Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, February 09, 2009
Silver Surges But Remains Undervalued Compared to Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold fell some 1.5% last week as investors took profits with gold having been up some 10% in the previous three 3 weeks. But the short and medium term prospects look sound in the light of strong fundamentals and some important indicators – silver was up by another 4.2% last week and the gold mining indices were also higher (XAU +4.6% and HUI +2.3%). The mining indices are often a leading indicator and silver usually underperforms gold in the early stages of rallies and outperforms in the latter. Silver’s recent strength (up by some 15% since the start of the year) may be a prelude to higher gold prices in the coming weeks.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 09, 2009
Crude Oil Trading Range Tightens / Commodities / Crude Oil
Contrary to early 2008, oil and the stock market are now marching in lock-step. As the stock market's trading range tightened, oil's has done likewise. Is crude setting up to take-off? As one may already know, explosive moves in either direction usually occur after a tight consolidation. However, in which direction it may go is difficult to say at this time.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 09, 2009
Fresh Water Investing: California Drought Reveals the “New Oil” / Commodities / Water Sector
David Fessler writes: A few weeks ago, during a particularly bad cold snap, we had a pipe freeze underneath our 200-year-old farmhouse, causing us to go without water for a few days. I eventually managed to unfreeze the pipe, but there was no question it was disruptive for a busy household of four.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 08, 2009
Gold in Bullish Trend Channel at Key Resistance Levels / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The price of gold is hitting its head up against the ceiling set by the top activity from the Sept/Oct highs. Is it time for some downside action?
GOLD : LONG TERM - Due to some time constraints this week's commentary will be short and to the point. Just the facts.
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Sunday, February 08, 2009
COPPER- Upside Breakout Imminent, Implications for Commodities... / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Although copper may seem like a sideshow it is actually very important, for it is a barometer of changes in the world economy. In retrospect it is easy to see on its long-term chart below that its refusal to break higher for several years from what turned out to be a major top area was a warning that all was not well with the world economy. The breakdown from the lower support line of the top area led to a crash back to the first major support level where it has stabilized. It remains wildly oversold, as shown by the huge gap between the 50 and 200-day moving averages.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 06, 2009
Brian Tang: Bullish on Finite Natural Resources Investing / Commodities / Resources Investing
Since 2003, Fundamental Research Corp. (FRC) has been focusing on companies not widely followed by brokerage firms, bringing investors and undervalued small and micro cap companies together. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, FRC founder Brian Tang and his crew forecast the primary driver of base metal prices in 2009, the future of gold and copper and the infinite upside of investing in finite resources.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 06, 2009
Gold.....Ready to Rumble! Part Two, Buying Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
We Are Running Out of Gold - Production at existing mines is grinding down at the same time investor demand is climbing. A quick scan of last year's individual country production numbers shows declines right across the board except in China whose citizen's snap up all they can. China, for the second year in a row is now the world's top gold producing country, easily passing perennial top producer South Africa.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 06, 2009
Gold GLD ETF Bullish Higher Highs / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The behavior of gold and the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) recently has been fascinating. Let's notice that the GLD has continued to carve out a series of higher lows off of the 1/15 pivot low at 78.73. It has been doing this DESPITE a stronger dollar and an overbought condition.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 06, 2009
Silver/Gold Ratio Bullish Reversion to the Mean / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
While wreaking its unbelievable destruction, last quarter's financial-market panic certainly showed no favoritism. Launching from ground zero in the financial stocks, shockwaves of selling blasted out through the entire market landscape. Everything speculators once loved was left in ruins, including silver.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 06, 2009
Gold and Silver Insurance Against Financial Crisis / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Just read leading U.S. newspapers and one see that Banker has become an unpleasant word as banks take in taxpayers money and give nothing out. Then you have the endless blame game ["we didn't force people to borrow money" - yes, you did through enticing, pushy adverts and a rising property market incited greed, which you peddled!] as Everybody loves to blame someone else as the global banking system continues to teeter on collapse as central bankers raise the amounts needed to save them and keep them going. So why do and did the banks need saving? The banking system in the last 50 years has gone from a source of loans in a cash society to the very financial artery of the economies of the developed world.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 06, 2009
Return of Inflation, Commodities and Resource Stocks Itching to Takeoff / Commodities / Resources Investing
Government, Know Thyself - “Why Can't 'Common Sense' Be Applied to Bailouts?”
We welcome President Obama's “basic common sense” announcement of a $500k salary cap for top executives at companies receiving substantial bailout funds. It's a bit of welcome good news.
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Friday, February 06, 2009
Gold Firm as US Jobless Rate Jumps / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE SPOT PRICE of wholesale gold held inside a tight $7 range Friday morning as the United States reported its worst monthly job losses since 1974 and Japanese auto-giant Toyota posted its first annual loss since 1950.For the week, Spot Gold in Dollars neared the London close 1.2% below last week's finish, while crude oil slipped back to $40 per barrel.
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Friday, February 06, 2009
Gold Boosted by Unprecedented Global Money Printing / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold remains firm as there is increasing nervousness about the global economy and indeed nervousness about the global monetary system and this is leading to continuing strong investment demand. Gold remains at or near record highs in nearly all major currencies ($914.00 £622.11 €713.06) and looks set to regain its nominal record high of $1,030/oz in the coming weeks. UBS joined Goldman Sachs and Merrill Lynch in drastically increasing their gold price forecasts yesterday. UBS has increased its 2009 average gold price forecast to $1,000 an ounce from $700 as investors seek a safe haven from the financial turmoil.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 05, 2009
Crude Oil USO ETF Advances Off of New All-Time Low / Commodities / Crude Oil
The US Oil Fund ETF (NYSE: USO) is showing interesting strength today after making a new all-time low this morning. As we speak the USO is pushing against initial key near-term resistance at 29.00, which if hurdled should trigger upside follow-through to test more important resistance at the prior recovery rally peak of 29.50. If such a scenario unfolds, then the confrontation at 29.50 will determine if the USO has established a very significant intermediate-term low.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 05, 2009
Why Silver is Set for a Great Year / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Sean Brodrick writes: Boy, I wish I had a time machine. I wouldn't have to go far — just back a few months to buy silver at under $9 an ounce (a 38% discount to recent prices) and gold at under $715 (a 27% discount to recent prices).
Well, I do have the next best thing, though — a list of undervalued gold and silver miners that are trading at dirt-cheap valuations to their gold reserves.
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Thursday, February 05, 2009
Analysis of Canadian Junior Gold and Silver Mining Stocks CDNX Index / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
For over 18 months most junior mining stocks have put in an absolutely terrible performance. The chart for the CDNX index, which best represents junior gold miners as it is made of about 500 stocks most of which are mining stocks, makes this abundantly clear - and many investors in the sector will not of course need reminding of this.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 05, 2009
Currency Crisis: First Sterling, Now the Euro, and Then...? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
How to get a jump on the big central banks as interest rates race towards zero worldwide...
OF SIX CENTRAL BANKS voting on interest rates this week, only the European Central Bank in Frankfurt failed to reduce its cost of money to either record or multi-year lows, holding rates steady at 2.0%.
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Thursday, February 05, 2009
Gold is Dead and Neitzsche had Nothing to do with it / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
“Gold kind of scares me because very often the people involved with it seem to be slightly insane.”– James Montier, head of equity research, Societe Generale, London
Some say that it doesn't matter when you buy gold, that you should buy it regularly and always, and that it represents the only true store of value. Fair enough. When all is said and done, buying gold may be the only means of acquiring real wealth for the very long term. Especially today, when all major currencies are devaluing by hook or by crook – some voluntarily, others not so – it behooves an investor to shore up his gold holdings.
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Thursday, February 05, 2009
Gold Price Disconnects from the U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The gold price has finally disconnected from its nemesis, the USDollar. This news should be read as the coming of spring after months of wintry torment, or as the sighting of land after 30 days adrift at sea in a derelict vessel. From 2002 to very early 2008, the gold price had risen from the massive speculative fervor that swept the United States and Europe, whose economies had been supplied largely by Asian factories. The mines from Latin America to South Africa to Australia greatly aided the process.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 05, 2009
Gold Boosted by Zero Yield, as World Currencies Devalue on Negative Real Interest Rates / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE SPOT GOLD PRICE jumped sharply for US and Euro investors on Thursday morning in London, rising 1.7% and 1.4% respectively as world stock markets fell despite fresh cuts to central-bank interest rates.
Of five central banks voting on rates this week, only the European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt failed to reduce its cost of money, holding rates steady at 2.0%.
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