
Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Building Bullish Coil-Type Pattern for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Since last Thursday's high, the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) has carved out a series of higher lows on pullbacks, juxtaposed against lower highs on rallies, which has carved out a coil-type of near-term pattern. To the extent that pullback low at 86.72 continues to contain any forthcoming weakness, the current coil parameters will remain intact and call for an approaching thrust to the upside that has the potential to propel the GLD to 92.50-93.00. However, a downside violation of 86.72 will morph the current coil pattern into some other form -- perhaps a coil with different (wider) coordinates? In any case, for the time being the "original" coil pattern remains intact and continues to govern my very near-term analysis.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Mega Bailout Extremely Bullish for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: Treasury Secretary Paulson and Congress are hammering out details of the government's rescue plan for financial institutions, and we don't know what final impact it will have on the debt crisis. But I can tell you one thing — it's going to drive gold prices higher.
In this plan, the government is squirting out hundreds of billions of dollars through a fire hose. That is inherently inflationary and should pump up the price of gold.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Bailout Money Printing Signals Gold $1000+ / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
GLOBAL GOLD PRICES slipped early Wednesday, bouncing from an overnight low of $878 to record an AM Gold Fix in London some 0.4% below Tuesday morning.Asian and European stock markets held flat, meantime, as did the US Dollar against its major competitors on the currency markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Gold's Strongly Bullish Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold and silver fell yesterday ( both by about 2% ) on profit taking before rallying again in after hours trading and then falling in Asia . Volatility remains at a fever pitch in all markets. Gold remains in a range between $850/oz and $910/oz and may need further consolidation at these levels prior to further gains.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Gold Bull Market Trend Forecast / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Nadeem_Walayat

Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Nadeem: Personal Thoughts on Gold and a Gold Standard / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Brian_Bloom
Hi Nadeem,
I commend you for your courage and integrity in publishing that with which you disagree. There are some editors of some web sites who haven't been behaving like you have.
Of course, you may be right that the gold price is positioning to explode upwards and I may be excessively conservative – but here is a chart of the US Dollar reproduced from an article by Clive Maund, for whom I have enormous respect as a technical analyst.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Archer Daniels Midland to Lead Agricultural Commodities Higher? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Mike_Paulenoff

Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Peak Oil is Here Now / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Submissions
The late A. M. Samsam Bakhtiari was quoted in MoneyWeek in 2006: “The fact of being in 'Post-Peak' will bring about explosive disruptions that we know little about and which are extremely difficult to foresee. And the shock waves from these explosions rippling throughout the financial and industrial infrastructure could have myriad unintended consequences for which we have no precedent and little experience. Thus, in the face of Peak Oil and its multiple consequences, which are bound to impact upon almost all aspects of our human standards of life, it seems imperative to get prepared to face all the inevitable shock waves resulting from that. Preparation should be carried out on individual, familial, societal, and national levels as soon as possible.”Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Gold Price Forecast to March 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: INO

Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
A Dangerous and Deceptive Gold Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Brian_Bloom
For some months, this analyst has been urging readers to focus more on capital preservation than on capital growth. This is not as simple a concept as it seems.
For example, it is “obvious” – to those who have no faith in the US economy and/or the US Dollar – that gold is one place where the prudent investor should be invested.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
US Treasury Inflationary Bail-Out to Include Curb on Inflation-Hedge Investments / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash

Crude oil retreated to $107 per barrel after the "front-month" contract moved onto November.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Precious Metals Surge on Prospects of $1 Trillion US Budget Deficit / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold and silver surged again yesterday (up 5 % and nearly 8 % respectively) as the serious inflationary consequences of the Treasury's unprecedented plan to buy up at least $700 billion of toxic assets was realised. Gold surged from $861.40 to close over $900/oz but has since given up some of its gains, likely on profit taking.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Crude Oil Explodes Higher to $130 Illustrating Irrational Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadeem_Walayat

Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Mounting Upward Pressure on Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The only thing my work is telling me for certain in the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) is that the upmove off of the 9/11 low at 72.51 needs a new high (above the 9/15 high at 90.78) prior to completion. The only issue for me is whether the GLD will pull back towards 85.50-85.00 prior to the surge above 90.78, or if the price structure is in the thrust right now?Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Ponzi Casino Capitalism Discredited- Risk of Global Monetary Crisis / Commodities / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold and silver surged last week (up 13% and 15% respectively) as the financial crisis deepened considerably and there was a realisation that the " ponzi " casino capitalism of recent years has critically wounded the U.S. financial system and done serious damage to the global financial system. Gold surged from below $780/oz to close at $861.40 on Friday and has risen again in European trading today to over $882/oz.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Gold Extends Gains as Investors Seek Transparency of the Physical Metal / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
GOLD PRICES extended last week's 13% gain early Monday, nearing Wednesday's six-week high of $892 per ounce as the US Dollar tumbled on the foreign exchanges and world stock markets retreated from Friday's "big bail out" surge.
Pointing to the US Treasury's plans for a $700 billion "resolution trust" for toxic mortgage-backed securities, "the US Dollar's response last week was further depreciation," notes Walter de Wet at Standard Bank.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 21, 2008
Silver Is the ONLY Asset that Is NOT Someone Else's Liability / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: David_Morgan

Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 21, 2008
Silver Significantly Weaker Trend Pattern than Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
Although silver investors may be understandably disappointed at its rather muted rally last week compared to that in gold, we should keep in mind that silver makes its best gains towards the end of gold uptrends, not at the start of them, which is where we are now. In the last update a snapback rally was predicted for silver on account of its severely oversold condition and proximity of strong underlying support and this is what we are now seeing.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 21, 2008
Gold Price Spike Breakout or Temporary? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund

Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 21, 2008
Gold Benefits from US Fed Surging Bank Credit Growth / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Read full article... Read full article...