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Friday, January 30, 2009

Gold New Target of $980 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Donald_W_Dony

In the January 25 report titled "The return of commodities", I indicated that gold is the leader among the commodity groups and that the target for this metal was $925 in February. As gold has already reached this first target earlier than expected, the new target has been raised to $980. Models continue to suggest that the US Dollar Index will see lower price levels in February and March. This action should move gold upward toward its new higher target. Equally as important to note is that gold leads the other commodity groups. Agriculture, oil and base metal are anticipated to follow gold's lead in the months to come.

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Friday, January 30, 2009

Gold and U.S. Dollar Rise in Tandem on Global Risk Aversion / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE of wholesale gold bullion leapt 2.2% at the start of London dealing on Friday, driven higher by strong institutional buying even as the US Dollar rose on the currency market.

New US data showed the world's largest single economy contracting by 3.8% on an annualized basis at the end of 2008 – better than the 5.4% contraction forecast by private-sector economists, but still a sharp acceleration from the summer's 0.5% rate and the worst pace since 1982.

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Friday, January 30, 2009

U.S. Dollar Gold Link: Trading Note / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

So far in 2009, gold and the US Dollar have both shot higher in tandem. Why...?

"A STRONGER DOLLAR typically weighs on gold," according to Reuters. But that's not what's been happening so far in 2009. Not by a long stretch.

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Friday, January 30, 2009

Global Food Prices are Rising Fast / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Eric_deCarbonnel

As much as I hate to rain on the deflation parade, I must point out that food inflation is increasing worldwide. It seems that food prices are unaware that they should be falling, because they are instead rising fast all around the world.

For example in India, after more than two months of steady decline, inflation has risen for the second week in a row due to a spike in food prices. The Economic Times reports that Indian inflation touches 5.64 pc with no respite as prices rise .

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Friday, January 30, 2009

Silver- It's the Pits / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: David_Morgan

Throughout my association in the mining industry I have heard almost every story you can imagine. For instance, there is more gold in seawater than can be measured and some company is supposed to have some super technology that can extract it profitably.

Another one that pops up is, “Our gold does not assay by normal methods but believe me we have a lot of it and our super extraction process will make us all rich.”

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Gold GLD Unfinished on the Upside / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Mike_Paulenoff

My pattern work is "warning" me that the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) has unfinished business on the upside -- into new high ground above 90.19 (target 92.00). This morning's pullback low at 86.27 has the right look of the completion of a correction off of the high, and this morning's upside pivot so far suggests strongly that a new upleg has started. The GLD must hurdle and sustain above 88.90 to confirm that a run at 92.00 is in progress.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Exploding Gold Demand as Governments Print Money / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Money_and_Markets

Larry Edelson writes: I haven't always been bullish on it. In fact, for about 20 years between 1980 and 2000, I was mostly bearish on this investment.

I believed the end of the Cold War had largely done it in from a geo-political perspective. I also believed that a new wave of technological innovation and stock market performance was going to give way to a slew of IPOs and a stock market boom in just about every asset but this one.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Bailouts and Low Interest Rates to Inflate Gold Price Bubble / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF WHOLESALE gold bullion slipped to a four-session low early in London on Thursday, dropping more than 4% from Monday's 3-month high to bounce off $875 an ounce.

Crude oil meantime slid back towards $41 per barrel, and European stocks stood 1.2% lower on average by lunchtime in Paris, where hundreds of thousands of workers and students joined street demonstrations to "sound a cry of anger" at the global financial crisis.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Junior Precious Metal Investors Nightmare Ends / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Dudley_Baker

Dark Side of the Dream - The last several months have been a nightmare for many investors in all markets of the world but perhaps no severe than those of us investors in the natural resource stocks. Frequently we would think it could not get worst only to realize that within another day or a week the natural resource stocks were still being pounded to the downside. It seems like ‘someone' had decided to drive all of the smaller natural stocks down to zero. Some of the shares actually went to one penny. A true bloodbath which wiped out enormous paper profits for all investors.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Resource Stock Investment Secrets / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Money_and_Markets

Sean Brodrick writes: ‘It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to Heaven, we were all going direct the other way.' — Charles Dickens, ‘A Tale of Two Cities'

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Gold, the Real Long-Run Value / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

WHAT'S IN A NUMBER...? Ignoring the day-to-day noise, more than a handful of gold dealers and analysts reckon gold will hit $2,200 an ounce before this bull market is done.

Why? Because that's the peak of 1980 revisited and re-priced in today's US dollars.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Uranium Stocks Remain in Deep Sleep / Commodities / Uranium

By: Merv_Burak

Boy, this is one frustrating market. The uranium stocks just seem to be trapped in a deep sleep and are hesitant to wake up. I guess that is still preferred seeing as how the spot price of uranium U308 dropped $3.00 this week. Going by that we are still lucky that the stocks have not plunged.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

The Wrong Way to Profit From Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Investment_U

You might think you're properly invested in oil, but you could be wrong.

Despite reaching lows since 2004, the long-term outlook for oil is still up. Maybe not $147 a barrel like the old days (i.e. six months ago), but because of supply, demand, turmoil in the Middle East, and the fact that we will eventually resume worldwide economic growth, oil prices have only one way to go.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Gold Bounces as Bundesbank "Not the Time to Sell" the Ultimate Safe Haven / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF WHOLESALE SPOT BULLION bounced from an early 2% drop in London on Wednesday, picking up to $889 per ounce after the German Bundesbank denied rumors it was selling bullion to help fund the federal government's new €50 billion economic stimulus package.

The US Dollar also fell, slipping to $1.33 per Euro and $1.43 per British Pound and helping knock the Gold Price in Euros and Sterling to €666 and £620 per ounce respectively – more than a 5% discount to the all-time record highs hit on Monday.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

German Central Bank Holds onto Gold on Memories of Weimar Hyperinflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold traded sideways in Asia overnight but has fallen in early European trading. Increasing risk appetite has seen equities rally again and this is likely leading to profit taking in the gold market. With gold having increased by some $100, more than 12% in less than 10 trading days and some will be taking profits.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Rising Oil Price Trend Supports Agri-food Bull Market During 2009 / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

A perhaps amazing characteristic of trends is that they do not continue indefinitely. One can not help also noticing the inability of journalists to correctly describe trends as they are developing. While they, and we suspect their editors, spend considerable time on grammar, they still seem to have problems with the proper tense for verbs. The difference between falling and has fallen may seem trivial to journalists, but to the analysts they are considerably different.

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Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Brent Cook on Junior Minors Upside Potential / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: The_Gold_Report

Turning Rocks Into Money - Geologist Brent Cook, editor of Exploration Insights newsletter, has earned a reputation for recognizing which juniors have the best chance of beating the odds and where rocks have the greatest potential for producing profit. In this exclusive interview The Gold Report, Brent shares some of his insights about which juniors have upside potential in this volatile market. Brent has examined properties in more than 60 countries and learned the investment side of the business from master Rick Rule.

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Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Further Confirmation of Crude Oil Depletion / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Ronald_R_Cooke

Of all the very large companies in the oil business, one has to particularly admire the business strategy of Schlumberger. This company is the world's leading supplier of technology, integrated project management and information solutions to customers working in the oil and gas industry. Employing more than 87,000 people in approximately 80 countries, Schlumberger attempts to work with the national governments that actually own the world's oil resources on a cooperative basis. This non-competitive, cooperative, strategy brought Schlumberger revenues of $27.16 billion in 2008.

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Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Gold Price Manipulation Further Forensic Examination / Commodities / Market Regulation

By: Rob_Kirby

Borrowing from the axiom that, “a picture is worth a thousand words,” today we are going to view the incredulity of recent macro-economic events with the aid of charts and graphs. First up is a chart of the price of gold [POG] over the past year with a few “milestones” pasted in for good measure:

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Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Silver Lags Gold Amidst Deflationary Outlook / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Roland_Watson

Silver continues to lag behind gold as the two metals in general struggle against this deflationary setting. Gold has benefitted from some of the fears regarding the stability of the credit and banking system but not enough to propel it to new highs.

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