Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, June 17, 2009
Gold Steady as Deflation Hits Commodities / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD slipped for US and Euro investors but rose towards 3-session highs for UK buyers on Wednesday as the British Pound fell on worsening economic news.
World stock markets dropped along with commodity prices, while new US data showed Consumer Price Inflation sinking to minus 1.3% in May, the sharpest year-on-year deflation in prices since Jan. 1950.
Tuesday, June 16, 2009
Gold and Silver Junior Mining stocks Summertime Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Consistently urging investors to be patient and disciplined, practicing what he preaches has earned Adrian Day a sterling reputation and recognition as an authority in both global and resource investing. In the long term, he anticipates much more upside in gold juniors than seniors, and in the short term—specifically this summer—he looks forward to an "extremely good buying opportunity" among some of the juniors he follows. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, the President of Adrian Day Asset Management also says he sees gold "convincingly" breaking through the "magical big round number" of $1,000 within 9 to 12 months and expects gold to outperform stocks "fairly significantly" over the next year or so. That doesn't necessarily lead him to an optimistic economic forecast, though. Because the recession gripping the globe is the result of "secular deleveraging contractions" (interest rates too low and money too easy), Adrian thinks it will take a long time to pull free.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 16, 2009
Gold Important Trading Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Will the long-term support line stop the hemorrhaging in the gold market?
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 16, 2009
Gold Hit by Deflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD recovered two-thirds of yesterday's 1.4% drop for US investors in London on Tuesday, but it dropped further against all other major currencies as the Dollar fell hard on the forex market.
"Gold is currently testing its 100-day moving average (925.24)," says a technical note from London market-makers Scotia Mocatta. "A substantial break below would be bearish [but] throughout April the 100-day proved a poor signal.
Monday, June 15, 2009
When Gold Climbs Silver Soars, Silver Stocks Where Cheaper is Better / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Two weeks ago precious metals were as hot as ever. Gold prices were climbing. Gold stocks were doing even better. And silver prices were leading the way.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 15, 2009
Chinese Consumption of Agri-Foods has Changed the Dynamics of the Global Agri-Food Situation / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
The governments of China and Russia keep trying to get the attention of the Obama Regime. With a “Money Grows on Trees” attitude, those overtures on the desperate financial situation of the U.S. are being ignored. When the IMF cashes the first checks from the central banks of China, Russia, and Brazil, the trend toward the demise of the U.S. dollar will be validated.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 15, 2009
Silver Heading for Higher Highs After Current Correction Ends / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
A week or so ago we gave the short term view of silver that a decent sized top was in. Our first choice Elliott wave pattern (see below) looked complete as you can see from the chart we reproduce below. We had an alternate wave count which would be invalidated if it went below $14.80. That has now happened so the first choice count is vindicated.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 15, 2009
Strong Fundamentals Add to Technicals of Agriculture ETF DBA / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Here is the big picture of the PowerShares DB Agriculture ETF (NYSE: DBA), which is an ETF comprising agricultural futures products such as corn, wheat, and soybeans.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 15, 2009
It's Official, The Era of Cheap Crude Oil Is Over / Commodities / Crude Oil
Michael T. Klare writes: Buckle your seatbelt, you may be going nowhere -- and it could be a very bumpy ride. Oil futures have just passed $71 for a barrel of "light, sweet crude oil" (sweet for energy stocks, anyway) on its way to... well, we don't know exactly where, but it won't feel good, not at the pump and not in the economy either. In the Midwest and scattered other locations, gas prices are already at the edge of $3.00 a gallon and the height of summer isn't even upon us.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 15, 2009
Gold Continues Trend Lower as Dollar Strengthens / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE SPOT PRICE OF gold fell for US investors but held steady outside the Dollar early Monday as world stock markets and "risk assets" tumbled in the face of a fast-strengthening US currency.
Recording the lowest AM Gold Fix in three weeks at $932 an ounce, gold fell 0.8% vs. the Dollar after Russian finance minister Alexei Kudrin said the US currency was "in good shape" at this weekend's G8 summit of leading economies in Lecce, Italy.
Monday, June 15, 2009
Several Factors Suggest the Bottom in Gold and Silver Correction Is Near / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
This essay is based on the Premium Update posted on June 14th, 2009
In my previous essay (and in my previous Premium Update, which you will be able read, as it is now posted on my website as a sample version) I wrote the following:
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 15, 2009
The Precious Metal and Energy Trading Report / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
We continued to see precious metals under pressure last week. The US dollar moved firmly higher on Friday which sent gold & silver plummeting lower. Oil continued to drift to new multi month highs while natural gas moved sideways.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 14, 2009
Gold Bullish Trend Intact Despite Strong Reaction From $1000 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The U.S. Dollar Index rallied for a few days but is once more showing weakness. With all that debt and printed money, how can the $ stay up there for so long? Both the $ and gold were down on the week. So much for moving in opposite directions.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 14, 2009
What's the Relationship Between the U.S. Dollar and Commodities? / Commodities / US Dollar
Bryan Rich writes: The dollar can’t manage to find its way out of the limelight these days. There’s speculation about its demise and the loss of its world reserve currency status. It’s even blamed for higher gas prices.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 13, 2009
Gold Rally Continuation Potentially in Doubt / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The more I examine gold market technicals, the more suspicions I have about its rally potential. The recent weakness in spot gold prices has just pierced the sharply rising 20-day moving average for the first time since the April lows at $864.50. In the past, a sustained downside violation of the 20 DMA has represented a near-term sell signal that invariably runs prices towards a test of the 50 DMA thereafter.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 13, 2009
Will the Gold Price Fall, When Consumer Confidence Really Rises? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Here we are with the gold price pulling back towards $900 after threatening $1,000. It hit $985 then pulled back into the $930's. Traders did not want to be in the lead in taking it over $1,000. Now it needs time to re-group and build up the strength and the reason why it should go through $1,000. Long-term investors have been on the sidelines since gold ran through the $900 level and COMEX speculators have jumped in 'boots an' all' taking it up on a Technical basis to just below $1,000.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 12, 2009
John Embry Expects $1,500 Gold and Early Stage Hyperinflation by Year End / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Back for another thought-provoking conversation with The Gold Report, John Embry sees both good and bad news in the weeks, months and years ahead. For example, John— Sprott Asset Management's chief investment strategist—is braced for "an ugly summer," with "another significant test in the equity market." Before year-end, he anticipates $1,500 gold—but also the beginning of worldwide hyperinflation that may take many Americans by surprise. And while John is bearish on world economies for the next few years, within that same time he looks toward "numerous 5- and 10-baggers" among small-cap gold producers and junior explorers with solid projects.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 12, 2009
China's New Commodity Hoard / Commodities / China Economy
In April, China announced that it purchased 454 metric tons of gold over the past six years. However, gold isn’t the only metal the Chinese have been buying. According to Michael Gaylard of Freight Investor Services, “They are building up some stockpiles right across the commodity spectrum, from base metals to coal.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 12, 2009
Farmland Investing, the Quiet Land Grab is Just Beginning / Commodities / CRB Index
According to the Economist, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and China have been “quietly” buying up more than $20 billion of this asset.
It’s not oil or natural gas assets though. And it’s not the molybdenum they need to build thousands of miles of new pipelines. They’re buying up one of my favorite long-term investments, farmland.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 12, 2009
Is Silver Money? (Revisited) / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
I just returned from the Cambridge House Investment Conference in Vancouver, BC, and found this to be one of the best precious metals gatherings ever, not so much from the perspective of a number of attendees, but from the quality of the people who did attend.
Read full article... Read full article...