Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, April 09, 2013
Strong Gold Demand in Asia "Should Offset" ETF Selling / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The PRICE of GOLD and silver was little changed Tuesday morning near last week's finish, while European stock markets rose but Japan's Nikkei stalled its 5-day surge as the Yen bounced higher from 4-year lows on the currency market.
Silver prices ticked higher to $27.40 per ounce, while gold regained $1574.
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Tuesday, April 09, 2013
The Day the U.S. Government Seized Americans' Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,572.50, EUR 1,205.26 and GBP 1,026.50 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,577.25, EUR 1,212.80 and GBP 1,029.60 per ounce.
Gold fell $6.50 or 0.41% yesterday to $1,572.50/oz and silver slid to $27.12 and finished down 0.22%.
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Monday, April 08, 2013
Gold Bulls : Do or Die ! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
I was going to write about the Risk on Risk off trade this weekend but with the big move up in gold on Friday I thought we should look at gold instead. As you know, gold along with silver, broke down from their respective triangles this week which we have been keeping a close eye on. The 60 minute chart below shows the price action for the last six months or so for GLD. You can see the downtrend has been picture perfect so far with lower highs and lower lows all the way down. The price action broke below the bottom rail of the blue triangle early this week and had a strong rally, that so far, has taken the price back up to the underside of the bottom rail as the backtest. This is normal behavior. What I’ll be watching very close is how the GLD interacts with the bottom blue rail of the triangle. If the price action starts trading up and into the blue triangle that will mean we have a bigger consolidation pattern forming which will still be a consolidation pattern just a bit bigger at this time.
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Monday, April 08, 2013
Soros Says Gold's Safe-Haven Status Is "Destroyed" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The GOLD PRICE ticked lower against the US Dollar early Monday, but held onto the bulk of Friday's sharp rally at $1577 per ounce as world stock markets rose alongside commodities.
Silver bullion traded at $27.30 per ounce, some 2.5% above last week's 9-month low, while both Sterling and the Euro extended their gains versus the US currency, pushing the gold price below £1030 and €1215 per ounce respectively.
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Monday, April 08, 2013
Soros: “I Don’t Expect Gold To Go Down” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,577.25, EUR 1,212.80 and GBP 1,029.60 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,552.75, EUR 1,207.42 and GBP 1,019.60 per ounce.
Gold climbed $25.90 or 1.67% to $1,579.10/oz and silver rose 42 cents or 1.6% to $27.29/oz on the COMEX on Friday. Gold and silver were down 1.07% and 3.77% for the week.
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Monday, April 08, 2013
Time to Buy Gold and Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
If one had gone along with the view of many gold bugs towards the end of 2013 then by now expectations would be for Gold to be trading well above $1,800, instead Gold has been trading at new lows for the year and Silver making multi-year lows with some commentators even suggesting that the Gold / Silver bull market may even be over.
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Monday, April 08, 2013
Gold Price Suppression Game Goes On / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The slide in precious metal prices has done much to undermine investor confidence, yet the indications are that demand for the physical metals remains strong. This leads many observers to comment that paper gold and silver and not bullion are driving prices. The current sell off is a combination of long paper positions capitulating, new short positions being opened by trend-chasers, and importantly, bullion banks squaring their books.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 08, 2013
Gold Down at The Depths / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The price of gold is forming into a sideways base that after several weeks, has experienced minimal downside. This is an encouraging sign because it's a testament to the metal's underlying strength. It also provides technical evidence that price has the ability to hold, and that there is indeed, "life on the floor."
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Sunday, April 07, 2013
Gold - Are We There Yet? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
It has been a 1.5-2 year sideways affair for the precious metals (PM), depending on whether you look at silver (peak in April of 2011) or Gold (peak in August of 2011). PM stocks, on the other hand, have done quite a bit worse than go sideways. While the more conservative Gold has only fallen a maximum of 20% from its August of 2011 highs, the more volatile silver and senior PM stock indices (e.g., XAU, HUI, GDX) have both fallen close to 50%. The junior PM stock sector has been decimated, with the GLDX ETF, as a representation of the very small cap/explorer sector having fallen almost 75% over the past 2 years.
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Saturday, April 06, 2013
Gold And Silver - Comex Prices Manipulated? Still 'Accurate' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Charts do not lie. There are a slew of highly respected PMs "gurus" with extensive followings. None we know of have been on target in the past year. Not only are the trends still down, prices made new recent lows, again, within the trading range, but nowhere near the "prices will reach levels you cannot believe" area. [Insert your own expectation/belief]
We have been advocating the purchase of physical gold and silver, consistently and at any price. The point is not to "make money," but to preserve and/or create wealth.
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Saturday, April 06, 2013
Is Panic Selling Marking Bear Market Bottom In Gold and Silver Miners? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013
One of the ways to look for a bear market low is to look for panic selling and capitulation after an extended downtrend. Since 2013 began the Venture has had 3 months of losses compared to the Dow Industrials.
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Saturday, April 06, 2013
Gold Price Breakout and Breakdown / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
It seems that collective memory is becoming shorter and shorter. We just celebrated two important holidays in the Judeo-Christian traditions that commemorate events that took place thousands of years ago. Yet, now, in the age of Internet, people seem to forget major events after weeks, or even days. Given this weeks' performance in the precious metals, people have forgotten that only two weeks ago Cyprus was on the brink of unraveling not only the European union, but the sacrosanct foundations of fractional banking, with the crisis highlighting the fundamental fault lines of both.
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Friday, April 05, 2013
The Real Threat of Global Deposit Confiscation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,552.75, EUR 1,201.35 and GBP 1,019.60 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,545.25, EUR 1,207.42 and GBP 1,025,65 per ounce.
Gold fell $4.90 or 0.31% to $1,553.10/oz and silver fell 10 cents or 0.37% to $26.87/oz on the COMEX yesterday.
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Friday, April 05, 2013
Gold Bull Cycle About to Begin / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The dramatic 2-3 day take down in Gold Spot pricing action smells and looks like capitulation to us at The Market Trend Forecast. We have been calling this entire 19-20 month consolidation period as a Primary wave 4 correction pattern, though complicated for sure. It has had multiple false rallies and buy and sell signals the entire time. With that said, the pattern is set up for final 5th wave decline which we are seeing now at the beginning of April.
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Friday, April 05, 2013
Why Gold Prices Could Jump to $1800 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Diane Alter writes: Despite a pullback in gold prices, hold on to your gold. In fact, look to buy more.
You see, thanks to record highs for the U.S. stock market, a notable shift from defensive assets to "risk-on" trades has occurred.
The yellow metal slumped 1.4% to $1,552.80 Wednesday marking a nine-month low. That's after gold prices slid below $1,600 an ounce in Q1 on hints of a global economic rebound. The slide prompted market participants to shed gold holdings.
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Friday, April 05, 2013
Charts to Provide Perspective for Gold Bulls / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Most chartists use daily or weekly charts. Few look at monthly charts. I don’t know of anyone (myself included) who pays any attention to quarterly charts. We decided to take a look at the quarterly chart of the HUI gold bugs index. It is below and we note the two big downturns in the market. Also note the importance of 300 which has been support for the past seven years.
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Friday, April 05, 2013
BUBBLEOMIX Says Gold Bottomed on 4th April 2013 and Heading for $1,800 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
BUBBLEOMIX is a name for the “science” of financial bubbles, the idea is very simple:
- Markets are not always efficient
- Bubbles are Zero Sum
That’s it; nothing complicated. In simple English the idea is that at any moment in time there is the “right price” for anything and everything, whereby on average for every transaction the seller gets the same amount of economic value as the buyer; Warren Buffett calls that the “intrinsic value”.
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Friday, April 05, 2013
FDR's Gold Confiscation 80 Years On / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
"I, Franklin D Roosevelt...do declare that said national emergency still continues to exist and...do hereby prohibit the hoarding of gold..."
Executive Order 6102, issued by US president Franklin Delano Roosevelt 80 years ago, on April 5th 1933, banned private gold ownership in the United States, forcing gold owners to take their bullion to a bank and exchange it for Dollars at the prevailing rate.
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Thursday, April 04, 2013
Gold Price Collapse Triggered by Stop-Losses & Big Fund Sales / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The PRICE of GOLD extended its worst two-day drop vs. the Dollar since June last year Thursday morning in London, falling as low as $1540.50 per ounce before rallying to $1551.
Commodities also stemmed their fall and major government bonds trimmed earlier gains.
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Thursday, April 04, 2013
How to Double Your Money by Investing in Copper / Commodities / Copper
Copper prices are up 170% over the past four years - meaning huge profits for anyone who has been investing in copper.
But now many investors are bailing on the red metal. Prices have slipped about 9% this year, and inventories are soaring.
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