted their rise, holding global equities near 5-year highs.

Gold traded in Shanghai today pulled back to $7 per ounce above London benchmarks, with Australian bank ANZ saying trading looked "subdued" as a result.

Monday, October 21, 2013

The Fundamentals of the Silver Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Submissions

Brett Chattz writes: All that Glitters is not Gold, it may be Silver!

The global financial crisis that began around 2008 sent investors into a tailspin. As the value of stocks plummeted, so the urgency to seek investment safe havens grew. The ongoing volatility in global financial markets is a natural catalyst for alternative investments such as precious metals. Among the most well-known precious metals is gold. However, silver is not to be underestimated in any way. As traders seek to limit their losses and grow their net worth, alternative investments in precious metals become more attractive. Not only do these types of investments add variety and depth to a portfolio, they also act as safe havens against rising economic uncertainty. The silver market is one of the most heavily traded markets in the world, and the relative stability of this market is well noted.

Monday, October 21, 2013

U.S. Dollar Diamond Top Pattern Implications for Gold and Silver and Mining Stocks / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this Weekend Report I would like to show you some charts as to why I have made an abrupt short term move out of our short positions in the precious metals complex. I know some of you think I have lost my mind but I can assure you that isn't the case. Regardless if I'm bullish or bearish I'm always looking at both sides of the market looking for clues for either direction. This week we got a major clue when the US dollar finally finished its third backtest to the bottom rail of the 11 point diamond top. It's possible that gold and US dollar can trade in the same direction for awhile but I don't think that will be the case longer term. So lets look at some charts for the US dollar first as that's where the biggest clues lie.

Sunday, October 20, 2013

Gold and Silver Back Story vs Charts; Charts Are Superior / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

Almost everybody wants a back story, some information to explain what is going on with gold and silver, mostly looking for some kind of psychological calm as prices decline, or a ray of hope to reinforce why price may reach the sun and the moon. Is there anything that has not been presented, repackaged and represented that has not already been more than fully covered to justify much higher price levels? Have any of them achieved what was promised?

Saturday, October 19, 2013

The London - China Gold Conduit — A Major Financial Coup D’etat / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_J_Kosares

The United Kingdom’s gold exports to Switzerland jumped from 85 tonnes to 1,016 tonnes in the first eight months of 2013 — a twelve times increase. Some bullion market watchers attribute the huge increase to withdrawals or sales from ETFs — an explanation that covers only half the story…….if that.

Saturday, October 19, 2013

Vulgar Competition and Italian Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

Alessandra Pilloni writes: Vulgar competition needs to come to Italy's delicate jewelry business...

"Italy accused of protectionism!" is hardly news.

Wanting free competition in the airline market, IAG - the group formed from the UK's privatized British Airways and Spain's privatized Iberia in 2012 - has urged the European Commission to investigate and block the possible rescue of Italy's bankrupt Alitalia by the state-owned Italian Post Office. This tells a story all too familiar in Italy - the lack of a reality check, or any market discipline, for companies who are struggling to remain competitive in today's global economy.

Saturday, October 19, 2013

Gold Mining Stocks Profits Fallacy / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold miners’ stocks have been brutalized this year, leaving them bleeding in the gutter as the most hated sector in all the markets.  Plunging prices always lead to fear and excessive bearishness, unsustainable anomalous extremes that investors desperately try to rationalize as righteous.  Today the bears’ primary rationalization against gold miners is the notion they can’t earn any profits, which is a complete fallacy.

Stock prices have always been the result of an endless tug-of-war between fundamentals and sentiment.  Fundamentals measure how much any stock is worth based on its underlying company’s earning power.  Naturally this only changes slowly, so stock prices would be very stable and gradual if fundamentals were their sole driver.  Imagine a price chart with a largely-straight line, trending modestly higher or lower.