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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

InvestorEducation

Wednesday, September 22, 2021

MetaTrader 5 Features Every Trader Should Know / InvestorEducation / Trading Systems

By: Russell_Fenton

MetaTrader 5 is an advanced trading platform that features a wide range of asset classes, including cryptocurrencies. It is a multiple asset platform for modern traders considering taking their trading experience to the next level with practical and robust features. Read on to understand these features.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 21, 2021

Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment, Tip of the Ice Berg in Financial Crisis 2.0 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Financial Crisis 2.0 continues to unfold where China's giant property developer Evergrande is the canary in the coal mine, tip of the ice-berg, China's Lehman's moment that looks set to default on $300 billion of debts. Here's what the giant property developers stock price looks like.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 21, 2021

Silver Futures Market Speculators Crushed Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: MoneyMetals

The gold and silver futures markets were designed to increase volatility and discourage physical ownership of precious metals, as revealed in 1970s-era disclosures. The futures markets have also created opportunities for manipulation.

Today, the corruption is on full display for anyone who cares to look at the Wiki-Leaks documents, criminal prosecutions, and the other piles of evidence detailing foul play.

Yet the global price for precious metals is still set by these futures markets. And the trading volume has even grown, even as prices appear increasingly unhinged from fundamental drivers impacting supply and demand for the underlying metals.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 21, 2021

The Fed Is Playing The Biggest Game Of Chicken In History / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Avi_Gilburt

Yeah, I know everyone is so certain that inflation is what we will be battling for the foreseeable future. The main reason why many of you are so certain we are battling inflation is because you are seeing prices rise on food and other items for which you shop. But, do rising prices really mean we are dealing with the true economic definition of inflation?

To be honest, I really don’t care what you call it. It makes no difference to me since our analysis tells me when to get in and out of the market. You see, I and many others correctly recognize that the stock market leads the economy. So economic definitions have no bearing upon our forward-looking expectations regarding the stock market. And, I have explained why this is the case in past articles:

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 21, 2021

Focus on Stock Market Short-term Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue until major cycles take over, and it ends.  The 4550 projection which had been in effect since the March 2020 low has now been reached, but there is still no sign of a major top.

SPX Intermediate trend:  A Short-term SPX correction is underway.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, September 21, 2021

Lands End Cornwall In VR360 - UK Holidays, Staycations / Personal_Finance / Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

The virus meant that we were unable to travel abroad for holidays 2021, still there are plenty of beauty spots in the UK, such as CORNWALLS. Here are the sights and sounds of Land End, Britain's Western most point, a headland and tourist and holiday complex in western Cornwall, England, situated within the Penwith peninsula about eight miles (13 km) west-south-west of Penzance at the western end of the A30 road. To the east of it is the English Channel, and to the west the Celtic Sea.

Land's End is the most westerly point of mainland England.[3] However, it is not the westernmost point on mainland Great Britain, as this title narrowly goes to Corrachadh Mòr in the Scottish Highlands.

All in VR 360! which you can experience even if you don't have a VR headset as you will be able to look around in most browswers.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 20, 2021

Stock Market FOMO Hits September CRASH Brick Wall - Dow Trend Forecast 2021 Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My last analysis posted on the 1st of September proved to be a timely reminder that an historically overbought stock market on virtually every measure was entering into the seasonally worst trading month of the year that at the very least suggests to prepare for a significant correction with each passing day and there was even a possibility of market panic event, a CRASH for which there are countless indicators that I have been covering since Mid June such as what is taking place in the Reverse Repo market of a defacto brewing Financial Crisis 2.0, the magnitude of which we will only realise with the benefit of hindsight, hence why I sold out of 80% of my Top AI stocks during the summer months with the last being to exit IBM leaving my AI stocks portfolio in it's current state, devoid for the first time in many years of the likes of Microsoft Apple, Nvidia and Amazon, with holdings of Google and Facebook greatly reduced.

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Commodities

Monday, September 20, 2021

Two Huge, Overlooked Drains on Global Silver Supplies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: MoneyMetals

Precious metals markets got dealt a technical blow after gold and silver sold off on Thursday. Stronger-than-expected economic reports boosted the U.S. Dollar Index, which in turn gave futures traders all the rationale they needed to pound longs with sell orders.

Silver traded down to a slight new 2021 low. Unless prices recover quickly here and carve out a double bottom, stop-loss selling could send spot silver toward lower-range support levels from last year.

Meanwhile, gold is faring relatively better with prices still holding well within this year’s trading range. The gold to silver ratio has risen from a low of just under 64:1 in February to 77:1 as of Thursday’s close. Put another way, silver is now very cheap versus gold.

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Commodities

Monday, September 20, 2021

Gold gets hammered but Copper fails to seize the moment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Gary_Tanashian

The Copper/Gold ratio remains at a key decision point

Gold has been clobbered lately but a key metallic macro indicator remains in a long-term congestion zone. If it’s going to be cyclical ‘inflation ON’ we’d expect Cu/Au to break through and do what it has not done since a major inflation trade blew out in 2006-2008, and for the 30yr Treasury yield to eventually catch on and rise at least to the EMA 100 (blue line).

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Politics

Monday, September 20, 2021

New arms race and nuclear risks could spell End to the Asian Century / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Dan_Steinbock

Since 1945, the only successful economic modernization worldwide has occurred in Asia, with focus on economic development. After a decade of US pivot to the region, arms races and nuclear risks are rising.         

According to the new trilateral security pact (AUKUS) between the United States, the UK and Australia, Washington and London will “help” Canberra to develop and deploy nuclear-powered submarines.

The $66 billion deal effectively killed Australia’s $90 billion conventional sub deal with France, thereby causing a major ruckus with Washington’s NATO partner.

Stunningly, US and Australian officials had been in secret talks for months over the plan that was hatched more than a year ago by the far-right Trump administration. Yet, it was both embraced and accelerated by the Biden White House, which claimed to offer an “alternative” to four years of Trump devastation.
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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 19, 2021

Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Dow Trend Forecast 2021 Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My last analysis posted on the 1st of September proved to be a timely reminder that an historically overbought stock market on virtually every measure was entering into the seasonally worst trading month of the year that at the very least suggests to prepare for a significant correction with each passing day and there was even a possibility of market panic event, a CRASH for which there are countless indicators that I have been covering since Mid June such as what is taking place in the Reverse Repo market of a defacto brewing Financial Crisis 2.0, the magnitude of which we will only realise with the benefit of hindsight, hence why I sold out of 80% of my Top AI stocks during the summer months with the last being to exit IBM leaving my AI stocks portfolio in it's current state, devoid for the first time in many years of the likes of Microsoft Apple, Nvidia and Amazon, with holdings of Google and Facebook greatly reduced.

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Companies

Saturday, September 18, 2021

Dow Forecasting Neural Nets, Crossing the Rubicon With Three High Risk Chinese Tech Stocks / Companies / Investing 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

This is the concluding 2nd part of my recent extensive analysis (Part 1) focused on my continuing pursuit to gradually off load my stock analysis processing power onto neural nets, where part 2 looks at data preprocessing being critical in arriving at neural networks that output useful predictions as opposed to nonsense.

And then I literally crossed the rubicon in considering investing in three high risk Chinese tek giants given their relatively attractive valuations following their 2021 stock price blood bath in comparison to US tech stocks being driven to bubble mania valuation peaks.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 18, 2021

If Post-1971 Monetary System Is Bad, Why Isn’t Gold Higher? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

August marked the 50th anniversary of Nixon’s abandonment of the gold standard. It caused so many problems for the economy…and gold didn’t take over?

Last month marked the 50th anniversary of President Nixon’s suspension of the convertibility of US dollars into gold. This move broke the last, thin link between world currencies and the yellow metal, effectively ending the ersatz of the gold standard that we still had back then (the official end came in March 1973, marking the start of an era of freely-floating fiat currencies).

I wrote about the collapse of the Bretton Woods in the last edition of the Gold Market Overview, but as it was a truly revolutionary event that paved the way for today’s monetary conditions, it’s worth mentioning the topic again.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 18, 2021

Stock Market Shaking Off the Taper Blues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 recovered from the selling at open, but the picture is hardly one of universal strength. Tech rose while value erased half of the intraday decline, and high yield corporate bonds closed little changed. Risk-on seems as slowly returning unless you look at the retail sales surprise boosting the odds of Sep taper. Is it though really going to happen?

I continue to think the Fed won‘t move too far, too fast, and that no real action would follow later this month. The job creation isn‘t at its strongest, and yesterday brought us a daily overreaction to positive data, which coupled with the preceding manufacturing ones reveals that the moderation in economic growth would be indeed shallow and temporary. This daily panic was nowhere better seen than in gold and silver – neither USD nor yields moved much.

Unless the 4,440 level in S&P 500 is broken to the downside, stocks appear on the verge of yet another accumulation while commodities are best positioned to rise strongly (the Fed isn‘t mopping up excess liquidity, no). Crude oil hasn‘t spoken the last word, and looks ready to continue upwards following a little consolidation around $72. Copper‘s wild ride continues, and I‘m not looking for the red metal‘s 50-day moving average to start declining.

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Currencies

Saturday, September 18, 2021

So... This Happened! One Crypto Goes From "Little-Known" -to- "Top 10" in 6 Weeks / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: EWI

SOL surges 10x in six weeks, outshining crypto kings like Bitcoin and Ethereum. See how you could have seen the rally coming.

The world's financial authorities continue toggling back and forth between banning digital currency transactions one day, and predicting hyperbitcoinization -- i.e., bitcoin becoming fiat currency -- the other.

All the while high-profile gazillionaires like Elon Musk stir the pot with metaphorical nursing tweets about "pumping not dumping" bitcoin.

Thus, it's hard to remember bitcoin is NOT the only sheriff in town. There are hundreds of listed tokens quietly making huge waves in their much smaller pools. One such name is Solana, a lower altcoin who, between July 20 and September 9, actually outperformed the leading crypto kings.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 18, 2021

Why a Financial Markets "Panic" May Be Just Around the Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2021

By: EWI

Here's why global investors should keep a close eye on "sight deposits"

Investors look to an array of indicators in hopes of determining what is next for the financial markets in which they are interested.

Some investors may focus entirely on "technical" indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), price levels of "support" or "resistance," or say, advancing vs. declining issues, just to name a few. As you probably know, there are many more technical indicators.

Market participants also look at sentiment readings such as mutual fund cash levels, investors' use of leverage, surveys and so on.

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Politics

Thursday, September 16, 2021

An Update on the End of College… and a New Way to Profit / Politics / Education

By: Stephen_McBride

It was one of my most popular (and controversial) essays to date…

Last summer, I laid out my case for why college is never coming back”…

Of course, it wasn’t the first time I wrote about this idea. That was back in 2019.

But last year made the idea “real” for most people…

COVID was a lightning bolt of disruption that fried the business model of college practically overnight.
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Personal_Finance

Thursday, September 16, 2021

What Kind of Support and Services Can Your Accountant Provide? Your Main Questions Answered / Personal_Finance / Financial Education

By: Submissions

Accountants have always been essential for many large enterprises, but even if you have a small business or are self-employed, an accountant can do a lot for you as well. In fact, you may need their expertise and services even more as you grapple with such things as tax returns, finding funding, seeking proper business advice for major decisions, and more. In addition, your accountant can be your best partner for projecting the future of your business and finding out about your business' outlook because they will have the best idea of your financial standing. But precisely what kind of support and services can your accountant provide? Here are the answers to your main questions and a list of specifically what they can do.

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Companies

Thursday, September 16, 2021

Consistent performance makes waste a good place to buy stocks / Companies / Investing 2021

By: Submissions

Stocks can turn out to be a valuable part of your investment portfolio. Owning shares in different companies can help build savings, stay ahead of inflation, getting a sense of control over your financial future. The key to investing is figuring out how much the industry will grow and affect society. Practically, you have to determine the competitive advantage of any given company and, most importantly, the durability of that advantage. These companies are closely connected to the economy, meaning that their business volume can fall abruptly during recessions. Let’s not forget that the COVID-19 pandemic is pushing the global economy into a recession.

If waste and recycling isn’t among your top picks for buying stocks, it should be. Surging commodity prices provide a significant boost for the largest publicly traded waste and recycling haulers. Trash can turn out to be the perfect place to look for opportunities. Waste management is a capital-intensive, highly regulated, necessary service. And it generates cash flow. From investors to governments and companies, just about everyone these days is concerned about the ever-growing waste problem. The waste and recycling industry is a viable and important investment option.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 15, 2021

Dow Stock Market Trend Forecasting Neural Nets Pattern Recognition / Stock-Markets / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

So far all attempts to predict the Dow via machine learning have failed, as mentioned above feeding nets with obvious data such as open, close, high, low and then a candle chart version does not work. In fact the neural net part is the easy part via the likes of Tensor Flow. The problem is with the data which as I explained earlier needs to be preprocessed i.e. feeding raw data into the networks as inputs ends up with noisy networks, if it did work then it would be easy to successfully train neural nets and they would be widespread instead as far as I am aware there aren't really any neural nets out there that can successfully trade stocks.

So what does preprocessing actually mean?

There are 2 ways to go about preprocessing data for stock market forecasts.

1. Pattern recognition

2. Trend Analysis preprocessing.

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