Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, January 05, 2011

Why Rising Interest Rates are Super-Bullish for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Heading into 2011, the consensus outlook on precious metals is slightly positive but the consensus believes that higher interest rates will ultimately support the US currency and in turn engender a move out of Gold. The Gold naysayers are using “rising rates” as a way to dismiss Gold. Let me explain why this belief is not only false but utterly dangerous.

Wednesday, January 05, 2011

Strategic Metal Supplies Will Tighten in 2011 / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Anthony_David

According to the World Steel Association, global steel demand in 2011 is expected to fall to 5.3% but in terms of volume, demand will still reach a record breaking 1.34 billion tonnes. As maturing economies continue to struggle to regain their foothold after the global economic downturn, the emerging BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) nations are expected to dominate the demand curve, with India and China at the forefront.

Wednesday, January 05, 2011

Steel Volume Set to Grow in 2011 / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Anthony_David

World Steel Association (worldsteel) data states that the total crude steel produced by its 66 member countries during November 2010 was 114 million tonnes, which is 5.1% higher YoY. The first 11 months of the year saw a total crude steel production of 1.28 billion metric tonnes, a growth of 16.2% YoY. In Asia, China’s YoY crude steel production in November rose by 4.8% to reach 50.2 million tonnes, while India’s production rose by 3.15% YoY to reach 5.56 million tonnes. November production in the US went up by 13% YoY to reach 6.5 million tonnes while that of Brazil fell by 2.8% YoY to reach 2.6 million tonnes.

Wednesday, January 05, 2011

The New Gold Rush / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011

By: Nick_Barisheff

As confidence in global currencies wanes, the world's appetite for gold will increase.

As we embark on 2011, gold continues to climb and investors are questioning its future price direction. Is gold in a bubble? Have the price gains of the last decade-which beat out stocks, bonds and several other favored asset classes- peaked? Did today's investors miss the opportunity to buy?

Wednesday, January 05, 2011

Triple Peak Pressuring Gold GLD ETF / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The big picture that is evolving in the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) shows that yesterday's high at 139.00 represented the third failed attempt to hurdle and sustain above 139.00 during the past eight weeks. Today's sharp gap-down open and downside follow-through (so far) leaves behind a triple peak that is putting increasing pressure on the Nov-Jan support line, which cuts across the price axis today at 134.75.

Tuesday, January 04, 2011

Numismatics Are Fool's Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011

By: Peter_Schiff

Last month, I addressed the hype around gold confiscation, and debunked the myth that collectible or numismatic coins would offer effective protection. But there is another sales pitch that many dealers will use while trying to "up sell" you to numismatics. They may argue that on investment merits alone, numismatics are a better bet. While this may be a more rational line of thinking than the typical confiscation con, it is bad advice for investors hoping to protect their assets in an economic slump.

Tuesday, January 04, 2011

Gold & Silver Fall But "Short-Term Charts" & 2011 Economic Fears "Still Positive" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD and silver bullion both fell as London – center of the world's precious metals markets – got back to work from the New Year shutdown on Tuesday, dropping 1.3% and 2.2% respectively from yesterday's Dollar highs as world stock markets caught up with Wall Street's strong gains.

The US Dollar whipped lower on the forex market, helping the gold price in Euros further extend its drop to 1-week lows, down some 1.3% from Thursday's new all-time high of €34,586 per kilo.

Tuesday, January 04, 2011

Gold and the PM Stocks Will Make 2011 A Happy New Year For All! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011

By: Lorimer_Wilson

Goldrunner writes: It is fascinating to be living during the greatest PM Bull Market in history – and to be entering its Seasonal Strength as the parabola rushes forward and upward - and I look forward to keeping you informed on a regular basis throughout 2011 as it unfolds.

Monday, January 03, 2011

Copper Outlook 2011: A Beijing Opera / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Dian_L_Chu

Year 2010 had been good to almost all investment classes. Stocks, bonds, commodities, and the dollar are all moving higher in tandem, a first of such unison since 2005. Among them, commodity is the one leading the pack partly on dollar weakness, as well as propped up by world’s central banks quantitative easing.

Base metals, in particular, are further supported as China keeps on trucking with double-digit growth despite most of the world practically stood still during the worst global recession since World War II.

Monday, January 03, 2011

BubbleOmics & Gold Expose America’s Suicide Pact with God’s Workers / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011

By: Andrew_Butter

The original reason Professor Nouriel Roubini started to fret about the US economy was when he noticed, in about 2003, that its current account deficit was becoming positively “Argentinean”. Here is a line from paper he put out with Brad Setser in 2004:

Monday, January 03, 2011

Celebrating the Creation of a Government Agency Dedicated to Making Gold More Valuable / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

We seem to have missed the celebration. Forget Christmas. Forget New Year's Eve. 23 December was the big day, and we should have all been partying. What should we have been celebrating on that day? On 23 December 1913 the Federal Reserve Act was passed by the U.S. Senate, creating the most monumental mistake of governance in 97 years.

Friday, December 31, 2010

Gold Ends 2010 in a Bullish Fashion – What’s Next? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011

By: Przemyslaw_Radomski

It's instructive to look at the end of the year financial magazines and see their analysis of the past year and their projections for the future. For example, the special issue of Fortune Magazine Investor's Guide 2011 had a glimmering stack of gold coins on the cover with a headline “Gold Gone Wild.”

Friday, December 31, 2010

Silver Mining Stocks Are for Suckers / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: DailyWealth

Matt Badiali writes: Mining is for suckers.

I've told you this before... and you may think that as the editor of a resource and mining advisory, I've lost my mind saying so. After all, I've recommended plenty of mining companies, and most of my readers love the idea of owning them.

Friday, December 31, 2010

Is Gold Or Fiat Currency In a Bubble / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Washingtons_Blog

It is easy to argue that gold is in a bubble.

But as I pointed out last month: Deutsche Bank's head commodities researcher [Michael Lewis] wrote in September:

Friday, December 31, 2010

Gold Ends 2010 with 11th Annual Bull Market Gain / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD ended 2010 with an AM London Gold Fix of $1410.25 per ounce on Friday, racking up its 11th consecutive annual gain vs. the world's major currencies.

Bullion Vault's Global Gold Index – which measures the gold price in terms of the world's top 10 currencies, each weighted by the issuing economy's GDP – showed a rise of 29.9% for the year.

Friday, December 31, 2010

Forecast, Silver Will Be Worth More Than Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011

By: Mac_Slavo

It’s shiny, it’s fairly rare, and it has been the world’s de facto reserve currency anytime the S has hit the fan historically. Though it has been prized by civilizations since before recorded history, it’s no secret that there is really no meaningful use for the precious metal gold in comparison to the widespread use of many other metals. Once it is mined it is essentially fabricated into gold bars, coins, jewelry or, at times, sprinkled onto exquisitely expensive desserts in five star Manhattan restaurants.

Friday, December 31, 2010

China and Gold are Good but Crude has caught a [Cold] but otherwise it too is Good / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Bari_Baig

Two interest rate hikes to fight the inflation, Chinese commitment given before G-Meeting in Toronto to move to partial peg, everything seems to be falling in place nicely for Beijing and above all the nice gradual incremental rise in Yuan is getting all the right appreciation. We for one stood by Beijing even when U.S Treasury Secretary Mr. Geithner whom we wrote about enough that we felt the need to clarify that we held nothing against him.

Thursday, December 30, 2010

The Last Angry Man's Problem With IMF Gold Sales / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: Richard_Daughty

Adrian Ash of BullionVault.com writes that "the International Monetary Fund said it has completed the gold bullion sales program begun in October 2009," and now 403 tonnes of gold have been sold.

I bring this up all the time because the whole thing pisses me off because we gave those IMF bastards the gold to provide gold-standard legitimacy for their stupid fiat currency, the Special Drawing Right (SDR). And yet here they are selling the gold we loaned them! Gaaahhh!

Thursday, December 30, 2010

Peak Oil Is Coming, Courtesy of Political Incompetence / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Graham_Summers

Before starting today’s essay, I have to thank Rick Rule of Global Resource Investments for his insights on the following issues.

Rick has been involved in natural resources investing since 1974. He founded Global in 1994 and has been behind many of the largest deals (Silver Standard being one) and the largest profits (between 1998 and 2006 he grew $15 into $460 million) the industry has ever seen.

Thursday, December 30, 2010

How to Buy Silver at a 10%-20% Discount / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010

By: DailyWealth

Brian Hunt writes: Sooner or later, every precious-metal investor is confronted with a big problem...

It goes like this: First, a big bull market in gold and silver – like the one that started in 2001 – enjoys a major run higher. (Think back to when gold shot from $650 an ounce in July 2007 to $1,000 an ounce in early 2008.)