Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, December 15, 2009
Gold and Related Silver and Stock Ratio Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The daily chart of the gold/silver ratio is shown below, with upper Bollinger bands in close proximity to the ratio, with lower 21 and 34 MA BB’s in close proximity to each other and the lower 55 MA BB starting to curl down, indicating the potential for further upside. Full stochastics 1, 2 and 3 are shown below in order of descent, with the %K above the %D in all three instances. Based upon extrapolation of the %K in stochastic 1, there is the potential for the ratio to continue heading higher over the next 1-2 weeks before topping out. Generally, the gold/silver ratio rises during periods of economic weakness and declines during economic stability.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2009
Gold Shares Buying Opportunity, Investors Back Up the Truck Now / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
I have been warning you all for several weeks that a buying opportunity for gold shares was approaching during December and here it is. I want to take a near term look at this gold rally in this article. I do apologize that I missed my normal release of an article last week it was due to some rare and unscheduled time off with a tooth abscess.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2009
Gold Gives Back Bounce Despite Risk of Government Debt Defaults / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD gave back yesterday's 1.4% rally on Tuesday morning in London, drifting down to Monday's start near $1113 an ounce as world stock markets slipped and the US Dollar rose on the currency market.
The Euro fell to a fresh 11-week low after the ZEW survey pegged economic sentiment across the 16-nation currency union at a four-month low.
Tuesday, December 15, 2009
Gold EUR 1,000/oz Likely on Eurozone Debt Concerns / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold and silver rose yesterday but have experienced a pullback overnight (gold from $1,128.00/oz to $1,117.50/oz). Gold is currently trading at $1,118.00/oz and in euro and GBP terms, gold is trading at €768/oz and £688/oz respectively.
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Monday, December 14, 2009
Cardium Oil Play Valuations Setting Up Big Year for M&A in 2010 / Commodities / Oil Companies
The new Cardium oil play in Alberta is rapidly approaching the stature of Saskatchewan’s famous Bakken play – and this is very good news for investors in Canada’s junior oil and gas sector.
The four year old Bakken play has created huge shareholder wealth for investors, as companies like Crescent Point Energy and Petrobank bought out junior after junior after junior to increase their land base and production profile.
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Monday, December 14, 2009
Agri-Food's and the Global Warming Research Dollars Ponzi Scam / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
The Global Warming Scam may finally be on its way to well-deserved oblivion. Take your pick of discrediting events, the snow storms that hit the Midwestern U.S., snow at the start of the Australian Summer, -40 degree temps in Western Canada, or Climategate. The Global Warming Scam appears now to have been nothing more than a giant research dollar Ponzi-like scheme.
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Monday, December 14, 2009
China as a Nuclear Power Play / Commodities / Uranium
Romeo Dator writes: Like all major economies, China is preparing for its energy future to accommodate rapid growth and the movement of more and more Chinese to cities. The foundation of the nation’s electricity generation plan is coal, but with loud calls coming from around the world for China to cut its output of greenhouse gases, a significant portion of new power will be nuclear.
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Monday, December 14, 2009
Gold Bounces off Four Week Low / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD ticked higher from near 4-week lows at $1111 an ounce early Monday, recording the lowest London Gold Fix since Nov. 13th at $1120 as Asian stock markets ended the day flat but European shares rose despite poor data.
The government of Abu Dhabi surprised analysts by lending neighboring Dubai $10 billion today to help repay debts owed by its Nakheel real-estate group.
Monday, December 14, 2009
Gold Silver Ratio Means Silver Remains a Compelling Buy / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold has been as high as $1,127.50/oz overnight on dollar weakness but has since given up the gains in late morning London trading as the dollar has recovered its earlier losses. Gold is currently trading at $1,116.50/oz and in euro and GBP terms, gold is trading at €763/oz and £688/oz respectively.
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Monday, December 14, 2009
Gold Inflation Big Picture / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Right now the financial markets are telling us a story which is so incredible, so fantastic and filled with such opportunities for profit that I am in awe. I can only remember two comparable opportunities in my lifetime, the bottom in gold at $35/oz. in the summer of 1970 and the bottom in stocks in the summer of 1982 at 780 DJI.
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Monday, December 14, 2009
Gold More Downside Expected / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Donald W. Pendergast writes: So, we’ve seen a substantial correction in the Gold market over the past couple of weeks, and that means that Gold is now ready to rocket higher to fresh highs, isn’t it? Probably not, at least not right away, and patient and wise traders/investors will want to wait a bit to see what Gold does as it interacts with any number of key support levels. Let’s take a closer look, hoping to ascertain when/where this current downdraft might expect to meet up with major support.
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Monday, December 14, 2009
Where Next for the Stock Market, Gold, Silver and Crude Oil? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The past three weeks have been interesting to watch as the Dow (DIA ETF) has broadened causing traders to be shaken in and out of positions. Commodities have been under pressure as the US dollar has risen. Below are some charts of these investments and what I think could happen in the next couple weeks.
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Monday, December 14, 2009
Orange Juice Futures 2010 Commodity Trade Setup / Commodities / Futures Trading
In this weekly issue, The J.E.D.I. Way will be covering price trends in the Futures, and Futures Options Markets for the long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term time periods for the MARCH 2010 ORANGE JUICE contract and then list one or more trading opportunities that The J.E.D.I. Way will be seeking to add to its current holdings.
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
Gold Long-term Performance Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
How has gold performed in the 42 years since 1967 when it last traded at a fixed price of $35 in the US?
Let’s look at it versus the total return of the S&P 500, the total return of 1-yr T-Bills, West Texas Intermediate Crude and the Urban Consumers All Items Consumer Price Index?
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
Silver Rising Bearish Wedge Price Pattern / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
A bizarre anomaly of gold's recent strong runup was the unusually poor performance of silver, which normally outpaces gold noticably during the middle and later stages of an uptrend. It did not gain any serious traction and is already back below its September peak. The fact that it did not even manage to break out to new highs is taken as a non-confirmation of gold's move, as is the failure of the PM stock indices to make new highs, and is viewed as bearish for the sector over the intermediate-term, meaning the coming 2 to 6 months.
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
Gold Approaching Important Support and U.S. Dollar Bullish Wedge Pattern / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The last update posted on the 29th November called a top in gold, which occurred just a few days later. This was actually quite easy to do given the overbought extreme that then existed and the fervour of bullishness spilling over into the mainstream financial media. Gold has since reacted back heavily and our task now is to decide whether this is just a reaction in an ongoing and possibly still accelerating uptrend, or whether it marks an intermediate top, or worse the onset of a full-blown bearmarket.
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
Financial and Commodity Bubbles Everywhere? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The financial markets are generally unpredictable, so one has to have different scenarios. The idea that you can actually predict what’s going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market – GEORGE SOROS
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
Agriculture Investing, Everybody Has to Eat / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
“If you can tell me something else where the fundamentals are so attractive…I’d be happy to put my money there, but I don’t know of any other place” – JIM ROGERS ON AGRICULTURE
It sure seems like gold and oil have stolen the limelight when it comes to commodities lately.
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
How to Trade Precious Metal Stocks Right Now / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Matt Badiali writes: When you're sending out your Christmas cards this month, gold and silver stock investors should send one to Beijing.
The people of China have helped gold and silver stock investors (and readers of my S&A Resource Report) make a lot of money this year. And they've helped make several of my predictions turn out right on the money.
Saturday, December 12, 2009
Gold Correction, When Will it Bottom? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The rough period in gold is upon us. Now the question is for how long? I’ll let others answer that question. I’ll just follow the action wherever it takes me. For now that is the down side but it does look like a slight bottoming taking place.
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