Sunday, September 30, 2018
Gold And Silver – Still Weak, Qrtly, Mthly, Wkly Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
We did an interview with Rory from The Daily Coin, last week, and we mentioned how crypto currencies could be problematic for gold and silver. Their existence could replace the massive fiat debt and preclude any reason for gold and silver to rally. You can find the interview here.
There has been a lot of discussion of a possible reset whereby gold and silver would eventually replace the failing fiats, and that potential scenario was how $10,000/oz gold and $400/oz silver came about, for the most part.
The pertinent question is, which country would want to have a gold and silver backed currency which would severely restrict the ability to issue increased amounts of the currency? Also, every other nation would want to buy and take delivery of any and all available gold and silver. That would not fly, at all. Recall how Nixon closed the gold window back in the 1970s.
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Sunday, September 30, 2018
Sheffield Secondary School Place Applications Over Subscription Fraud Crisis / Local / Sheffield
Despite the construction of several new schools and expansion of many others the crisis in school places continues where one of the primary reasons for which exploded across the mainstream press this week as parents and students of Firvale School went on the rampage as a mass brawl broke out resulting in the deployment of dozens of police officers, a police helicopter and a dog team all to bring the situation back under control as the following video from a popular Sheffield facebook page illustrates.
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Sunday, September 30, 2018
Forex and Crypto Market Forecasts / Currencies / Forex Trading
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Saturday, September 29, 2018
The US Dollar Not the IMF Can Save Argentina / Economics / Argentina
The International Monetary Fund’s $50 billion agreement with Argentina is failing. Earlier this month a scheduled $3 billion payment was postponed while the IMF and the country’s government continued to haggle in Buenos Aires. The peso extended its precipitous fall against the greenback.
The backdrop to this misery is President Mauricio Macri’s weak reform program combined with the IMF’s misdiagnosis of Argentina’s problems. Mr. Macri replaced the left-wing populist Cristina Fernández de Kirchner in December 2015. He inherited a rapidly growing public sector, huge fiscal deficits due to massive subsidies for key products, annual inflation of more than 30%, capital controls, and a dual exchange-rate system. With a slim majority in the National Congress, and facing midterm elections in October 2017, Mr. Macri adopted a gradualist approach to reform.
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Saturday, September 29, 2018
Gold Investors: It Is Time for a Logic Lesson / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses distortions in the markets. Here is a question for any and all of you that have ever purchased a lottery ticket or played the slots or bet on a horse: If you had proof that the outcomes were all rigged, would you still play? If someone showed you a video of pit bosses stacking decks or tampering with dice, would you ever enter that establishment again? If your wife or mother or employer knew that you would constantly blow your paychecks in a rigged casino, would you ever be able to face them? The answer to all of the above-mentioned scenarios is a resounding "NO!" Yet millions of people (albeit that figure is rapidly shrinking) are still committing many hundreds of millions of dollars every week to the Crimex Casino, which has now proven that every single input into determining prices for gold and silver (Bitcoin, too) is completely controlled by the bullion banks, the Crimex bosses and the regulators.
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Saturday, September 29, 2018
How Often to Change Engine Oil and Filter Land Rover Discovery Sport / ConsumerWatch / Motoring
The latest video in my Land Rover Discovery Sports series answers the question of how often should Disco Sport owners change their car's engine oil and filter. Which is not as obvious as it should be for Land Rover sales pitch is to change your engine oil once every 2 years or 21,000 miles, which ever comes first. But as my video reveals that may not work in real world, so owners could be putting their cars engines at risk if they relied just on the sales pitch and left the oil change for the 2 year service.
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Saturday, September 29, 2018
The Potential Market for Online Gambling / Companies / Gambling
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Friday, September 28, 2018
Will the Fed’s Rate Hikes Choke the Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Fact: The direction of interest rates does not determine the stock market's trend
Investing is hard. You, like many others, probably watch financial TV networks, read analysis, listen to talk shows and talk to fellow investors, trying to understand what's next.
One popular stock market "indicator" is interest rates. Analysts parse every word from the Fed, hoping they hear a clue about interest rates. They assume that falling rates means higher stock prices, while rising rates means lower stocks.
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Friday, September 28, 2018
Fed Quantitative Tightening is Stock Bull’s Death Knell / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The Federal Reserve’s unprecedented quantitative-tightening campaign is finally ramping to its full-steam speed in Q4. That will destroy $50b per month of quantitative-easing money created out of thin air! QT will need to maintain this terminal pace for over two years to meaningfully unwind the Fed’s grotesquely-bloated balance sheet. This record tightening poses a dire threat to today’s QE-inflated overvalued stock markets.
This week traders are focused on the Fed’s 8th rate hike of this cycle, which was universally expected. Ever since the FOMC’s previous meeting in early August, federal-funds futures have implied odds of another hike way up at 91% to 100% at this latest meeting. But the Fed’s ongoing hiking pales in comparison with what it’s doing with its balance sheet. One year after its birth, quantitative tightening is hitting full speed.
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Friday, September 28, 2018
The Russell 2000’s “inside month”. Ready for a Stock Market Christmas Present? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The Russell 2000 (small caps index) is on the verge of making a DOWN “inside month”. A DOWN “inside month” is when:
- The market goes down this month, AND…
- This month’s HIGH is below last month’s HIGH, while this months LOW is above last month’s LOW.
Friday, September 28, 2018
XEU & XJY Forex Markets Charts Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading
Sometimes a stock can push you just far enough to make you doubt the validity of your analysis just at the most opportune time. Such has been the case for the US dollar where all the evidence strongly suggests it’s in a bull market. I’m not going to go into a lot of detail right here, but I want to show you a couple of charts for the XEU and the XJY that still suggest they’re weak compared to the US dollar.
This first chart is a daily bar chart for the XEU which shows the possible H&S top building out. The last time we looked at this chart the price action was building out the right shoulder with the neckline symmetry line showing the height of the right shoulder. As you can see the XEU traded slightly higher than the neckline symmetry line which for a few days looked like the possible H&S top maybe failing. Note the gap above the neckline symmetry line and now the gap below the neckline symmetry line which shows an island reversal above the neckline symmetry line, see sidebar for more clarity. The year plus H&S top is still in play IMHO.
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Friday, September 28, 2018
One Stock to Buy for the Next 5 Years, Nvidia—Here’s Why / Companies / Tech Stocks
If I could only buy one stock for the next five years… it would be Nvidia (NVDA).
Take a look at its 720% surge since 2016:
Friday, September 28, 2018
Gold, Silver HUI Stocks Precious Metals Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
In honor of the men staring at silver’s daily chart, let’s highlight NFTRH 518’s Precious Metals segment this morning. We have 60% of the new trading week in the books and not much has changed for the PMs since this was written. You’ll notice that this man who stares at charts gets a little wordy at the end. There is much context that would-be gold bugs need to have in hand.
First, the intro per our anniversary series of posts…
To celebrate NFTRH’s 10 year anniversary (Friday, Sept. 28) I’d like to present one segment from this week’s report, NFTRH 518 each day until Friday. These excerpts will give you an idea of what it takes to provide a top tier, best of breed product. But there is much more to a single weekly report than will be shown here publicly. Oh and don’t forget the dynamic in-week market updates as events dictate.
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Thursday, September 27, 2018
Real Wage Growth Is Actually Falling / Economics / Wages
The US economy is at “full employment,” says the official 3.9% unemployment rate.The problem is that fully employed people haven’t seen enough wage growth. It’s a puzzle. Wages used to rise faster when unemployment was this low.
That’s why there was much celebration when the August jobs report showed a 2.8% annual increase in average hourly earnings for “Production and Nonsupervisory Employees,” i.e., regular workers.
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Thursday, September 27, 2018
Fed Hikes Interest Rates, Stocks Fall, Just a Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Stocks reversed their yesterday's intraday uptrend following the Fed's Rate Decision release. Will they continue lower today? Or was it just a quick downward correction before another leg up?
The U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.2-0.4% on Wednesday, as investors reacted to the FOMC's Interest Rate hike announcement. The S&P 500 index has reached the new record high of 2,940.91 on Friday. It currently trades 1.1% below that high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.4% and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.2% yesterday.
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Thursday, September 27, 2018
Examining the Stock Market’s Late-cycle Behavior / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Lots of traders and investors have been talking about the U.S. stock market’s “late-cycle” behavior recently. I think a lot of them are missing the more important point.
Yes, we are certainly in the late innings of this bull market. HOWEVER, the bull market probably has 1 year left.
For example, Citadel’s Ken Griffin told Bloomberg that the bull market rally has AT LEAST 1.5 – 2 years left. Citadel is one of the few hedge funds that consistently outperforms.
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Thursday, September 27, 2018
Gold Price Can Still See a Lower Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
The Fed controls the gold market. The manipulators control the gold market. The “swaps” control the gold market. The hedge funds control the market. Yes, I have heard about how everyone is controlling the gold market.
In fact, I even hear such ridiculous statements as, "The banks are pushing us down so that they can buy at lower prices." The problem with this is that the banks have been long for weeks - yet they are still pushing us down?
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Thursday, September 27, 2018
US & Global Markets Internals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
To celebrate NFTRH’s 10 year anniversary (Friday, Sept. 28) I’d like to present one segment from this week’s report, NFTRH 518 each day until Friday. These excerpts will give you an idea of what it takes to provide a top tier, best of breed product. But there is much more to a single weekly report than will be shown here publicly. Oh and don’t forget the dynamic in-week market updates as events dictate.
All for 30% less per day than you spend on your single cup of small regular coffee at Dunkin Donuts! Think about that. I mean, I don’t want to downplay the importance of coffee – it makes NFTRH run – but what is the value of consistent, focused and proven market intelligence at your fingertips day to day, week to week and year after year?
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Thursday, September 27, 2018
What the Decline of Cash Means for the Global Economy / Personal_Finance / War on Cash
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Wednesday, September 26, 2018
Gold/Silver Ratio Back at Extremes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
The gold/silver ratio, calculated by simply dividing the gold price by the silver price, may be signaling the end of the bear market in metals is drawing near. That could be good news for gold investors and great news for those who hold silver.
First, let's take a look at a long-term chart of the ratio:
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