Wednesday, March 14, 2018
Are Energy Sector Stocks Bottoming? / Commodities / Oil Companies
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts energy and finds that a tradable bottom is in place.
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Wednesday, March 14, 2018
Unbiased Gold Analysis of Draghi Dropping the Bias / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
The ECB dropped its easing bias on Thursday. Monetary hawks are pleased. But doves are holding tight. And what does gold do?
Hawks Awaken in Frankfurt…
A major change at the European Central Bank! On Thursday, it removed its long-standing pledge to increase bond buys if needed. In January we could read that statement:
(…) if the outlook becomes less favourable, or if financial conditions become inconsistent with further progress towards a sustained adjustment in the path of inflation, we stand ready to increase the asset purchase programme (APP) in terms of size and/or duration.
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Wednesday, March 14, 2018
Why Gold $1450 Should Happen / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Gold has been trending higher since making the lows at 12.3.2015. From $1046.54 low, Gold rallied in 3 waves into the 7.6.2016 peak ($1375.15) and then pullback in 3 waves into the low at 12.15.2016 ($1122.81). Cycle from 12.15.2016 low has a 4 hour Bullish sequence as the yellow metal shows 5 swing sequence with a target of $1450.00. As far as Gold stays below below 7.6.2016 peak ($1375.15), there are various possible Elliott wave structures which can form.
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Wednesday, March 14, 2018
Nasdaq Stocks Soars to New Record High After Strong Job Reports / Companies / Tech Stocks
Nasdaq soars to an all-time high after last Friday’s U.S. employment report which saw a massive 313,000 growth in February. This is the biggest number of jobs since July 2016, handily smashing the expectation of 200,000 jobs gain.
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Wednesday, March 14, 2018
Canadian Dollar Relief Rally After Trump Steel Trade Tariff Exemption / Currencies / Canadian $
By EWFHendra : Canadian Dollar had a relief rally last week after the U.S. excluded Canada and Mexico from steel and aluminum tariffs. President Trump’s administration enacted these tariffs under section 232 Trade Expansion Act of 1982 on the ground of national security. President Trump said that the importation of steel and aluminum was “in such quantities and under such circumstances as to threaten to impair the national security of the United States.”
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Tuesday, March 13, 2018
Bitcoin BTCUSD Elliott Wave View Calling for Rally toward $15,000 / Currencies / Bitcoin
Since all time high in December 2017, Bitcoin BTCUSD ( Value in US Dollar ) dropped 70% before finally bottoming around $6590 on the 6th of February 2018. The big decline drove fear into the digital market as many new investors / traders lost their money during that period so they decided to stay away and avoid further losses because the mainstream media was again calling Bitcoin as a busted Bubble even though they were amazed by the Rise of Cryptocurrencies in 2017.
During the recent 2 months , Bitcoin daily confirmed transaction has been dropping significantly hitting 2 years low despite a +90% bounce seen in BTCUSD since February low. Data from different brokers show that current consumer desire to ‘hodl’ on to one’s bitcoins and watch the market, rather than cash out or convert into currencies.
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Tuesday, March 13, 2018
Hungary’s Gold Repatriation Adds To Growing Protest Against US Dollar Hegemony / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
– Hungarian National Bank (MNB) to repatriate 100,000 ounces gold from Bank of England
– Follows trend of Netherlands, Germany, Austria and Belgium each looking to bring gold back to home soil
– Hungary one of the smallest gold owners amongst central banks, with just 5 tonnes
– Central bank gold purchases continue to be major drivers of gold market
– Russian central bank gold reserves now exceed those of China
– Decisions to repatriate and increase gold reserves come as rifts between East and West widen
Tuesday, March 13, 2018
Follow the Herd With GDX and GLD / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
For those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set-up for the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX), which I analyze as a proxy for the metals mining market. I also believe that GDX can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long-term break out has begun, and I still think we can see it in occur in 2018. This week, I will provide an update to GDX, but want to also discuss the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:GLD), which is an ETF that attempts to mirror the movements of gold. While I have gone on record in this webinar as to why I do not think GLD is a wise long-term investment hold, I will still use it to track the market movements.
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Tuesday, March 13, 2018
Record Low Volatility in Precious Metals and What it Means / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
The past 18 months have been difficult for precious metals investors. If you had known Donald Trump would be elected and the US Dollar would soon begin a nearly 15% decline, you would have expected Gold to blow past its 2016 high. You would have been shocked to see the gold miners and junior gold stocks trading lower. Gold has fared okay but the gold stocks and Silver have lagged. As US equities have continued to power higher, precious metals have struggled to perform while volatility in the space has dwindled. Precious metals volatility has reached extremely low levels and this is a sign that a major move, while not necessarily imminent is surely on the horizon.
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Tuesday, March 13, 2018
Tips for Writing and Assembling the Classification Essay / Companies / SME
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Tuesday, March 13, 2018
The Bond Market is SCREAMING Inflation, But Stock Investors are Clueless / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
Inflation is now reaching a crescendo.
The fact is that inflation develops in stages in the economy. The first stage concerns the price of items being bought and sold by wholesalers. We saw this begin to surge starting in the middle of last year. And it was a global phenomenon.
Paying more for something is manageable for a while. However, at some point the increase in prices is passed on into the economy in the form of more expensive goods and services. This is when inflation truly begins to become a problem.
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Tuesday, March 13, 2018
Gerald Celente "If Rates go up too High, the Economy goes Down, End of Story" / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Gerald Celente, publisher of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is perhaps the most well-known trends forecaster in the world and it's always great to have him on with us.
Mr. Celente, thanks again for the time today and welcome back.
Gerald Celente: Oh, it's always great being on. Thank you.
Mike Gleason: Well, Gerald, it's never a dull moment in Washington, D.C., these days. President Trump always keeps it lively. We have the never-ending Russia controversy, of course, the war of words with North Korea, and the intervention in Syria have both been regulars in the headlines over the past year. Now Trump is talking about tariffs and people are worried about a trade war. Volatility is coming back to the stock markets and some investors are getting nervous about rising interest rates. When it comes to Russia interfering in U.S. elections, it seems more or less like a smoke screen. We have very little doubt there is plenty of collusion and a fair bit of it involved Hillary shepherding the Uranium One deal over the finish line.
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Tuesday, March 13, 2018
Stock Market Selloff Showed Gold Can Reduce Portfolio Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
– Recent stock market selloff showed gold can deliver returns and reduce portfolio risk
– Gold’s performance during stock market selloff was consistent with historical behaviour
– Gold up nearly 10% in last year but performance during recent selloff was short-lived
– The stronger the market pullback, the stronger gold’s rally
– WGC: ‘a good time for investors to consider including or adding gold as a strategic component to their portfolios.’
– Gold remains one of the best assets outperforming treasuries and corporate bonds
Tuesday, March 13, 2018
US Interest Rate Tsunami Waves Spotted Just Offshore / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
We should all be familiar with the aphorism, “as real estate goes so goes the economy.” Anyone ignoring that economic axiom was completely blindsided by the Great Recession of 2008. Well, the collapse of the Everything Bubble most certainly includes the real estate market…and this time around will definitely not be different.
The plain and simple fact is that home ownership is getting further out of reach for the average consumer as mortgage rates rise. This is especially true for the first-time home buyer. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage is now the highest level since January 2014, 4.64%
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Monday, March 12, 2018
Silver Does it Again! Severe Consequences / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
In the free analysis that we posted last Monday, we warned that Friday’s session was likely to be volatile and tricky. This seems to have indeed been the case for silver. The white metal declined early in the day only to rally almost 40 cents from the initial low. In our previous alert, we discussed the possibility of silver topping at about $16.65 and this level was reached. Is silver about to take a dive just like it did in late November 2017?
In short, yes. That seems very likely, especially in light of the multiple long-term and short-term factors and we have received a strong bearish confirmation earlier this week. However, we need to supplement the above with a caveat – the decline may not start immediately, but in a few days. Why? Because of the proximity to the triangle apex reversal along with the lack of a visible rally on Friday suggest that we may still be a day or two away from the top.
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Monday, March 12, 2018
Has the Stock Market Rally Run Out of Steam? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Good Morning!
On Friday, SPX closed short of the upper Diagonal trendline near 2800.00. weekend, SPX futures rose to 2805.00, then backed away. It is possible that the futures completed the task of testing that trendline over the weekend.
ZeroHedge remarked, “The "goldilocks" mood that was unleashed after Friday's jobs report (high growth, low inflation) has spread around the globe, sending Asian and European markets higher as trade-war concerns took a back seat to economic optimism. The dollar slipped and Treasuries held strady even as the US Treasury prepares to sell $145 billion in debt today (including both 3Y and 10Y Paper), while most commodities fell.”
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Monday, March 12, 2018
S&P 500 at 2,800 Again, Stock Market Breakout or Fakeout? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Stocks rallied on Friday, as investors reacted to better-than-expected monthly Nonfarm Payrolls number release. The broad stock market retraced its late February move down, while technology stocks reached new record highs. Is this a new leg within multi-year bull market or still just retracement following late January - early February 12% sell-off? Let's take a look at possible future scenarios.
Friday's trading session was very bullish, as the main U.S. stock market indexes gained 1.7-1.8%. Investors' sentiment improved following better-than-expected monthly Nonfarm Payrolls release. The S&P 500 index broke above its short-term consolidation and it got close to the late February local high of 2,789.15. The index currently trades 3.0% below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. Both Dow Jones Industrial Average and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 1.8% on Friday. The latter reached new record high, as it broke above 7,500 mark again.
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Monday, March 12, 2018
The No.1 Energy Stock To Buy Right Now / Companies / Energy Resources
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Monday, March 12, 2018
Number of 95% Mortgage LTVs Reach Post Financial Crisis High / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report data (not yet published) reveals that the number of 95% loan-to-value (LTV) mortgages has increased by 37 in just one month, surpassing the 300 mark for the first time since April 2008.
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Monday, March 12, 2018
What Happens Next When Stock Market Investor Sentiment is Neutral / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
AAII is the stock market’s best sentiment gauge. Investors are extremely Neutral right now because the stock market has been swinging back and forth over the past few weeks.
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