Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, January 18, 2010

The Three Major Questions That Will Determine the Gold Price in 2010 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Miles_Banner

2009 saw the FTSE Industrial Metals and Mining sector return more than 350% for the year. The dollar index fell by 4.2% and gold raced to a new record of US $1,226, eventually dropping to a 24% gain over the year.

Monday, January 18, 2010

Gold and the Science Of Market Speculation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Howard_Katz

The gold market appears to be just a little past a crucial turning point.  At the time of the Dec. 3, 2009 top, my expectation was for a short term decline to $1,000.  It appears that this was too pessimistic, and the evidence now says that gold had a short term bottom at $1,075 on Dec. 22, 2009.

Sunday, January 17, 2010

How to Trade Gold and other Commodity ETF’s / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Whether you are trading stocks, ETFs or futures, technical analysis is the preferred choice for short term traders. Technical analysis in short is the study of price and volume movements on charts. It can be used for studying charts in any time frame whether you are a 1 minute chartist or a long term investor using monthly charts.

Sunday, January 17, 2010

Natural Gas, My Favorite Commodity to Buy Right Now / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: DailyWealth

In yesterday's DailyWealth, I outlined how rising interest rates will depress the stock market's P/E multiple... which will create a giant headwind for stock market investors.

You can protect yourself from this headwind by avoiding high-priced growth stocks. A popular growth stock trading for a P/E of 40 can get cut in half in a matter of months in this kind of environment. For instance, Amazon currently trades for 75 times earnings. Surgical device maker Intuitive Surgical trades for 58 times earnings. Danger ahead.

Sunday, January 17, 2010

Crude Oil Prices Fall as Winter Premium Melts Away / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Crude oil futures fell for five straight sessions as warmer weather in the U.S. dispelled forecasts of unusually low temperatures and allowed concerns about demand to come to the fore. The price for Nymex’s West Texas crude fell about 6% during the week, starting at nearly $83 and finishing at $78.

Saturday, January 16, 2010

Gold Price Waiting for Trigger for a Futher Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Merv_Burak

Unexpected events often have a shock effect on the markets.  The shock may last for some time or go away quickly.  As far as the precious metals market is concerned, the recent earthquake should have only a minor effect. 

Friday, January 15, 2010

Cheap Crude Oil is Gone, and That's Good News / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Casey_Research

Marin Katusa writes: Over the next year or two, you will likely find yourself paying a LOT more at the gas pump. Big changes are taking place in the oil industry. With increased global demand and declining supply, easy oil is not so easy anymore.

Everything is about to get more expensive. From gasoline to anti-freeze, life jackets to golf balls, and eye glasses to fertilizer. There are very few things in the modern world that aren't made from oil, made by machines dependant on oil, or shipped by vehicles powered by oil.

Friday, January 15, 2010

Gold and Silver Taking a Breather or Beginning a New Downtrend? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Przemyslaw_Radomski

President Obama’s administration has not been aggressive enough in fixing the root causes that led to the near economic collapse. In a recent speech, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said that it was regulatory failure, not low interest rates that were responsible for the housing bubble and subsequent financial crisis.

Bernanke denied any Fed culpability for inflating the housing bubble and blamed the "under-regulated" financial sector, which had designed and sold unconventional and exotic mortgage products which later turned out to be toxic.

Friday, January 15, 2010

Crude Oil Falls Below $79 on Strong Dollar / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: LiveCharts

As the dollar has rebounded from some recently disappointing jobs news, it has pushed back against recent gains in oil prices and gold prices. A barrel of oil fell below $79 in Friday (January 15) morning trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Friday, January 15, 2010

U.S. Dollar Rally Could Put Gold Under Pressure / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Apart from why the dollar (DXY) abruptly reversed to the upside this morning, purely from my technical perspective this action is what I have been awaiting: some signal that all of the corrective-looking weakness off of the Dec 22 high at 78.45 into the 1/13 low at 76.60 actually was a correction.

Friday, January 15, 2010

How Does the U.S. Dollar Really Affect the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

General view of U.S. influence on the gold price - We have to ask ourselves what prompts investors large and small to go out and buy gold for their portfolios. Are they moved by a single piece of news that is seen on television or one piece of U.S. economic news? No, the average gold investor has accumulated reasons over time, which convinces him that it is wise to hold gold. But the real truth is that the gold market is global and affected by a vast number of investors each with his own reasons for buying gold from Mongolia to Manhatten. And at this moment in time, it is the non-U.S. investor that is driving the gold price.

Friday, January 15, 2010

Gold Consolidates as US Regulator Targets Speculation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD in Dollars ticked back from $1145 per ounce for the third time in two days early Friday, slipping in what one dealer called "choppy trading" as silver also retreated.

"We are riding a small Elliot Wave higher," said Thursday technical analysis from Scotia Mocatta, the bullion bank.

Friday, January 15, 2010

Food Crisis while Futures Funds Fall the Most since 1987 / Commodities / Food Crisis

By: Andrew_Abraham

Who do you believe?… Jim Rogers came out today and predicts food shortages. Jim Rogers thinks there will be food shortages because of the financial crisis. He believes the agricultural sector is low on funds and inventories are at the lowest levels in decades. An example is a recent trade that most trend followers are in is Sugar. Sugar is still 70% below it’s highs. Can you imagine the potential profits only if sugar rebounds 50%? The same can be said about gold or even coffee.

Friday, January 15, 2010

Will China Supercede Saudi Arabia as the to Crude Oil Prices? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I bought a Toyota Prius last Saturday.

The signs are everywhere that oil is headed for stratospheric highs - $200, $250 or even $300 a barrel. Some of these signs are just plain obvious. But even the subtle indicators are telling us that some very expensive energy costs headed our way.

Friday, January 15, 2010

Is the Gold Correction Over? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

The Technical Trader’s view:

Friday, January 15, 2010

Copper Awaiting Reaction at 76.4% Resistance / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

The recovery in Copper that started in late 2008 continued through 2009 without much reaction to the downside. The upmove has finally reached the 76.4% recovery area of the major losses seen earlier in 2008 – it is worth keeping an eye out for signs of bull fatigue here.

Thursday, January 14, 2010

Gold Super Spike to $5,000 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: Let me get right to the point. Gold's going to $5,000 an ounce.

I know that sounds preposterous to most people. In fact, some of you probably think I'm crazy.

Thursday, January 14, 2010

Base Metals and Rare Earths Balancing Security of Supply and Investment Optimism / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: The_Energy_Report

Americans have been bemoaning U.S. dependence on foreign oil for decades and a domestic alternative still seems a distant dream. Meanwhile, the world has changed. On one hand, that dependency now stretches across a broadening spectrum of raw materials, from molybdenum and tungsten to zinc, nickel and chromium to the decade's darling on the periodic table—the rare earths. And on the other, huge emerging economies, primarily that of China, are driving up demand for the raw materials needed to develop infrastructure and making it clear that their own domestic needs take priority.

Thursday, January 14, 2010

Russia Playing Russian-Roulette With Gold Sales / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Rob_Kirby

Let’s consider a well publicized recent sale of Russian gold bullion to itself:

Thursday, January 14, 2010

Gold Market on Uptrend, Shows Positive Buying Signals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Matt_McKinney

Today I Have The First Buy Signal In Over A Month! Please review my December 3rd analysis here: http://mckinneytrading...