Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, November 20, 2008
Silvers Brutal Downtrend Has Run its Course? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Even though the brutal downtrend in silver that has slashed its price by about 60% from last July remains in force, there are several important signs that it has probably run its course, and that silver is now basing ahead of renewed advance. On the 6-month chart we can see that even though silver plumbed new lows late in October by a sizeable margin, the MACD indicator bottomed way above its August and September lows, showing that downside momentum was decelerating, and it continued to decelerate with the low last week, when the MACD indicator hardly dropped. The behaviour of this indicator relative to price in the recent past is typical of a bottom.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 20, 2008
Gold Builds Support as the U.S. Dollar Hits Resistance / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold has remained in a narrowing trading range since the last update late in October, which is looking increasingly like an intermediate base area that will lead to a significant advance. In the last update a relief rally was predicted on the basis that the preceding steep downtrend had exhausted itself, and this is what we saw, although it didn't get very far. About a week ago gold looked like it may be forming a Pennant, implying a drop to new lows, but the lack of follow through on last week's decline and subsequent partial recovery has resulted in the pattern opening out into a Triangle, which is increasing the chances of an upside breakout.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 20, 2008
More on Gold and the Reflation of Assets / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Larry Edelson writes: Not surprisingly, my Money and Markets column last week about a new monetary system based on an upward revaluation of the price of gold set off quite a buzz all over the world. It was picked up by CBS MarketWatch, The Financial Times , The Market Oracle, and more.
Some Think I'm Crazy, That I've Lost My Mind. No Problem.
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Thursday, November 20, 2008
Gold Safe Haven Status Amid Steep Global Stockmarket Declines / Commodities / Gold & Silver
China Considering Diversification into Gold
BEIJING (Dow Jones) - China's central bank is considering raising its gold reserve by 4,000 metric tons from 600 tons to diversify risks brought by the country's huge foreign exchange reserves, the Guangzhou Daily reported, citing unnamed industry people in Hong Kong.
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Thursday, November 20, 2008
Gold and Silver Obvious Price Maniupulation / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Amazingly, while gold and other commodity related stocks continued to be sold off to levels that are at deep discounts to their intrinsic value in October, gold continued to break to new all time highs in most major currencies. On October 9th and 10th gold recorded new all time highs in many currencies including the Euro, the Australian Dollar, British Sterling, the Indian Rupee, the Russian Ruble, the South African Rand and many others. The Dow Jones Industrial Average Stock also recorded a multi decade low in terms of gold. Investors are getting a very much skewed view of gold's performance if they are viewing it in terms of the US Dollar or Yen. These are the two main currencies that have been used as cheap funding sources allowing speculators to take on incredible degrees of leverage to invest in higher yielding assets with much better fundamentals.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 20, 2008
Gold and Silver Inflation or Deflation Common Sense / Commodities / Gold & Silver
We have recently noticed many newsletter writers and commentators who were formerly calling for "Inflation" and are now switching their analysis to the growing popular theory of "Deflation". This very well may be 'The' great debate of our time.
Why is this significant and how does this effect investors?
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Wednesday, November 19, 2008
What's Frightening Saudis and Iranians into Buying Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Sean Brodrick writes: Our oil-rich friends in the Middle East are scared. How do I know? Because they are buying gold like crazy!
First , we got the news that Saudi investors spent $3.47 BILLION on gold in a recent two-week period. On a ratio-to-GDP basis, that's like investors in the U.S. spending $131 BILLION.
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Wednesday, November 19, 2008
To Prevent Financial Shocks, Build a Suspension System for the Gold Wagon / Commodities / Gold & Silver
When I drive down the road and hit a pothole, my car's suspension system absorbs the shock. Engineers design suspension systems to reconcile our driving habits automatically to the realities of hard pavement. So it should be with our monetary system.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
Gold Trades in Tight Range as Bonds Offer Record Low Returns for Investors / Commodities / Gold & Silver
WHOLESALE GOLD BULLION PRICES inside a tight range vs. the world's major currencies early Wednesday, as world stock markets fell for the eighth session in 13 so far this month.The Gold Price in Japanese Yen held unchanged from the start of Nov., while the Tokyo Nikkei index slipped to its worst level since the quarter-century lows of late Oct.
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Tuesday, November 18, 2008
US Explosive Money Supply Growth Bullish for Gold / Commodities / Money Supply
Central banks around the world are indeed doing everything but dumping money out of helicopters. That inflationary rush has been led by Federal Reserve. Ignoring the fact that easy money has been a failed policy twice in recent years, to wit the technology stock bubble and the housing bubble, FOMC is pursuing most inflationary policy in that organization's dismal 95-year history.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Dudley Baker on Gold Stocks Warants Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
“It's either the end of the world or a fabulous buying opportunity”
His pitch is irresistible: “Buy a basket of juniors with warrants and it could be the easiest 500% you'll ever make.” In this exclusive look at one of the most overlooked and misunderstood investment vehicles, Dudley Baker of PreciousMetalsWarrants.com explains to The Gold Report exactly what warrants are and how they increase the odds of winning vastly higher returns. With a little arm-twisting, Baker even reveals some of his most prized “unbelievable” opportunities.”
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Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Gold Settles into Contracting Range / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Citigroup to cut 52,000 jobsVikram Pandit, the Chief Executive of Citigroup announced yesterday that in a bid to revive their ailing share price, a massive 52,000 jobs would be cut. That's 1 in every 7 employees and slash costs by $10bn. Citi shares have lost more than 75% of their value over the past year and suffered over $50bn in writedowns and credit provisions. An analyst likened Citigroup to a super tanker; turning it around takes a long time.
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Gold Investors Buy the Dips / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF GOLD continued to drift lower in early London trade on Tuesday, holding $10 per ounce below last week's close while European stock markets lost another 2% and crude oil fell towards fresh 21-month lows."Looking forward, we think the need for safe-haven investments will grow," says the latest analysis from Scotia Mocatta, the London-based precious metals dealer, "while at the same time the level of distressed selling may ease.
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Monday, November 17, 2008
Gold Needs to Rise Above $838 to Fullfill Annual Minimum Bull Market Target / Commodities / Gold & Silver
The gold price on the last trading day of 2008 must close higher than the closing gold price on the last trading day of 2007 if the pattern of continuous year to year closing strength is to be maintained. The pattern of the year end closing gold price being higher than the previous years closing gold price has been maintained since the year 2000. The list posted below represents the closing year end gold price for the years 2000 through 2007.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 17, 2008
Current Commodities Price Deflation to be Followed by Massive Inflation Later / Commodities / Inflation
The global economy is declining. As a result, prices of important kinds of “stuff” is falling. Governments are pouring money onto the markets to solve a problem that may have been caused by easy money originally.
If you party too much and awake the next day with a hangover, taking a shot of alcohol may take the immediate pain away. However, it only delays and probably increases the pain when you finally decide to stop drinking, or become so sick you can't drink any more. Taking that morning after drink is referred to as taking a “hair of the dog that bit you”.
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Monday, November 17, 2008
Smart Money Bullish on Gold Following G20 Meeting / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL GOLD traded on the wholesale market reversed an early 0.7% rally vs. the US Dollar on Monday morning, while world stock markets fell for the 7th time in eleven Nov. sessions to date.Both the Euro and Pound Sterling slipped back from an early 1.5% jump vs. the US currency, leaving Gold lower for British and European investors.
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Sunday, November 16, 2008
Gold Long-term Bearish Projection Targets $480 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold went sideways while silver went lower. But the story of the week was the action in the stocks. The highest “quality” stocks moved lower by about 7% while the average stock declined by over 11%. Silver stocks did even worse with average declines over the 14% neighborhood. Are we ready for a bottom or is this just a continuation of the bear?Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 16, 2008
US Dollar Bull Run, Gold, XOI, HUI, CBOE Put/Call Ratio / Commodities / Gold & Silver
I thought it would be better to present a market roundup rather than just the XOI, given the speed with which the market has moved the past few days. Yesterday saw a dramatic move off the lows, which by my judgement is half way through in the mere span of 3 hours. The S&P is likely to go anywhere from 1000-1050 and since the commodity indices (particularly the XOI) have a similar pattern, all should be watched together for indications of a top. The most critical element for all markets is the inverse relationship they have relative to the US Dollar at present. Today, the USD, XOI, HUI and CBOE Equity Put Call Ratio Index are discussed.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Hydrogen Energy, IEA-2008 World Energy, Climate Change and Fossil Fuel Depletion / Commodities / Energy Resources
Research by Manfred Zysk, M.E., Updated November 14, 2008
1. HYDROGEN ENERGY REGENERATION - Hydrogen Energy and Hydrogen Regeneration processes are the only available global energy sources in adequate quantities and volume to replace diminishing oil and fossil fuel. Hydrogen obtained from the oceans, combined with hydrogen regeneration processes can provide adequate energy supply for most global energy needs for many centuries, and for a very promising future for the entire human race. Presently, wars are being fought over natural resources and over oil/fossil fuel.
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Friday, November 14, 2008
Gold at $14,172 an ounce? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
There are those who have been arguing vociferously for some years now that the world will be better off under a gold standard.
These people may or may not be correct, but we need to understand the implications of what a gold standard will bring with it.
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