Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, June 21, 2014
Gold Stocks 2014 Winning Surprise! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
Half of 2014 is nearly behind us, and little is turning out as popularly expected. That is unless one was watching development of the past year with an unbiased view. As can be observed in the following chart, the GDX, a Gold stock ETF, has been a stellar performer thus far this year. The return on that ETF has far exceeded that widely available in most of the equity markets, and certainly far more than the NASDAQ, a market filled with Techno/Junk. Part of the reason for that stellar performance is that $Gold, Agri-Food Prices, and oil have all staged nice rallies based on strong demand, which was certainly not anticipated by most of the investment community.
Friday, June 20, 2014
WTI Crude Oil Price on the Move $112 Next Stop / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The energy sector has surged during the last two months which can be seen by looking at the XLE Energy Select Sector Fund. If crude oil continues to climb to the $112 level, XLE will likely continue to rally for another few days or possibly week as energy stocks are considered a leveraged way to play energy price movements.
Friday, June 20, 2014
Precious Metals Investing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jonathan_Davis
The below is Silver. Silver broke up out of its 1st and 2nd hurdles this week. The 2nd is the lower falling trend line, shown.
It is a fair assumption it will close above this line tonight. In other words, it will have a weekly close above Resistance. This is important to the bullish case.
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Friday, June 20, 2014
Firmer Tone in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Following on from last week when Iraq hit the headlines and the price of oil firmed up, gold was steady for the first three trading days. It seemed the shorts just held their breath and hoped Iraq would go away. But with oil prices up yet again yesterday a vicious bear squeeze followed after someone bought over 3,500 gold contracts, driving the price up to just under $1300. Once this level broke at 13.40 New York time, gold jumped a further $15 as stops were triggered.
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Friday, June 20, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Peter_Vogal
There has always be manipulation, from the smallest levels (individual professional traders) to large size (Inv.Banks & Hedge Funds) and finally the government/central bank. The point I do not agree with is that they can "ultimately" control any market, even such as gold or silver despite their smaller size. The primary drivers of the markets are currencies and bonds because these are a reflection of the health (or illness) within a country's economy. Sure, even these can be moved by gov't policy changes (and moral suasion)(witness Japanese Yen 2012~2013), but for the most part, the free market forces are just too large for even the gov't to pump hundreds of billions per day to move them. Hence, any large enough change in those markets will eventually create a discrepancy between other related markets and consequently affect the stock and commodity markets around the world. No gov't can possibly stand in front of that train for long. If they could, then why did they let gold go up to $2000 and silver to $50?
Friday, June 20, 2014
Gold And Silver Explode Higher! Finally Time to Buy? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jason_Hamlin
Gold and silver both climbed above key resistance levels today at $1,290 and $20, respectively. Gold shot up $40 or 3.2% and silver was up $0.96 or 4.8% today alone. Most of the stocks in the GSB model portfolio were up 6% or more, while our latest portfolio addition rocketed 15% higher today!
Friday, June 20, 2014
Gold and Silver June Lows Often Mark the Beginning of a Long Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Peter_Degraaf
This chart courtesy www.seasonalcharts.com shows the historical trend of the price of gold, based on 30 years of data. Once the doldrums of June and July are out of the way, price usually rises until January-February. The challenge is to catch the June lows.
Friday, June 20, 2014
Swiss Banking Secrecy Under Threat? Gold Storage Companies, Safe or Not? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
The media appears to have misread the results of the Credit Suisse case as they did with the UBS case two years ago. Yes, the bank was fined a massive fine in the U.S. but this did not reach back into Switzerland. How come, you may well ask?
Friday, June 20, 2014
China Might Be Winning The Race To Reduce Solar Energy Generation Costs / Commodities / Solar Energy
By: OilPrice_Com
Many people, even fanatical advocates of solar power, are unaware quite how close we are to reaching a critical milestone in the industry. Within a fairly short space of time, solar generated electricity will be fully cost competitive with coal-powered electricity -- at least if the governments of the world's two largest energy consuming nations have their way.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 19, 2014
Commodities Are Building Bases and About To Rally – Steel Market / Commodities / Steel Sector
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Commodities in general have been under pressure for the last couple years. This can be seen by looking at the GCC Greenhaven Continuous Commodity ETF which holds a basket of resources. The weekly chart has formed a bullish bottom pattern, and as of last January it looks as though it’s now building a basing pattern. Overall commodities are in the very early stages of a stage 1 basing pattern and it looks as though it will be a few more months before any significant breakout will occur. But there could be some early entry points if you know what to look for…
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Thursday, June 19, 2014
Gold Stocks CDNX Wild and Whacky History / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Rambus_Chartology
The first chart I would like to show you is the BPGDM that shows you what percent of the big cap PM stocks are on a buy signal using the point & figure chart. After trading sideways for most of June the BPGDM finally gave a buy signal yesterday after being whipsawed several times lately. To get a buy signal you need to have the BPGDM trading higher than the 5 dma and the 5 dma trading higher than the 8 dma. We now have that.
Thursday, June 19, 2014
The Oil Crisis Price Spike Is Just Getting Started / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: First there was the crisis in Ukraine. Then, seemingly out of nowhere, Iraq exploded into chaos again.
Both testify to one simple truth about today's energy sector: Geopolitical factors are the quintessential wild cards when it comes to estimating energy prices.
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Thursday, June 19, 2014
The Precious Return of Investment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The financial powers, in the name of government treasuries (along with the IMF) have a keen eye trained on the lowest hanging fruits of monetary assets. What was once unthinkable is fast becoming a reality as bail-ins promise to morph into the confiscation that only precious metals investors have been known for fearing.
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Thursday, June 19, 2014
Crude Oil Price Breakdown or Trap? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
On Tuesday, the price of crude oil wobbled between gains and losses throughout the session as mixed data and profit taking weighed on investors' sentiment. As a result, light crude reversed after an increase to the resistance zone and declined below an important medium-term support line. Will this event be strong enough to trigger a sizable correction?
Thursday, June 19, 2014
Iraq Wake Up Call For Oil Is A Yawn / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Andrew_McKillop
Forward Looking Statements
The IEA's energy scenarios and forecasts for the next 21 years, to 2035, heavily feature long-term increases of oil supply from Iraq to help meet “soaring oil demand”, but the IEA's Factsheet for Oil Supply in Iraq, published 13 June, allows and enables some doubt. In particular this concerns the Agency's previous forecasts of “ever growing Iraqi supply”. In turn, the Agency's continued forecasting of world oil demand increasing by 12 - 15 million barrels a day by 2035 (from the IEA's estimate for early 2014 of about 90 Mbd) should be compared with the actual status and forward trends of oil in world energy. Overall, this raises plenty of doubt on the real need for increasing Iraqi oil supply.
Wednesday, June 18, 2014
Gold Bullish Metals Ratio Charts Indicating a New Healthy Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Trader_MC
First of all, it is important to keep in mind that Miners are extremely undervalued and the down move in Metals was a cyclical bear market within a secular bull market which means that the primary trend is up. Bullish price action and bullish patterns have been taking place since several weeks in Miners and Metals. You can see on the following charts that the HUI/GOLD ratio bottomed almost at the same level as in 2000 which was a major bottom for the Miners Index.
Wednesday, June 18, 2014
Crude Oil Prices Spike as Iraq Chaos Takes Hold / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: First there was the crisis in Ukraine. Then seemingly out of nowhere, Iraq exploded into chaos again.
Both testify to one simple truth about today’s energy sector: Geopolitical factors are the quintessential wild cards when it comes to estimating energy prices.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 18, 2014
Gold Summer Heat (?) / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: HRA_Advisory
From the HRA Journal: Issue 215:
Read full article... Read full article...Ok, it could be another head fake (there have been plenty) but the latest move in the gold stocks looks strong enough to be the real thing, even though its just begun.
If it is it will represent a very different outcome for the sector though the summer than most are expecting. Of course that is the thing about markets. They have a disconcerting habit of doing precisely what most traders don't expect.
Tuesday, June 17, 2014
The "Hidden" Inflation that Could Wipe Out Investor Returns / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: Official measures of inflation tell a very different story from the reality facing consumers as they shop for groceries, gasoline, insurance, healthcare, and other everyday goods.
In the real world away from government statistics, product prices continue to rise at an inexorable rate.
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Tuesday, June 17, 2014
Gold - The Single Most Important Market Indicator You Probably Aren't Using - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: EWI
See how crowd psychology warned of a top in gold -- and learn how to use this tool again in the future
Enjoy this clip from a recently recorded presentation by Steve Hochberg, our Chief Market Strategist.
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