Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, December 08, 2011
Buying Silver Is Like Buying Gold At $554 Today / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
I think that buying silver today is like buying gold for $554 an ounce. Let me explain: As I am writing, silver is currently trading at about 65.2% (32.6/50) of its 1980 high. If gold was trading at 65.2% of its 1980 high, it would be trading at $554 (0.652*850).Now, I really like gold, even at today’s price of $1 738, but why should I pay $1 738, if I can get it for $554 by buying silver and then exchanging it for gold when the gold/silver ratio is at an extreme (in favour of silver). The reason for this logic comes from the fundamental relationship between gold and silver as explained in my previous article.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Gold Bullion Rises in "Very Thin" Trade as ECB Cuts Interest Rates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
THE WHOLESALE gold and silver price both continued to rise in London on Thursday morning, recovering the week's earlier losses despite what dealers called "lethargic", "thin" and "quiet" trade ahead of tomorrow's political summit aimed at rewriting European Union treaties to boost confidence in the Eurozone.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Mexico a Rising Natural Gas Superstate? / Commodities / Natural Gas
Americans looking south of the Rio Grande tend to forget, if they ever knew, that Mexico is, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, now America's second largest source of imports. Of the United States' total crude oil imports averaging 9,033 thousand barrels per day (tbpd), Mexico is the second largest source of imports, at 1,319 tbpd, exceeded only by Canada with 2,666 tbpd.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Start Thinking in Terms of Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Jeff Clark, Casey Research writes: A young woman - let's call her Andrea - inherited some money from her father in late 1997. She was only nineteen at the time. Not knowing the first thing about investing, she kept the money in stocks and bonds as her father had, wanting to hold on to it until she really needed it. She played it "safe."
She got married last year and so began to withdraw the money. She was pleased to see a chart from the broker that showed her portfolio was up about 20%. While admittedly not a great return over 12 years, her account had nevertheless survived both the 2000 tech crash and the 2008 market meltdown. She knew not all investors could not say the same thing.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
The Catfish, Your Savings and Japan's Gold Coin Giveaway / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Don't be greedy, or a giant catfish might force you to spew out your savings...
UNLIKE us – who are so smart today – ancient folk in ancient times used to believe the oddest things about how the world worked.
The Japanese, for instance, long thought that earthquakes were caused by a giant catfish, shuffling and shifting whenever the great god of Kashima forgot to keep his foot on a heavy stone which held the beast down, deep beneath the coast of Honshu. Honoring the Kashima shrine, some 80 miles north-east of what was then Edo (modern-day Tokyo) was therefore a good idea. Because tectonic upheaval, causing death and destruction, was a sign that the god was neglecting his duty.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Gold Tsunami on the Cusp of $3,000+? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The Gold Tsunami analogy continues, and it goes like this……..
“The Dollar Inflation psychology pulled back out into the sea, taking the price of Gold with it.
Those of a deflation bent ran amok on the naked sea bed for a bit, acting like the Dollar Inflation and Gold Price run was over.
Suddenly, the new wave of paper currency inflation popped up on the horizon last week, and many Dow Stock ‘Crashers’ were mowed down with the early start of the tidal wave of Dollar Inflation and rise in Gold.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Gold and Silver Warrants: an Insider’s Insights / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
With a tsunami of interest in the future prospects of gold and silver mining companies (and their stock prices as a result) I am publishing an updated version of my one-of-a-kind proprietary index of commodity-related companies with long-term warrants (CCWI) and its sub-category of just gold and silver companies with long-term warrants (GSWI). This article gives you some insights into the ‘secret world’ of warrants and slices and dices the make-up of both indices identifying the constituents of each for your edification.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Will Gold Help Japan Sell Debt? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Earlier this week, Standard & Poor’s placed Germany, France and 13 other eurozone nations on negative credit watch, saying “continuing disagreements among European policy makers on how to tackle” the region’s debt crisis risk is damaging their financial stability. Furthermore, S&P warned that the European Financial Stability Facility may lose its top credit rating. “We could lower the long-term credit rating on EFSF by one or two notches if we were to lower the AAA sovereign ratings, which are currently on credit watch, on one or more of EFSF’s guarantor members,” S&P explained. Now, more steps are being considered by the European Central Bank in order to stimulate lending.
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Wednesday, December 07, 2011
What is Gold's Primary Trend? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
The market maven Richard Russell often speaks about 'the primary trend' in certain assets and markets.
I speak of it as the fundamentals, and also the primary trend.
Someone asked, "What is the primary trend in gold?"
Wednesday, December 07, 2011
Gold Rallies, Stocks Fall, ECB Borrowing "Positive for European Liquidity" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
SPOT MARKET gold prices jumped to $1737 an ounce Wednesday aftetnoon in London, as rumors continued to build of more aggressive monetary stimulus ahead of tomorrow's European Central Bank meeting.
German opposition to proposed changes to the Eurozone's rescue framework also threw doubt on whether this Friday's summit will deliver a significant deal.
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Wednesday, December 07, 2011
Gold Is Crucial Diversification - Hedge Against Monetary and Systemic Risk / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold is trading at USD 1,724.70, EUR 1,289.70, GBP 1,099.30, CHF 1,105.5, JPY 134,050 and AUD 1,679.4 per ounce.
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1731.00, GBP 1108.20, and EUR 1,289.96 per ounce.
Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,720, GBP 1,098.76, and EUR 1,284.54 per ounce.
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Wednesday, December 07, 2011
The Age of Rare Earth Metals / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Just as the Bronze Age catapulted human civilization to new levels, so are critical metals changing the way we live in the modern world. Despite weak across-the-board market sentiment, Jacob Securities Analyst Luisa Moreno maintains that rare earths will continue to revolutionize our daily lives. In this Critical Metals Report exclusive, Moreno explains how to pinpoint investment opportunities as new projects inevitably come online.
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Wednesday, December 07, 2011
Gold Resource Stocks Searching For Direction / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As we approach the end of the year traditional tax loss selling with be evident in many of the resource shares. This has been a terrible year on balance for these companies and it is reasonable to expect more pain as we approach year end.
However, this should be the last move down before this sector takes off to the upside, a move that has been much awaited by most of the analysts and newsletter writers.
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Tuesday, December 06, 2011
Gold FIX Driving the Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
In the last couple of weeks, we've noticed the variance of the gold Fixing price and the open market price. In the past, the two tended to dovetail giving the appearance of synchronicity. But in the last week, open market prices have tried to take the gold price down only to be pulled up by the price established at the London gold Fixing. There is a structural change happening in the market, bringing the relevance of the physical market to a far more important pricing role that it has had before. As with other markets, it is the small amounts of gold sought after in the open markets -to top-up unforeseen needs, as opposed to the amounts directly contracted with suppliers that dictates the gold price. With these alterations, that pattern is beginning to change. Why?
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Tuesday, December 06, 2011
Gold Falls following Euro-zone Credit Downgrades Warning / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
WHOLESALE MARKET gold bullion prices dropped to $1707 an ounce Tuesday lunchtime in London – 2.2% down from where they ended last week – while stock markets lost their recent momentum after a ratings agency announcement warned that 15 Eurozone governments could have their credit ratings cut.
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Tuesday, December 06, 2011
Gold For Bonds in Japan as Bond Buyers Get Gold Coins / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold is trading at USD 1,718.90, EUR 1,282.70, GBP 1,099.30, CHF 1,587.50, JPY 133,650 and AUD 1,679.40 per ounce.
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,720.00, GBP 1,098.76, and EUR 1,284.54 per ounce.
Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,744, GBP 1,114.88, and EUR 1,296.08 per ounce.
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Tuesday, December 06, 2011
Why Gold Stocks Have Underperformed and What Lies Ahead / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold is higher by 20% this year but the large cap gold stocks (GDX) are down 6% while the junior gold stocks (ETF) are down 25%. With Gold higher by 20%, we’d normally expect the gold stocks to be up 50% and more. Needless to say 2011 has been a difficult year for gold bugs. Its been a near disaster for most junior gold stocks. That being said, there are important but often ignored reasons why the gold shares have underperformed this year and reasons to consider why a big move may be only months away.
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Tuesday, December 06, 2011
Deflation Is Coming, Will be Good for Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jay Taylor believes the biggest challenge facing the U.S.—deflation—could mean a better year, or even decade, for junior gold stocks. Taylor, editor of Jay Taylor's Gold, Energy & Tech Stocks, has ridden some equities to the bottom of this punishing market and is ready to pile more cash into small gold companies. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he explains why market sentiment hasn't shaken his faith.
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Tuesday, December 06, 2011
Meat-to-Feed Ratio: Feeding the Agricultural Commodities Bull? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
With 2011 about to be history, investor should be thinking about two matters. How did various market sectors perform during the year, and why did they do so? That task is part of the learning process. It allows us to refine our thinking, and shed thoughts that will not be productive in the future. Second, we are of course interested in the implications of current trends for investments in the coming year. 2012 is still a blank page. Thus far as 2012 is concerned, we have made no mistakes. To start this learning process the first chart portrays the performance of the various sectors of the Agri-Food market over the past year.
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Monday, December 05, 2011
Bullish Pattern for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Although Italian and Spanish bond yields have plunged today, in reaction to optimism about a forthcoming "real deal" to solve or contain the Euro-zone debt crisis, let's notice the neither the price of spot gold nor the Euro/USD appear impressed -- at least not if the solution implies a massive ECB liquidity injection.
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