Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, March 06, 2009
The Silver Pit and Archie's Rule / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
In the February issue of The Morgan Report , we produced a feature that is of extreme significance to those of us who are serious about making money in the mining sector. We have diverted a bit from starting off the report with a quote and instead ask a very important question.
“What is an economic mining project?” A question any serious mining investor should ask!
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Friday, March 06, 2009
Gold and Euro Surge on U.S. Job Losses / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD in US Dollars moved in lock-step with the European single currency early Friday, breaking the pattern of the last seven weeks as the United States reported its worst jobless data since 1983.US payrolls shrank by 651,000 in Feb., the Bureau for Labor Studies reported, pushing the unemployment rate to 8.1%.
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Friday, March 06, 2009
Gold Bounces Back as Citigroup Becomes a Penny Stock / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
As expected gold bounced yesterday after its recent sharp falls. Gold's lack of correlation with equities (gold has occasional very short term correlation with equities) was seen again as gold and silver were up some 2% while major US indices were down by some 4%.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2009
Gold "A Buying Opportunity" as Europe's Central Banks Turn to Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE SPOT PRICE of physical gold held steady in Asia and London on Thursday morning, moving in a tight $2 range either side of $912 per ounce as traders waited for key interest-rate decisions from the Bank of England and European Central Bank (ECB).Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2009
Gold Oversold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold fell for the eight straight session yesterday to have the longest losing streak since June 2006 (silver broke its losing streak). Gold is clearly oversold in the short term and due a bounce. The question is whether the bounce will lead to another challenge of resistance at $1,000/oz sooner than most expect or whether the bounce is a prelude to further weakness which could see gold fall to as low as support between $850/oz and $880/oz.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2009
Gold Bull Market Low Risk Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold and gold stocks have had a nice controlled correction over the past 9 days. We look to be nearing the bottom of the bull trend channel, which could be a great buy point. If gold has a reversal around this level, then it would make for a low risk buy signal. But there is one issue, which really concerns me, which I will explain later.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 04, 2009
Gold Follows Stocks and Crude Oil Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE SPOT PRICE of physical gold rose Wednesday lunchtime in London, cutting yesterday's 2.6% loss in half as world stock markets also bounced hard.Commodities rose across the board too, leading analysts to cite rumors of a fresh China stimulus package due from the Beijing regime on Thursday.
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Wednesday, March 04, 2009
Gold Continues to Correct From $1000 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold fell for the seventh straight day yesterday and is now down nearly 9% from its recent high just above $1,000/oz - see chart below).Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 04, 2009
Weimar Hyperinflation Gold And Silver Ratio Revisited / Commodities / Articles
I wrote an article some years back pointing out an interesting fact about gold and silver during the great Weimar hyperinflation. That article lay dormant for some time until last October when I suddenly received dozens of emails about it from gold investors. As it turned out, the article had been mentioned on the website of one of gold's well known commentators and hence the rush of emails.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 03, 2009
The Moving Averages Based Stock Feeder Pond Trading Technical Tool / Commodities / Crude Oil
A powerful use of the Moving Average concept ... Most investors use Moving Averages on their charts ... like the 20 day, 50 day, 100 day, and 200 day moving average. As indicators they lag behind movement, which is why many like to use an Exponential Moving Average over a Simple Moving Average.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 03, 2009
Tyler Mordy: Gold-Backed ETFs on a Roll / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
It was Warren Buffett who said that you learn who's been swimming naked when the tide goes out. But it is Tyler Mordy who's pointing out the few swimsuit-clad investment products standing on the shore now that the tide of economic growth has clearly ebbed—and some of them have a golden glow. A widely recognized innovator in the design and application of actively managed Exchange Traded Fund portfolios, Tyler is Research Director for HAHN Investment Stewards and publishes its ETFocus every other month. In this exclusive interview, he tells The Gold Report readers that global multi-asset ETF portfolios having investments in gold and gold stocks present excellent opportunities not only for preserving but building wealth. Case in point: inflows of 105 tons into gold-backed ETFs in January—approximately half the world's gold mine output for the month—pushed ETF bullion holdings to a record 1,317 tons.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 03, 2009
Moment of Truth for Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
The moment of truth for nearby crude oil prices, as they press against the 20 Day MA at 39.29, which also represents the mid-point of the Bollinger Bands-- and usually supports the price structure on a pullback IF (and only IF) the dominant trend direction is UP. Right now, the technical work shows a possible upside reversal off of the 2/12 low at $33.55, which climbed to 45.30 on 2/26 prior to turning lower.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 03, 2009
Gold Swoons as Stocks Bounce / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD slipped to fresh 3-week lows at the New York opening on Tuesday, dropping 2.2% to $907 per ounce as world stock markets bounced everywhere but London.Crude oil rallied above $41 per barrel. Long-dated Treasury bonds fell, pushing interest rates higher.
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Tuesday, March 03, 2009
Quantative Easing Implementation to Drive Currencies Lower and Gold Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Asian stock markets followed their US counterparts in falling overnight and after an initial rally in Europe, indices are again under pressure (especially the FTSE which is down another 1.8%).Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 02, 2009
Could Obama Push Crude Oil to $300 Per Barrel / Commodities / Crude Oil
John Maynard Keynes is one of the most influential and controversial economists in history. He warned of the huge burden war reparations placed on Germany and its allies after WW I. He played an integral role in establishing the post-WW II financial world. His economic theories established the impetus for governments to spend like mad during downturns. He made, lost, and made back a massive fortune in the stock market. He counted Pablo Picasso and Virginia Wolf as friends.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 02, 2009
Gold Correcting Towards Oversold Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Two things happened in the 1960s. Most importantly, that decade ended. Second, consumers and investors began learning to not be fooled by governmental policies and actions. That learning experienced was reinforced by the many policy errors of the 1970s.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 02, 2009
Gold GLD ETF Pullback Doesn't Inflict Meaningful Technical Damage / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
No, the gold and SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSE: GLD) markets have not provided much in any sort of hedge in the past week or so. However, looked at from a relative strength perspective, the enclosed chart pattern of the GLD clearly remains the inverse of the major equity market ETFs. Let's notice that the GLD has pulled back about 7% from its Feb 20th high, but has not inflicted any damage to the underlying chart structure. In fact, the GLD has pulled back to its mid-Feb upside break point, in the vicinity of 90.00-91.00, which thus far has contained the selling pressure.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 02, 2009
Gold Gains as Stocks Crash / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE SPOT PRICE OF PHYSICAL GOLD back half of an early Asian bounce Monday morning, recording its first London Gold Fix of March at $949.50 per ounce.Almost 6% above its average level of 2009 to date, the Gold Price also rose for UK and European investors, while European shares sank, dumping 3.5% by lunchtime in Frankfurt.
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Monday, March 02, 2009
Debt Lies Exposed, Hope and Massive Change / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
I have just got back from a camping trip and feel clear and refreshed. It is good to get away briefly and to clear the head and look at things from outside the trees. Yes inside the forest you cannot see any wood for all those trees and your view can be very microscopic.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 02, 2009
Gold Safe Haven in the Worst Deflationary Slump since the 1930s / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold rose sharply in Asia and was up by more than $10 per ounce before trading even commenced on the TOCOM – it rose from $941.60/oz to nearly $960/oz but has given up some of those gains in early trading in London and is now trading back at $950/oz.Read full article... Read full article...
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