Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, February 27, 2011
The Global Flight into Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
The world is awash in dollars and that is being reflected in the USDX, which are six major currencies versus the dollar. The loss of value is being loudly trumpeted as the IMF says a replacement must be found. This is the same IMF that has been foisting non-gold backed SDRs on us since 1969. Every time they have tried this it has been a failure. We can give the Illuminists an ‘A’ for effort, but what they do not get is that the professionals and investors see right through it. Another batch of fiat currency is not going to solve the world’s currency crisis, which can only be saved by gold backing. Needless to say, the mainstream media will never talk about this in realistic terms, because the elitists control them. The denigration of currencies versus gold and silver are advancing apace, as the elitists day after day try to suppress gold and silver prices.
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Saturday, February 26, 2011
Crude Oil Unique Price Formation, Should You Buy Here? / Commodities / Crude Oil
This has been a turbulent week on the geopolitical front, triggering waves in the stock market and sending the price of crude oil through the roof. While the stock market corrects itself (as we anticipated), the price of crude oil seems to be creeping ever higher, putting upward pressure on the price of fuel and energy. Worse still is the serious effect this could have on the economic recovery that everyone has been banking on.
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Saturday, February 26, 2011
The Most Compelling Argument for Owning Silver I've Ever Heard / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Sean Goldsmith writes: The talk of the investment industry is a video making its way around the internet right now…
Saturday, February 26, 2011
Gold Moving Closer To All-time High / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold prices have slipped a bit to close out the week, but an ounce of gold is holding steady over $1,400 as a run toward late December’s all-time intraday trading high of $1,431.50 appears inevitable in the coming weeks.
Continued political unrest in Libya and Bahrain, combined with the recent overthrow of 30-year Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, has driven speculators toward commodities.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Mideast Mayhem to Drive Gold Price Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
As Casimir Capital Managing Director Wayne Atwell sees it, further political unrest in the Middle East could push gold higher, while inflation risk and sovereign debt issues in Europe are longer-term price catalysts. He also shares a few up-and-coming gold juniors that Casimir covers in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.
The Gold Report: In a recent interview with Bloomberg you said, "Gold's gotten stronger because it's no longer weak." Can you explain that concept to our readers?
Friday, February 25, 2011
Gold Stocks Long-Term Trend Still Up, Despite Price Declines / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Economic and social developments across the globe are significantly affecting the capital market moves in the present scenario. Global markets, still fragile, could be tilted off course if instability in the Middle East spreads. Markets largely ignored the revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt, two countries that are basically not that significant on the global economic scheme of things. They don’t owe much money to western banks, nor do they export large quantities of commodities, such as oil. But markets certainly took notice this week of the violent upheaval in Libya.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Junior Gold Miners and Resource Stocks Correction / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Junior resource stocks are fickle little things. And most investors who dabble in this realm are fully aware of their capricious nature. One of the best ways to describe owning these stocks can be summed up by one of the most famous lines in literary history, “It was the best of times, it was the worst of times…”
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Why is the Dollar Falling in Gold and Currency Terms? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
In the last few days a fairly new market perception has been creeping in. The expectation that Eurozone interest rates are going to start rising ahead of U.S. interest rates is taking hold. But while the original intention in Europe was to raise them as soon as it was seen that the recovery was really taking hold, it is becoming apparent that inflation may well beat them to it. As energy and food inflation are here to stay the reason rates will rise now is to tackle inflation.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Europe Replaces Gazprom Natural Gas With Algeria / Commodities / Natural Gas
In March, Algeria will export gas to Europe via Medgaz pipeline laid beneath the Mediterranean Sea. The EU continues to reduce its dependence on Russian gas, and Algeria continues to strengthen its position as a natural gas distributor in Europe. At the moment this country is the third largest supplier to the EU.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Gold Adds 1% But Silver Unwinds Week-on-Week Jump as Oil Price Hit by Margin Hike / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
BOTH GOLD and physical silver prices failed to hold onto a sharp overnight bounce in London trade on Friday, trading below $1404 and $33 respectively per ounce as volatility in crude oil remained at record levels but world stock markets rose for the first day in six.
The US Dollar snapped its 7-day losing streak, bouncing against the Euro, Sterling and Yen and leaving gold prices for non-Dollar investors slightly higher again.
Friday, February 25, 2011
Crude Oil, Natural Gas and AMEX Oil Index Stocks Analysis / Commodities / Crude Oil
The daily chart of oil is shown below, with oil shooting well above all three Bollinger bands, suggestive that oil will consolidate for at least 7-10 days before trending higher. Normally, when prices run well above upper Bollinger bands, a consolidation is required, or a pullback is in order. Given the fact that all three lower Bollinger bands are positioned in close proximity to each other and the lower 55 MA Bollinger band curled lower, oil prices are highly likely to remain above $90/barrel and eventually rise above $100/barrel before summer's end. Full stochastics 1, 2 and 3 are shown below in order of descent, with the %K beneath the %D in all three instances.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Global Food Crisis, Not Only Speculation / Commodities / Food Crisis
THE BIG PICTURE - Recent massive food commodity price rises, with occasional day trade plunges on the back of market rumours, price chart gazing or analysts' theories – followed by a return to the growth trend - is taken by many as a key proof of the Ponzi scheme new economy. The food commodity sell-off through February 21-23, 2011 is a typical example, explained by market watchers as due to speculation by traders that riots in North Africa and the Middle East could cut government spending and curb food demand from the Arab world, which buys about 33 percent of global shipments.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Booster Rocket Ignites in Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
Following Brent Crude’s earlier break above the May-10 high we had been focusing on certain Fibo targets and more recently looking for signs of bull fatigue as these were approached. But bulls have got a second wind, calling for higher projections/targets now.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Timber Investing: The Inflation Hedge That Pays Off in Every Type of Market / Commodities / Resources Investing
Larry D. Spears writes: If you start a conversation about the building inflationary pressures already sapping consumer pocketbooks, that talk will almost certainly turn to such classic hedges as gold, silver and even crude oil.
But one of the best inflationary hedges of the 20th century is often forgotten - even though it's likely to be just as effective this time around.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Libya Crisis Advice From the Guy "Big Oil" Calls for Answers / Commodities / Crude Oil
Kent Moors, Ph.D. writes: Given the events that we've seen in Egypt and elsewhere in recent weeks - as well as the developments we've seen in Libya in recent days - there's only one conclusion to reach.
We are right now looking at the prospect of significant and sustained instability in a region that's home to two-thirds of the world's known crude oil reserves.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Food Price Inflation Calculator / Commodities / Inflation
Mark Thornton of the Mises Institute writes, "The price of everything seems to have skyrocketed. Only housing, the dollar and inflation-adjusted income are negative."
I immediately interrupt to wittily say, "Well, housing is going down because nobody wants to buy a still-over-priced-yet-even-lower-quality house that now needs painting, a new water heater, some leaky things fixed and a new roof, especially now that inflation-adjusted incomes are negative!"
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Thursday, February 24, 2011
What You Need to Know About Buying Silver Today / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
It's hard to believe that less than three years ago, silver was $8.80 an ounce. Since then it has nearly quadrupled in value (up 385%) and more than doubled in the last 12 months alone.
That's great for those who already own the metal - but is it too late for the rest of us to get in?
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Thursday, February 24, 2011
WTI and Brent Disparity Means Higher Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil is trading at a significant discount to Brent crude, the latter of which is used to price two-thirds of globally traded crude oil. WTI, on the other hand, is the commodity underlying Nymex futures contracts and has, more often than not, traded slightly above Brent. Although the current Brent/WTI divergence is widening, disruptions in equilibrium don't tend to last. "True energy demand," says Raymond James Director of Energy Research Marshall Adkins, "will ultimately bring WTI in line with global oil prices." Marshall reveals how equity investors can profit from oil service providers in this exclusive interview with The Energy Report.
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Thursday, February 24, 2011
End of the Gold Bull Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Is time running out for the mighty gold bull?Has a favorite son been brought to his knees?
Take a close look at the following evidence.
We may have seen the end of this gold cycle.
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Thursday, February 24, 2011
Clean Energy Commodities: The Answer To Middle Eastern Oil / Commodities / Renewable Energy
Many of the great declines in the stock market over the past 30 years have been related to oil (United States Oil (USO)). This week we have seen the major indices plummet on geopolitical chaos throughout North Africa, especially the large oil-producing Libya, as investors returned to gold (SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)), silver (iShares Silver Trust (SLV)), and oil. As the market reached record overbought territory, any excuse could begin a significant pullback in equities (SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)).
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