Monday, February 25, 2019
Fed Repo Man’s Valentine’s Day Present / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Michael_Pento
The New York Federal Reserve recently sent out an early Valentine’s Day present to a certain group of individuals. However, this gift wasn’t to overleveraged American consumers; but rather to those who are employed repossessing one of those goodies they can’t afford. On February 12th the NY Fed made the announcement that a record number of consumers are falling behind on their car payments. There are now over 7 million car loans past due by at least 90 days as of Q4 2018, along with a record 89 million loans that are outstanding. For Subprime Auto borrowers with credit scores below 620, the delinquency rate spiked to over 16% and the number of subprime borrowers jumped to 20% of loans outstanding. The amount of overdue loans has spiked by 1.3 million since its previous high set in 2011, when the unemployment rate was at 9%.
Monday, February 25, 2019
Warren Buffett Bought Only One Stock in This Sector—and It’s Exploding / Companies / Retail Sector
By: Stephen_McBride
Amazon sells stuff online for cheap. Usually cheaper than what you’ll pay in a store.This has given the company a critical edge over brick-and-mortar retailers.
Since it was founded 24 years ago, Amazon has contributed to putting Bon-Ton, Borders, Circuit City, RadioShack and hundreds of store chains out of business.
Many other retailers are barely clinging to life.
Macy’s (M), JCPenney (JCP), and GameStop (GME) still have a pulse, but they’re fading fast. Since 2014, their stocks have plunged 53%, 77%, and 68%.
Store closings in the US hit an all-time high last year, according to leading research firm Nielsen.
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Monday, February 25, 2019
Now For The Intense Phase Of The Silver Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Hubert_Moolman
Like all bull markets, the silver bull market has different phases, and theses phases have different intensities of price growth.
There are various indications/signs that silver is going into a phase of the bull market where prices will rise much faster than before. I have covered some of them in previous articles.
Here are a few things to look at.
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Monday, February 25, 2019
S&P 500 Gets Closer to 2,800, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Paul_Rejczak
The broad stock market slightly extended its short-term uptrend on Friday following breaking above the recent consolidation. But will stocks continue higher despite some clear technical overbought conditions?
The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.6-0.9% on Friday, as investors' sentiment remained bullish following the recent advances. The S&P 500 index retraced more of its October-December downward correction of 20.2%. It got closer to the previous local highs along the 2,800 level. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.7% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.9% on Friday.
The nearest important resistance level of the S&P 500 index remains at around 2,800, marked by the previous medium-term local highs. On the other hand, the support level is now at 2,765-2,780, marked by the recent local lows. The support level is also at the previous Friday's daily gap up of 2,757.90-2,760.24.
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Monday, February 25, 2019
Buy-to-let Mortgage Product Choice Reaches Post Financial Crisis High / Housing-Market / Buy to Let
By: MoneyFacts
While the tax and rule changes imposed on the buy-to-let (BTL) sector over the last few years have heightened the pressures felt by landlords – and even forced some from the market altogether – research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the number of BTL products currently available is at a post-financial crisis high.
Today, landlords have the choice of 2,162 buy-to-let mortgages, meaning the number of products has not been higher since October 2007, when 3,305 products were available.
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Monday, February 25, 2019
Sheffield FlyPast in Unique VR 360 - "Mi Amigo" US B17 Flying Fotress Crash Memorial / Local / Sheffield
By: Anika_Walayat
Unique footage of the 10 plane "Mi Amigo" Sheffield Memorial FlyPast in VR 360 that literally puts you right at the heart of the 10,000 strong crowd, allowing you to follow the planes just as if you were there as they fly overhead.
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Monday, February 25, 2019
An Economic Postcard from Malaysia / Economics / Malaysia
By: Dan_Steinbock
Not so long ago, Malaysia was set to lose years of economic progress. Today, following the re-imposition of economic discipline, the country is almost back on track. A new era dawned in Malaysia in May 2018, when the opposition coalition led by Dr. Mahathir Mohamad and Anwar Ibrahim secured a simple majority in a historical election. When Mahathir will return to retirement, opposition leader Anwar is expected to replace him in about two years.
In the 2018 election, their coalition - Pakatan Harapan (PH) - won 113 seats against the ruling coalition (United Malays National Organization, UMNO and its allies) that had not lost an election since 1957.
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Monday, February 25, 2019
Winter Of Our Discontent Meets Fyre Festival / Politics / Social Issues
By: James_Quinn
“When a condition or a problem becomes too great, humans have the protection of not thinking about it. But it goes inward and minces up with a lot of other things already there and what comes out is discontent and uneasiness, guilt and a compulsion to get something–anything–before it is all gone.” ― John Steinbeck, The Winter of Our Discontent
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Monday, February 25, 2019
Stock Traders Must Stay Optimistic – Part 4 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Welcome to Part IV of our multi-part research post delving into the global markets, global opportunities and the current “revaluation” even that is taking place. We started this quest from a simple question, “are the Doomsayers correct in their analysis that the US and global markets would collapse in a spectacular form in the near future?”. We wanted to dig into this in more detail to prove they were right or to prove our analysis was correct and the markets are simply “re-balancing” in the process of developing greater opportunity.
So far, we’ve covered topics related to globalization, central banks, global GDP and capital asset deployment forms. We’ve highlighted how the transition from regional economies into global inter-connected economies is now nearly complete and we’ve highlighted how we believe a collapse event could only take place if the largest global economies were to experience some type of massive crisis event. Unless these types of massive crisis events unfold, the most likely outcome is what we have been proposing all along – a re-balancing/revaluation event cycle that is preparing current market valuations for a momentum breakout rally in the future.
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Sunday, February 24, 2019
Gold Looking to Break 2018 High - Elliott Wave View / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: ElliottWaveForecast
In our previous article, we have highlighted the possibility that Gold can quickly retest the high in 2018. The chart below shows the yellow metal has broken above a long term bearish channel from Sept 5, 2011 high. In addition, it has successfully closed above the ascending trend support from December 3, 2015 low.
Sunday, February 24, 2019
$SPY Stock Market Index Heading for All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: ElliottWaveForecast
The ETF is rallying from the blue box after forming the low on 12.26.2018, Blue box is an area where buyers and sellers agree in the next direction. We have developed a system in which we present the boxes to members on our charts and combine it with the right side to enter the market. The decline in $SPY from all-time high is in a classic ABC which is a set of 2 cycles. Each cycle has a subdivision of 5 waves and it’s commonly called zigzag Elliott Wave structure.
After ending the zigzag, the ETF has reacted higher in what looks like an impulse. The Elliott Wave Theory describes an Impulse as a sequence of 5-3-5-3-5. The Impulse main rules are :
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Sunday, February 24, 2019
Trade Talks Drive Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Long-term trend resuming?
Intermediate trend – Initial rally is likely coming to an end.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Sunday, February 24, 2019
Stock Market Up 9 Weeks in a Row. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Dow and NASDAQ are up 9 weeks in a row when you compare this week’s CLOSE to the previous week’s CLOSE, while the S&P is up 9 weeks in a row when you compare this week’s CLOSE to this week’s OPEN.
The most likely path forward is a short term pullback, with more gains ahead for 2019. Above all else, remember that the short term is extremely hard to predict, no matter how much conviction you have in it.
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Saturday, February 23, 2019
China-US Rivalry and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
It’s unimaginable what great progress China made in the last forty years. The rise of such economic power triggered many fears (or hopes) about the future international order. We invite you to read our today’s article about the rivalry between China and the US and find whether the Red Dragon will replace America as a global hegemon. And what would such a shift mean for the gold market.
The economic growth of China raises many worries. While some people fear the slowdown or stagnation in the Middle Kingdom, others claim that China will turn the existing international world upside down.
You see, since the end of the World War II, the US has been the most powerful country in the world. The Soviet Union rivaled, but it was too weak, and collapsed eventually. The global hegemony of the US became total then.
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Saturday, February 23, 2019
5 Marketing Trends Every Marketer Should Know About This Year / Companies / Marketing
By: Dylan_Moran
The beginning of the year is a busy time for marketers because it means another set of trends will be released and they have to adjust their existing strategies (or even change them completely) to keep up with an ever-changing marketing landscape. But which trends will really make a huge impact this year? We rounded up five:
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Saturday, February 23, 2019
Sheffield "Mi Amigo" Memorial Event - Fly Past, Tony Foulds, Remembrance at Endcliffe Park / Local / Sheffield
By: Anika_Walayat
Here's what it was like to be at the Mi Amigo Memorial Event, at Endcliffe Park, Sheffield on 22nd of Feb. The event was hosted by BBC Breakfast and featured a 10 plane fly past as the culmination of 3 hours of commemorations for the 10 brave air men who died when their B17 Flying Fortress bomber crashed on 22nd Feb 1944, the crew of the "Mi Amigo". In commemoration of which the fly past was arranged by BBC presenter Dan Walker after talking to Tony Foulds who has looked after the memorial site for decades. The fly past which took place at 8.45am includes an 4 F15 Strike Eagle fighter jets from RAF Lakenheath, other aircraft included a KC-135 Stratotanker, a MC-130J Commando II, a CV-22 Osprey from RAF Mildenhall, and a Typhoon and a Dakota from RAF Coningsby.
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Friday, February 22, 2019
Gold Bullhorns Quieted for a Day, at Least / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Gary_Tanashian
Over in the gold patch things went from disinterested and downright antagonistic (A Notable Lack of Interest in Gold) to sleepy (Gold “Community” Crickets) to ferociously over bullish.
Any long-time and right minded gold bug will tell you that the latter condition is usually a signal to prepare for some turbulence.
Wednesday and Thursday brought the turbulence in the form of a reversal and pullback for gold, silver and the miners.
Since we became constructive on the gold sector in Q4 2018 (per the links above and especially NFTRH reports/updates) the groundswell of gold boosting (pom poms and all) has steadily risen since it became obvious that something bullish was going on in January. And it appears that last week’s breakout from various daily chart bull flags in gold, silver and the miners finally jerked ’em all in. Enter the Thursday pullback.
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Friday, February 22, 2019
US Auto Loans - Americans Missing Car Payments Is a Symptom of a Much Bigger Problem / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: John_Mauldin
By Robert Ross Transportation is a big issue in most of the US.
It’s so big that for the majority of Americans having a car is a matter of survival. Most people can’t even go to work without a car.
That makes auto payments a high priority. And yet, the number of people who can’t make them is rising fast.
Last week, the Fed warned that auto delinquencies—or missed payments on auto loans—are on a steep rise.
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Friday, February 22, 2019
Stock Traders Must Be Cautious Part III / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Welcome back, If you’ve missed any part of this multi-part research post, please visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com/FreeResearch/ to review and read our previous posts. This, Part III, of our multi-part research post where we are attempting to rationalize the continued bearish analysis of some other analysts as well as review some key data that may support our interpretation that the global markets are transitioning through a “revaluation phase” right now – headed for a breakout rally eventually will continue with more detailed information. Our premise is that global investors and traders should stay cautiously optimistic at the moment and prepare for some volatility as this “revaluation phase” continues to play out. Our overall analysis suggests that the US Federal Reserve and global central banks have “primes the cylinders” of the global economic engine sufficiently and that a spark is all that is needed to see massive new valuation and GDP increases within the next 10~20+ years.
Friday, February 22, 2019
Stock Traders Must Stay Optimistically Cautious II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This Part II of our research post regarding the future potential of any very deep market correction and/or a potential new-age market rally based on our presumption that the global market dynamics have changed dramatically over the past 20+ years. Are the market gurus correct in thinking the next big move will be to the downside? Or are they missing key aspects of the global market dynamics that point to a massive upside rally that is setting up for the future. Today, we continue to explore some of the key elements that we believe present a total scope of the potential for the global markets.
In Part I of this article, we highlighted how globalization changed the planet and increased inter-dependence across the globe for economies and governments. The point we wanted to make from the first segment was to highlight the fact that the current world economies are vastly different than the global economy prior to 1980 or 1970. Over the past 20+ years, the world’s economies have become more and more connected and interdependent on one another. Additionally, global investors and financial institutions have become heavily interconnected and reliant on the global market economies of the world. The reality is, the world is vastly different than it was 40+ years ago in terms of finance, banking, and investment objectives.
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